k.fedra 2003 1 env-e-city wp 8, t8.3: business model (updates, june 2003) ddr. kurt fedra ess gmbh,...
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K.Fedra 20031
ENV-e-CITYENV-e-CITY
WP 8, T8.3: WP 8, T8.3: Business ModelBusiness Model
(updates, June 2003)(updates, June 2003)
ENV-e-CITYENV-e-CITY
WP 8, T8.3: WP 8, T8.3: Business ModelBusiness Model
(updates, June 2003)(updates, June 2003)
DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, [email protected] http://www.ess.co.at
Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen
DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, [email protected] http://www.ess.co.at
Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen
K.Fedra 20032
WP 8: Business modelsWP 8: Business modelsWP 8: Business modelsWP 8: Business modelsThe business model will be based upon a The business model will be based upon a
two-level architecture two-level architecture Basic servicesBasic services
1.1. non-profit operation (does not mean free of non-profit operation (does not mean free of charge - subscriptions ?)charge - subscriptions ?)
2.2. open interfaces to value-added service open interfaces to value-added service providers providers (within consortium ?)(within consortium ?)
– market-driven developmentmarket-driven development– usage feesusage fees , subscriptions ?
• open interface to additional basic services open interface to additional basic services linked from other organisationslinked from other organisations
The business model will be based upon a The business model will be based upon a two-level architecture two-level architecture
Basic servicesBasic services1.1. non-profit operation (does not mean free of non-profit operation (does not mean free of
charge - subscriptions ?)charge - subscriptions ?)2.2. open interfaces to value-added service open interfaces to value-added service
providers providers (within consortium ?)(within consortium ?)– market-driven developmentmarket-driven development– usage feesusage fees , subscriptions ?
• open interface to additional basic services open interface to additional basic services linked from other organisationslinked from other organisations
K.Fedra 20033
From the TA:From the TA:From the TA:From the TA:
Pricing module: for every information and service provided, there will be a pricing module plus an exploitation platform, provided as an infrastructure for major data owners outside the consortium that would like to have an electronic way of selling info – is this still true ?
DO WE HAVE ANY MAJOR DATA OWNERS OUTSIDE THE CONSOTRIUM BY NOW ?
Pricing module: for every information and service provided, there will be a pricing module plus an exploitation platform, provided as an infrastructure for major data owners outside the consortium that would like to have an electronic way of selling info – is this still true ?
DO WE HAVE ANY MAJOR DATA OWNERS OUTSIDE THE CONSOTRIUM BY NOW ?
K.Fedra 20034
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Objectives:• Break even (for a supporting
activity by an institution that has a related mandate)
• Make profit (through a commercial entity) – is there a commercial entity ?
Objectives:• Break even (for a supporting
activity by an institution that has a related mandate)
• Make profit (through a commercial entity) – is there a commercial entity ?
K.Fedra 20035
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Revenues:
1. Usage fees, subscriptions
2. Funding, sponsorships3. Indirect benefits (matches
with existing mandates, advertising)
Revenues:
1. Usage fees, subscriptions
2. Funding, sponsorships3. Indirect benefits (matches
with existing mandates, advertising)
K.Fedra 20036
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Costs (after the EU project):1. Development (European coverage)
2. Operation:1. Technical infrastructure
2. Maintenance
3. Content management
4. Administration
Costs (after the EU project):1. Development (European coverage)
2. Operation:1. Technical infrastructure
2. Maintenance
3. Content management
4. Administration
K.Fedra 20037
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1252. Extended EU coverage 1503. Operation:
1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 1203. Content management 2404. Administration 40
TOTAL ANNUAL COST 700K
Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1252. Extended EU coverage 1503. Operation:
1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 1203. Content management 2404. Administration 40
TOTAL ANNUAL COST 700K
K.Fedra 20038
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1002. Extended EU coverage 1003. Operation:
1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 503. Content management 504. Administration 25
TOTAL ANNUAL COST 350K
Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1002. Extended EU coverage 1003. Operation:
1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 503. Content management 504. Administration 25
TOTAL ANNUAL COST 350K
K.Fedra 20039
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Revenues: brokerage (selling third party information)
Value of information ?
1. Market prices (GIS, meteo data)
2. Opportunity costs
BUT: EeC does NOT OWN that data, only a small % fee seems possible
Revenues: brokerage (selling third party information)
Value of information ?
1. Market prices (GIS, meteo data)
2. Opportunity costs
BUT: EeC does NOT OWN that data, only a small % fee seems possible
K.Fedra 200310
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Revenues:Data/Services must be• Complete:
– High coverage and resolution– Up to date– Integrated ??
• High quality/reliability• UNIQUE ???to be of commercial value – NOT YET.
Revenues:Data/Services must be• Complete:
– High coverage and resolution– Up to date– Integrated ??
• High quality/reliability• UNIQUE ???to be of commercial value – NOT YET.
K.Fedra 200311
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
The raw material: DATASupplied by third parties:
– Access (timing, formats, on-line ?)– Cost– Reliability– Exclusivity
BUT WE ONLY OFFER META-DATA OR FREE SERVICES NOW ?
The raw material: DATASupplied by third parties:
– Access (timing, formats, on-line ?)– Cost– Reliability– Exclusivity
BUT WE ONLY OFFER META-DATA OR FREE SERVICES NOW ?
K.Fedra 200312
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Brokerage of third part content or services:
• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?
• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?
• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?
• WHAT % is realistic ??
Brokerage of third part content or services:
• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?
• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?
• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?
• WHAT % is realistic ??
K.Fedra 200313
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Revenues (technically):1. Micro-payments for individual
data sets of services2. Annual subscriptions for unlimited
access (different bundles)3. Annual subscriptions for tailored
services (ASP, subscription bundles for different users)
Revenues (technically):1. Micro-payments for individual
data sets of services2. Annual subscriptions for unlimited
access (different bundles)3. Annual subscriptions for tailored
services (ASP, subscription bundles for different users)
K.Fedra 200314
Micro-payments per item:Micro-payments per item:Micro-payments per item:Micro-payments per item:
Value of brokerage or re-selling is a small percentage of the basic value or turnover (a few %)
Expected total turnover ?Assuming the value of an average
transaction is X, we would need to have
700,000/X “sales” per year
Value of brokerage or re-selling is a small percentage of the basic value or turnover (a few %)
Expected total turnover ?Assuming the value of an average
transaction is X, we would need to have
700,000/X “sales” per year
K.Fedra 200315
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Unit cost: Transactions:
1 700,000
10 70,000
100 7,000
IS THIS PLAUSIBLE ??
Unit cost: Transactions:
1 700,000
10 70,000
100 7,000
IS THIS PLAUSIBLE ??
K.Fedra 200316
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
HOWEVER:
These revenues are GROSS;
What is the NET part that would belong to an EeC operator ? 10-50% ??
HOWEVER:
These revenues are GROSS;
What is the NET part that would belong to an EeC operator ? 10-50% ??
K.Fedra 200317
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Data requirements to estimate possible revenues:
1. Unit cost of service
2. Market size and share (expected number of sales)
3. Net portion (%) for EeC
Data requirements to estimate possible revenues:
1. Unit cost of service
2. Market size and share (expected number of sales)
3. Net portion (%) for EeC
K.Fedra 200318
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness modelService: Cost: Transactions: Revenue: Net revenue for EeC
LOH1 10 100 1,000 LOH2 20 10 200LOH3 60 50 3,000IER3 2.5 20 50IER4 2.0 30 50 2,625IER5 2.0 30 50IER6 50 10 500 IER7 40 5 200IER8 40 5 200ESS3 30,000 5 150,000 7,500GSUb 500 50 25,000 12,500
TOTAL ANNUAL NET INCOME 22,625
THIS AMOUNTS TO 7% OF OPTIMISTIC COSTS.
Service: Cost: Transactions: Revenue: Net revenue for EeC
LOH1 10 100 1,000 LOH2 20 10 200LOH3 60 50 3,000IER3 2.5 20 50IER4 2.0 30 50 2,625IER5 2.0 30 50IER6 50 10 500 IER7 40 5 200IER8 40 5 200ESS3 30,000 5 150,000 7,500GSUb 500 50 25,000 12,500
TOTAL ANNUAL NET INCOME 22,625
THIS AMOUNTS TO 7% OF OPTIMISTIC COSTS.
K.Fedra 200319
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
High-value ASP:
subscription for institutions, cities
Services would need to be customized to be valuable
Customization increases cost of development or support
BUT: COSTS ARE EXTERNAL WITH THE SERVICE PROVIDERS
High-value ASP:
subscription for institutions, cities
Services would need to be customized to be valuable
Customization increases cost of development or support
BUT: COSTS ARE EXTERNAL WITH THE SERVICE PROVIDERS
K.Fedra 200320
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Value added customised ASP and third party services:
• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?
• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?
• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?
• WHAT % is realistic ??
Value added customised ASP and third party services:
• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?
• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?
• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?
• WHAT % is realistic ??
K.Fedra 200321
Market size:Market size:Market size:Market size:
Cities > 100,000
Current EU: 264
New countries: 537
Europe, Russia 152
TOTAL: 953
Cities > 100,000
Current EU: 264
New countries: 537
Europe, Russia 152
TOTAL: 953
K.Fedra 200322
Market size:Market size:Market size:Market size:
Cities > 100,000
TOTAL: 953
5% (48) 15.0K
10% (95) 7.5K
720,000 == break even
BUT: do we offer something for cities ?
BUT: only a small % accrues to EeC
Cities > 100,000
TOTAL: 953
5% (48) 15.0K
10% (95) 7.5K
720,000 == break even
BUT: do we offer something for cities ?
BUT: only a small % accrues to EeC
K.Fedra 200323
Market size:Market size:Market size:Market size:
Cities > 100,000
TOTAL: 953
BUT this implies
• Support of MANY national languages and thus high development and support costs
Cities > 100,000
TOTAL: 953
BUT this implies
• Support of MANY national languages and thus high development and support costs
K.Fedra 200330
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Conclusion:We can NOT sell primary information (we
don’t own/generate any data of economic value!)
We can only sell • Information packaging and distribution
services – low revenues, uneconomic ?
• Added value through integration and complex analysis – WHICH SERVICES DO OFFER THAT ?
Conclusion:We can NOT sell primary information (we
don’t own/generate any data of economic value!)
We can only sell • Information packaging and distribution
services – low revenues, uneconomic ?
• Added value through integration and complex analysis – WHICH SERVICES DO OFFER THAT ?
K.Fedra 200331
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Conclusion:IN ANY CASE, It may be difficult to
generate sufficient revenues from the END USERS of environmental information – expectation: it’s free !
It may be more promising to generate revenues from the SUPPLIERS of environmental information who have a mandate and obligation to distribute.
BUT: domain structure does not support that e.g., for cities ?
Conclusion:IN ANY CASE, It may be difficult to
generate sufficient revenues from the END USERS of environmental information – expectation: it’s free !
It may be more promising to generate revenues from the SUPPLIERS of environmental information who have a mandate and obligation to distribute.
BUT: domain structure does not support that e.g., for cities ?
K.Fedra 200332
Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model
Conclusion:Best estimates:1. Capital requirement of 1.5 to 2.5 M over
the first four years2. Annual shortfall for continuing operation
after development for complete EU coverage) from
0.0 break even ! - -250,000 Return on investment: negative.
Conclusion:Best estimates:1. Capital requirement of 1.5 to 2.5 M over
the first four years2. Annual shortfall for continuing operation
after development for complete EU coverage) from
0.0 break even ! - -250,000 Return on investment: negative.
K.Fedra 200333
Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:
1. Continuation model – any ideas, commitments ?
2. WHO is ENV-e-CITY after December 31, 2003 ??
3. Contracts with suppliers (LOH, FMI)4. Objective for Deliverable:
break even ??
5. Check data on Services ?6. Individual exploitation issues ??
1. Continuation model – any ideas, commitments ?
2. WHO is ENV-e-CITY after December 31, 2003 ??
3. Contracts with suppliers (LOH, FMI)4. Objective for Deliverable:
break even ??
5. Check data on Services ?6. Individual exploitation issues ??
K.Fedra 200334
Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:
Commercial entity1. Cost of incorporation (10-50K)2. Capitalisation (1-2M – IPO ??)3. Distribution of shares4. Distribution of revenues
1. By shares ?2. By services used ?
5. Contractual arrangements – who pays ?
Commercial entity1. Cost of incorporation (10-50K)2. Capitalisation (1-2M – IPO ??)3. Distribution of shares4. Distribution of revenues
1. By shares ?2. By services used ?
5. Contractual arrangements – who pays ?