k.fedra 2003 1 env-e-city wp 8, t8.3: business model (updates, june 2003) ddr. kurt fedra ess gmbh,...

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K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: WP 8, T8.3: Business Model Business Model (updates, June 2003) (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria [email protected] http://www.ess.co.at Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen

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Page 1: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20031

ENV-e-CITYENV-e-CITY

WP 8, T8.3: WP 8, T8.3: Business ModelBusiness Model

(updates, June 2003)(updates, June 2003)

ENV-e-CITYENV-e-CITY

WP 8, T8.3: WP 8, T8.3: Business ModelBusiness Model

(updates, June 2003)(updates, June 2003)

DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, [email protected] http://www.ess.co.at

Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen

DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, [email protected] http://www.ess.co.at

Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen

Page 2: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20032

WP 8: Business modelsWP 8: Business modelsWP 8: Business modelsWP 8: Business modelsThe business model will be based upon a The business model will be based upon a

two-level architecture two-level architecture Basic servicesBasic services

1.1. non-profit operation (does not mean free of non-profit operation (does not mean free of charge - subscriptions ?)charge - subscriptions ?)

2.2. open interfaces to value-added service open interfaces to value-added service providers providers (within consortium ?)(within consortium ?)

– market-driven developmentmarket-driven development– usage feesusage fees , subscriptions ?

• open interface to additional basic services open interface to additional basic services linked from other organisationslinked from other organisations

The business model will be based upon a The business model will be based upon a two-level architecture two-level architecture

Basic servicesBasic services1.1. non-profit operation (does not mean free of non-profit operation (does not mean free of

charge - subscriptions ?)charge - subscriptions ?)2.2. open interfaces to value-added service open interfaces to value-added service

providers providers (within consortium ?)(within consortium ?)– market-driven developmentmarket-driven development– usage feesusage fees , subscriptions ?

• open interface to additional basic services open interface to additional basic services linked from other organisationslinked from other organisations

Page 3: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20033

From the TA:From the TA:From the TA:From the TA:

Pricing module: for every information and service provided, there will be a pricing module plus an exploitation platform, provided as an infrastructure for major data owners outside the consortium that would like to have an electronic way of selling info – is this still true ?

DO WE HAVE ANY MAJOR DATA OWNERS OUTSIDE THE CONSOTRIUM BY NOW ?

Pricing module: for every information and service provided, there will be a pricing module plus an exploitation platform, provided as an infrastructure for major data owners outside the consortium that would like to have an electronic way of selling info – is this still true ?

DO WE HAVE ANY MAJOR DATA OWNERS OUTSIDE THE CONSOTRIUM BY NOW ?

Page 4: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20034

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Objectives:• Break even (for a supporting

activity by an institution that has a related mandate)

• Make profit (through a commercial entity) – is there a commercial entity ?

Objectives:• Break even (for a supporting

activity by an institution that has a related mandate)

• Make profit (through a commercial entity) – is there a commercial entity ?

Page 5: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20035

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Revenues:

1. Usage fees, subscriptions

2. Funding, sponsorships3. Indirect benefits (matches

with existing mandates, advertising)

Revenues:

1. Usage fees, subscriptions

2. Funding, sponsorships3. Indirect benefits (matches

with existing mandates, advertising)

Page 6: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20036

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Costs (after the EU project):1. Development (European coverage)

2. Operation:1. Technical infrastructure

2. Maintenance

3. Content management

4. Administration

Costs (after the EU project):1. Development (European coverage)

2. Operation:1. Technical infrastructure

2. Maintenance

3. Content management

4. Administration

Page 7: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20037

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1252. Extended EU coverage 1503. Operation:

1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 1203. Content management 2404. Administration 40

TOTAL ANNUAL COST 700K

Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1252. Extended EU coverage 1503. Operation:

1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 1203. Content management 2404. Administration 40

TOTAL ANNUAL COST 700K

Page 8: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20038

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1002. Extended EU coverage 1003. Operation:

1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 503. Content management 504. Administration 25

TOTAL ANNUAL COST 350K

Costs (annual, 4 year write-off)1. Development 1002. Extended EU coverage 1003. Operation:

1. Technical infrastructure 252. Maintenance 503. Content management 504. Administration 25

TOTAL ANNUAL COST 350K

Page 9: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 20039

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Revenues: brokerage (selling third party information)

Value of information ?

1. Market prices (GIS, meteo data)

2. Opportunity costs

BUT: EeC does NOT OWN that data, only a small % fee seems possible

Revenues: brokerage (selling third party information)

Value of information ?

1. Market prices (GIS, meteo data)

2. Opportunity costs

BUT: EeC does NOT OWN that data, only a small % fee seems possible

Page 10: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200310

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Revenues:Data/Services must be• Complete:

– High coverage and resolution– Up to date– Integrated ??

• High quality/reliability• UNIQUE ???to be of commercial value – NOT YET.

Revenues:Data/Services must be• Complete:

– High coverage and resolution– Up to date– Integrated ??

• High quality/reliability• UNIQUE ???to be of commercial value – NOT YET.

Page 11: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200311

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

The raw material: DATASupplied by third parties:

– Access (timing, formats, on-line ?)– Cost– Reliability– Exclusivity

BUT WE ONLY OFFER META-DATA OR FREE SERVICES NOW ?

The raw material: DATASupplied by third parties:

– Access (timing, formats, on-line ?)– Cost– Reliability– Exclusivity

BUT WE ONLY OFFER META-DATA OR FREE SERVICES NOW ?

Page 12: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200312

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Brokerage of third part content or services:

• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?

• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?

• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?

• WHAT % is realistic ??

Brokerage of third part content or services:

• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?

• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?

• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?

• WHAT % is realistic ??

Page 13: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200313

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Revenues (technically):1. Micro-payments for individual

data sets of services2. Annual subscriptions for unlimited

access (different bundles)3. Annual subscriptions for tailored

services (ASP, subscription bundles for different users)

Revenues (technically):1. Micro-payments for individual

data sets of services2. Annual subscriptions for unlimited

access (different bundles)3. Annual subscriptions for tailored

services (ASP, subscription bundles for different users)

Page 14: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200314

Micro-payments per item:Micro-payments per item:Micro-payments per item:Micro-payments per item:

Value of brokerage or re-selling is a small percentage of the basic value or turnover (a few %)

Expected total turnover ?Assuming the value of an average

transaction is X, we would need to have

700,000/X “sales” per year

Value of brokerage or re-selling is a small percentage of the basic value or turnover (a few %)

Expected total turnover ?Assuming the value of an average

transaction is X, we would need to have

700,000/X “sales” per year

Page 15: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200315

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Unit cost: Transactions:

1 700,000

10 70,000

100 7,000

IS THIS PLAUSIBLE ??

Unit cost: Transactions:

1 700,000

10 70,000

100 7,000

IS THIS PLAUSIBLE ??

Page 16: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200316

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

HOWEVER:

These revenues are GROSS;

What is the NET part that would belong to an EeC operator ? 10-50% ??

HOWEVER:

These revenues are GROSS;

What is the NET part that would belong to an EeC operator ? 10-50% ??

Page 17: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200317

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Data requirements to estimate possible revenues:

1. Unit cost of service

2. Market size and share (expected number of sales)

3. Net portion (%) for EeC

Data requirements to estimate possible revenues:

1. Unit cost of service

2. Market size and share (expected number of sales)

3. Net portion (%) for EeC

Page 18: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200318

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness modelService: Cost: Transactions: Revenue: Net revenue for EeC

LOH1 10 100 1,000 LOH2 20 10 200LOH3 60 50 3,000IER3 2.5 20 50IER4 2.0 30 50 2,625IER5 2.0 30 50IER6 50 10 500 IER7 40 5 200IER8 40 5 200ESS3 30,000 5 150,000 7,500GSUb 500 50 25,000 12,500

TOTAL ANNUAL NET INCOME 22,625

THIS AMOUNTS TO 7% OF OPTIMISTIC COSTS.

Service: Cost: Transactions: Revenue: Net revenue for EeC

LOH1 10 100 1,000 LOH2 20 10 200LOH3 60 50 3,000IER3 2.5 20 50IER4 2.0 30 50 2,625IER5 2.0 30 50IER6 50 10 500 IER7 40 5 200IER8 40 5 200ESS3 30,000 5 150,000 7,500GSUb 500 50 25,000 12,500

TOTAL ANNUAL NET INCOME 22,625

THIS AMOUNTS TO 7% OF OPTIMISTIC COSTS.

Page 19: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200319

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

High-value ASP:

subscription for institutions, cities

Services would need to be customized to be valuable

Customization increases cost of development or support

BUT: COSTS ARE EXTERNAL WITH THE SERVICE PROVIDERS

High-value ASP:

subscription for institutions, cities

Services would need to be customized to be valuable

Customization increases cost of development or support

BUT: COSTS ARE EXTERNAL WITH THE SERVICE PROVIDERS

Page 20: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200320

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Value added customised ASP and third party services:

• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?

• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?

• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?

• WHAT % is realistic ??

Value added customised ASP and third party services:

• WHAT DOES ENV-e-CITY OFFER ?

• WHY SELL THROUGH EeC ?

• ADDED VALUE GENERATED ?

• WHAT % is realistic ??

Page 21: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200321

Market size:Market size:Market size:Market size:

Cities > 100,000

Current EU: 264

New countries: 537

Europe, Russia 152

TOTAL: 953

Cities > 100,000

Current EU: 264

New countries: 537

Europe, Russia 152

TOTAL: 953

Page 22: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200322

Market size:Market size:Market size:Market size:

Cities > 100,000

TOTAL: 953

5% (48) 15.0K

10% (95) 7.5K

720,000 == break even

BUT: do we offer something for cities ?

BUT: only a small % accrues to EeC

Cities > 100,000

TOTAL: 953

5% (48) 15.0K

10% (95) 7.5K

720,000 == break even

BUT: do we offer something for cities ?

BUT: only a small % accrues to EeC

Page 23: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200323

Market size:Market size:Market size:Market size:

Cities > 100,000

TOTAL: 953

BUT this implies

• Support of MANY national languages and thus high development and support costs

Cities > 100,000

TOTAL: 953

BUT this implies

• Support of MANY national languages and thus high development and support costs

Page 24: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200330

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Conclusion:We can NOT sell primary information (we

don’t own/generate any data of economic value!)

We can only sell • Information packaging and distribution

services – low revenues, uneconomic ?

• Added value through integration and complex analysis – WHICH SERVICES DO OFFER THAT ?

Conclusion:We can NOT sell primary information (we

don’t own/generate any data of economic value!)

We can only sell • Information packaging and distribution

services – low revenues, uneconomic ?

• Added value through integration and complex analysis – WHICH SERVICES DO OFFER THAT ?

Page 25: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200331

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Conclusion:IN ANY CASE, It may be difficult to

generate sufficient revenues from the END USERS of environmental information – expectation: it’s free !

It may be more promising to generate revenues from the SUPPLIERS of environmental information who have a mandate and obligation to distribute.

BUT: domain structure does not support that e.g., for cities ?

Conclusion:IN ANY CASE, It may be difficult to

generate sufficient revenues from the END USERS of environmental information – expectation: it’s free !

It may be more promising to generate revenues from the SUPPLIERS of environmental information who have a mandate and obligation to distribute.

BUT: domain structure does not support that e.g., for cities ?

Page 26: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200332

Business modelBusiness modelBusiness modelBusiness model

Conclusion:Best estimates:1. Capital requirement of 1.5 to 2.5 M over

the first four years2. Annual shortfall for continuing operation

after development for complete EU coverage) from

0.0 break even ! - -250,000 Return on investment: negative.

Conclusion:Best estimates:1. Capital requirement of 1.5 to 2.5 M over

the first four years2. Annual shortfall for continuing operation

after development for complete EU coverage) from

0.0 break even ! - -250,000 Return on investment: negative.

Page 27: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200333

Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:

1. Continuation model – any ideas, commitments ?

2. WHO is ENV-e-CITY after December 31, 2003 ??

3. Contracts with suppliers (LOH, FMI)4. Objective for Deliverable:

break even ??

5. Check data on Services ?6. Individual exploitation issues ??

1. Continuation model – any ideas, commitments ?

2. WHO is ENV-e-CITY after December 31, 2003 ??

3. Contracts with suppliers (LOH, FMI)4. Objective for Deliverable:

break even ??

5. Check data on Services ?6. Individual exploitation issues ??

Page 28: K.Fedra 2003 1 ENV-e-CITY WP 8, T8.3: Business Model (updates, June 2003) DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at  Environmental

K.Fedra 200334

Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:Open questions:

Commercial entity1. Cost of incorporation (10-50K)2. Capitalisation (1-2M – IPO ??)3. Distribution of shares4. Distribution of revenues

1. By shares ?2. By services used ?

5. Contractual arrangements – who pays ?

Commercial entity1. Cost of incorporation (10-50K)2. Capitalisation (1-2M – IPO ??)3. Distribution of shares4. Distribution of revenues

1. By shares ?2. By services used ?

5. Contractual arrangements – who pays ?