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Page 1: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Archive – Market Session

March 5 - 8, 2017

Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel

Mesa, Arizona

© 2017 BiTS Workshop – Image: tonda / iStock

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BiTS 2017

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Copyright Notice

The presentation(s)/poster(s) in this publication comprise the Proceedings of the 2017 BiTS Workshop. The content reflects the opinion of the authors and their respective companies. They are reproduced here as they were presented at the 2017 BiTS Workshop. This version of the presentation or poster may differ from the version that was distributed in hardcopy & softcopy form at the 2017 BiTS Workshop. The inclusion of the presentations/posters in this publication does not constitute an endorsement by BiTS Workshop or the workshop’s sponsors. There is NO copyright protection claimed on the presentation/poster content by BiTS Workshop. However, each presentation/poster is the work of the authors and their respective companies: as such, it is strongly encouraged that any use reflect proper acknowledgement to the appropriate source. Any questions regarding the use of any materials presented should be directed to the author(s) or their companies. The BiTS logo and ‘Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop’ are trademarks of BiTS Workshop. All rights reserved.

Page 3: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

BiTS Workshop 2017 Schedule

Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm

Marketplace Report

Ira Feldman

Feldman Engineering Corp.

Market

Session

Market Connections – Semiconductors to Sockets

John West

Managing Director

VLSI Research Europe

Page 4: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Marketplace Report

Ira Feldman

Feldman Engineering Corp.

BiTS Workshop

March 5 - 8, 2017

Conference Ready

mm/dd/2014

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Outline

• Fundamentals

– How did we get here?

• Test Today

• Integrated “Ecosystems”

• Socket Market Data

Marketplace Report 5

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

6

… the number of

transistors on a

chip will double

approximately

every year two

years …

Gord

on M

oore

1962

cre

dit:

Fairchild

Cam

era

& I

nstr

um

ent

Corp

ora

tion.

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

7

Minimum cost

per transistor is

achieved by

doubling the

number of

transistors every

two years.

Gordon Moore

1965*

Gord

on M

oore

1962

cre

dit:

Fairchild

Cam

era

& I

nstr

um

ent

Corp

ora

tion.

* Revised in 1972 from

every 12 to 24 months.

Page 8: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

8

Cramming more components

onto integrated circuits

Electronics, Volume 38, Number 8, April 19, 1965

The experts look ahead

With unit cost falling as the number of components per

circuit rises, by 1975 economics may dictate squeezing as

many as 65,000 components on a single silicon chip

By Gordon E. Moore Director, Research and Development Laboratories, Fairchild Semiconductor division of

Fairchild Camera and Instrument Corp.

The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two

per year (see graph on next page). Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to

continue, if not to increase. Over the longer term, the rate of increase is a bit more uncertain,

although there is no reason to believe it will not remain nearly constant for at least 10 years.

That means by 1975, the number of components per integrated circuit for minimum cost will be

65,000.

Marketplace Report

Page 9: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Moore’s Law is “Dead”

Marketplace Report 9

Handel Jones, 2012

http://www.eetimes.com/author.asp?section_id=36&doc_id=1287737

90 65 40 28 20 14 10 7 5 nm

?

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Marketplace Report 10

“Populist view: Any parameter related to

semiconductors must form a straight line when

plotted on exponential graph paper.”

– Prof. Subramanian Iyer (UCLA, former IBM Fellow)

Khoso & Khan – Northeastern University 4/2016

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

11

“Knobs” to reduce

product cost

Transistor Scaling

Materials

Device Structure

Substrate Size

cost / area

More than Moore

Architecture

Packaging

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

More than Moore (MtM)

Marketplace Report 12

ITRS “More than Moore” Whitepaper

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

MtM System in Package (SiP)

Marketplace Report 13

Xilinx Virtex-7 FPGA (Oct ’11)

2.5D/3D/5.5D Packaging – First to Market

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

High Performance SiP

Marketplace Report 14

Kitada, et. al / Fujitsu – February 2017

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Silicon Photonics

Marketplace Report 15

ST 100G PSM4 QSFP 28 (STsP10028) October 2016

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Microfluidics

Marketplace Report 16

SEMI European 3D Summit – January 2017

Frechette - Universite de Sherbrooke Zapater - Ecole Polytechnique Federale

de Lausanne (EPFL)

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

MtM System in Package (SiP)

Marketplace Report 17

ASE / IFTLE 295 - Phil Garrou – July 2016

Fan Out Wafer Level Packaging

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Transition to FO-PLP

Marketplace Report 18

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Historical Test Approach

Marketplace Report 19

Wafer Sort Final Test

Is it good enough to

package?

Does it meet

specification?

Can I sell it for more?

Higher performance bin

Wik

ipe

dia

Wik

ipe

dia

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Paradigm Shift – Value Creation

• Yield Management

– Process Improvement Feedback

– Die “matching”

• Repair

– Switch off defective “cores”

– Swapping in spares (memory, etc.)

• Performance Tuning

– Calibration

• Personalization

– Serialization

– Security & Keys

Marketplace Report 20

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Test Today

Marketplace Report 21

Typical 2.5/3D Heterogeneous Integration Flow

Sh

ip to

Cu

sto

me

r /

Inte

gra

tors

/ O

DM

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Test Today

Marketplace Report 22

Wafer Package /

Substrate

Ship

to C

usto

mer

/ In

tegra

tors

/ O

DM

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Wafer Package/

Substrate

Test “Convergence”

Marketplace Report 23

Test Strategy + Hardware + Software

Integrated Data Flow

Ship

to C

usto

mer

/ In

tegra

tors

/ O

DM

Device Under Test Interface Hardware

Page 24: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Wafer Level Chip Scale

Packaging (WLCSP)

Simplest Example

Marketplace Report 24

Test Strategy + Hardware + Software

Integrated Data Flow

Ship

to C

usto

mer

/ In

tegra

tors

/ O

DM

Device Under Test Interface Hardware

Page 25: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Die / Package Activities

Marketplace Report 25

Characterization

Validation

Reliability

Failure Analysis

Ramp

Wafer Package /

Substrate

Page 26: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Future Environment

Marketplace Report 26

Characterization

Validation

Reliability

Failure Analysis

Ramp

Wafer

Package

/

Substrate

Device Under Test Interface Hardware

Test Strategy + Hardware + Software

Integrated Data Flow

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Adjacent “Test Markets”

Marketplace Report 27

Characterization

Validation

Reliability

Failure Analysis

Ramp

W P/S

Module Level Test

Product Level Test Package Test

(bare/elements)

Printed Circuit Board Test

System Level Test

Page 28: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Integrated Ecosystem?

Marketplace Report 28

Characteriz

ation Validation

Reliability

Failure Analysis

Ramp

W P/

S

Module Level Test

Product Level Test Package Test

(bare/elements)

Printed Circuit Board Test

System Level Test

Device Under Test Interface Hardware

Test Strategy + Hardware + Software

Integrated Data Flow

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Rev

enu

e, M

$

Test Sockets Burn-in Sockets

Test and Burn-In Socket Market

Marketplace Report

VLSI Research

2016 Preliminary

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Socket Supplier Revenue by

Headquarter Region

Marketplace Report

VLSI Research

2016 Preliminary

2015 - $1,013M 2016 - $1,043M

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Top 5 Market Share

Marketplace Report

VLSI Research

2016 Preliminary

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

2013 2014 2015 2016

Mark

et S

hare

Test Sockets Burn-in Sockets

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BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Top Test & Burn-in Socket Vendors

Rank 2014 2015 2016

Preliminary

1 Yamaichi

Electronics

Yamaichi

Electronics

Yamaichi

Electronics

2 Enplas Enplas Enplas

3 Sensata

Technologies

Smiths

Connectors

Smiths

Connectors

4 Smiths

Connectors

ISC ISC

5 LEENO

Industrial

Sensata

Technologies

LEENO

Industrial

Marketplace Report

VLSI Research

2016 Preliminary

Page 33: March 5 - 8, 2017 Hilton Phoenix / Mesa Hotel Mesa ...€¦ · acknowledgement to the appropriate source. ... Tutorial Day Sunday March 5 - 8:30 pm Marketplace Report Ira Feldman

BiTS 2017 Market Session

March 5-8, 2017 Burn-in & Test Strategies Workshop www.bitsworkshop.org

Acknowledgements

• Test Socket & Burn-in Socket data

courtesy of John West at VLSI Research

Marketplace Report