population change in texas and the united states: implications for education and the socioeconomic...

Population Change in Texas and the United States:

Implications for Education andthe Socioeconomic Future

of Texas and The United States

Steve Murdock Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of SociologyRice University

TASSCC ConferenceAustin, Texas

December 12, 2014

Total Population and Percent Population Changein Texas and the United States, 1850-2010

Total Population Percent Change

Year Texas U.S. Texas U.S.1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.61870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.61880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.01890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.51900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.71910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.01920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.91930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.11940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.21950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.51960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.01970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.41980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.41990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.82000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.22010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7

Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

3

Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States (in Millions), 2000-2012

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

8,600,000.009,400,000.009,700,000.00

10,100,000.0010,700,000.00

11,100,000.0011,600,000.00

12,200,000.0011,700,000.00

11,300,000.0011,400,000.0011,500,000.0011,200,000.00

Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C. Pew Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.

4

Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas (in Millions), 2000-2012

Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C.Pew Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0

200,000.0

400,000.0

600,000.0

800,000.0

1,000,000.0

1,200,000.0

1,400,000.0

1,600,000.0

1,800,000.0

1,050,000.001,150,000.00

1,250,000.001,350,000.00

1,400,000.001,500,000.001,500,000.00

1,550,000.001,550,000.001,600,000.00

1,650,000.001,700,000.00

1,650,000.00

Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010

Population Numeric Percent

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6

Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0

Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1

Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9

Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010

Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Total Population in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010

Total Population Change

Metropolitan Statistical Area 2000 2010 Numeric %Houston-The Woodlands-Sugarland 4,693,161 5,920,416 1,227,255 26.1Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,204,126 6,426,214 1,222,088 23.5Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3San Antonio-New Braunfels 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1El Paso 682,966 804,123 121,157 17.7Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 405,300 74,586 22.6Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2Laredo 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6College Station-Bryan 184,885 228,660 43,775 23.7Tyler 174,706 209,714 35,008 20.0Lubbock 256,250 290,805 34,555 13.5Corpus Christi 403,280 428,185 24,905 6.2Amarillo 228,707 251,933 23,226 10.2Midland 120,755 141,671 20,916 17.3Waco 232,093 252,679 20,586 8.9Longview 194,042 214,369 20,327 10.5Odessa 121,123 137,130 16,007 13.2Sherman-Denison 110,595 120,877 10,282 9.3San Angelo 105,781 111,823 6,042 5.7Texarkana* 89,306 92,565 3,259 3.6Beaumont-Port Arthur 400,162 403,190 3,028 0.8Victoria 91,016 94,003 2,987 3.3Abilene 160,245 162,252 2,007 1.3Wichita Falls 151,524 151,306 -218 -0.1Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population DivisionNote: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb. 2013. *Texas portion only.

Ten Largest States in the United States Ranked by Population Size in 2013

State April 1, 2000 April 1, 2010 July 1, 2013

Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13

Numeric % Numeric %

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,632 9.7 7,383,301 2.4

California 33,871,653 37,253,956 38,332,521 3,382,303 10.0 1,078,565 2.9Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2New York 18,977,026 19,378,102 19,651,127 401,076 2.1 273,025 1.4Florida 15,982,571 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,739 17.6 751,550 4.0Illinois 12,419,927 12,830,632 12,882,135 410,705 3.3 51,503 0.4Pennsylvania 12,280,548 12,702,379 12,773,801 421,831 3.4 71,422 0.6Ohio 11,353,336 11,536,504 11,570,808 183,168 1.6 34,304 0.3Georgia 8,186,653 9,687,653 9,992,167 1,501,000 18.3 304,514 3.1Michigan 9,938,823 9,883,640 9,895,622 -55,183 -0.6 11,982 0.1North Carolina 8,046,346 9,535,483 9,848,060 1,489,137 18.5 312,577 3.3Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase, 2010-2013



Numeric % Numeric %

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,632 9.7 7,383,301 2.4

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,293,741 20.6 1,302,632 5.2California 33,871,648 37,253,956 38,332,521 3,382,308 10.0 1,078,565 2.9Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,932 17.6 751,550 4.0North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 9,848,060 1,486,170 18.5 312,577 3.3Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 5,268,367 727,935 16.9 239,171 4.8Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 9,992,167 1,501,200 18.3 304,514 3.1Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 6,971,406 830,419 14.1 246,866 3.7Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 6,626,624 1,261,385 24.6 234,607 3.7New York 18,977,026 19,378,102 19,651,127 401,076 2.1 273,025 1.4Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 8,260,405 922,509 13.0 259,381 3.2Source: U.S. Census Bureau.



Numeric % Numeric %

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,63

29.7 7,383,301 2.4

North Dakota 642,237 672,591 723,393 30,354 4.7 50,802 7.6Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2Utah 2,233,183 2,763,885 2,900,872 530,702 23.8 136,987 5.0Colorado 4,302,086 5,029,196 5,268,367 727,110 16.9 239,171 4.8Florida 15,982,571 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,739 17.6 751,550 4.0South Dakota 754,858 814,180 844,877 59,322 7.9 30,697 3.8Arizona 5,130,247 6,392,017 6,626,624 1,261,770 24.6 234,607 3.7Washington 5,894,281 6,724,540 6,971,406 830,259 14.1 246,866 3.7Alaska 626,933 710,231 735,132 83,298 13.3 24,901 3.5Wyoming 493,786 563,626 582,658 69,840 14.1 19,032 3.4Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2013

14

Population and Population Change for Texas and the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013

Population . Change 2000 - 2010 Change 2010 - 2013*

County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Numeric Percent

Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2Harris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 6.0Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5Cameron County 334,884 406,220 417,276 71,336 21.3 11,056 2.7Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 5.3Lubbock County 242,644 278,831 289,324 36,187 14.9 10,493 3.8Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9Jefferson County 251,968 252,273 252,358 305 0.1 85 0.0Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates.*39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013

Population . Change 2000 - 2010 Change 2010 - 2013*County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Numeric PercentHarris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 6.0Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4Hays County 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 5.3Midland County 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 10.7Ector County 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates.*39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population Change 2000 - 2010 Change 2010 - 2013*

County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Numeric PercentLoving 67 82 95 15 22.4 13 15.9Andrews 13,002 14,786 16,799 1,784 13.7 2,013 13.6Kendall 23,793 33,410 37,766 9,617 40.4 4,356 13.0Hays 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0Fort Bend 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6Williamson 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5Martin 4,746 4,799 5,312 53 1.1 513 10.7Midland 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 10.7Denton 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0Montgomery 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5Travis 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4Collin 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3Comal 78,022 108,472 118,480 30,450 39.0 10,008 9.2Hemphill 3,353 3,807 4,158 454 13.5 351 9.2Crane 3,996 4,375 4,773 379 9.5 398 9.1Dimmit 10,205 9,996 10,897 -209 -2.0 901 9.0Ector 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9Guadalupe 88,856 131,537 143,183 42,677 48.0 11,646 8.9Rockwall 43,023 78,337 85,245 35,314 82.1 6,908 8.8McMullen 847 707 764 -140 -16.5 57 8.1*Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold.*39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.

Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change Percent of Total Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change 2000 2010

NH White 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 10.8 52.4 45.3

Hispanic (All Races) 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 65.0 32.0 37.6

NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 12.2 11.3 11.5

NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 9.2 2.7 3.8

NH Other 330,141 452,044 121,903 36.9 2.8 1.6 1.8

Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0 100.0

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White 8,426,166 9,074,684 648,518 7.7 19.6 56.3 49.6


NH Black 1,631,448 2,076,282 444,834 27.3 13.4 10.9 11.4

NH Asian 415,219 716,968 301,749 72.7 9.1 2.8 3.9

NH Other 209,327 268,659 59,332 28.3 1.8 1.4 1.5

Total 14,965,061 18,279,737 3,314,676 22.1 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White 2,507,147 2,322,661 -184,486 -7.4 -18.8 42.6 33.8

Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,765 3,317,777 931,012 39.0 95.1 40.5 48.3

NH Black 732,807 810,543 77,736 10.6 7.9 12.4 11.8

NH Asian 139,226 231,458 92,232 66.2 9.4 2.4 3.4

NH Other 120,814 183,385 62,571 51.8 6.4 2.1 2.7

Total 5,886,759 6,865,824 979,065 16.6 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010



NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7


NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2

NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7

NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0

Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010



NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5


NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0

NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3

NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 31.2 47.8 4.0 5.1

Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the

Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change Percent of

Total Change

Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of

Total Change 2000 2010

NH* White 758,302 938,474 180,172 23.8 38.6 60.7 54.7

NH Black 96,746 120,510 23,764 24.6 5.1 7.7 7.0

Hispanic 327,760 538,313 210,553 64.2 45.1 26.2 31.4

NH Asian & Other 66,955 118,992 52,037 77.7 11.2 5.4 6.9

Total 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3 100.0 100.0 100.0

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the

Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010


Total Change



NH* White 161,723 182,346 20,623 12.8 17.5 51.0 41.9

NH Black 28,862 32,637 3,775 13.1 3.2 9.1 7.5

Hispanic 109,686 185,913 76,227 69.5 64.8 34.6 42.8

NH Asian & Other 16,751 33,864 17,113 102.2 14.5 5.3 7.8

Total 317,022 434,760 117,738 37.1 100.0 100.0 100.0


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington

Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010


Total Change



NH* White 3,081,734 3,248,509 166,775 5.4 13.6 59.3 50.5

NH Black 707,490 941,599 234,109 33.1 19.2 13.6 14.7

Hispanic 1,121,442 1,758,738 637,296 56.8 52.2 21.5 27.4

NH Asian & Other 293,460 477,368 183,908 62.7 15.0 5.6 7.4

Total 5,204,126 6,426,214 1,222,088 23.5 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010


Total Change



NH* White 735,112 699,178 -35,934 -4.9 -11.1 50.2 39.1

NH Black 227,185 277,206 50,021 22.0 15.4 15.6 15.5

Hispanic 410,193 661,960 251,767 61.4 77.5 28.1 37.1

NH Asian & Other 88,486 147,481 58,995 66.7 18.2 6.1 8.3

Total 1,460,976 1,785,825 324,849 22.2 100.0 100.0 100.0


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land

Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010


Total Change



NH* White 2,256,857 2,340,268 83,411 3.7 6.8 48.1 39.6

NH Black 781,159 996,221 215,062 27.5 17.5 16.6 16.8

Hispanic 1,352,393 2,096,532 744,139 55.0 60.7 28.8 35.4

NH Asian & Other 302,752 487,395 184,643 61.0 15.0 6.5 8.2

Total 4,693,161 5,920,416 1,227,255 26.1 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land



Total Change



NH* White 542,563 494,054 -48,509 -8.9 -16.5 39.8 29.8

NH Black 244,702 282,991 38,289 15.6 13.0 18.0 17.1

Hispanic 489,495 744,227 254,732 52.0 86.8 35.9 45.0

NH Asian & Other 85,634 134,692 49,058 57.3 16.7 6.3 8.1

Total 1,362,394 1,655,964 293,570 21.5 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels



Total Change



NH* White 696,316 773,807 77,491 11.1 18.0 40.7 36.1

NH Black 102,441 130,070 27,629 27.0 6.4 6.0 6.1

Hispanic 863,162 1,158,148 294,986 34.2 68.5 50.4 54.0

NH Asian & Other 49,784 80,483 30,699 61.7 7.1 2.9 3.8

Total 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels



Total Change



NH* White 151,728 148,028 -3,700 -2.4 -4.1 31.2 25.7

NH Black 30,007 33,517 3,510 11.7 3.9 6.2 5.8

Hispanic 289,103 370,886 81,783 28.3 90.9 59.6 64.5

NH Asian & Other 14,784 23,139 8,355 56.5 9.3 3.0 4.0

Total 485,622 575,570 89,948 18.5 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013.*NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010

Race/

Ethnicity

1999 2010

Population in Poverty

%Median

Household Income*


%Median

Household Income*

NH White 16,026,542 8.3 $59,221 21,831,928 10.8 $53,988

Hispanic (All Races) 7,797,874 22.6 $44,079 12,583,542 24.8 $40,165

NH Black 7,970,165 24.8 $38,541 10,270,229 27.1 $33,568

NH Asian 1,241,291 12.6 $68,020 1,806,217 12.4 $67,142

Total 33,899,812 12.4 $54,966 47,330,502 15.3 $50,046

*In 2010 Dollars.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey

Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total.


Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010

Race/

Ethnicity

1999 2010


%Median

Household Income*


%Median

Household Income*

NH White 856,055 7.9 $61,542 1,111,251 9.5 $59,517

Hispanic (All Races) 1,658,434 25.4 $39,101 2,555,080 26.8 $37,087

Black 515,859 23.3 $38,378 717,458 24.7 $35,674

Asian 63,598 11.7 $65,633 120,601 12.6 $64,191

Total 3,117,609 15.4 $52,260 4,521,023 17.9 $48,615

*In 2010 Dollars.


Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total.


Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010

Race/

Ethnicity

1999 2010

Population in

Poverty%

Median Household

Income*


%Median

Household Income*

NH White 52,995 7.0 $70,307 87,639 9.3 $64,893

Hispanic (All Races) 57,897 18.1 $50,599 139,333 25.6 $39,843

NH Black 15,932 17.8 $47,130 29,904 24.4 $38,465

Asian 6,502 15.6 $64,801 11,352 13.9 $67,317

Total 134,589 11.1 $63,905 274,801 15.9 $55,744

*In 2010 Dollars



Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010

Race/

Ethnicity

1999 2010

Population in

Poverty%

Median Household

Income*


%Median

Household Income*

NH White 168,399 5.5 $72,291 234,244 7.3 $66,611


NH Black 134,474 19.7 $43,070 220,867 23.6 $37,539

Asian 19,165 10.0 $72,049 37,441 11.0 $70,006

Total 547,385 10.8 $63,245 934,827 14.6 $54,449

*In 2010 Dollars



Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010

Race/

Ethnicity

1999 2010

Population in

Poverty%

Median Household

Income*


%Median

Household Income*

NH White 142,906 6.2 $73,353 167,593 7.1 $72,480


NH Black 167,271 22.0 $41,210 223,990 22.2 $39,638

Asian 25,338 11.4 $67,702 50,732 12.9 $67,333

Total 635,349 13.7 $58,497 986,220 16.5 $53,942

*In 2010 Dollars



Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010

Race/

Ethnicity

1999 2010

Population in

Poverty%

Median Household

Income*


%Median

Household Income*

NH White 47,870 6.9 $63,329 57,496 7.4 $63,067


NH Black 17,941 19.0 $42,457 24,354 18.5 $39,004

Asian 2,277 9.8 $53,032 4,778 11.1 $56,056

Total 252,311 15.1 $51,091 351,737 16.3 $50,225

*In 2010 Dollars



Percent of the Population Age 25 and Older in the United States and Texas with Less Than High School

Diploma/GED by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

United States Texas0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

9.3 8

37.840.4

17.9

13.714.5 14.315.2

9.3

14.4

19.3

NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Asian NH Other Total

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin, Texas, 2010

Race/ Ethnicity*

Population Age 25 and

Older

Less than High

School

High School

Diploma

Some College or Associates

Degree

Bachelor Degree or

More NH White 277,412 2.6 12.6 26.0 58.8 Black 39,246 12.1 26.7 39.3 19.6 Hispanic 150,364 38.8 24.3 19.1 17.7 Asian 27,243 6.6 10.8 13.3 69.3 NH Other 7,767 2.5 24.9 46.3 39.5 Total 502,032 14.4 17.3 24.6 43.7


Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey


Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas, Texas, 2010

Race/ Ethnicity*


Older

Less than High

School

High School

Diploma


Degree

Bachelor Degree or

More NH White 268,234 4.8 14.5 23.5 57.2 NH Black 184,582 16.4 35.6 33.1 14.9 Hispanic 269,886 56.4 23.8 12.2 7.6 Asian 24,484 18.7 10.7 16.2 54.4 NH Other 12,662 11.2 14.2 36.5 38.1 Total 759,848 26.5 22.8 21.8 28.9




Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Houston, Texas, 2010

Race/ Ethnicity*


Older

Less than High

School

High School

Diploma


Degree

Bachelor Degree or

More NH White 419,889 5.6 16.0 25.9 52.5 NH Black 308,640 15.5 31.6 34.9 18.0 Hispanic 501,734 50.9 22.8 16.4 9.8 Asian 91,939 15.8 15.0 17.1 52.1 NH Other 14,936 16.0 17.3 34.5 35.7 Total 1,337,138 25.7 22.1 23.9 28.3




Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio, Texas, 2010

Race/ Ethnicity*


Older

Less than High

School

High School

Diploma


Degree

Bachelor Degree or

More NH White 258,022 5.4 19.0 33.4 42.2 NH Black 50,168 12.9 24.3 41.8 21.0 Hispanic 488,603 28.7 29.9 28.7 12.7 Asian 20,093 11.7 15.2 21.4 51.6 NH Other 9,581 6.7 12.6 30.0 42.0 Total 826,467 19.8 25.6 30.8 23.7




PROJECTIONS

U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060

Year

(Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands)Non-Hispanic

Hispanic (any race)

Total White alone Black alone Asian alone

All other races

2010 196,818 37,686 14,465 9,299 50,478 308,746

2020 199,312 41,776 18,246 10,778 63,784 333,896

2030 198,818 45,452 22,044 13,502 78,655 358,471

2040 193,887 48,769 25,881 16,603 94,876 380,016

2050 186,334 51,988 29,583 20,166 111,732 399,803

2060 178,952 55,302 33,106 24,128 128,780 420,268

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)

NH White NH Black NH Asian NH Other Hispanic (any race)

Total-20.0

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

-17.9

17.6 18.6 14.8

78.3

111.5


Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060

Non-Hispanic Black alone

14%

Non-Hispanic Asian alone

14%

Non-Hispanic Other 11%

Hispanic 61%


Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060

Age Group(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Under 5 years 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9

5 to 19 years 20.4 18.8 18.6 18.1 17.8 17.7

20 to 44 years 33.6 33.0 32.3 31.5 31.6 31.3

45 to 64 years 26.4 24.9 22.6 23.3 23.7 23.2

65 years and over 13.1 16.8 20.3 21.0 20.9 21.9


Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010

Age Group

Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1

Non-Hispanic

Hispanic (any race) Total

White alone

Black alone

Asian alone

All other races

Total 63.8 12.2 4.7 3.0 16.3 100.0Under 5 years 50.8 13.6 4.3 6.0 25.3 100.05 to 17 years 54.5 14.1 4.3 4.8 22.3 100.018 to 24 years 57.1 14.3 4.9 3.6 20.1 100.025 to 44 years 59.6 12.6 5.9 2.7 19.2 100.045 to 64 years 71.7 11.3 4.4 2.0 10.6 100.065 years and over 80.0 8.4 3.4 1.3 6.9 100.0

Elderly Age Groups

65 to 74 years 78.0 9.1 3.8 1.5 7.6 100.075 to 84 years 81.2 7.8 3.2 1.2 6.6 100.085 years and over 84.9 6.8 2.5 0.9 4.9 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060

Age Group

Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1

Non-HispanicHispanic (any race) Total

White alone

Black alone

Asian alone

All other races

Total 42.6 13.2 7.9 5.7 30.6 100.0Under 5 years 30.9 13.0 6.6 9.9 39.6 100.05 to 17 years 33.6 13.2 6.8 9.0 37.4 100.018 to 24 years 35.8 13.2 7.2 7.7 36.1 100.025 to 44 years 39.0 13.5 8.5 6.0 33.0 100.045 to 64 years 45.3 13.4 8.7 4.4 28.2 100.065 years and over 55.8 12.5 7.7 2.7 21.3 100.0

Elderly Age Groups

65 to 74 years 52.5 13.6 8.0 3.1 22.8 100.075 to 84 years 56.7 11.7 7.9 2.5 21.2 100.085 years and over 62.7 10.9 6.7 2.1 17.6 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age

and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration

62

Year NH1 White NH Black HispanicNH Asian &

Other2 Total

Assuming Zero Net Migration

2010 11,397,345 2,886,825 9,460,921 1,400,470 25,145,5612020 11,576,595 3,122,637 11,137,672 1,536,693 27,373,5972030 11,501,020 3,280,941 12,869,753 1,638,249 29,289,9632040 11,182,576 3,355,500 14,570,851 1,714,232 30,823,1592050 10,766,622 3,366,528 16,191,150 1,728,206 32,052,506

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010

2010 11,397,345 2,886,825 9,460,921 1,400,470 25,145,5612020 11,752,530 3,295,198 12,031,059 1,825,130 28,903,9172030 11,850,180 3,658,997 15,082,058 2,309,763 32,900,9982040 11,676,157 3,951,909 18,489,803 2,881,525 36,999,3942050 11,376,576 4,182,155 22,268,390 3,483,178 41,310,299

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010

2010 11,397,345 2,886,825 9,460,921 1,400,470 25,145,5612020 11,931,815 3,477,928 13,003,159 2,170,409 30,583,3112030 12,211,664 4,080,453 17,702,132 3,288,536 37,282,7852040 12,194,151 4,653,725 23,514,974 4,953,861 45,316,7112050 12,024,913 5,195,861 30,701,208 7,283,548 55,205,530

1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net

Migration for the State of Texas

Year NH1 White NH Black HispanicNH Asian& Other2 Total

Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0)

2010 45.3 11.5 37.6 5.6 100.02020 42.3 11.4 40.7 5.6 100.02030 39.3 11.2 43.9 5.6 100.02040 36.3 10.9 47.2 5.6 100.02050 33.6 10.5 50.5 5.4 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5)

2010 45.3 11.5 37.6 5.6 100.02020 40.7 11.4 41.6 6.3 100.02030 36.0 11.1 45.8 7.1 100.02040 31.6 10.7 50.0 7.7 100.02050 27.5 10.2 53.9 8.4 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0)

2010 45.3 11.5 37.6 5.6 100.02020 39.0 11.4 42.5 7.1 100.02030 32.8 10.9 47.5 8.8 100.02040 26.9 10.3 51.9 10.9 100.02050 21.8 9.4 55.6 13.2 100.0


Percent of Net Change in Population from 2010 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age

and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for State of Texas

64

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent

Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0)

NH1 White -630,723 -9.1NH Black 479,703 6.9Hispanic 6,730,229 97.4NH Asian & Other2 327,736 4.8Total 6,906,945 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5)

NH White -20,769 -0.1NH Black 1,295,330 8.0Hispanic 12,807,469 79.2NH Asian & Other 2,082,708 12.9Total 16,164,738 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0)

NH White 627,568 2.1NH Black 2,309,036 7.7Hispanic 21,240,287 70.7NH Asian & Other 5,883,078 19.5Total 30,059,969 100.0


Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050

Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0)

65

Age NH1 White NH Black HispanicNH Asian& Other2 Total

2010

<18 20.4 28.1 35.1 29.6 27.318-24 8.7 11.2 11.7 10.2 10.225-44 25.7 29.1 30.1 32.3 28.245-64 29.8 24.0 17.5 21.4 24.065+ 15.4 7.6 5.6 6.5 10.3

2030

<18 19.3 23.4 29.7 21.7 24.918-24 7.5 9.6 10.8 11.5 9.625-44 23.0 27.2 29.9 31.6 27.545-64 24.3 24.2 19.8 24.1 22.265+ 25.9 15.6 9.8 11.1 15.8

2050

<18 18.2 20.7 27.3 21.9 24.018-24 7.4 8.9 10.6 8.6 9.425-44 23.0 25.5 27.8 30.5 26.945-64 23.7 25.6 21.4 24.9 22.865+ 27.7 19.3 12.9 14.1 16.9


Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the

State of Texas (Scenario 1.0)

66

Age NH1 White NH Black HispanicNH Asian& Other2 Total

2010

<18 33.8 11.8 48.3 6.0 100.0

18-24 38.7 12.6 43.2 5.5 100.0

25-44 41.5 11.9 40.2 6.4 100.0

45-64 56.1 11.5 27.4 5.0 100.0

65+ 67.6 8.4 20.5 3.5 100.0

2030

<18 25.4 10.3 56.6 7.7 100.0

18-24 25.5 10.9 53.0 10.6 100.0

25-44 27.3 10.8 51.7 10.1 100.0

45-64 36.0 12.0 42.4 9.6 100.0

65+ 53.6 10.8 29.4 6.2 100.0

2050

<18 16.5 8.1 63.4 12.0 100.0

18-24 17.1 8.9 62.0 12.0 100.0

25-44 18.6 8.9 57.5 15.0 100.0

45-64 22.7 10.5 52.4 14.4 100.0

65+ 35.7 10.8 42.5 11.0 100.0


67

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in

Texas Counties, 2010

67

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in

Texas Counties, 2050*

68* Assuming rates of net migration equal to 2000-2010

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

for Harris County

Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian &

Other Total 2010 1,349,646 754,258 1,671,540 317,015 4,092,459

Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration

2020 1,370,357 819,903 1,994,717 347,798 4,532,7752030 1,342,716 858,777 2,316,580 363,946 4,882,0192040 1,278,423 876,137 2,643,875 371,176 5,169,6112050 1,198,102 876,475 2,946,940 370,587 5,392,104

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010

2020 1,313,873 840,336 2,153,854 400,856 4,708,9192030 1,232,849 901,576 2,698,721 482,625 5,315,7712040 1,118,087 934,326 3,289,505 563,900 5,905,8182050 998,149 945,431 3,909,739 646,530 6,499,849

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010

2020 1,255,205 856,198 2,319,477 459,092 4,889,9722030 1,113,765 921,946 3,099,887 637,362 5,772,9602040 944,770 935,982 3,927,987 851,405 6,660,1442050 784,522 905,382 4,767,431 1,115,138 7,572,473

Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios

of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County


Other Total 2010 33.0 18.4 40.8 7.7 100.0


2020 30.2 18.1 44.0 7.7 100.02030 27.5 17.6 47.5 7.5 100.02040 24.7 16.9 51.1 7.2 100.02050 22.2 16.3 54.7 6.9 100.0


2020 27.9 17.8 45.7 8.5 100.02030 23.2 17.0 50.8 9.1 100.02040 18.9 15.8 55.7 9.5 100.02050 15.4 14.5 60.2 9.9 100.0


2020 25.7 17.5 47.4 9.4 100.02030 19.3 16.0 53.7 11.0 100.02040 14.2 14.1 59.0 12.8 100.02050 10.4 12.0 63.0 14.7 100.0



for Dallas County


Other Total 2010 784,693 518,732 905,940 158,774 2,368,139


2020 785,498 570,153 1,107,349 177,105 2,640,1052030 753,645 605,355 1,318,991 186,873 2,864,8642040 701,895 627,756 1,545,129 193,673 3,068,4532050 648,778 640,542 1,772,394 196,091 3,257,805


2020 701,757 581,409 1,155,350 198,537 2,637,0532030 597,468 627,910 1,435,586 231,333 2,892,2972040 491,394 656,513 1,742,378 264,046 3,154,3312050 401,233 671,539 2,070,126 295,884 3,438,782


2020 624,417 588,760 1,201,188 221,701 2,636,0662030 464,572 634,100 1,538,137 285,943 2,922,7522040 329,773 645,278 1,881,934 358,341 3,215,3262050 231,828 625,457 2,221,784 443,121 3,522,190


Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative

Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County


Other Total 2010 33.1 21.9 38.3 6.7 100.0


2020 29.8 21.6 41.9 6.7 100.02030 26.3 21.1 46.0 6.5 100.02040 22.9 20.5 50.4 6.3 100.02050 19.9 19.7 54.4 6.0 100.0


2020 26.6 22.0 43.8 7.5 100.02030 20.7 21.7 49.6 8.0 100.02040 15.6 20.8 55.2 8.4 100.02050 11.7 19.5 60.2 8.6 100.0


2020 23.7 22.3 45.6 8.4 100.02030 15.9 21.7 52.6 9.8 100.02040 10.3 20.1 58.5 11.1 100.02050 6.6 17.8 63.1 12.6 100.0



for Bexar County


Other Total 2010 519,123 118,460 1,006,958 70,232 1,714,773


2020 528,196 128,549 1,146,274 77,163 1,880,1822030 520,278 135,508 1,276,112 81,862 2,013,7602040 501,507 139,706 1,389,461 84,628 2,115,3022050 481,423 143,029 1,486,500 84,692 2,195,644


2020 525,902 136,229 1,217,709 94,201 1,974,0412030 516,916 152,390 1,439,718 122,526 2,231,5502040 493,614 165,672 1,654,245 154,723 2,468,2542050 469,414 177,610 1,860,268 188,376 2,695,668


2020 522,129 143,464 1,285,885 114,371 2,065,8492030 505,748 166,495 1,590,232 183,992 2,446,4672040 469,453 184,464 1,875,503 287,647 2,817,0672050 432,051 195,931 2,122,756 430,044 3,180,782



Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County


Other Total 2010 30.3 6.9 58.7 4.1 100.0


2020 28.1 6.8 61.0 4.1 100.02030 25.8 6.7 63.4 4.1 100.02040 23.7 6.6 65.7 4.0 100.02050 21.9 6.5 67.7 3.9 100.0


2020 26.6 6.9 61.7 4.8 100.02030 23.2 6.8 64.5 5.5 100.02040 20.0 6.7 67.0 6.3 100.02050 17.4 6.6 69.0 7.0 100.0


2020 25.3 6.9 62.2 5.5 100.02030 20.7 6.8 65.0 7.5 100.02040 16.7 6.5 66.6 10.2 100.02050 13.6 6.2 66.7 13.5 100.0



for Travis County


Other Total 2010 517,644 82,805 342,766 81,051 1,024,266


2020 542,467 88,465 411,771 90,150 1,132,8532030 536,215 91,785 478,734 95,689 1,202,4232040 513,780 92,461 549,628 100,435 1,256,3042050 486,487 91,175 616,939 102,802 1,297,403


2020 564,581 90,350 439,296 106,656 1,200,8832030 573,841 95,516 545,978 132,872 1,348,2072040 558,255 97,481 666,649 162,469 1,484,8542050 545,614 96,850 794,234 194,266 1,630,964


2020 588,721 91,589 467,601 125,349 1,273,2602030 614,740 96,704 614,488 182,710 1,508,6422040 598,425 96,434 777,758 260,243 1,732,8602050 591,906 91,337 944,620 362,957 1,990,820



Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County


Other Total 2010 50.5 8.1 33.5 7.9 100.0


2020 47.9 7.8 36.3 8.0 100.02030 44.6 7.6 39.8 8.0 100.02040 40.9 7.4 43.7 8.0 100.02050 37.5 7.0 47.6 7.9 100.0


2020 47.0 7.5 36.6 8.9 100.02030 42.6 7.1 40.5 9.9 100.02040 37.6 6.6 44.9 10.9 100.02050 33.5 5.9 48.7 11.9 100.0


2020 46.2 7.2 36.7 9.8 100.02030 40.7 6.4 40.7 12.1 100.02040 34.5 5.6 44.9 15.0 100.02050 29.7 4.6 47.4 18.2 100.0


TEXAS EDUCATION

Education Level Is Related to Employment and Earnings

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter 2013 80

Unemployment Rate Median Weekly Earnings

Median: $827Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6%

Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010

OccupationsLess Than

High SchoolHigh School

/GEDBachelor's

DegreeGraduate/

Prof Degree

NH White

Managerial & Professional $ 72,446 $ 84,504 $ 120,792 $ 149,819Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64,179 112,843 130,471 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94,875 119,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64,975 114,698 144,714

NH Black

Managerial & Professional $ 47,483 $ 52,186 $ 84,758 $ 99,073Technical, Sales, & Admin. 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 Operatives and Laborers 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707

Total 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490

Hispanic


NH Asian & Other


Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and

Higher by Race/Ethnicity, 1990-2010

Educational Attainment Level

NH White* NH Black Hispanic

NH Asian & Other Total

1990

High School and Higher 81.5 66.2 44.6 79.1 72.1

College and Higher 25.2 12.0 7.3 41.3 20.3

2000



2010



* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.

General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and

Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010

Expenditures

Percent Change 2000-20102000 2010

Program TotalPer

Student TotalPer

Student TotalPer

Student

Total Elementary and Secondary $29,237,537,256 $7,308 $36,491,096,511

$7,527.28 24.8 3.0

Bilingual/ESL 747,953,827 1,509 1,295,663,024 1,662 73.2 10.1Gifted and Talented 311,414,735 930 418,034,678 1,136 34.2 22.2

Special Education 2,202,643,405 4,513 4,800,227,933 10,779 117.9 138.8

Career and Technology Education* 717,482,374 969 1,009,165,942 982 40.7 1.4

Total Public Colleges andPublic Universities 3,406,851,607 4,079 3,746,005,091 2,935 10.0 -28.1

Note: Enrollment data based upon 1999-2000 and 2009-10 school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution.Source: Texas Education Agency, 1999-00, Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System and 2000-10 State Profile Report; 2009-10 and 1999-00, Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2009-2010 and1999-2000 Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.

Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the

Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas

Year NHa White NH Black HispanicNH Asian & Other Total

Total Public Education (All Levels)*2010 2,137,393 832,202 2,805,785 348,791 6,124,1712020 2,109,148 874,294 3,490,796 533,046 7,007,2842030 2,128,376 955,194 4,428,574 682,196 8,194,3402040 2,037,804 1,028,997 5,778,539 973,986 9,819,3262050 1,979,109 1,095,342 7,207,206 1,469,755 11,751,412

Public Elementary and Secondary Schools2010 1,547,693 632,401 2,398,684 269,066 4,847,8442020 1,548,792 646,756 2,917,449 406,755 5,519,7522030 1,577,470 706,263 3,715,984 480,533 6,480,2502040 1,479,111 754,173 4,865,439 726,452 7,825,1752050 1,446,198 798,125 6,012,677 1,109,443 9,366,443Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 2011-2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for 1980-2010, 2011.*Excludes public health related educational institutions.

Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and

Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas

Year NH White NH Black HispanicNH Asian

& OtherTotal Public Education (All Levels)*

2010 34.9 13.6 45.8 5.72020 30.1 12.5 49.8 7.62030 26.0 11.7 54.0 8.32040 20.8 10.5 58.8 9.92050 16.8 9.3 61.3 12.6

Public Elementary and Secondary Schools2010 31.9 13.0 49.5 5.62020 28.1 11.7 52.9 7.32030 24.3 10.9 57.3 7.52040 18.9 9.6 62.2 9.32050 15.4 8.5 64.2 11.9Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data for Public School Students for 1980-2010, 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 2011-2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for 1980-2010, 2011.*Excludes public health related educational institutions.Note: Enrollment data based on 2009-10 school years.

Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010

Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas

Year NH White* NH Black HispanicNH Asian & Other Total

Public Community Colleges

2010 314,976 130,786 263,600 37,261 746,6232020 299,721 149,167 370,868 58,999 878,7552030 296,231 163,939 459,618 92,693 1,012,4812040 297,987 181,123 590,855 117,643 1,187,6082050 285,152 196,248 771,788 170,627 1,423,815

Public Universities

2010 274,724 69,015 143,501 42,464 529,7042020 260,635 78,371 202,479 67,292 608,7772030 254,675 84,992 252,972 108,970 701,6092040 260,706 93,701 322,245 129,891 806,5432050 247,759 100,969 422,741 189,685 961,154

Total Public Colleges and Universities

2010 589,700 199,801 407,101 79,725 1,276,3272020 560,356 227,538 573,347 126,291 1,487,5322030 550,906 248,931 712,590 201,663 1,714,0902040 558,693 274,824 913,100 247,534 1,994,1512050 532,911 297,217 1,194,529 360,312 2,384,969* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and

Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas

Year NH White* NH Black HispanicNH Asian & Other

Public Community Colleges

2010 42.2 17.5 35.3 5.02020 34.1 17.0 42.2 6.72030 29.3 16.2 45.4 9.12040 25.1 15.3 49.8 9.82050 20.0 13.8 54.2 12.0

Public Universities

2010 51.9 13.0 27.1 8.02020 42.8 12.9 33.3 11.02030 36.3 12.1 36.1 15.52040 32.3 11.6 40.0 16.12050 25.8 10.5 44.0 19.7

Total Public Colleges and Universities

2010 46.2 15.7 31.9 6.22020 37.7 15.3 38.5 8.52030 32.1 14.5 41.6 11.82040 28.0 13.8 45.8 12.42050 22.3 12.5 50.1 15.1Note: Enrollment data based upon 2009-10 school years.* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and

Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000-2010 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Year NH White* NH Black HispanicNH Asian

& OtherTotal

Public Community Colleges2010-20 -4.8 14.1 40.7 58.3 22.7

2020-30 -1.2 9.9 23.9 57.1 17.92030-40 0.6 10.5 28.6 26.9 19.8

2040-50 -4.3 8.4 30.6 45.0 22.9

2010-50 -9.5 50.1 192.8 357.9 112.9Public Universities

2010-20 -5.1 13.6 41.1 58.5 17.9

2020-30 -2.3 8.4 24.9 61.9 17.32030-40 2.4 10.2 27.4 19.2 15.9

2040-50 -5.0 7.8 31.2 46.0 20.9

2010-50 -9.8 46.3 194.6 346.7 93.8Total Public Colleges and Universities

2010-20 -5.0 13.8 40.8 58.4 20.4

2020-30 -1.8 9.2 24.3 60.0 17.62030-40 1.6 10.4 28.1 22.3 18.1

2040-50 -4.7 8.1 30.8 45.6 22.0

2010-50 -9.7 48.3 193.4 351.3 104.0* NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.

Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure

Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Current Assuming Race/Ethnicity Specific

Rates

Avg. Rates of Closure, 1980-2010

Full Closure to White Rates for 2050

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

$80,000

$90,000

$100,000

$49,165$45,081

$62,915

$89,332

20502010

Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure

Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Current

Assum

ing R

ace/

Ethnic

ity S

pecifi

c Rat

es

Avg. R

ates

of C

losu

re, 1

980-

2010

Full Clo

sure

to W

hite R

ates

for 2

050

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

17.820.9 20.3

11.9

20502010

Aggregat

e House

hold In

com

e

Aggregat

e Net

Worth

Avera

ge House

hold In

com

e

Net W

orth P

er H

ousehold

Household

s in

Pove

rty

Consum

er E

xpen

diture

s

Tax R

even

ue-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

35.3

16.1

-5.0

-18.5

64.4

31.827.4

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

Households: 42.4%

Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in U. S. Households, 2010 - 2060

The mark of a truly educated man is to be

moved deeply by statistics.

George Bernard Shaw

FOR MORE INFORMATION INCLUDING

PURCHASE INFORMATION, CONTACT:

TEXAS A&M PRESS800-826-8911

FAX: 888-617-2421WWW.TAMUPRESS.COM

OR GO TO:HTTP

://THETEXASCHALLENGE.COM/102

http://www.tamupress.com/

http://thetexaschallenge.com/

http://thetexaschallenge.com/

Steve MurdockPhone: 210-867-4385

E-mail: [email protected]: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu

mailto:[email protected]

population change in texas and the united states: implications for education and the socioeconomic...

Documents

population values

census bureautotal population

thelargest numeric population

pew hispanic center

dvera cohn

numerical change

census bureau decennial

fort hood