Overview of Land Markets Survey Conducted by NAR Research for the

REALTORS® Land Institute

Lawrence Yun, Senior Vice President & Chief EconomistJed Smith, Managing Director, Quantitative Research

Gay Cororaton, Research EconomistAugust 2014

Survey Conducted July 9 – July 31, 2014

• REALTORS® Land Institute Survey.– Surveyed 1,000 members plus

approximately 9,500 non-members.– 629 responses.

• 542 respondents provided information on membership: o 63 percent from RLI; o 80 percent are NAR members;o 13 percent are CCIM members; o 35 percent have other memberships

(e.g., ABR, ALC, ASFMRA, CIPS, CRB, CRS, CRE, GRI, SIOR, TAR, ULI, Society of American Foresters )

• Characteristics about the sale pertain to the most recent land sale transaction of the respondent.

Highlights of the NAR-RLI Land Business Survey

• Regions 3 (KY, TN, NC SC, GA, AL, MS, FL) and 4 ( KS, MO, AR, LA, OK, TX) accounted for approximately 69 percent of respondents.

• Major practice areas: Agricultural (69 percent of respondents), and Recreation (59 percent of respondents).

• Transaction and price growth, past year: 4 percent. • Individuals/families: 58 percent of buyers. • Days on market varied-- from 60 days for irrigated

agricultural land to 237 days for commercial land.• Financing: on average, 31 percent of the transaction

is financed.

RLI Regions 3 and 4: Locations of Much of Activity

Agriculture and Recreation: Leading Practice Areas

Land Sales

Type of Seller in the Most Recent Land Sales*

Price Growth, Past 12 Months (July 2013-2014)Median Price Change: 4 Percent;

Mean Price Change: 4 Percent

Sales Growth, Past 12 Months (July 2013-2014)Median Percent Sales Growth: 4 PercentMean Percent Sales Growth: 4 Percent

Agriculture and Recreation46 Percent of Most Recent Sales Transactions

Types of Land Most Recently Sold by Region*Percent of Sales Transactions

Median Acres of Most Recent Land Sale Variation by Region and Land Type

Irrigated Land Transactions44 Percent in Region 5; 14 Percent Overall

• Pricing for Agricultural Land: $5,600 per acre.

• Price varies widely for irrigated land vs. non-irrigated.– Irrigated--Very expensive in

California and Iowa.– Irrigated--Less Expensive

elsewhere• Accordingly, prices are not

broken out on following slides for irrigated vs. non-irrigated land.

Median Price of Most Recent Land Transaction Variation by Region and Land Type

Mineral Rights Conveyed in 60 Percent of Most Recent Land Sale Transactions

Land Sales Transactions With Mineral RightsVariation by Region and Land Type

Type of Land Most Recently SoldIndividual/Family

Type of Land Most Recently SoldCorporations/Partnerships

Individual and Corporate Sellers: Majority from Regions 3 and 4

Purchases

Individuals/Families: The Major Buyers

Major Types of Land TransactionsIndividual/Family Buyers: Recreation and Agriculture

Major Types of Land TransactionsCorporations/Partnerships: Commercial and Development

Major Types of Land TransactionsExpansion Farmers: Agriculture

Major Types of Land TransactionsInvestors: Diversified

Regional PurchasesIndividual/Family Buyers

Corporations/Partnerships

Regional Purchases Expansion Farmers

Investors

Market Details

Median Days on Market, By Region and Type of Land

Transaction Financing On Average, 31 Percent of the Land Value is Financed

Transaction Financing by Type of Land

Major Conclusions

• Most Prevalent Type of Land by Buyer – Individual buyers -> agriculture, recreation– Corp/partnerships-> development , commercial– Expansion farmers-> agriculture– Investors-> diversified across types of land– 1031 Exchange –> agriculture, ranch– Foreign buyers –> ranch, recreation – Others -> development

• Most Prevalent Type of Land By Region:– Region 1: development, recreation– Region 2: agriculture– Region 3: timber/ranch, recreation,– Region 4: Timber/ranch, agriculture, recreation– Region 5: agriculture, timber/ranch

Major ConclusionsPrice, Financing, and Market Growth

• Median Price: $5,125 per acre with Great Variability– Agri, irrigated: $6,000 ; Agri, non-irrigated: $5,500– Timber:$2,075 ; Ranch: $4,150– Recreation: $3,000; Development: $40,000– Commercial $96,875 ; Other: $9,125

• Median Number of Acres in Transaction: 81 with Great Variability– Agri, irrigated: 160; Agri, non-irrigated: 117– Timber: 202; Ranch: 294– Recreation: 81; Development: 17 – Commercial: 5 ; Other: 23

Major ConclusionsPrice, Financing, and Market Growth

• Median days On Market: 120 days with Great Variability. – Agri,irrig: 60 ; Agri,non-irrig: 73– Timber: 120; Ranch: 153– Recreation: 150; Development: 123– Commercial: 237 ; Other: 180

• Irrigated land: 14 percent of most recent sales.• Mineral rights: Conveyed in 60 percent of sales.

Major ConclusionsPrice, Financing, and Market Growth

• On average, 31 percent of Transaction Value is financed.

• Market Growth Over Past Year.– Median prices have changed typically at 0 to 5

percent.– Sales have changed typically also at 0 to 5

percent.