investors / analysts meeting
DESCRIPTION
http://www.belgacom.com/be-fr/assets/content/legacy/investorday2014.mp3TRANSCRIPT
Slide 1
Investor & Analyst Meeting Friday 28 February 2014
Agenda
Slide 2
Introduction Dominique Leroy - CEO
Group financials Ray Stewart
Consumer Dominique Leroy
Business Jan Manssens
2013
strategic focus for 2014 and beyond
Transform & Invest to return to Growth Dominique Leroy & Geert Standaert
Outlook 2014 & Shareholder return Ray Stewart
BICS Daniel Kurgan
Group Financials Ray Stewart
CFO
Ray Stewart
Slide 3
FY 2013
(in mio €)
Slide 4
Group revenue impacted by regulation, pressure on mobile in segments ; and in Q4 by lower BICS revenue
1,644+20
-15-19
-14-2
-29
+3
Q4 2012 Net ImpactOne-offs
2013
Regulatoryimpact
UnderlyingCBU
UnderlyingEBU
UnderlyingSDE
BICS Intra-groupelimination &
S&S
Q4 2013
1,582
-5.0% Like-for-Like
-3.8% reported
6,462+42
-75
-85
-44 -7 -8
+22 +10
FY 2012 Net ImpactOne-offs
Regulatoryimpact
UnderlyingCBU
UnderlyingEBU
UnderlyingSDE
UnderlyingS&S
BICS Intra-groupelimination
FY 2013
6 ,318
-2.2% reported
-2.9% Like-for-like
Q4 2013
(in mio €)
Slide 4
Good cost management Operating expenses (total of HR & non-HR) slightly down vs. 2012
Slide 5
226 224 217
256
218 225216
244
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413
Quarterly Non-HR expenses (€ million)
-5.0%
903 924 -2.3% FY
FY’13 non-HR expenses 2.3% lower. Cost containment more than offsetting
the normal cost inflation.
FY’13 HR expenses 1.4% higher. Inflation based salary indexation more than offsetting lower personnel base
278 281 290278
290 283 288 282
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413
Quarterly HR expenses (€ million)
+1.7%
1,142 1,126 +1.4%
Group Ebitda impacted by regulation and mobile margin pressure. Q4 2013 showing slight improvement from previous quarters
429
-1
413
+4
+16
-5
-17
-17-4
+8
Q4 2012 One-offs2012
One-offs2013
Regulatoryimpact
UnderlyingCBU
UnderlyingEBU
UnderlyingSDE
UnderlyingS&S
BICS Q4 2013
-8.3% Like for Like
-3.7% reported
1,801
+11 1,713
+36
-48
+35
-47
-61
-18
+4
FY 2012 One-offs2012
One-offs 2013 Regulatoryimpact
UnderlyingCBU
UnderlyingEBU
UnderlyingSDE
UnderlyingS&S
BICS FY 2013
-4.9% reported
-8.7% Like-for-like
FY 2013
(in mio €)
Q4 2013
(in mio €)
Slide 6
EUR 852 million invested, or 13.5% of Group revenue, spectrum license excluded
Slide 7
*This does not include the € 120 mio capex paid for a 800 Mhz spectrum
Increased network investments vs. 2012: to maintain network superiority on mobile speed and coverage, substantially increased bandwidth on fixed network via dlm and vectoring technology making operations leaner through a simplified network bought the 800 MHz spectrum for € 120 m
753
972
13 .5%
FY'12 FY'13
8 52
*
234
426
Q4'12 Q4'13
306 *
FY 2013 performance versus guidance
Metrics FY 2013 outlook
FY 2013 reported
Group revenue
Decline between
-1% and -2%
-2.2%
Group EBITDA* Decline between -4% and -6%
-4.9%
Capex/Revenue Between 13% and 14%
13.5%**
Slide 8
*Compared to the restated 2012 EBITDA of € 1,801 m, following the retrospective application of IAS19R ** excl. € 120m for 800 MHz spectrum
Belgacom met its FY guidance for EBITDA and Capex, while the
revenue guidance was just missed as BICS revenue declined in Q4’13.
691
505
-88
-74
-79
+51 +5
2012 lower EBITDA* income taxpayments
cash paid forcapex
cash providedby working
capital
other 2013
154
95
Q4'12 Q4'13
Free Cash Flow (in mio € )
FY’13 Free Cash Flow of € 505 million
Belgacom generated € 95m of FCF in Q4’13, or € -59m YoY. Main drivers for the FCF decline are :
- lower EBITDA, - higher cash paid for Capex - Higher cash paid for income tax - partly offset by a favorable evolution in working capital.
The 800 Mhz spectrum license acquired in Dec’13 for €120m will be paid in yearly installments , over a 20 year period. This Capex is not included in the FCF as it is a non-cash transaction. The annual reimbursement of €6 m is considered as a financing activity in the cash flow statement.
* Excluding non-recurring and non-cash related items
Q4
FY
Slide 9
( 1 ,601)
50 5(701)
( 38) 25 (6)( 1 ,815)
Net debtDecember 2012
FCF Dividends Non controllinginterests
Net sale oftreasury shares
Other Net debtDecember 2013
Sound financial position
Slide 10
Debt maturing
2015 € 145m
2016 € 950m
2018 € 500m
2023 € 100m
2028 € 150m
2026 € 73m
• Net financial debt at € 1,815m, € 214m higher versus end 2012
• The outstanding long term financial gross debt amounted to € 2.1Bio
• Credit ratings: Standard & Poor’s A; Moody’s A1 – both stable outlook
Consumer Business
Unit
Dominique Leroy
Consumer Business Unit Dominique Leroy
CEO
Slide 11
Consumer Business Highlights
Our convergence strategy remains successful and is materialised through
more value for the customer and new solutions.
Despite a rough 2013 on the mobile market, we returned to customer growth
for postpaid thanks to strong acquisition campaigns and a persistent churn
management.
The pressure on mobile prices resulted in mobile revenue decline. Since Q4’13
we see that it is slowly recovering.
The strong performance for TV and Fixed Internet combined with the
contribution of Tango and Scarlet partly compensated for the loss on mobile
service revenue.
Our focus will be on growing through the convergence experience and
mobile leadership. Slide 12
CBU revenues under pressure by mobile disruption, partly compensated by solid fixed revenue and contribution of Scarlet and Tango
2,321 7
-27-14
15
31
-103
12
-16
FY 2012 Net ImpactOne-Offs
Regulatoryimpact
Fixed Voice Fixed Data TV Mobile ServiceRevenue
Subsidiaries Terminals &Others
FY 2013
2,226
581
-6-5
47
-24
3
-4
Q4 2012 Regulatoryimpact
Fixed Voice Fixed Data TV Mobile ServiceRevenue
Subsidiaries Terminals &Others
Q4 2013
556
-4.1% reported
-4.4% Like-for-like
-4.2% Reported* Q4
2013 (in mio €)
FY 2013
(in mio €)
* like-for -like idem, no one-off effects in Q4
Slide 13
CBU Mobile Service Revenue Mobile Service revenue showing first signs of recovery in Q4’13, some mobile disruption effects started to annualise
Mobile service revenue showing first signs of recovery in Q4’13
Evolution re-priced postpaid customers
73% of CBU customers re-priced, pace slowing. Financial impact from remaining 27% expected to be low.
-5%
-2%
-9%
-17%
0%
-3%
-3%
-6%
-13%-14%
-15%
-14%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
CBU Mobile Service Revenue
Reported
On comparable basis
Slide 14
Mobile Postpaid We increased our Postpaid subscriber base by >200K in 2013. Mobile disruption had significant ARPU impact, though somewhat stabilising.
solid Postpaid net adds postpaid churn back to acceptable levels
Blended postpaid ARPU showing some stabilisation
0%
10%
20%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
‘out of bundle’ revenue dropped with ~50% stabilising around 10% of total postpaid revenue
Slide 15
Mobile Prepaid In a shrinking prepaid market the customer loss is slowing down. Prepaid ARPU is less impacted.
Prepaid loss continued, though is slowing since its peak in Q1’13
Prepaid churn remains high with new telco law removing postpaid barriers
Prepaid ARPU impact less significant
Slide 16
Launch of 4G for all in January Combined with a differentiated and high-end abundant offer is showing promising results
4G access for all High-end abundant
offer SMART 50 4G in Brussels
Differentiated offer in function of pricing plan
x 2.5 active
4G users
4G traffic
increase
+ 68%
Approx. 25% of data traffic is situated in the Brussels Region End February already >31% population coverage
Upside potential higher than possible cannibalisation
Slide 17
>50 €
26-50€
0-25 €
Mobile pressure partly offset by solid performance of Fixed Internet…
Fixed internet customer evolution Fixed internet ARPU evolution
15
1013 12
107
9
17
1,159 1,169 1,181 1,193 1,203 1,210 1,2191,235
-2
3
8
13
18
23
28
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
net adds total
26.9 €26.4 € 26.5 € 26.1 € 26.3 €
26.7 € 26.9 €26.4 €
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
Driven by growing customer base &
price changes
4.5% Revenue increase in 2013
+3.6%
Slide 18
…and Belgacom TV
Continuously evolving customer usage experience
TV Replay Test phase in Wallonia Launched in Flanders
Content Passes, VoD, …
TV Everywhere Evolution active users
Belgacom TV customer evolution Belgacom TV arpu evolution
4348
39
46
26
1619
31
1,2541,301 1,340 1,386 1,412 1,428 1,447 1,479
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
0
20
40
60
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
net adds total
75% of CBU Internet
customers have
Belgacom TV
17.6 € 17.6 €18.1 € 18.2 € 18.3 € 18.6 € 18.7 € 19.0 €
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
13.3% Revenue increase in 2013
+6.7%
Slide 19
Our convergence strategy remains Belgacom’s main force….
CBU pack evolution % Packs with mobile voice component
Revenue generating units (RGU) All Packs contain 3G
mobile internet volume (smartphone, tablet or
laptop)
Up to 6 mobile subscriptions in a Pack
All Packs include TV Everywhere (on 3G, 4G, Wi-Fi)
Pilot launch of Belgacom Cloud
5G storage volume in Pack
43 34 32 20 22 16 15 17
884
918 950 970 993 1,008 1,023 1,040
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1,050
1,150
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
CBU Pack Net adds CBU Packs
Slide 20
…as well as our diverse and locally anchored distribution channel
Belgacom Centers
133
shops
Partners
Consumer electronics & telco specialists
Contact Centers
50% ‘convergent’
agents
Hu
ma
n in
tera
ctio
n
Dig
ital i
nte
rac
tion
10% of Sales
via website
Website Device
~870K down-loads in 2013
Slide 21
Consumer Business
Unit
Dominique Leroy
Enterprise Business Unit
Jan Manssens
VP Enterprise Business Planning
Slide 22
EBU stood its ground in 2013, which was a very challenging year, marked by
a difficult economic & competitive environment.
EBU continued mobile customer growth through network differentiation and
competitive pricing. We see first signs of recovery on mobile service
revenues since Q4’13, though re-pricing still ongoing.
In IT we managed to slightly grow in a stagnating market. The benefits of
Telco – IT convergence are materialising. We create value through
cross-selling and there is a positive impact on customer loyalty.
In 2014 EBU therefore continues its strategy. We focus on maintaining our
Telco leadership by differentiation through convergence and servicing while
we grow in adjacent IT.
Enterprise Business Highlights
Slide 23
EBU revenues pressured by mobile disruption and roaming regulation
579
-8 -4 -1
-7 -3
Q4 2012 Regulatoryimpact
Fixed Voice Fixed Data ICT Mobile ServiceRevenue
Terminals &Others
Q4 2013
557
2,294 2
-54-12 -8
9
-26 -7
FY 2012 Net ImpactOne-Offs
Regulatoryimpact
Fixed Voice Fixed Data ICT Mobile ServiceRevenue
Terminals &Others
FY 2013
2,198
-4.2% reported
-4.3% Like-for-like
FY 2013
(in mio €)
Q4 2013
(in mio €)
-3.8% Reported*
*like-for -like idem, no one-off effects in Q4
Slide 24
EBU mobile differentiation strategy successful mobile churn under control & subscriber base increased with >140k cards
Continued customer growth in a highly competitive,
saturated market
12% 11% 11%
17%
14% 14%
10% 10%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
Mobile churn EBU
1125
115
1928 32 3612
10
1011
105
881,413
1,4491,470
1,4861,516
1,549
1,589
1,633
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
Mobile Net Adds M2M Net Adds Park
Mobile Acquisition EBU (K cards)
Slide 25
8%
26%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
% EBU Packs with mobile voice component
EBU mobile revenue under pressure further erosion to be controlled
-5%
-7%
-11%-13%
-2%-4%
-7%-9%
-13% -12% -12%
-9%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
EBU Mobile Service Revenue
Reported
On comparable basis
adv. data revenue showing upward trend with regulation impact lessening
mobile service revenue showing first signs of recovery in Q4’13
16% 13%
-6% -8% -7% -7% -3%
9%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
EBU advanced data YoY % growth
Evolution re-priced SME customers
~35%
~50%~55%
63%
Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
Slide 26
0%
10%
20%
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
SME ‘out of bundle’ revenue down ~50%, stabilising around 10% of total SME mobile revenues
IT of strategic importance for EBU clear benefits on Telco convergence
EBU’ IT: total revenues (mio €) and Telindus France (potential disposal in 2014)
Benefits IT – Telco convergence are materialising
1 new EBU growth • IT = 32% of EBU total 2013 revenues • pure cloud + 12% full year 2013 • security +43% full year 2013
2 cross-sell effect • in >80% of cases cloud, LAN or UC customers, also have at least
one telecom service
3 churn reduction effect • telco+IT customers have significantly lower telco churn • customers with 4 to 5 IT products/services, have nearly no telco
churn
Slide 27
EBU’s strategy is Telco/IT convergence making it concrete with an example: New Way of Working
Organize business around people by creating flexible workplaces facilitating collaboration between all stakeholders.
New Way Of Working (NWOW) =
As-a-service
Servicing
Convergence
fix + mobile voice / data / video: secure and anywhere network access.
managed and secured devices: laptops, tablets & smartphones
applications: e-mail, portals, video conferencing, collaboration tools
E2E servicing
security and privacy assurance
guaranteed SLA’s
self service tools
delivered ‘as-a-service’ with a fixed fee per user per month
Slide 28
Consumer Business
Unit
Dominique Leroy
BICS
Daniel Kurgan
CEO
Slide 29
BICS Products and Services
Sending End user
Receiving End user
Collecting & terminating international voice traffic all over the world
MESSAGING: Ensuring worldwide interoperability for SMS & MMS
ROAMING: Transport: Signalling, 3G (data) roaming exchange (GRX), IPX
Enabling / Processing: “plug & play”, roaming hub, VAS
Terrestrial, submarine, satellite (managed) bandwidth
• Mobile Data
• Capacity & Infra-structure
Service Providers
• Fixed Operators
• Mobile Operators
• MVNOs
• OTTs
• xSPs
Local partner
• Fixed Operators
• Mobile Operators
• xSPs Wholesale only,
International only
• Voice
Slide 30
Global Presence Network
• 100+ Points of Presence (PoPs) • Ownership in 40 submarine cables • Satellite connectivity to “hard to reach”
countries
Slide 31
Market Segments
Voice Mobile Data Capacity
• Market size
24 B€ 1%
2 B€ 9%
3 B€ n.a.
• Profitability (EBITDA margin)
3-5% 30-40% >20%
• CAPEX intensity
• Labour intensity
Low
Low
Low
Low
High
Low
• BICS Position Leader - #2 Leader - #2 “Niche”
• 2012 revenue • CAGR bottom
line (mid-term)
Slide 32
VOICE commodity in declining trend, managed to protect margins
• Part of business is volatile: 2014 revenue to decline YoY due to end of commercial
agreement of limited duration
• Growth of Peer to Peer VoIP (Skype) impedes market volume growth
• Termination rate downward trend pressures revenue and margins
• Currency fluctuation (mainly EUR/USD) impacts revenue and margin
• OTT are also new voice customers (Skype Out, Google Voice, …)
• BICS has the best traffic mix with very high emerging markets exposure (AMEA)
• Very limited CAPEX requirements to scale it up; BICS has done all the main
investments (NGN, OSS & BSS)
mass volume, low profitability, in decline
+
-
Slide 33
Mobile Data volume growth but price pressure
• Messaging and Roaming transactions still growing steadily
• Opportunities provided by new segments (OTT, MVNO), new applications (Machine to Machine, Application to Person) and technology evolution (4G)
• BICS’ unrivalled customer base is a USP
• Increasing competition in attractive segment. Price pressure on the core services
global market growth, fierce competition, need for differentiation
-
+
Slide 34
Going Forward create more value
new services are the catalysts for long term bottom line growth
Extend the product portfolio with a set of value added
services : business intelligence, fraud
protection and remediation, advanced roaming features…
Leverage on the footprint and the customer base (400+ GSM
operators)
Improve the mix with lower revenue but high margin products
Slide 35
Strategic priorities Dominique Leroy
CEO
Ray Stewart
Slide 36
Customer Experience
Brand
differentiation
Efficient Organisation
Simplification
Slide 37
Good to Gold
culture
Strategic Priorities : ‘Fit for Growth’
Leader in convergent services
Back to sustainable growth
Seamless network and IT
Transform
Invest
Grow
Invest
Slide 38
We estimate our annual investment needs to be around €900m over the coming years to cover network, convergence, new services and content
needs
• Build seamless fixed-mobile hand-over • Push TV replay, TV everywhere • Leverage cloud, unified communication and collaboration • Develop ICT as a service and security
To build the foundation of our next wave of growth • Maintain mobile leadership and further deploy 4G • Push legacy copper network to max capabilities (vectoring, DLM) • Gradually introduce FTTH
• Enrich entertainment offer • Introduce new CPE for better in-house experience
Access networks
Convergence services
Brand image
• Push digital (e-sales, e-services) • Renew selling and ordering • Support end-to-end processes • Improve systems stability and (cyber) security
IT and systems
Transform
Slide 39
As from 2014, we ambition to keep workforce cost at least flat over the next 5 years, while pursuing additional cost savings building up to another €100m annually by 2018 (HR and non-HR opex).
Simplify to structurally reduce cost
• Products and services portfolio • Network • IT and platforms • E sales and services
Develop superior customer experience
• Product usage experience (TV Everywhere, FON, …) • Touchpoints experience (call centers, technicians, …) • End-to-end process (first time right) • 360°customer communication quality
• Address different segments with differentiated offers (Scarlet) • Push convergence via triple-play, quad-play and ICT services • Reinforce brand investment
• Simpler and leaner organization for faster decision • Reduction of resource costs leveraging pension wall • Right talent at right place • Real performance management
Build efficient organization
Improve brand differentiation
To support the transformation and commercial brand image, we foresee about € 20m
exceptional spending (mainly opex) in 2014.
Grow
Slide 40
We ambition to return to top line and EBITDA growth within 2 years
Leverage convergence
value
Capture new growth
potential
• Pursue data monetization • Leverage entertainment platform • Seize the opportunities of cloud and security • Be selective in development of new innovative services
• Deliver solution-centricity to unlock value in EBU • Exploit upselling potential to quad-play • Leverage seamless network integration and convergent applications
Regain market shares
• Exploit mobile leadership • Improved broadband experience • Roll-out fiber in greenfield and gradually in brownfield to offer the
ultimate broadband experience • Superior customer experience (web, shops of the future, …)
Network and Simplification Geert Standaert
EVP Service Delivery Engine & Wholesale
Ray Stewart
Slide 41
Network & simplification strategy Invest and transform to return to growth
Strategic focus is to invest in our Access Networks, in Simplicity and in better Customer Service
Invest in Mobile Transform to reduce cost
Maintain our mobile network leadership by using all our assets while coping in an
intelligent way with the strong mobile data growth
Push our legacy copper network to maximum
capabilities while gradually introducing FTTH in function of
copper network renewal
Accelerate simplification of networks to decrease
operational costs and employ new IT enablers to simplify products & processes for better customer service &
higher efficiency
Invest in Fixed
Slide 42
Belgacom is determined to maintain its mobile leadership through continued investment
Invest in Mobile Maintain mobile network leadership
Best mobile 3G network
• First to reach 50% outdoor population coverage and first to deploy 4G in Brussels (11/02) in line with adapted regulations
• Nationwide 4G coverage by EO 2014
• Significantly better 3G indoor coverage in comparison with competition
• Further improvement of 3G indoor coverage by addressing weak spots and coverage on railway lines
Best mobile 4G network
1 Result based on Q4 2013 national drive test conducted by independent agency CommSquare | 2 Number of Belgians reached with 4G coverage on 21/02/2014. With Mobistar 4G in test phase no data is available
1
Number of Belgians reached with 4G coverage 2
5,800,000
4,200,000
Proximus
BASE
Mobistar
92.9%
89.3%
89.0%
Belgacom
Mobistar
Base
3G indoor coverage 1
Slide 43
High business importance of large urban area of Brussels with nearly a quarter of all data traffic of Belgacom
driven by this area. Therefore, important to be a first mover in 4G seen high market potential
Invest in Mobile Zoom-in: importance of Brussels in Mobile business
Best mobile 3G network in the Brussels region
• 350.000 commuters working in the Brussels region every day next to 1.1 million inhabitants
• High quality mobile voice network in Brussels with 40% less interrupted voice calls vs competition
• High concentration of large enterprises and European & International institutions in capital of Europe
• Strongly positioned in Brussels with substantially better 3G indoor coverage vs competition
Best mobile Voice network in the Brussels region
1
Level of non-interrupted calls in Brussels region 1 3G indoor coverage in Brussels Region 1
97.5%
95.5%
95.8%
Proximus
Mobistar
Base
96.8%
93.3%
87.8%
Proximus
Mobistar
Base
1 Result based on Q4 2013 national drive test conducted by independent agency CommSquare measured throughout the 19 communes of the Brussels Capital Slide 44
Invest in Mobile Best mobile experience for our customers
Belgacom to bring the best mobile experience possible to its customers in a technology agnostic way through
implementation of 4G speed tiering and through introduction of seamless convergence of network connectivity
Speed tiering with 4G for everyone
• All customers with 4G capable devices will have access to 4G through 2 different experience levels
• TIER 1 customers to benefit from maximum 4G capabilities while TIER 2 customers enjoy a 4G experience capped at 20 Mbps
Seamless convergence of network connectivity
• With quickly emerging need for 4G, high focus required to
avoid over-investment in 3G capacity passed forecasted
inflection
• Through tiering, ~10% of 3G data traffic on 4G capable
devices can be already pushed to 4G in 2014
• Employ our fixed assets for better mobile experience with our nationwide network of 800.000 WiFi hotspots (EO JAN)
• Implement seamless handover of device-connectivity between fixed & mobile via intelligent steering and EAP-SIM technology
• Employ intelligent steering to assure highest data experience
on mobile devices by selecting best available network
• Clever off-load strategy through transparent handover of
device connectivity from WiFi to WiFi, WiFi to 3G/4G or
3G/4G to WiFi
1
2
1
1
2
Slide 45
Push our legacy copper network to maximum capabilities while gradually preparing for the introduction of
Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH) in Brownfield areas in function of copper network renewal
Invest in Fixed Dynamic investment track ahead of us
Speed evolution in Mbps 2014 to >2018
30 Mbps
Download speed
Dynamic Line Management on VDSL2
VDSL2
Vectoring on VDSL2 for customers < 400 m
Vectoring + Dynamic Line Management for Vectoring
FTTH in new zonings
FTTH in Brownfields areas
in function of copper network renewal
2
4
1
5
6
2
Vectoring on VDSL2 for customers < 700 m
Start Q1 2014
Start Q1 2015
Start Q2 2015
Start Q1 2014
3
up-to
50 Mbps
up-to
70 Mbps
up-to
1000 Mbps
up-to
100 Mbps
up-to
200 Mbps
Trial 2014
Done Q1 2013
Slide 46
Invest in Fixed Step Dynamic Line Management & Step Vectoring
After 2.5 years of intensive engineering efforts in close collaboration with Alcatel-Lucent the Vectoring technology has been proven to work on our network. Mass roll-out started at beginning of 2014
Fast track Dynamic Line Management (DLM)
DLM monitors stability of lines and dynamically applies maximum possible speed when a line is sufficiently stable
Vectoring working live on our network today
• To up-to-50 Mbps speeds – One third of our VDSL2 lines
already receives a 50 Mbps speed
• 30% higher average speed experience – Thanks to DLM, the
average speed experience increased with 30%
Vectoring technology cancels crosstalk in the copper cables resulting in a significant bit rate increase of copper lines
• Vectoring is working – Vectoring works on our network with
70 Mbps download speeds at videograde quality
• Roll-out started – Mass deployment started to activate
Vectoring for customers < 400m (60% of population)
2
1
2
1
2
START Q1 2014
DONE Q1 2013
1 2
Slide 47
Invest in Fixed Zoom-in: Vectoring working live in our network today
Belgacom is First in the World with nationwide activation of the Vectoring technology on an existing VDSL2 network for a significantly better broadband experience
Powerful vectoring technology
Through cancellation of crosstalk on a VDSL2 line, Vectoring proofs to enable remarkably higher speeds
Results from the technical field trials
In-depth technical field trials were conducted involving 1000+ customers with both moderate, high and excessive crosstalk
• Speed boost to 70 Mbps – 98% of Vectored lines < 400m in the
technical field trial synchronised to 70Mbps
• Videograde quality maintained – 98% of vectored lines adhere to
the required high-quality videograde criteria of IPTV
• No impact on installed-base – Performance of existing modem
installed base is fully maintained after Vectoring activation
1
2
3
Effect of enabling Vectoring on VDSL2 lines part of the Technical Field Trials (in Mbps)
FROM
TO
2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Attenuation
Atta
ina
ble
bitra
te in
Mb
ps0
Capping at 70 Mbps video-grade speed
Slide 48
To further increase bandwidth the Vectoring technology will be further optimized to support higher ranges while Dynamic Line Management (DLM) will be employed on top of Vectoring to reach up-to-100 Mbps speeds
Further optimization of Vectoring technology
Extend Vectoring capabilities beyond 400 meter through further optimization of the technology (between 400-700m)
Dynamic Line Management on top of Vectoring
• 80% of population – Through this evolution, 80% of
population will benefit from Vectoring speeds
Belgacom is the only operator with the in-house developed technology DLM that brings speed at maximum line capabilities
Towards 100 Mbps – DLM will be applied on top of our
Vectored lines to increase speeds to up-to-100Mbps in
videograde quality
Invest in Fixed Step Vectoring optimization & Step DLM on top
1 2
2
START Q1 2015
START Q2 2015
3 4
Slide 49
Invest in Fixed Step FTTH in new zonings & Step FTTH in Brownfields
Belgacom will deploy Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH) deployment in new residential zonings and will gradually and selectively introduce FTTH in function of the step-by-step renewal of our copper network
FTTH in new zonings
Fiber deployment costs are comparable to copper deployment for new residential zonings
FTTH in brownfields
• FTTH in Greenfields – FTTH Greenfield development and
pre-equipment of new residential zonings
Prepare for FTTH in Brownfield areas to allow gradual replacement of the legacy copper network over time
• FTTH in Brownfields – Small scale FTTH trial will be
prepared and started
1
2
2
START Q1 2014
TRIAL 2014
5 6
Slide 50
• 410.000 PSTN equivalent lines have
been migrated
• 2014: Migrate 640.000 PSTN
equivalent lines and 200 switches
(which is approximately 1 per
working day)
Fixed Voice consolidation
• 242.500 customer ATM lines have
been migrated
• Finalize 100% of migrations by 2015
• 19 buildings were notified to BIPT; 6
buildings sold in 2013 (31M€ cap
gain)
• Further building sales planned
• Expected capital gains in 2014 about
the same amount as 2013
Network Simplification aims at simplifying our network & decreasing operational costs and generates savings as of year one growing to 35M€ recurrent savings as from 2018
Fixed Data consolidation Technical Building outphasing
DO
NE
P
LA
N
Transform to reduce cost Network simplification on track with 650.000 lines migrated
3
3.700.000 PSTN equivalent lines to
migrate and 1000 switches to be
removed by 2018
250.000 customer lines to be migrated
by end of 2014 while securing
professional data revenues
Outphasing & selling of 30 technical and
office buildings (saving of 250.000 m²
technical floor space; 23% of total)
Slide 51
Full convergence of IT architecture with IT platforms to support a
horizontal product portfolio instead of vertically siloed products
Employ new IT enablers to simplify products & processes for better customer service & higher efficiency
Transform to reduce cost IT enablers for higher efficiency & simplicity
3
• Reduce order introduction time with 50%
• Increase automatic order handling with 25%
• Reduce repair field interventions with 15%
Drive higher efficiency & simplification through transformation in a
converged environment with lean operations
IT to enable a converged customer experience IT to enable higher efficiency & simplicity
• Reduce customer complaints with 25%
• Improve predictability of timely delivery of solutions with
50%
• New selling environment – New selling & ordering tools for
call centers & shops with product catalogue for simplified
portfolio
• More efficient field force – Solve issues more proactively
and remotely through complete view on devices in
customer home
• Higher customer touch point experience – Better e-servicing
experience, improved quotations, more customer friendly
billing lay-out, aligned pre-period billing for mobile & fixed,…
1
2
3
Evolution towards a Digital Belgacom through strong e-transformation to become a more accessible and open company for our customers in terms of finding, buying, servicing and billing
Slide 52
Conclusion Ray Stewart
CFO
Ray Stewart
Slide 53
2014 Outlook
Revenue:
• Core business (excl. BICS): 1% to 2% revenue decline, assuming continued stability in the Belgian Mobile market.
• BICS: 2014 revenue could be 10%
to 15% lower versus 2013, though should only have a minor impact on Belgacom Group EBITDA.
Group EBITDA:
• Decline by 3%-4%
Guidance includes: • Capital gains for about the same amount as in 2013 • About € 20m exceptional spending(mainly opex) on transformation &
commercial brand image; offset by an accounting alignment within the company for capitalisation of network installation activities for customer connections as from of 1 January 2014.
Guidance excludes: effects of potential disposal of Telindus France for which Belgacom is in exclusive dialogue with Vivendi.
Group Capex:
• About €900 m
Slide 54
On 27 February 2014, Belgacom’s Board of Directors approved: For the year 2013: To propose to the Annual Shareholder Meeting of 16 April 2014 to return to the shareholders a total dividend of EUR 2.18 gross per share, of which EUR 0.50 per share was paid in December 2013 and EUR 1.68 per share is payable in April 2014:
• Ex-coupon date: 22 April 2014 • Record date: 24 April 2014 • Payment date: 25 April 2014
Furthermore, Belgacom’s Board of Directors intends to continue to award Belgacom’s shareholders with an attractive and sustainable dividend. Therefore the Board of Directors intends to pay out a stable yearly dividend of EUR 1.50 per share (interim dividend of EUR 0.50 and ordinary dividend of EUR 1.00) for the next 3 years to come, provided Belgacom’s financial performance is in line with its expectations.
Shareholder return
Slide 55
Slide 56
Investor & analyst meeting Friday 28 February 2014
Q&A