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    How Basel II is changing the world

    Diane Reynolds

    Sr. Director, Economic Capital Solutions

    Algorithmics Inc.

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    2007 Algorithmics Incorporated. All rights reserved. 2

    Agenda

    Context

    - What is capital and why does it matter to a bank?

    Basel II

    - What is Basel II and why is it important?

    Impact

    - What has changed because of Basel II?

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    Context

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    Who are the stakeholders in a bank?

    How is this different from other firms?

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    Typical Stakeholders

    Its shareholders

    Represented by equity analysts

    Its bondholders and those to whom it owes money

    Represented by rating analysts

    Its depositors

    Represented by deposit insurance schemes & governments

    The public

    Represented by regulators & governments

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    The Regulatory Perspective

    fundamental objective: to develop a framework that would further strengthenthe soundness and stability of the international banking system

    While maintaining sufficient consistency that capital adequacy regulation will notbe a significant source of competitive inequality among internationally activebanks.

    major benefit: promote the adoption of stronger risk management practices bythe banking industry,

    improving capital regulation to take into account changes in banking and riskmanagement practices

    preserving the benefits of a framework that can be applied as uniformly aspossible at the national level.

    Definition from Basel II document, paragraph 4.

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    What is capital?

    What do you need it for?

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    Accounting

    Capital

    = Equity

    = Assets - Liabilities

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    Regulatory Capital

    Tier 1 Capital

    Tier I capital is core capital, this includes equity capital and disclosed reserves.

    Equity capital includes instruments that can't be redeemed at the option of theholder.

    Tier 2 Capital

    Tier II capital is secondary bank capital that includes items such as undisclosedreserves, general loss reserves, subordinated term debt, and more.

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    Risk-based Capital

    Measures how much you need, not how much you have

    Why do you need capital?

    To ensure that the business can continue

    To cover unexpected events that lead to losses

    To reassure investors (and the markets)

    To reassure depositors (and the regulators)

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    Three Pillars & Three Risks

    Three Pillars of Basel II:

    Minimum Capital Requirements

    Supervisory Review

    Market Discipline

    Three Major Sources of (Quantifiable) Risk:

    Market Risk

    Credit Risk

    Operational Risk

    I

    II

    III

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    Credit

    Standardized

    Foundation

    IRB

    Advanced

    IRB

    Pillar 1: Minimum Capital

    Operational

    BasicIndicator

    Standardized

    AdvancedMeasurement

    Market

    Standardized

    InternalModels

    Risks

    Soph

    istication

    Bank

    Provides RiskComponents

    SupervisorProvides RiskComponents

    Approaches to Regulatory Capital Calculations

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    Basel II

    RWA = Risk Weighted Assets

    RWA

    = RWA (Market Risk)

    + RWA (Credit Risk)

    + RWA (Operational Risk)

    Capitalization RequirementsTier 1 Capital > 4% of RWA

    (Tier 1 + Tier 2) Capital > 8% of RWA

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    Impact

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    A change in philosophy

    Capital is related to risk!

    Capital alone is not sufficient: Pillars 2 and 3.

    Credit risk divides into at least three elements:

    PD

    LGD

    EAD

    Operational risk is a measurable risk.

    Risk is a key determinant of performance and a factor in measuring reward.

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    A change in emphasis

    Sr. management and boards are:

    More aware of risk management

    More accountable for the risks they take not having realized it is a risk is no longer a

    defense! Spending more money on identifying, quantifying, managing and mitigating risks

    Risk became such a cost centre that

    Costs had to be viewed as investments

    Many people are looking for ways to leverage that investment

    USbank spending on Basel II-related risk management IT will increase 30% over the nexttwo years to exceed $1bn in 2009, according to Aite Group.

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    HSBC Annual Report 2006

    2006 2002

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    HSBC Annual Report 2005

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    HSBC Annual Report 2005

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    HSBC Annual Report 2006

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    How Basel II is changing the world

    Diane Reynolds

    Sr. Director, Economic Capital Solutions

    Algorithmics Inc.

    [email protected]

    +1 416 217 4126