minnesotans for the american community survey (macs)...fairmont brainerd big lake zimmerman st....

1
WHY THESE NEXT FEW YEARS ARE CRITICAL The 2020 Census will be unlike any other in our nation’s history. We must test every aspect of this complicated program. Simple on its face, the census requires years of careful planning. By 2018 we must complete all tests and “lock in” our plans. 2020 Census Why Invest Now? Potential Cost Comparisons for the 2020 Census by Fiscal Year Potenal Costs (Millions) $1,820 $3,710 $8,850 $67 $94 $233 $345 $663 $910 $2,270 $5,810 $650 $210 $150 FY2012 (enacted) FY2013 (enacted) FY2014 (enacted) FY2015 (enacted) FY2016 (request) FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 Includes the highest-spend years of the Census cycle Repeat 2010 design in 2020 New design for 2020 $1,190 Fewer Staff Fewer Offices Less Burden + Up to $5 Billion in Savin s g Minnesotans for the American Community Survey (MACS) What can I do about it? Join MACS to support full federal funding for the ACS and 2020 Census. There is no cost to join; simply add your name in support of essential data. MACS is a coalition of Minnesota leaders, policy and decision makers, business and development planners, forecasters, housing and social service providers, educators, and engaged citizens. MACS Mission is to educate Minnesota’s members of Congress and the public about the critical importance of census data to drive a strong economy and improve the well- being of all Minnesotans. www.MinnesotansForACS.org Facebook: MinnesotansForTheAmericanCommunitySurvey Local Projects Utilize ACS Data The Census Bureau is at a Crossroads It must obtain sufficient funding now, or lose resources to test and implement new innovations that could save the Census Bureau $5 billion on the 2020 Census. Organizations all over the state and the country stand to lose valuable data if the US Census is not properly funded for 2020. Why is the ACS important? ACS Census data is often the foundation for sound policy, planning, wise investments, resource allocation, & much more. Public, private, and non-profit sectors alike rely upon for data-driven decision making. ACS data help tell Minnesotans’ stories, and then shape the policies that impact them. Quality ACS data is vital to Minnesota’s future “Minnesota’s leaders…value good data and they use the American Community Survey daily to help make smart decisions.-MN State Demographer Susan Brower “Without ACS information, frankly we’re planning blind, and we’re spending billions of dollars. We want to spend it wisely, and I think you want us to spend it wisely as well.” -Mpls Regional Chamber of Commerce President Todd Klingel “I’ve found that while many agencies are using ACS data…people don’t always know that they’re using data that comes specifically out of the American CommunitySurvey.” -MN State Demographer Susan Brower Minnesota and the ACS Minnesota has among the highest ACS self-response rates in the entire nation! MN: 72.245% US: 59.76% (ACS preliminary self response rates, 2012) MN risks losing Congressional seat after 2020 Census. Innovative and accurate improvements to the 2020 Census are necessary for an accurate population count in order to retain our current seats in Congress. Nearly half of MN cities are at risk for losing ACS data Many of the state’s cities are small enough that any significant decline in the ACS response rate would cause their data to be unavailable due to sample size. The ACS Faces Threats Elimination of 3-year Estimates Due to budget cuts, the Census Bureau has already eliminated all future 3 year estimates. Voluntary Survey = Loss of Data The U.S. Congress has recently attempted to make the ACS voluntary. A voluntary ACS would diminish the quality & availability of small-area data which guide daily decisions across the state. Neighborhoods, rural areas, & small populations would suffer the most. The Need for Funding is Immediate The Census Bureau is in the “ramp up” period of testing and designing an efficient and effective system for the 2020 Census. Investing in this process now leads to +$5 billion in unnecessary costs later. Shingle Creek Lind-Bohanon Humbolt Victory Camden Indst Webber-Camden Cleveland Folwell McKinley North River Indst Willard-Hay Jordan Hawthorne Near North Sumner-Glenwood Harrison Share of Households who are Burdend by Housing Costs* by Census Block Group North Minneapolis 2009-2013 Map by CURA Staff Aug 2015 Source: 2009-2013 American Community Survey downloaded from datafinder.org *A household is considered cost burdened if it pays more than 30% of its income on housing related costs including rent, utilities and insurance. % of Renters that are Cost Burdened 0% - 15% 15.1% - 30% 30.1% - 50% 50.1% - 75% 75.1% - 100% Total N N % Renters 9,101 6,189 68% Owners 11,076 4,334 39% All HH 20,177 10,523 52% Cost Burdened North Minneapolis Totals Service Layer Credits: Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, TomTom, Intermap, increment P Corp., GEBCO, USGS, FAO, NPS, NRCAN, GeoBase, IGN, Kadaster NL, Ordnance Survey, Esri Japan, Copyright: ©2013 Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ Changes in selected demographics and home values No increases beyond regional averages (214) Increase in college degrees and/or med. income without home value increase (195) Increase in home values without other changes (85) Increase in home values accompanied by increases in either or both demographic variables (210) Bottineau Line ! ! Bottineau Stops Half-Mile Station Buffer 97th Avenue 93rd Avenue 85th Avenue 63rd Avenue Robbinsdale Penn Avenue Bass Lake Road Brooklyn Boulevard Golden Valley Road Van White Boulevard Copyright: ©2013 Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ Sources: -2000 US Census (Normalized to 2010 Census Tract Boundaries) by Geolytics -2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-year estimates 0 1.5 3 4.5 6 0.75 Miles 0 10 20 30 40 5 Miles Map by: Bottineau Lgiht Rail Corridor Affdordable Housing Opportunities Analysis Capstone - Humphrey School of Public Affairs with support from CURA March 2014 Indicators of Neighborhood Change MSP 2000-2012 - Changes in Selected Demographics and Home Values # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y Hugo Orono Mound Edina Eagan Anoka Winona Savage Rogers Otsego Morris Waseca Duluth Delano Chaska Blaine Baxter Austin Kasson Jordan Willmar Wyoming Sartell Oakdale Mankato New Ulm Waconia Hibbing Glencoe Fridley Crystal Cloquet Buffalo Bemidji Woodbury Shakopee Owatonna Red Wing Moorhead Marshall Virginia Hastings Fairmont Brainerd Big Lake Zimmerman St. Peter St. Cloud Rosemount Oak Grove Faribault Cambridge Crookston Lakeville Lake City Rochester St. Joseph Northfield Monticello Montevideo New Prague Hermantown Alexandria Albert Lea Hutchinson Litchfield Worthington Forest Lake North Branch Little Falls Grand Rapids Stewartville Fergus Falls Belle Plaine North Mankato Redwood Falls Detroit Lakes Cottage Grove East Grand Forks Thief River Falls International Falls Goodwill - Easter Seals Social Services Need Index X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X Y # # # # # # # # # # Hugo Orono Mound Edina Eagan Anoka Savage Rogers Otsego Delano Chaska Blaine Jordan Wyoming Oakdale Waconia Glencoe Fridley Crystal Buffalo Woodbury Shakopee St. Paul Hastings Ham Lake Champlin Big Lake Zimmerman Roseville Rosemount Oak Grove Mahtomedi Lakeville Prior Lake Northfield Monticello New Prague St. Michael Belle Plaine Social Service Need Index Below Average Need Average Need Above Average Need X Y Community Health Centers # Community and Technical Colleges City Population 10,000 50,000 100,000 Indian Lands 0 50 100 150 200 25 Miles [ Map by CURA Staff - Spring 2014 Notes: Index based on US Census and HUD variables identified by Goodwill-Easter Seals as correlating with a high need for social services.Please see technical documentiation for more information. Sources: -All index variables (except subsidized housing) - ACS 2008-2012 Estimates -Subsidized housing figures - HUD Picture of Subsidized Housing 2012 -City population - 2010 Census -Community Health Centers - Minnesota Department of Health -Community and Technical Colleges - MNGeo FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, STATES, AND LOCAL COMMUNITIES $400 BILLION PER YEAR and SCHOOLS HOSPITALS ROADS Government agencies use these statistics to help with decision-making and to allocate over $400 billion each year back to your community. Civic & academic institutions, and businesses use the ACS for a variety of purposes. H Jobs

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Page 1: Minnesotans for the American Community Survey (MACS)...Fairmont Brainerd Big Lake Zimmerman St. Peter St. Cloud Rosemount Oak Grove Faribault Cambridge Crookston Lakeville Lake City

WHY THESE NEXT FEW YEARS ARE CRITICAL

Continued investment in real-world testing of our innovations is needed now to save $5 billion while maintaining quality.

The 2020 Census will be unlike any other in our nation’s history.

We must test every aspect of this complicated program.

Simple on its face, the census requires years of careful planning.

By 2018 we must complete all tests and “lock in” our plans.

No Time to Lose

2020 Census

Re-engineering the Census: Prototype, Test, Build, Integrate

Interactive Testing of All Components Needed to Conduct the Census

Cost Saving Innovations We're Developing

202020192018201720162015

2012 to 2014 Identify major cost drivers of the 2010 Census,and develop new, innovative methodologies to reengineer the operations.

April 1Census Day

= Legally mandated deadline

April 1Deliver questionwording to Congress

April 1Deliver 2020 Census Topics to Congress

December 31 Deliver Apportionment Counts to President

Small-Scale Individual Tests

Prototype IT Systems& Procedures

Why Invest Now?Potential Cost Comparisons for the 2020 Census byFiscal YearPotential Costs (Millions)

Refined Individual Tests

Build IT Systems &Procedures

Integrated Tests

Field Test Refined IT Systems & Procedures

Large-Scale End-to-End Test of Census Operations

and Systems

Census Begins:Early Operations

Census:Count the People

Tabulate Results

$1,820

$3,710

$8,850

$67 $94 $233 $345 $663 $910

$2,270

$5,810

$650 $210 $150

FY2012(enacted)

FY2013(enacted)

FY2014(enacted)

FY2015(enacted)

FY2016(request)

FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023

Includes the highest-spend years

of the Census cycle

Repeat 2010 design in 2020

New design for 2020

$1,190

Better Use of Existing InformationUse Existing Government and Commercial Records to reduce respondent burden.

Better Address Validation Validate the Address List using the U.S. Postal Service, aerial imagery and other sources, rather than walking every street in the nation.

Better Field Operations Use Technology to better manage and track field cases.Use GPS-Enabled Technology to efficiently route and manage field staff.Use Smart Phones and Tablets for follow-up rather than pen and paper.

Better Response Options Make Responding to the Census More Convenient by offering secure online, phone and mail options.

Fewer StaffFewer OfficesLess Burden+

Up to $5 Billionin Savin sg

Minnesotans for the American Community Survey (MACS)

What can I do about it?Join MACS to support full federal funding for the ACS and 2020 Census. There is no cost to join; simply add your name in support of essential data.

MACS is a coalition of Minnesota leaders, policy and decision makers, business and development planners, forecasters, housing and social service providers, educators, and engaged citizens. MACS Mission is to educate Minnesota’s members of Congress and the public about the critical importance of census data to drive a strong economy and improve the well-being of all Minnesotans.

www.MinnesotansForACS.orgFacebook: MinnesotansForTheAmericanCommunitySurvey

Local Projects Utilize ACS Data

The Census Bureau is at a CrossroadsIt must obtain sufficient funding now, or lose resources to test and implement new innovations that could save the Census Bureau $5 billion on the 2020 Census. Organizations all over

the state and the country stand to lose valuable data if the US Census is not properly funded for 2020.

Why is the ACS important?ACS Census data is often the foundation for sound policy, planning, wise investments, resource allocation, & much more.

Public, private, and non-profit sectors alike rely upon for data-driven decision making. ACS data help tell Minnesotans’ stories, and then shape the policies that impact them.

Quality ACS data is vital to Minnesota’s future

“Minnesota’s leaders…value good data and they use the American Community Survey daily to help make smart decisions.”

-MN State Demographer Susan Brower

“Without ACS information, frankly we’re planning blind, and we’re spending billions of dollars. We want to spend it wisely, and I think you want us to spend it wisely as well.”

-Mpls Regional Chamber of Commerce President Todd Klingel

“I’ve found that while many agencies are using ACS data…people don’t always know that they’re using data that comes specifically out of the American CommunitySurvey.”

-MN State Demographer Susan Brower

Minnesota and the ACSMinnesota has among the highest ACS self-response rates in the entire nation!

MN: 72.245% US: 59.76%(ACS preliminary self response rates, 2012)

MN risks losing Congressional seat after 2020 Census.Innovative and accurate improvements to the 2020 Census are necessary for an accurate population count in order to retain our current seats in Congress.

Nearly half of MN cities are at risk for losing ACS dataMany of the state’s cities are small enough that any significant decline in the ACS response rate would cause their data to be unavailable due to sample size.

The ACS Faces ThreatsElimination of 3-year EstimatesDue to budget cuts, the Census Bureau has already eliminated all future 3 year estimates.

Voluntary Survey = Loss of DataThe U.S. Congress has recently attempted to make the ACS voluntary. A voluntary ACS would diminish the quality & availability of small-area data which guide daily decisions across the state. Neighborhoods, rural areas, & small populations would suffer the most.

The Need for Funding is ImmediateThe Census Bureau is in the “ramp up” period of testing and designing an efficient and effective system for the 2020 Census. Investing in this process now leads to +$5 billion in unnecessary costs later.

Sh ing leCreek

Lind -B oha non

Hum bol t

Vic tor y

CamdenIndst

Webber -C amden

Cleve land Folw ell Mc K in ley Nor thRiverInd st

Wi l lard-H ay

Jorda nHaw tho r ne

NearNor th

Sumner-Gl enwood

Har r i so n

Share of Households who are Burdend by Housing Costs* by Census Block Group North Minneapolis 2009-2013

Map by CURA Staff Aug 2015

Source: 2009-2013 American Community Surveydownloaded from datafinder.org

*A household is considered cost burdened if it pays more than 30% of its incomeon housing related costs including rent, utilitiesand insurance.

% of Renters that are Cost Burdened0% - 15%

15.1% - 30%

30.1% - 50%

50.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%

TotalN N %

Renters 9,101 6,189 68%Owners 11,076 4,334 39%All HH 20,177 10,523 52%

Cost Burdened

North Minneapolis Totals

Service Layer Credits: Sources: Esri, HERE,DeLorme, TomTom, Intermap, increment P Corp.,GEBCO, USGS, FAO, NPS, NRCAN, GeoBase,IGN, Kadaster NL, Ordnance Survey, Esri Japan,

Copyright: ©2013 Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ

Changes in selected demographics and home valuesNo increases beyond regional averages (214)

Increase in college degrees and/or med. income without home value increase (195)

Increase in home values without other changes (85)

Increase in home values accompanied by increases in either or both demographic variables (210)

Bottineau Line

!! Bottineau Stops

Half-Mile Station Buffer

97th Avenue

93rd Avenue

85th Avenue

63rd Avenue

Robbinsdale

Penn Avenue

Bass La

ke Road

Brooklyn Boulevard

Golden Valley Road

Van White

Boulevard

Copyright: ©2013 Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ

Sources:-2000 US Census (Normalized to 2010 Census Tract Boundaries) by Geolytics-2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-year estimates

0 1.5 3 4.5 60.75Miles

0 10 20 30 405Miles

Map by: Bottineau Lgiht Rail Corridor Affdordable Housing Opportunities Analysis Capstone - Humphrey School of Public Affairs with support from CURAMarch 2014

Indicators of Neighborhood Change MSP 2000-2012 - Changes in Selected Demographics and Home Values

#

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#

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XY

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XYXYXYXYXYXYXYXYXY

XYXY

XYXYXY

Hugo

OronoMound

Edina

Eagan

Anoka

Winona

Savage

Rogers

Otsego

Morris

Waseca

Duluth

Delano

Chaska

Blaine

Baxter

Austin

Kasson

Jordan

Willmar

Wyoming

Sartell

Oakdale

Mankato

New Ulm

Waconia

Hibbing

Glencoe

Fridley

Crystal

Cloquet

Buffalo

Bemidji

Woodbury

Shakopee

Owatonna

Red Wing

Moorhead

Marshall

Virginia

Hastings

Fairmont

Brainerd

Big Lake

Zimmerman

St. Peter

St. Cloud

Rosemount

Oak Grove

Faribault

Cambridge

Crookston

Lakeville

Lake City

Rochester

St. Joseph

Northfield

Monticello

Montevideo

New Prague

Hermantown

Alexandria

Albert Lea

Hutchinson

Litchfield

Worthington

Forest Lake

North Branch

Little Falls

Grand Rapids

Stewartville

Fergus Falls

Belle Plaine

North Mankato

Redwood Falls

Detroit Lakes

Cottage Grove

East Grand Forks

Thief River Falls

International Falls

Goodwill - Easter SealsSocial Services Need Index

XYXYXYXYXYXYXYXYXY XY

XYXY#

#

#

#

#

##

#

#

#

#

##

#

##

Hugo

OronoMound

Edina

Eagan

Anoka

Savage

Rogers

Otsego

Delano

Chaska

Blaine

Jordan

Wyoming

Oakdale

Waconia

Glencoe

Fridley

Crystal

Buffalo

Woodbury

Shakopee

St. Paul

Hastings

Ham Lake

Champlin

Big Lake

Zimmerman

Roseville

Rosemount

Oak Grove

Mahtomedi

Lakeville

Prior Lake

Northfield

Monticello

New Prague

St. Michael

Belle Plaine

Social Service Need IndexBelow Average Need

Average Need

Above Average Need

XY Community Health Centers

# Community and Technical Colleges

City Population10,000

50,000

100,000

Indian Lands

0 50 100 150 20025

Miles [Map by CURA Staff - Spring 2014

Notes:

Index based on US Census and HUD variables identified by Goodwill-Easter Seals

as correlating with a high need for social services.Please see technical

documentiation for more information.

Sources:

-All index variables (except subsidized housing) - ACS 2008-2012 Estimates

-Subsidized housing figures - HUD Picture of Subsidized Housing 2012

-City population - 2010 Census

-Community Health Centers - Minnesota Department of Health

-Community and Technical Colleges - MNGeo

How the American Community Survey Works for Your Community

YOUR COMMUNITY

REPORTS, TABLES & APPLICATIONS

U.S. CENSUS BUREAU

U.S. CENSUS BUREAUCENSUS WEB SITES

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, STATES, AND

LOCAL COMMUNITIES

$400 BILLION PER YEAR

About 1 in 38 U.S. households per year receives an invitation to participate in the American Community Survey (ACS).

Individuals can complete the questionnaire for their household either online or on a paper form.

Those who don’t complete the survey receive a call or personal visit from Census staff.

MAIL

and

ONLINE

RESPONDENT

SCHOOLS

HOSPITALS

ROADS

PAPER

SCHOOL

The Census Bureau publishes statistics as reports, tables, and other products through its Web sites, American FactFinder, and QuickFacts.

Personal information

removedand kept

confidential

Government agencies use these statistics to help with decision-making and to allocate over $400 billion each year back to your community.

Civic & academic institutions, and businesses use the ACS for a variety of purposes.

COLL

ECTI

ON

PRO

CESS

ING

& D

ISSE

MIN

ATIO

ND

ATA-

DRI

VEN

DEC

ISIO

NS

The ACS is an official Census Bureau survey that is part of the Decennial Census Program. It is sent to a small percentage of U.S. households monthly.

INTERNET

YOUR COMMUNITY

SCHOOL

H

H

Data Combined

into Statistics

census.gov

QuickFacts

Jobs

www.census.gov/acs