putnam lifetime income survey 2013
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48% 59%LIS 68%
78%88%
106%
121%
LIS
LIS
LIS
LIS
LIS
LIS
0% 0.01 – 4% 4 – 6% 6 – 8 % 8 – 10% 10% + 15% +
Top 3 characteristics of those most prepared for retirement
If your goal is to continue to enjoy your current income level in retirement, how could you get there?
Top 3 characteristics of those most prepared for retirement
Have you considered the impact of future health-care expenses on your retirement savings?
The Putnam Lifetime Income ScoreSM (LIS) survey estimates the percentage of income a household is likely to replace in retirement.
The LIS incorporates a range of factors including projections for Social Security, retirement
plan assets, personal savings, home equity, business value, inheritance, and the impact of
mortality rates associated with several chronic health conditions. Introduced in 2011 and
conducted with Brightwork Partners, the 2013 survey included more than 4,000 households.
The average score was 61. A lower score indicates a lower probability of replacing sufficient
income in retirement. A score of 100 would indicate a high probability of replacing 100% of
income in retirement.
While most households surveyed indicated they were interested in a retirement planning tool to estimate future health-care expenses, only a fraction had a written, financial plan that included health care.
They have access to an employer-sponsored retirement savings plan, like a 401(k), which helps them achieve a higher Lifetime Income Score.
They save at least 10% of their current income in their plan, which can help elevate their Lifetime Income Score.
They use the services of a professional financial advisor.
Lifetime Income Score of those who worked with an advisor on a written plan that includes anticipated health-care costs in retirement
Lifetime Income Score of those with no written plan
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Access is not enough. Participation is also a critical factor in boosting one’s ability to prepare financially for retirement.
The most important factor in the determination of retirement preparedness is financial behavior — specifically, the propensity to save.
Households working with a financial advisor had higher Lifetime Income Scores, were more confident about having sufficient savings in retirement, and invested higher allocations to stocks and bonds than to cash.
Professionally advisedAverage asset allocations Average asset allocations
Non-advised
At age 65 in 2013
At age 65 in 2020
$122,000
$208,000
$139,000
$255,000 $255,000
$454,000
Single man Single woman Married couple
Health-care expenses are a significant part of spending in retirement
While most anticipate rising expenses, only 1 in 10 households have a formal financial plan that factors in health-care costs.
Estimated savings needed for Medicare premiums and
out-of-pocket expenses in retirement*
Contribution Rate
58%98%
The Putnam Lifetime Income Survey, with research methodology provided by the Putnam Institute, was conducted online by Brightwork Partners and completed in January 2013. The survey of 4,089 working adults age 18 to 65 was weighted to U.S. Census parameters for all working adults.
* Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI), December 2010 (10-year projection); October 2013 (2013 data). Calculations are based on a 90% chance of covering out-of-pocket health expenses in retirement.
IMPORTANT: The projections, or other information generated by the Lifetime Income Score regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes, are hypothetical in nature. They do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results. The results may vary with each use and over time.
The Putnam Lifetime Income ScoreSM represents an estimate of the percentage of current income that an individual might need to replace from savings in order to fund retirement expenses. This income estimate is based on the individual’s amount of current savings as well as future contributions to savings (as provided by participants in the survey) and includes investments in 401(k) plans, IRAs, taxable accounts, variable annuities, cash value of life insurance, and income from defined benefit pension plans. It also includes future wage growth from present age (e.g., 45) to the retirement age of 65 (1% greater than the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W)) as well an estimate for future Social Security benefits.
Our calculations also take into account mortality rates for a variety of commonly diagnosed health conditions, including high blood pressure, high cholesterol, type 2 diabetes, cancer of any type, and cardiovascular disease of any type apart from high blood pressure. In addition, the model also takes into account the consistent use of tobacco on a household basis.
The Lifetime Income Score estimate is derived from the present value discounting of the future cash flows associated with an individual’s retirement savings and expenses. It incorporates the uncertainty around investment returns (consistent with historical return volatility) as well as the mortality uncertainty that creates a retirement horizon of indeterminate length. Specifically, the Lifetime Income Score procedure begins with the selection of a present value discount rate based on the individual’s current retirement asset allocation (stocks, bonds, and cash). A rate is determined from historical returns such that 90% of the empirical observations of the returns associated with the asset allocation are greater than the selected discount rate. This rate is then used for all discounting of the survival probability-weighted cash flows to derive a present value of a retirement plan.
Alternative spending levels in retirement are examined in conjunction with our discounting process until the present value of cash flows is exactly zero. The spending level that generates a zero retirement plan present value is the income estimate selected as the basis for the Lifetime Income Score. In other words, it is an income level that is consistent with a 90% confidence in funding retirement. It is viewed as a “sustainable” spending level and one that is an appropriate benchmark for retirement planning.
The survey is not a prediction, and results may be higher or lower based on actual market returns. Putnam Retail Management 282576 11/13
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6145 100 125+
61%LIS
Least prepared
With an LIS of less than 45,
the least prepared households
are at risk of running out of
money during retirement.
Average
Average households have
an LIS of 61 and anticipate
replacing at least 61% of
current income in retirement.
Best prepared
The best prepared
households have an LIS
of 100 or more and share
several common traits.
80%LIS
56%LIS
StocksStocks
Bonds
Bonds
Cash
Cash
80%LIS
56%LIS
StocksStocks
Bonds
Bonds
Cash
Cash
30% of the U.S. population have no access to an employer-sponsored retirement plan, such as a 401(k).
70% of households were eligible for an employer-based retirement savings plan.
55% of the population have access to a defined contribution plan like a 401(k) and are actively participating.
79%LIS
73%LIS
41%LIS
LISLIS