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February11,2011MEMORANDUM

TO: INTERESTEDPARTIES

FR: DAVIDFLAHERTY

MAGELLANDATAANDMAPPINGSTRATEGIES

RE: NEWHAMPSHIRE2012GENERALELECTIONSURVEYTOPLINERESULTS

________________________________________________________________________________________________

MagellanDataandMappingStrategiesarepleasedtopresentthetoplineresultsofa

789N autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of NewHampshire.TheinterviewswereconductedFebruary9th-10th,2011.Thissurvey

hasamarginoferrorof+/-3.49%atthe95percentconfidenceinterval.Thesurvey

resultswereweightedbaseduponvoterturnoutdemographicsfromthe2008and

2004generalelectioncycles.

T1.AreyouregisteredtovoteasaRepublican,aDemocratoranindependentvoter?

Republican..................................................................................32%

Democrat.....................................................................................31%

Independent...............................................................................37%

T2.Howlikelyareyoutovoteinthe2012NovemberelectionforPresident?

ExtremelyLikely......................................................................95%

VeryLikely.....................................................................................4%

SomewhatLikely.........................................................................1%


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MagellanID#NHGEN-020911NewHampshire2012GeneralElectionAutoSurvey Page2of6

FieldDates:2/9/11-2/10/11

MoE+/-3.49%,789n

MagellanDataandMappingStrategies|1685BoxelderSt.Ste300|Louisville,CO80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com|(303)861-8585

ThinkingnowaboutpeopleactiveinNew

T3.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofBarackObama?

TotalFavorable.........................................................................52%

TotalUnfavorable....................................................................44%

VeryFavorable..............................................................38%

SomewhatFavorable..................................................14%

VeryUnfavorable.......... .......... ........... .......... ........... ......33%

SomewhatUnfavorable..............................................11%

NoOpinion.....................................................................................4%

NameID....................................................................................100%

HardNameID............................................................................96%

NeverHeardOf............................................................................0%

T4.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofMittRomney?

TotalFavorable.........................................................................45%


VeryFavorable..............................................................20%




NoOpinion..................................................................................11%

NameID....................................................................................100%

HardNameID............................................................................89%

NeverHeardOf............................................................................0%


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MoE+/-3.49%,789n



T5.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofSarahPalin?

TotalFavorable.........................................................................36%


VeryFavorable..............................................................16%SomewhatFavorable..................................................20%



NoOpinion.....................................................................................3%

NameID....................................................................................100%

HardNameID............................................................................97%

NeverHeardOf............................................................................0%

T6.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofMikeHuckabee?

TotalFavorable.........................................................................42%


VeryFavorable..............................................................13%




NoOpinion..................................................................................18%

NameID.......................................................................................99%

HardNameID............................................................................81%

NeverHeardOf............................................................................1%


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MoE+/-3.49%,789n



T7.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofNewtGingrich?

TotalFavorable.........................................................................29%


VeryFavorable..............................................................12%SomewhatFavorable..................................................17%



NoOpinion..................................................................................10%

NameID.......................................................................................99%

HardNameID............................................................................88%

NeverHeardOf............................................................................2%

T8.DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobBarackObamaisdoingasPresident?

Approve.......................................................................................50%

Disapprove.................................................................................44%

NoOpinion.....................................................................................6%

T9.IftheelectionforPresidentwasbeingheldtoday,forwhomwouldyouvoteif

thecandidateswereBarackObama,Democrat,andMittRomney,Republican?

BarackObama...........................................................................48%

MittRomney...............................................................................44%Undecided......................................................................................8%


thecandidateswereBarackObama,Democrat,andSarahPalin,Republican?

BarackObama...........................................................................57%

SarahPalin..................................................................................34%

Undecided......................................................................................9%

T11.IftheelectionforPresidentwasbeingheldtoday,forwhomwouldyouvoteifthecandidateswereBarackObama,Democrat,andMikeHuckabee,Republican?

BarackObama...........................................................................51%

MikeHuckabee.......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... .38%

Undecided...................................................................................11%


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MoE+/-3.49%,789n




thecandidateswereBarackObama,Democrat,andNewtGingrich,Republican?

BarackObama...........................................................................56%

NewtGingrich........... .......... ........... .......... .......... ........... .......... ...33%

Undecided...................................................................................11%

T13.Asyoumayknow,theGovernorandtheNewHampshirelegislaturepasseda

law legalizing gay marriage last year. This year, the legislature has proposed

repealingthegaymarriagelaw.Doyoufavororopposerepealingthegaymarriage

lawinNewHampshire?

TotalFavor.................................................................................35%

TotalOppose..............................................................................56%

StronglyFavor...............................................................29%

SomewhatFavor..............................................................6%

StronglyOppose............................................................41%

SomewhatOppose.......................................................15%

Undecided......................................................................................9%

T14.Asyoumay know,in 2010Congresspassed legislationtochangethe health

caresystem,andwassignedintolawbyPresidentObama.Earlierthisyear,thenew

Congress voted to repeal the 2010 health care law. Do you favor or oppose

repealingthe2010healthcarelaw?

TotalFavor.................................................................................50%

TotalOppose..............................................................................43%

StronglyFavor...............................................................43%

SomewhatFavor..............................................................7%

StronglyOppose............................................................35%

SomewhatOppose..........................................................8%

Undecided......................................................................................7%


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MoE+/-3.49%,789n



T15.Generallyspeaking,doyouconsideryourselftobeconservative,moderateor

liberalonmostissues?

Conservative..............................................................................34%

Moderate.....................................................................................48%

Liberal..........................................................................................15%NoOpinion.....................................................................................3%

T16.Forstatisticalpurposes,areyouamanorawoman?

Female..........................................................................................52%

Male...............................................................................................48%

T17.Whichofthefollowingagegroupsappliestoyou?

18-34.......... ........... .......... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ..........11%35-44.......... ........... .......... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ..........15%

45-54.......... ........... .......... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ..........25%

55-64.......... ........... .......... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ..........23%

65+.................................................................................................26%

T18.Forstatisticalpurposesonly,whatisyourrace?Press1ifyouarewhite,Press

2ifyouareHispanicorLatino,press3ifyouareblackorAfricanAmerican,press4

ifyouareanotherethnicgroup.

White.............................................................................................94%

Anotherethnicgroup................................................................3%Hispanic/Latino...........................................................................2%

Black/AfricanAmerican...........................................................1%

nh 2012 general election survey topline results 021111

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