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Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 1
Numerical Investigations of the Capsizing Sequence of
SS HERAKLION
Stefan Krüger, TU Hamburg Harburg, [email protected]
Hendrik Dankowski, TU Hamburg-Harburg, [email protected]
Caroline Teuscher, TU Hamburg-Harburg, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
The sinking of the RoRo- Passenger Ferry SS HEARKLION in 1966 was one of the most disastrous ferry accidents in modern Greek shipping. SS HERAKLION was originally built as combined freight and passenger vessel and was later converted into a RoRo- Passenger ship. Some technical aspects of the conversion were at least doubtful, however the ship started her final voyage on December 7 from Crete to Piraeus. The weather was rough, and the ship was travelling in a stern quartering sea condition with heavy beam winds. The rolling was strong, and after a course alteration into following seas the rolling increased. This caused cargo to shift and a side door was pushed open by a heavy truck which was not secured. Water entered into the car deck which resulted in a heavy list of the ship. When further water ingress took place, the ship the finally sank. After the accident, investigations were carried out at NTUA (on behalf of the Hellenic authorities) and at the Institute für Schiffbau (on behalf of the insurance company). There are some interesting aspects of the accident which are worth to be studied again by more advanced methods compared to the late 60s. Numerical evaluations of the accident (parts of this research were in close collaboration with NTUA, Ship Design Laboratory) have shown some interesting aspects of the earlier accident phase before and during the flooding of the main garage deck. The investigation has also shown options how the accident could have been avoided. The paper presents the treatment of complex full scale safety issues by numerical simulation methods. It shows that it is useful to apply different calculation methods for different phases of such accidents. The intact phase of the accident is treated by our seakeeping code E4ROLLS until water enters the car deck. The initial water ingress into the car deck is computed with Glim´s method until a certain list is reached, and some conclusions are drawn. The paper will also show that scientific advances in ship theory can help to better understand the accident roots of such complex accidents, and these methods can help to find new answers to old problems.
Keywords: SS HERAKLION, capsizing, passenger ferry, flooding of the vehicle deck
1. INTRODUCTION
Marine casualties are typically complex
event chains, especially when the casualty
leads to the total loss of a ship due to capsizing
or sinking. Whenever such a casualty needs to
be investigated, lots of computations need to be
made to figure out the event chain which has
lead to the final loss. During these
investigations, a variety of different
computational methods is applied, which
extends from simple hydrostatic calculations to
complex dynamic simulations. The problem
exists that all these methods require more or
less sophisticated computational models, and
both need to be validated. The validation of
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 2
Figure 1 SS LEICESTERSHIRE (top) and
SS HERAKLION (bottom) after the
conversion
such methods can be performed by computing
theoretical test cases, by the comparison with
experiments or by full scale accidents. The
validation by experiments has the advantage
that all data and test conditions are well
defined, which makes it quite easy to re
compute these accidents. Further, any
deviations between experiment and
computation can in most cases be reasonably
explained, and such deviations often result in
the refinement of the computational procedure
or in the model, or both. Therefore it is a
conditio sine qua non to validate numerical
methods by experiments. However, with
respect to marine casualties, experiments never
reflect the full event chain as they can only
focus on a small part of the problem, and they
are always performed under ideal conditions.
Therefore it seems plausible to also use full
scale accidents of ships for validation purposes.
But the problem exists that these accidents
never happen under ideal conditions where all
data is exactly known. Mostly the ship has
sunk and it cannot be accessed, important data
are not known with sufficient accuracy and the
surviving witnesses often do not clearly
remember important facts. This makes the
analysis of full scale accidents always
challenging, and often it is not clear whether a
numerical model or a computational procedure
is actually suitable for the analysis. Therefore,
TUHH is actually running a research project
where we systematically collect data of full
scale capsizing or sinking events, prepare the
calculation models and figure out the relevant
event chains. These data are collected in a
database which will be used for the validation
of other methods in the future. In the
framework of these investigations, we came
across the capsizing and sinking accident of SS
HERAKLION, which took place in 1966.
Although the accident was quite long ago and
the ship has nothing in common with modern
designs, the accident was characterized by a lot
of interesting technical details which made the
analysis quite challenging. Although no safety
recommendations can be drawn from this
accident, the technical analysis shows a variety
of interesting details which allow the validation
of a couple of computational methods. Our
analysis of the accident, which was done in
close collaboration with the National Technical
University of Athens (NTUA) is presented in
the following sections.
2. SHIP AND LOADING CONDITION
SS HERAKLION was originally built as SS
LEICESTERSHIRE by Fairfield Shipbuilding
and Engineering in 1949 as Hull No. 2562, call
sign SZNO. The ship was a typical design of a
combined freight and passenger vessel. 1964
the ship was bought by the Hellenic shipping
company Typaldos Lines, and she was
converted into a combined passenger and
vehicle ferry, see Fig. 1. This major conversion
showed already all later problems with RoRo-
Passenger- ferries, which was a new ship type
in those days and it was unclear for the
authorities how to deal with this type of ship.
Since 1949, additional safety requirements
were put in place, and additional transversal
bulkheads were retrofitted to meet a one
compartment status. This was not consequently
done, as Fig. 2 shows, because the additional
transversal bulkheads did not extent down to
the double bottom. An additional deck was
fitted to serve as vehicle deck, which was
accessed by side doors and ramps. As the
watertight transversal bulkheads did for
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 3
obvious reasons not extent above the vehicle
decks, the vehicle deck now was the freeboard
deck, which made a complete set of safety
relevant calculations necessary. An additional
passenger deck was also retrofitted which
resulted in a significant increase of the vertical
centre of gravity.
Figure 2 Sketch of SS HERAKLION after
the conversion. The side door of the forward
vehicle deck can also be seen.
However, during the conversion some
existing regulations could not or only hardly be
fulfilled, a fact which was later proven during
the accident investigations. Therefore, the
issuing of some certificates was doubtful, and
was also later withdrawn by the Hellenic
authorities.
The main dimensions of the ship after the
conversion were the following: Length over all
146.50 m, moulded breadth 18.29 m, draft
design 4.58m, depth to freeboard deck 5.35 m,
depth to upper deck 10.851m, speed 17 knots.
During the accident investigations by the
Hellenic authorities it was found quite
challenging to figure out the stability condition
of the vessel during her final voyage. An
inclining experiment with SS HERAKLION
was never performed, and the stability
information on the vessel was extremely poor.
During the accident investigations, the light
ship weight of SS HEARKLION was
determined by Fragoulis (Fragoulis 1967) and
Georgiadis (Georgiadis 1967). They used the
available data of the inclining experiment of
sister vessel SS XANIA instead and considered
some additional weights and also some that
were not on board of SS HERAKLION. The
loading condition of the final voyage was
based on the available loading list and
contained cars, trucks, passengers, ballast and
bunker and stores. However, some information
was doubtful, also the inclining experiment
performed with SS XANIA, which was based
on level trim hydrostatics and small
inclinations. Further, SS XANIA had a large
amount of ballast water on board during the
inclining experiment which also made the
results doubtful. Some tank volumes were
incorrect, too, and also the hydrostatic
particulars were not fully available in the
AEENA- accident reports. Therefore we had
decided to recalculate all weight information,
including a new evaluation of the inclining
experiment (Teuscher 2011). This step was also
necessary to generate the weight information
for the mass moments of inertia computation
for the dznamic analysis. It was found that due
to the conversion, the centre of gravity was that
high that the ship could only be operated when
the complete double bottom fuel oil tanks were
filled with ballast water. The loading condition
during the final voyage resulted then in a total
displacement of 7740 tons, draft at A.P. 6.35
m, Draft at F.P. 2.95 m, GMc 0.94m, freeboard
to vehicle deck of abt. 0.85 m. The tank fillings
of the loading condition according to our
investigation is plotted in Fig. 3 (Teuscher
2011)
Figure 3 Loading Condition of the final
voyage.
3. THE FINAL VOYAGE
On December 7th
, 1966 SS HERAKLION
departed from the port of Souda Bay, Crete to
make her voyage to the port of Piraeus. The
departure of the vessel was delayed due to the
late arrival of a reefer truck, which was then
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 4
stowed unlashed in the forward garage deck
rectangular to the ship´s centre line. At about
22.00 hrs, the ship reached the open sea close
to the island of Milos (see Fig. 4), steering a
course of 352 degree. The wind was rough with
8 Bft (11 in gales). As the wind direction had
changed overnight from about 180 degree to
now 270 degree, the direction of the waves was
still about 200 degree, bringing SS
HERAKLION into the interesting situation of
beam wind and stern quartering seas (see Fig.
4). The sea was rough with significant wave
heights about 5-6 m, (significant) wave length
between 80 and 120 m. The weather data were
not recorded during the accident, but were later
obtained from the German DWD (Wendel
1970).
Figure 4 Accident scenario of SS
HEARKLION. Source: AEENA.
Due to the beam wind, SS HERAKLION
had a steady heel to starboard side of about 8
Degree. Due to the seastate, the ship was
permanently rolling with amplitudes about 20
degree, as the surviving persons reported. This
rolling motion caused the cargo to shift, and
some cars tippled over. This cargo shift
increased the steady list of SS HERAKLION to
about 11 degrees. The crew decided to alter the
course to 20 Degree to bring SS HERAKLION
directly before the seas. She was now travelling
in following seas and beam wind. Despite the
course alteration, the rolling motion increased,
and due to the severe rolling, the unlashed
reefer truck pushed against the starboard side
door and forced the door open. Due to the
steady list of about 11 Degree and the roll
motion, water immediately entered the vehicle
deck which caused a list of about 60 degree.
Due to unsecured openings, further
compartments were flooded, the vessel finally
capsized and sank. Only 46 persons of 264
could be saved, this made the SS
HERAKLION accident the most disastrous
marine casualty in Modern Greek shipping.
4. ANALYSIS OF THE ROLL MOTION
IN INTACT CONDITION
4.1 General Considerations
The accident of SS HEARKLION can be
split into four different phases, which do all
have some interesting technical challenges: The
first phase is the intact rolling in a beam wind
following sea scenario. The second phase took
place after the alteration of the course, which
made the rolling even worse and lead to the
opening of the side door. The third phase is
characterized by the flooding of the vehicle
deck until the ship reaches a large list, and the
fourth phase is the subsequent flooding of
further compartments including the
superstructure until the ship finally sinks. This
paper deals with the first three phases of the
accident: Because it is obvious that these
phases are strongly influenced by dynamic
effects, they can only be analyzed with
methods which compute the roll motion in
following seas with sufficient accuracy.
Although many tanks were filled, free surface
effects can be disregarded, as most tanks were
completely filled. The flooding of the vehicle
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 5
deck can also be computed taking into account
the relevant dynamics, as the fluid motion
influences the ship motion and vice versa. The
relative motion between the ship and the wavy
surface triggers the in- and outflow of the water
on deck and needs to computed with sufficient
accuracy. For these computations, we use the
seakeeping code E4ROLLS which was
originally developed by Söding and Kröger for
the investigation of the ELMA- T.R.E.S.
capsizing accident in 1986. E4ROLLS
simulates all six degrees of freedom in time
domain. The concept is that those degrees of
freedom which are governed by hydrodynamic
effects are computed linearly using RAOs (e.g.
from a strip theory or panel code), whereas a
non linear simulation is performed for those
degree of freedom where the nonlinearities are
the governing effects. The equation used for
the roll motion reads:
Here, Mwave denotes the direct roll moment
obtained from the roll RAO, and h is the
righting lever in waves computed by the
concept of Grim´s equivalent wave (Grim
1960). The latter makes the computation
extremely fast and at the same time reliable.
E4ROLLS was intensively validated by model
tests during German BMBF- funded research
programs from 1998-2006.
Figure 5 Principle of Grim´s equivalent
wave (Grim 1960).
4.2 Stability, roll motion and critical
resonances
Figure 6 Polar Plot of significant wave
heights required for a 25 Degree roll angle of
SS HERAKLION in intact condition, 8s period
Figure 6 shows the results of an E4ROLLS-
computation for the final voyage of SS
HERAKLION, intact condition. The polar plot
was computed for a significant period of 8 s,
corresponding to a wave length of 100 m. The
seastate is represented by a JONSWAP-
spectrum, the radial energy distribution follows
a cos2 - function. This leads to a short crested,
natural seaway. The polar plot shows the
required significant wave height which lead to
a roll angle of 25 Degree (abt. 8 Degree STB
static heel due to wind plus the roll amplitude).
For each node of the polar, 10 simulations of
20000 s each have been performed for each
significant wave height, and the wave height
was varied in steps until 25 degree roll angle
were reached. The radial rings show the ship
speed, the circumferential axis shows the
encounter angle. Beam wind was assumed from
270 Degree (90 degree PS), this is the reason
why the polar plot is not symmetric. From
these results, some interesting conclusions can
be drawn. The computations show that in the
accident situation of SS HEARKLION, roll
amplitudes of about 20 degree - as reported -
were likely to occur, as the required significant
wave heights are about 5-6m. This value is
typical for wave lengths of 100 m- 120 m, as
reported by the German DWD for the day of
the accident (Wendel 70 and AEENA-
( ) ( )[ ]( )ϕϑϕψ
ϕϕψψϕϕϑϑζϕ
cossin
cossin)( 22
+−
+−+−−−−+++=
xzxx
xzsdTankwavesywind
II
IhgmMMMMM &&&&&&&&
&&
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 6
Reports). Most interesting is the fact that SS
HEARKLION was travelling close to the 1:1
roll resonance situation in following seas.
Based on the Stillwater GM of 0.94 m and
valid for small angles only, the natural roll
period of SS HERAKLION amounts to 14.6 s.
This results in a theoretical speed of 12.5 kn in
following seas at an encounter angle of 30
degree, which is approximately the encounter
angle of SS HERAKLION before her first
change in course. The polar shows the well
known fact that resonance situations in
following seas are not distinct points - as a
linear theory might suggest - but more or less
broad banded resonance areas which extent
over a range of speeds and encounter angles.
This behaviour is a consequence of the fact that
the natural roll period of a ship in following
seas is not a fixed value, but is varies due to
several nonlinearities. For the accident
situation of SS HERAKLION, the following
nonlinearities occur (see also Fig. 7):
• As the righting lever curve of SS
HEARKLION is of progressive type
(positive form stability),, the natural
roll period decreases with increasing
roll angle or list. For the SS
HERAKLION, the steady list due to
wind and cargo shift plays a major
role, and the larger the steady list
becomes, the smaller becomes the
roll period.
• For the roll period in waves, the
stillwater righting lever curve is not
relevant, but (as the two extremes)
he crest and through leverarm curve.
The stability varies between these
two situations, and the resulting roll
period depends on how long these
extreme phases occur during one
cycle. The resulting roll period is
longer compared to the computed
Stillwater period.
• The roll angle itself has an influence
on the roll period, especially when
the crest and through curves are
analyzed. For smaller roll angles up
to approx. 15 degree, the roll period
decreases, for larger roll angles
larger than 15 degree, the roll period
increases.
Figure 7 Righting levers of SS
HERAKLION for Stillwater, crest and trough
conditions. Computations by Wendel (Wendel
1970), coloured curves our computations.
This is underlined by Figure 7, where the
righting lever curves in waves of SS
HERAKLION have been computed by Wendel
(Wendel 1970) for a 100 m wave, wave height
7 m. The mean value between crest and trough
(used by Wendel for his analyses) differs
significantly from the Stillwater curve (blue
line), an indication for the fact that any
conclusion from the Stillwater natural roll
period (for small angles) is not valid for the SS
HERAKLION accident.
Figure 8 Polar Plot of significant wave
heights required for a 25 Degree roll angle of
SS HERAKLION in intact condition, 8.5s
period.
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 7
All these findings are confirmed if the
computation is repeated for another possible
accident scenario. Fig, 8 shows the limiting
significant wave height now for a significant
period of 8.5s (113 m corresponding wave
length). It can now even better be observed
how close SS HERAKLION sails at the 1:1
resonance and that the alteration of the course
did not improve the situation.
4.3 Conclusions for the first two phases
As shown, SS HERAKLION was travelling
sufficiently close to the 1:1 following sea
resonance situation, so that large rolling angles
occurred. The polar also shows that changing
the course was not a good choice, as the rolling
motion was not reduced. The reason is that the
ship was brought closer to the resonance at
following seas, but the direct excitation (MWave
in the roll angle equation) due to the waves was
reduced slightly when SS HERAKLION took
the waves exactly from abaft.
Figure 9 Horizontal accelerations computed
for SS HERAKLION in the accident situation
prior to the course alteration
From Fig. 6 and Fig. 8 the fact can be
derived that the whole accident could have
been avoided if the crew had decided to select
another course or speed combination. At that
course, SS HERAKLION was clearly safe
below a speed of 10 knots, and if she had opted
for a course with bow quartering wind (e.g. 60
or 75 Degree STB) she could have sailed
nearly any speed without being endangered.
Even sailing at a higher speed than 15 knots
would have improved the situation, but
slightly. May be it was due the fact that SS
HEARKLION was already delayed that the
crew did not want to increase the delay by
reducing speed or changing course. But had the
crew done so, the accident could have been
most probably avoided. In this respect, the SS
HEARKLION accident is comparable to the
loss of MV FINNBIRCH in 2005 and SS
FIDAMUS in 1949, both ships capsized in
following seas close to a 1:1 resonance (Kluwe
and Krüger 2008). But there can be no doubt
that SS HERAKLION was quite safe from the
intact stability point of view, as our
computations show. Fig 9 shows the horizontal
acceleration computed for SS HERAKLION
during the accident situation. It can be seen that
accelerations of about 0.5 g occur to starboard
side, this is sufficient to let the cargo tip over.
5. ANALYSIS OF THE WATER
INGRESS INTO THE VEHICLE
DECK
5.1 General considerations
The sinking of SS HERAKLION took place
when the reefer truck struck against the STB-
side door, pushed it open, which allowed water
to enter the vehicle deck. It was shown in the
accident investigations by Fragoulis,
Georgiadis and Antoniou (Fragoulis 1967,
Georgiadis and Antoniou1967) and by Wendel
(Wendel 1970) that the flooding of the vehicle
deck resulted in such a loss of buoyancy that
the ship irreversibly must have capsized. But a
more precise stability computation (loss of
buoyancy method, free trimming righting
levers) gives a more complex picture, as Fig.
10 shows:
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 8
Figure 10 Righting levers computed for SS
HERAKLION after the flooding of the forward
car deck.
Figure 10 shows the computation of the
righting levers of SS HERAKLION after the
forward car deck is flooded. The computation
assumes the complete superstructure to be
watertight, as water will gradually enter these
compartments. The heeling moment of the
tippled cars has been taken into account, and
also the heeling moment due to wind of 8 Bft,
which must be added for the situation when the
reefer truck struck the car deck open. From
these calculations, it becomes obvious that after
the flooding of the car deck, two equilibria
exist, where the first equilibrium is about 10
degree STB. This first equilibrium is only
theoretically stable, because a larger wind
heeling moment (gales were reported to be
about 11 Bft) is sufficient to let the ship heel to
about 45 degree STB. It is also possible that
the wave moments from the seastate force
sufficient water into the vehicle deck to
overcome this first stability plateau. But this
computation shows that SS HEARKLION was
not necessarily lost when the STB side door
was pushed open: If the crew had managed to
turn her in such a way that the wind heeling
moment would have acted from STB side on
the vessel, she would have had chances to
survive even the water ingress. This possible
scenario will also be analyzed in the following
sections. Further, even the equilibrium at about
45 degree is stable. Figure 11 shows the
floating position of SS HERAKLION after the
complete flooding of the car deck including the
wind heeling moment from PS.
Figure 11 Floating position of SS
HERAKLION after the flooding of the vehicle
deck
Figure 11 shows that SS HERAKLION must
not necessarily sink or capsize even after the
most unfavourable combination of heeling
moments (tippled cars at STB, wind from PS).
If the crew had followed the relevant guidelines
and kept all weather tight doors and openings
closed, the ship could have stayed in that
position. It was however unclear during the
accident investigations if and how internal
progressive flooding has taken place. Of course
these computations depend on the assumptions
made, where the largest uncertainty lies in the
masses and centroids. If the stability of SS
HERAKLION had been smaller than
computed, the first stability plateau might
become completely unstable, which forces the
vessel to heel to about 50 Degree STB even
without additional external moments. However,
these computations indicate that based on our
assumptions the ship had had a good chance to
survive the accident if the crew had taken other
operational decisions.
5.2 Numerical simulations of the water
ingress with E4ROLLS
At present, we have two different methods to
compute water ingress into vehicle decks: The
first is E4ROLLS, which has been extended for
water on deck problems by Petey (Petey 1988).
The floodwater is modelled by Glim´s method
using shallow water equations. The inflow into
the vehicle deck is computed by the net flux
through the opening including the dynamics of
the roll motion. This method gives good results
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Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 9
(BSU 2010) when the amount of water
accumulated in the vehicle deck is small
compared to the total mass of the ship and
when the water inflow does not strongly
influence the trim. Because in E4ROLLS only
the additional roll moment (see MTank in Eqn.
1) is modelled, the mass increase and trim
moment are neglected at present (we are
currently improving this). Further, as the direct
wave moment (see MWave in Eqn. 1) is obtained
from the linear RAO, the results become less
reliable when a certain static heel (typically 30
to 40 degree) is reached. From practical
considerations, this is not a problem because
the ship can be assumed as lost in case such
large static heeling angles are reached. Further,
we have developed a method for sinking
computations E4SINKING (Dankowski 2011),
which computes the static flux through the
relevant openings and determines a hydrostatic
equilibrium according to the added mass
method. Dynamic effects can roughly be taken
into account if the relative motion between ship
and opening is computed (e.g. by E4ROLLS)
and used for the flux computations. This
method is of course more robust and for the
desired purpose less precise, as the dynamics
are underestimated. When analyzing the SS
HERAKLION accident, Teuscher (Teuscher
2011) has checked both methods and found
that they converged with respect to the most
important results (flooding times and
floodwater amount). We will in the following
present the results obtained from E4ROLLS for
the flooding of the vehicle deck.
Figure 12: Time plot of the roll angle (top) and
the volume in the vehicle compartment (sum of
the curves in the bottom plot), accident
scenario
Figure 12 shows the computed time series for
SS HERAKLION after the STB side door was
pushed open. The computation was made for a
speed of 15 knots, encounter angle 0, wind
8Bft, significant period 8.5 s, significant wave
height 5 m. The vehicle deck was modelled by
two compartments to take into account the
sheer, therefore the total volume is the sum of
these two (see Fig. 12, bottom time series). The
hydrostatic computation resulted in about
1800t water accumulated in the vehicle deck at
the equilibrium of about 45 degree. This
coincides with the dynamic results obtained
from E4ROLLS, where the static equilibrium is
computed somewhat larger at slightly larger
volumes in the vehicle deck. The first phase of
the flooding shows that it takes approximately
500 s to flood the vehicle deck and to pass the
first stability plateau, because the water inflow
is forced into the ship by the motion. After this
situation is reached, the vessel oscillates around
this condition, but we have assumed that course
and speed are kept during the simulation. It is
now interesting to analyze alternative scenarios
to check whether there had been additional
possibilities to prevent the accident. In his
investigations, Wendel (Wendel 1970) has
suggested that the ship should take the wind
from abaft and the waves from STB stern
quartering. The idea was to get rid of the wind
heeling moment by a starboard turn.
Unfortunately, numerical simulations by
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 10
Teuscher (Teuscher 2011) have shown that SS
HERAKLION would also have capsized
during this manoeuvre. We have thought about
another alternative which we present here for
the first time, see Fig. 13. There, a turn to PS is
computed. The open side door is now exposed
to the sea, but the vessel has turned into a head
wind condition. The ship is - like in the
scenario suggested by Wendel - not exposed to
the beam wind anymore, and the heeling
moment becomes smaller. The main difference
between the two scenarios is that now, the
water is entrapped in the vehicle deck, as the
ship heels to PS. This heeling increases the
freeboard further, and the situation converges
Figure 13: Time plot of the roll angle (top) and
the volume in the vehicle compartment (sum of
the curves in the bottom plot), alternative
scenario
into a condition where the amount of water on
deck does not increase further. The ship
remains stable at about 25 Degree heel to port
side, where about 500 t of floodwater have now
accumulated on the deck. It is quite probable
that this manoeuvre - a turn to PS - would have
saved the vehicle deck from being completely
flooded.
5.3 Conclusions for the water ingress
The numerical simulations of the water
ingress into the vehicle deck have shown
reasonable results. The re computation of the
accident scenario have shown that based on our
assumptions, the vehicle deck is flooded and
the ship takes a large heel. But the simulations
have also shown that the ship was not
necessarily lost when the refer truck opened the
side door: The ship had some residual stability
left even with the flooded vehicle deck, and if
the heeling moment could have been reduced,
the capsizing might have been prevented. The
dynamics of the roll motion plus the wind
heeling moment plus the moment of the tippled
cars was too severe, and the residual stability
was then lost. But the calculations have also
shown that the ship could have been saved if
the crew had turned her immediately to port
side. In this situation, the open side door
would have been directly exposed to the sea,
which would have resulted in a PS heel. This
PS heel would have led to a stable equilibrium
floating condition with about 500 t of water
entrapped in the vehicle deck, and the ship
would have - according to our computations -
survived.
6. CONCLUSIONS
The capsizing accident of SS HERAKLION
was analyzed with numerical methods. It could
be shown that the application of such methods
to marine casualties - even if they are some
time ago - can show new facets of such
accidents that are worth a scientific
investigation. In the present case, the accident
Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Stability of
Ships and Ocean Vehicles, 23�28 September 2012, Athens, Greece, 11
analysis came to a plausible event chain which
is in line with the known facts and the
observations of surviving witnesses. This is
most important with respect to actual marine
casualties, as it is important to use only
validated methods and procedures for the
evaluation of such accidents. The evaluation of
the capsizing event of SS HERAKLION could
plausibly show that it might have been possible
to avoid the accident by operational measures,
and this finding might be of some use with
respect to the education of seafarers. However,
the accident of SS HERAKLION has also
shown that several safety rules were not
followed, and it is most important that we obey
all the existing rules strictly: All maritime
casualties which we have investigated at our
institute always showed a massive violation of
existing safety regulations.
7. ACKNOWLEDMENTS
The authors wish to thank Prof. Dr. Ing. S.
Kastner, Univ. Bremen, for having initiated
this work. We further thank Prof. Dr.- Ing. A.
Papanikolau, Ship Design Laboraratory, NTUA
for the excellent cooperation.
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HERAKLION”, Original in Greece, 1967,
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