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Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Angelos Georgiou18 May 2017
QUALITY AT THE RIGHT PRICEIn the Bulgarian consumer’s mind
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NEW SLIDE CHANNEL PERFORMANCE
Source: Nielsen RMS. Data ending DJ’2016Included are all NON FOOD categories currently in audit and with two years of data availability.
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
THE BULGARIAN MARKET IS PRICE SENSITIVE……
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-0.5%
1.6%
0.1%-0.9%
-0.8%
-0.1%
1.5%1.3%
1.4%2.4%
1.1%
2.0%
3.8%
2.8%
1.1%
1.6%1.1% 1.1%2.0%
2.7%
2.0%
2.9%
2.0%
1.1%
3.1%
2.5% 2.5%
2015 2016 Aug-Dec 14 Dec-Apr 15 Apr-Aug 15 Aug-Dec 15 Dec-Apr 16 Apr-Aug 16 Aug-Dec 16-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Volume change Price change Value change
Source: Nielsen Retail Index Bulgaria
VOLUME IS HIGHLY ELASTIC TO PRICE INCREASES
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9% 15% 18%
40%41% 42%
46% 39% 35%
4% 5% 6%
2014 2015 2016
I don't know about or notice the prices of grocery items
I don't necessarily know all the prices but I generally notice when the price changes
I know the prices of most of the items and always notice when the price changes
I know all the prices of the grocery items I buy regularly
Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends Survey 2016-17
.. AND EVERY YEAR SHOPPERS ARE MORE AND MORE ACTIVELY RESEARCHING PRICES
Preview from Shopper Trends
2017 results
See you on 28.6 at Holiday Inn!
49%60%
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39
26
-18
-23
-15
BELARUS
BULGARIA
SERBIA
Food Categories 2016Promoted Sales, % Avg Discount, %
56
37
39
-18
-27
-20
BELARUS
BULGARIA
SERBIA
Drug Categories 2016Promoted Sales, % Avg Discount, %
Source: Nielsen Promo Pressure databases 2016
BULGARIA IS ALSO A MARKET WHERE THE PROMO LEVELS FOR PACKED PRODUCTS ARE SIMILAR TO WESTERN EUROPE STANDARDS & DISCOUNTS ARE GENEROUS
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AGGRESSIVE PROMOTIONS HAVE “TRAINED” SHOPPERS TO BECOME BARGAIN HUNTERS. OPPORTUNISTIC SHOPPING ON THE RISE
8% 7% 10%
16% 22%
34%18%
23%
15%
42%34%
27%
16% 14% 14%
2014 2015 2016
Promotion rarely change my brand choices
I only buy promotions when I already like the brand
I regularly buy different brands because of promotions
I very seldom change stores, but when shopping, I actively search for promotions
I change stores based on which one I think has the best promotions that trip
Source: Nielsen Shopper Trends Survey 2016-17
42%59%
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GERMANY
ITALYPOLAND
SLOVAKIA
SPAINUK
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Prom
o Ef
fect
iven
ess
Inde
x Va
l.
% Value sold on Promotion
AROUND HALF OF THE PROMOTIONS IN EUROPE DO NOT ADD INCREMENTAL VALUE TO THE CATEGORY OR BRAND
What % of promoted sales delivers incremental value in 2016?
Source: Nielsen European Promo Effectiveness study
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Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
…. BUT THERE IS STILL ROOM FOR QUALITY!
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A PREMIUM PRODUCT IS ONE THAT PROVIDES SPECIAL, ENHANCED OR EXCLUSIVE BENEFITS. WHAT MAKES A PRODUCT PREMIUM TO YOU? BULGARIA RESPONDENTS
66
45
43
42
37
33
28
25
19
18
12
6
It's made with high-quality materials or ingredients
It provides superior customer experience
It offers superior function or performance
It offers or does something no other product provides
It's handcrafted or made using artisanal methods
It's from a location known for superior quality (such as Swiss chocolate, Italian leather, French wine, etc.)
It has superior style or design
It's from a well-known or trusted brand
It's hard to find/scarce
It's only available to people of a certain status/exclusivity
It's expensive
Other
%
Source: Nielsen Global survey on Premiumisation (2016)
QUALITY OF RAW MATERIALS OR INGREDIENTS IS THE MAIN FACTOR THAT DEFINES A PRODUCT AS PREMIUM
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. 45%38% 38% 34% 30%
14%
45%44% 45% 52% 55%
59%
10% 19% 17% 13% 15%27%
Bulgaria Lithuania Ukraine Croatia Slovakia Czech Republic
Not Willing
Somewhat Willing
Highly Willing
BULGARIAN SHOPPERS ARE MORE WILLING THAN THOSE IN OTHER E.E. MARKETS TO PAY MORE FOR PRODUCTS WITH PREMIUM ATTRIBUTES
Source: Nielsen Global survey on Premiumisation (2016)
WILLINGNESS TO PAY MORE FOR PREMIUM PRODUCTS
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52%
52%
50%
49%
47%
45%
Meat or seafood
Dairy products
Clothing/shoes
Personal electronics
Oral Care
Laundry detergent
33%
31%
29%
27%
24%
23%
Meat or seafood
Clothing/shoes
Personal electronics (computer, mobile phone etc)
Coffee/tea
Dairy products (milk, cheese, yogurt, etc.)
Hair Care (shampoo/conditioner)
Source: Nielsen Global survey on Premiumisation (2016)
MEAT AND SEA FOOD, AS WELL AS, DAIRY PRODUCTS ARE THE CATEGORIES WHERE BULGARIANS ARE MORE WILLING TO TRADE UP FOR QUALITY
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DETERGENTS
TOILET PAPER DRY
SHAMPOOS
FACE CARE
BABY DIAPERS
SANITARY PROTECTION
DEODORANTS
TOOTHPASTE
HAIR COLOURANTS
TOILET SOAPS
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
-4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Top Drug Categories
Volume Change
Value Change
Source: Nielsen Retail Index Bulgaria (MAT March 2017)
HIGHER AVERAGE PRICE IN CERTAIN DRUG CATEGORIES IS DRIVEN BY TRADING UP
Over the last 3 years
Value sales Grocery stores: +5%
Value sales specialised stores: +25%
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Source: Nielsen Retail Index Bulgaria (2016)
10% & 14%Growth rate
(Value & Volume)
5.4%Share: TTL
Coffee
21.0%Share: Ground
Coffee
COFFEE PODS (CAPSULES) IS AN EXAMPLE OF A PRODUCT THAT CONSUMERS PERCEIVED AS WORTH PAYING A PRICE PREMIUM FOR
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RETAILERS CONSTANTLY ENRICH THEIR PREMIUM OR SPECIALIZED PRIVATE LABEL ASSORTMENT
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TO FIGHT LOSSES TO DISCOUNTERS, TESCO INTRODUCED FARM BRANDS IN MARCH - A VALUE PRIVATE LABEL RANGE FOR FRESH COVERING DAIRY, DELICATESSEN, FROZEN, FRESH AND MFP.
49.5% penetration
Worth 4.5% of Tesco PL
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MEGA IMAGE NEW STORE (ROMANIA) IS CLEARLY OFFERING A SUPERIOR CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE
• Mega Image (Ahold Delhaize) new supermarket in Bucharest.• The Focus is on premium. Large wine and cheese humidors.• Also focused on organic and healthy living ranges and local as differentiators.
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
CONCLUDING…….
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COMPARED TO THE SAME TIME FIVE YEARS AGO, ARE YOU SPENDING MORE, LESS OR ABOUT THE SAME ON THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIESBULGARIA
29
26
17
31
22
29
6
50
34
13
27
32
32
24
27
28
24
17
16
19
15
18
34
25
44
26
23
28
20
33
45
19
47
5
17
14
16
28
18
58
1
2
53
8
Clothing
Entertainment/leisure activities
Video/music/Internet services
Travel
Dining out
Home improvements/decorating
Utilities
Groceries
Household goods
Rent/mortgage
Healthcare
%
Spending more money Spending less money
Spending about the same amount of money I do not spend on this category
Source: Nielsen Global survey on Premiumisation (2016)
ALTHOUGH FMCG PRICES HAVE BEEN RATHER STABLE, SHOPPERS ARE SPENDING MORE ON FMCG PRODUCTS
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LOOKING FORWARD
2012 2013 2014 2015
1 2 3 4
Price sensitivity is a strong aspect of the local market and this is unlikely to change as shoppers are getting more “pragmatic”
41
However experience has shown that when a product’s or service’s quality deserves a higher price, shoppers will go for it
Retailers have to work on the assortment of the categories where people are more willing to trade up (e.g. fresh, dairy, specific drug categories)
But quality is not only ingredients: It is also customer experience, innovation, packaging etc……
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!