rice university tamu commerce educational conference july 15, 2010

The Population of Texas and The United States: Historical Patterns and Future

Trends Affecting Education

Steve H. MurdockDepartment of Sociology

Rice University

TAMU Commerce

Educational Conference

July 15, 2010

Major Topics of the Presentation__________________________

• Change in Rates and Sources of Population Growth

• Increase in NonAnglo Populations• Aging of the Population• Implications of Demographic Change for

Education, the Labor Force and Economic Development

Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2009

4

Total Population Percent Change

Year Texas U.S. Texas U.S.1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.61870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.61880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.01890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.51900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.71910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.01920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.91930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.11940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.21950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.51960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.01970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.41980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.41990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.82000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.22009 24,782,302 307,006,550 18.8 9.1

*Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census and population estimates. Values for years ending in 0 reference April 1 of the year. Value for 2009 is an estimate for July 1.

Components of Change, U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009

United States Texas

ComponentNumeric Change

Percent of Total Change

Numeric Change

Percent of Total Change

Total Change 25,584,644 100.0 3,930,482 100.0

Natural Increase 15,875,579 62.1 2,124,124 54.0

Net Domestic Migration ---- --- 848,702 21.6

Net International Migration 9,709,065 37.9 957,656 24.4

Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census.

Percent of United States Population Change Due to Immigration and Natural Increase,

1820 to 20051820-301830-401840-501850-601860-701870-801880-90

1890-19001900-101910-201920-301930-401940-501950-601960-701970-801980-90

1990-20002000-2005

Time Period

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent

Components of ChangeImmigration Natural Increase

Source: Texas State Data Center

Percent by Area of Origin

Number of Latin AllTime Period Immigrants Europe Asia Canada America Africa Other 1820-1830 152 70.14 0.02 1.64 6.23 0.01 21.961831-1840 599 82.73 0.01 2.27 3.30 0.01 11.681841-1850 1,713 93.24 0.01 2.44 2.93 0.00 1.381851-1860 2,598 94.40 1.60 2.28 0.60 0.01 1.111861-1870 2,315 89.21 2.80 6.65 0.56 0.01 0.771871-1880 2,812 80.79 4.42 13.64 0.73 0.01 0.421881-1890 5,247 90.26 1.33 7.50 0.65 0.02 0.241891-1900 3,688 96.41 2.03 0.09 0.97 0.01 0.491901-1910 8,795 91.59 3.68 2.07 2.07 0.08 0.541911-1920 5,736 75.35 4.31 12.94 7.00 0.15 0.251921-1930 4,107 59.97 2.73 22.51 14.42 0.15 0.221931-1940 528 65.77 3.14 20.54 9.74 0.33 0.481941-1950 1,035 60.01 3.58 16.59 17.69 0.71 1421951-1960 2,515 52.70 6.09 15.03 24.61 0.56 10.011961-1970 3,322 33.82 12.87 12.44 39.23 0.87 0.771971-1980 4,493 17.81 35.35 3.78 41.19 1.80 0.071981-1990 7,338a 10.38 37.31 2.14 47.13 2.41 0.631991-1999 8,246 14.87 30.80 2.07 47.53 3.81 0.922000-2005 5,743 15.48 33.64 1.85 41.93 6.24 0.86

aaIncludes persons who were granted permanent residence under the legalizationprogram of the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.

Source: Yearbook of Immigration Statistics, Washington, DC: U.S. Department ofHomeland Security, Office of Immigration Statistics

Immigration into the United States, by Period and Area of Origin of Immigrants, 1820-2005 (numbers in thousands)

Ten Largest States in the United States by Population Size in 2009: Population in 2000 and 2009

8

State 2000

Population*2009

Population*

Change 2000-2009

Numeric Percent

California 33,871,648 36,961,664 3,090,016 9.1Texas 20,851,820 24,782,302 3,930,482 18.8New York 18,976,457 19,541,453 564,996 3.0Florida 15,982,378 18,537,969 2,555,591 16.0Illinois 12,419,293 12,910,409 491,116 4.0Pennsylvania 12,281,054 12,604,767 323,713 2.6Ohio 11,353,140 11,542,645 189,505 1.7Michigan 9,938,444 9,969,727 31,283 0.3Georgia 8,186,453 9,829,211 1,642,758 20.1North Carolina 8,049,313 9,380,884 1,331,571 16.5

* Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimates for July 1 for 2009.

Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau, Population Division

Ten States in the United States with Largest Numeric Population Increase: 2000-2009

10

State 2000

Population*2009

Population*

Change 2000-2009

Numeric Percent

Texas 20,851,820 24,782,302 3,930,482 18.8

California 33,871,648 36,961,664 3,090,016 9.1

Florida 15,982,378 18,537,969 2,555,591 16.0

Georgia 8,186,453 9,829,211 1,642,758 20.1

Arizona 5,130,632 6,595,778 1,465,146 28.6

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,380,884 1,331,571 16.5

Virginia 7,078,515 7,882,590 804,075 11.4

Washington 5,894,121 6,664,195 770,074 13.1

Colorado 4,301,261 5,024,748 723,487 16.8

Nevada 1,998,257 2,643,085 644,828 32.3 * Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimates for July 1 for 2009.


Ten States in the United States with Largest Percentage Population Increases: 2000-2009

11

State 2000

Population*2009

Population*

Change 2000-2009

Numeric Percent

Nevada 1,998,257 2,643,085 644,828 32.3

Arizona 5,130,632 6,595,778 1,465,146 28.6

Utah 2,233,169 2,784,572 551,403 24.7

Georgia 8,186,453 9,829,211 1,642,758 20.1

Idaho 1,293,953 1,545,801 251,848 19.5

Texas 20,851,820 24,782,302 3,930,482 18.8

Colorado 4,301,261 5,024,748 723,487 16.8

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,380,884 1,331,571 16.5

Florida 15,982,378 18,537,969 2,555,591 16.0

South Carolina 4,012,012 4,561,242 549,230 13.7

* Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimates for July 1 for 2009.


Percent Change 1990-2000

< 0.0% (n=68)

0.0 - 9.9% (n=61)

10.0 - 21.9% (n=66)

22.0 - 86.2% (n=59)

Population Change in Texas Counties, 1990-2000


Texas Regional Councils of Governments

Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2009: Total Population in 2000 and 2009; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2009;

and Percent of the State Population (2009) and State Population Change

Total Population Population Change Percent of State

Council of Government 2000 2009 Numeric %Population

2009Change, 2000-09

North Central Texas 5,309,270 6,614,889 1,305,619 24.6 26.7 33.2Houston-Galveston 4,854,447 6,005,334 1,150,887 23.7 24.2 29.3Alamo Area 1,807,877 2,175,874 367,997 20.4 8.8 9.4Capital Area 1,346,835 1,816,818 469,983 34.9 7.3 12.0Lower Rio Grande Valley 924,780 1,157,918 233,138 25.2 4.7 5.9East Texas 745,180 813,566 68,386 9.2 3.3 1.7Rio Grande 704,318 775,920 71,602 10.2 3.1 1.8Coastal Bend 549,014 559,067 10,053 1.8 2.3 0.3Central Texas 374,513 422,767 48,254 12.9 1.7 1.2Panhandle 402,856 415,856 13,000 3.2 1.7 0.3Permian Basin 376,670 402,277 25,607 6.8 1.6 0.7South Plains 377,870 397,355 19,485 5.2 1.6 0.5

South East Texas 385,090 378,477 -6,613 -1.7 1.5 -0.2Deep East Texas 355,861 369,671 13,810 3.9 1.5 0.4Heart of Texas 321,533 345,308 23,775 7.4 1.4 0.6South Texas 264,177 323,142 58,965 22.3 1.3 1.5West Central Texas 324,897 317,539 -7,358 -2.3 1.3 -0.2Brazos Valley 267,087 301,428 34,341 12.9 1.2 0.9Ark-Tex 270,475 278,570 8,095 3.0 1.1 0.2Nortex 224,362 217,270 -7,092 -3.2 0.9 -0.2Texoma 178,202 191,679 13,477 7.6 0.8 0.3Golden Crescent 183,906 187,532 3,626 2.0 0.8 0.1Middle Rio Grande 154,385 163,408 9,023 5.8 0.7 0.2Concho Valley 148,213 150,637 2,424 1.6 0.6 0.1

State of Texas 20,851,818 24,782,302 3,930,484 18.8 100.0 100.0

Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2009: Total Population in 2000 and 2009 and

Numeric (U.S. Rank) and Percent Change, 2000-2009Total Population Population Change

Metropolitan Statistical Area 2000 2009 Numeric (Rank) %Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,447,615 1,286,078 (1) 24.9Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,867,489 1,152,072 (3) 24.4Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,705,075 455,329 (12) 36.4

San Antonio 1,711,703 2,072,128 360,412 (17) 21.1

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 741,152 171,681 (34) 30.1El Paso 679,622 751,296 71,674 (71) 10.5Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 396,371 61,144 (84) 18.2Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 379,231 48,522 (97) 14.7Laredo 193,117 241,438 48,321 (99) 25.0Tyler 174,706 204,665 29,959 (133) 17.1College Station-Bryan 184,885 212,268 27,383 (139) 14.8Lubbock 249,700 276,659 26,962 (141) 10.8Amarillo 226,522 246,474 19,952 (171) 8.8Waco 213,517 233,378 19,859 (174) 9.3Midland 116,009 132,316 16,307 (198) 14.1Odessa 121,123 134,625 13,502 (212) 11.1Longview 194,042 206,874 12,832 (215) 6.6Corpus Christi 403,280 416,095 12,813 (217) 3.2Sherman-Denison 110,595 120,030 9,435 (240) 8.5Texarkana /AR 129,749 137,486 7,732 (257) 6.0San Angelo 105,781 110,119 4,338 (286) 4.1Victoria 111,663 115,396 3,728 (292) 3.3Abilene 160,245 160,070 -171 (318) -0.1Wichita Falls 151,524 147,421 -4,103 (340) -2.7Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 378,477 -6,613 (349) -1.7

Source: U.S. Census Bureau




< 0.0% (n=98)

0.0 - 1.9% (n=50)

2.0 - 5.4% (n=53)

5.5 - 28.2% (n=53)


Source: Prepared from U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2006 County Estimates by the Texas State Data Center, The University of Texas at San Antonio


< 0.0% (n=103)

0.0 - 2.9% (n=40)

3.0 - 6.0% (n=38)

6.1 - 60.5% (n=73)

Population of the United States by Regions, 1900-2000

Population (in thousands)a

United States/Regions 1900 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

United States 76,212 151,326 179,323 203,302 226,546 248,710 281,422

Regionsb Percent by Region

Northeast 27.6 26.1 24.9 24.1 21.7 20.4 19.0 Midwest 34.5 29.4 28.8 27.9 25.9 24.0 22.9 South 32.2 31.2 30.7 30.9 33.3 34.4 35.6 West 5.7 13.3 15.6 17.1 19.1 21.2 22.5

Northeast 27.6 26.1 24.9 24.1 21.7 20.4 19.0 Midwest 34.5 29.4 28.8 27.9 25.9 24.0 22.9

Proportion of U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicityin Each Region in 2000

Region Total White Black Other Hispanic Anglo

Northeast 19.0 19.6 17.3 18.4 14.9 20.1 Midwest 22.9 25.5 19.0 12.5 8.8 26.8 South 35.6 34.4 54.5 20.7 32.8 33.8 West 22.5 20.5 9.2 48.4 43.5 19.3 U.S. Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Population, Percent Population Change, and Proportion of Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas and the United States,

1980-1990Proportion of

Number Percent PopulationEthnic ChangeCategory 1980 1990 1980-90 1980 1990

Texas

Anglo 9,350,297 10,291,680 10.1 65.7 60.6Black 1,692,542 1,976,360 16.8 11.9 11.6Hispanic 2,985,824 4,339,905 45.4 21.0 25.6Other 200,528 378,565 88.8 1.4 2.2

Total 14,229,191 16,986,510 19.4 100.0 100.0

United States

Anglo 180,602,838 188,128,296 4.2 79.7 75.7Black 26,091,857 29,216,293 12.0 11.5 11.7Hispanic 14,603,683 22,354,059 53.1 6.5 9.0Other 5,247,427 9,011,225 71.7 2.3 3.6

Total 226,545,805 248,709,873 9.8 100.0 100.0

Texas

Anglo 9,350,297 10,291,680 10.1 65.7 60.6Black 1,692,542 1,976,360 16.8 11.9 11.6

United States

Anglo 180,602,838 188,128,296 4.2 79.7 75.7Black 26,091,857 29,216,293 12.0 11.5 11.7

Source: Texas State Data Center using 1980 Census Sample Data and 1990 Summary Tape File 1 (STF 1) – 100-Percent Data

Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Population by Race/Ethnicity

for Texas and the United States, 1990 and 2000

Proportion ofNumber Percent Population

Ethnic ChangeCategory 1990 2000 1990-2000 1990 2000

Texas

Anglo 10,291,680 11,074,716 7.6 60.6 53.1Black 1,976,360 2,421,653 22.5 11.6 11.6Hispanic 4,339,905 6,669,666 53.7 25.6 32.0Other 378,565 685,785 81.2 2.2 3.3

Total 16,986,510 20,851,820 22.8 100.0 100.0

United States

Anglo 188,128,296 197,165,673 4.8 75.7 70.1Black 29,216,293 35,195,894 20.5 11.7 12.5Hispanic 22,354,059 35,305,818 57.9 9.0 12.5Other 9,011,225 13,754,521 52.6 3.6 4.9

Total 248,709,873 281,421,906 13.2 100.0 100.0

Number Percent PopulationEthnic Change

Texas

United States

Anglo 188,128,296 197,165,673 4.8 75.7 70.1Black 29,216,293 35,195,894 20.5 11.7 12.5


Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Texas and the United

States, 2000 and 2009

PopulationPercent Change

Proportion of Population

Race/Ethnic Category 2000 20092000-2009 2000 2009

TexasWhite Alone, Not Hispanic 10,986,965 11,583,116 5.4 52.7 46.7Black Alone, Not Hispanic 2,378,444 2,812,015 18.2 11.4 11.3Other, Not Hispanic 816,745 1,239,115 51.7 3.9 5.0Hispanic 6,669,666 9,148,056 37.2 32.0 36.9Total 20,851,820 24,782,302 18.8 100.0 100.0

United States

White Alone, Not Hispanic 195,575,485 199,851,240 2.2 69.5 65.1Black Alone, Not Hispanic 34,313,007 37,681,544 9.8 12.2 12.3Other, Not Hispanic* 16,227,596 21,054,442 29.7 5.8 6.9Hispanic 35,305,818 48,419,324 37.1 12.5 15.8Total 281,421,906 307,006,550 9.1 100.0 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Population Estimates for the United States, 2009 Vintage

Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Bexar County and Texas,

2000 and 2009




Bexar County

White Alone, Not Hispanic 500,477 516,932 3.3 35.9 31.3Black Alone, Not Hispanic 96,768 111,859 15.6 6.9 6.8Other, Not Hispanic 38,653 60,057 55.4 2.8 3.6Hispanic 757,033 962,600 27.2 54.3 58.3Total 1,392,931 1,651,448 18.6 100.0 100.0

Texas

White Alone, Not Hispanic 10,986,965 11,583,116 5.4 52.7 46.7Black Alone, Not Hispanic 2,378,444 2,812,015 18.2 11.4 11.3Other, Not Hispanic 816,745 1,239,115 51.7 3.9 5.0Hispanic 6,669,666 9,148,056 37.2 32.0 36.9Total 20,851,820 24,782,302 18.8 100.0 100.0


Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Dallas County and Texas,

2000 and 2009




Dallas County

White Alone, Not Hispanic 989,665 844,279 -14.7 44.6 34.4Black Alone, Not Hispanic 448,697 492,238 9.7 20.2 20.1Other, Not Hispanic 117,808 147,665 25.3 5.3 6.0Hispanic 662,729 967,548 46.0 29.9 39.5Total 2,218,899 2,451,730 10.5 100.0 100.0

Texas



Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Total Population by Ethnicity for Harris County and Texas,

2000 and 2009




Harris County

White Alone, Not Hispanic 1,444,160 1,438,913 -0.4 42.5 35.3Black Alone, Not Hispanic 623,637 730,010 17.1 18.3 17.9Other, Not Hispanic 213,030 282,640 32.7 6.3 6.9Hispanic 1,119,751 1,619,426 44.6 32.9 39.8Total 3,400,578 4,070,989 19.7 100.0 100.0

Texas



Population, Percent Change in Population and Proportion of Population by Ethnicity for Texas and the

United States, 2000 and 2008




TexasWhite Alone, Not Hispanic 10,933,313 11,525,623 5.4 52.4 47.4Black Alone, Not Hispanic 2,364,255 2,748,323 16.2 11.3 11.3Other, Not Hispanic 884,586 1,182,553 33.7 4.2 4.9Hispanic 6,669,666 8,870,475 33.0 32.0 36.5Total 20,851,820 24,326,974 16.7 100.0 100.0

United States

White Alone, Not Hispanic 194,552,774 199,491,458 2.5 69.1 65.6Black Alone, Not Hispanic 33,947,837 37,171,750 9.5 12.1 12.2Other, Not Hispanic 17,615,477 20,452,903 16.1 6.3 6.7Hispanic 35,305,818 46,943,613 33.0 12.5 15.4Total 281,421,906 304,059,724 8.0 100.0 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and Population Estimates, 2008

Latino Population (1000s) in 1990 and 2000 and Percentage Growth for Top 20 States in 2000

State 1990 2000 % Growth

California 7,688 10,967 42Texas 4,340 6,670 53New York 2,214 2,868 29Florida 1,574 2,683 70Illinois 904 1,530 69New Jersey 740 1,117 51Arizona 668 1,066 59New Mexico 579 765 32Colorado 424 736 73Washington 215 442 106Georgia 109 435 299Massachusetts 288 429 49Pennsylvania 232 394 70Nevada 124 394 218North Carolina 77 379 392Virginia 160 330 106Michigan 202 324 60Connecticut 213 320 50Oregon 113 275 143Maryland 125 228 82

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census (2000) Summary File 1. Census ofPopulation (1990), General Population Characteristics (CP-1-1)

“The Demographic Foundations of the Latino Population” by Jorge Durand,Edward Telles, and Jennifer Flashman in Chapter 3 in Hispanics and theFuture of America, Marta Tienda and Faith Mitchell, eds. 2006. NationalResearch Council: The National Academies Press, Washington, D.C.

Hispanic Origin Population (1000s) in 2000 and 2007 and Percentage

Change for Top 20 States in 2007

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 from Summary File 1 Table QT-P9; 2007 from PopulationEstimates, Table SC-EST2007-04

% Growth2000 Census 2007 2000-2007

.California 10,967 13,221 20.6

.Texas 6,670 8,600 28.9

.Florida 2,683 3,756 40.0

.New York 2,868 3,162 10.3

.Illinois 1,530 1,920 25.5

.Arizona 1,296 1,878 44.9

.New Jersey 1,117 1,382 23.7

.Colorado 736 966 31.3

.New Mexico 765 875 14.4

.Georgia 435 741 70.3

.Nevada 394 644 63.5

.North Carolina 379 638 68.3

.Washington 442 610 38.0

.Pennsylvania 394 556 41.1

.Massachusetts 429 528 23.1

.Virginia 330 508 53.9

.Connecticut 320 403 25.9

.Michigan 324 403 24.4

.Oregon 275 396 44.0

.Maryland 228 356 56.1

Birth-Death Ratios by Hispanic Origin, United States and Texas, 2000-2006

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

Birth-Death Ratio

U.S. Total U.S. Hispanic U.S. Non-Hispanic Texas Total Texas Hispanic Texas Non-Hispanic

Source: U.S. data from U.S. Census Bureau. Texas data from Texas State Data Center

Median Age in the United States and Texas,

1900-2007

22.924.1

25.326.5

29.030.1 29.5

28.130.0

32.9

35.336.6

33.132.330.8

28.026.427.0

27.926.8

23.722.0

20.218.7

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2007

United States Texas

Percent Change in Population by Age Group in the United States and Texas, 1990-2000

13.7

1.55.3

49.4

14.812

21.7

16.3 15.3

60.3

2420.7

<18 18-24 25-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Age Groups

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Percent Change

United States Texas

Percent Change in Population by Age Group in the United States and Texas, 2000-2007

-10.00%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

< 18 years 18-24 years 25-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years 65+ years

United States Texas

Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2000

39.541.6

45.0 45.043.1 44.4

47.8

53.0

57.260.2

63.566.4 67.1

72.6

44.041.3

38.0 38.440.5

38.635.3

30.526.7

24.222.4

20.6 20.316.7

< 5

year

s

5 to

9 y

ears

10 to

14

year

s

15 to

19

year

s

20 to

24

year

s

25 to

29

year

s

30 to

34

year

s

35 to

39

year

s

40 to

44

year

s

45 to

49

year

s

50 to

54

year

s

55 to

59

year

s

60 to

64

year

s

65 +

yea

rs0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0Percent

Anglo Hispanic

Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2040*

* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

17.719.3 19.9 20.3 19.8 19.3 19.4 20.5 20.6 21.9

25.3 26.5 27.2

39.8

69.967.8 66.5 65.5 66.0 66.8 66.4

64.362.6

60.6

56.7 55.252.3

37.1

< 5 y

ears

5 to

9 y

ears

10 to

14

year

s

15 to

19

year

s

20 to

24

year

s

25 to

29

year

s

30 to

34

year

s

35 to

39

year

s

40 to

44

year

s

45 to

49

year

s

50 to

54

year

s

55 to

59

year

s

60 to

64

year

s

65 +

yea

rs0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0Percent

Anglo Hispanic

Percent of United States Population By Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

58

.4

59

.9

62

.8

63

.1

61

.1

61

.9 65

.2 69 7

1.9

74

.2

76

.6

78

.3

78

.5 83

.6

41

.6

40

.1

37

.2

36

.9

38

.9

38

.1

34

.8

31

28

.1

25

.8

23

.4

21

.7

21

.5

16

.4

< 5 y

ears

5 to

9 y

ears

10 to

14

year

s

15 to

19

year

s

20 to

24

year

s

25 to

29

year

s

30 to

34

year

s

35 to

39

year

s

40 to

44

year

s

45 to

49

year

s

50 to

54

year

s

55 to

59

year

s

60 to

64

year

s

65 +

yea

rs0

20

40

60

80

100Percent

Anglo Non-anglo

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

Median Household Income in the United States by Age of Householder, 1999

$25,171

$42,174

$50,873

$56,917

$44,597

$27,304

$19,161

15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+

Age of Householder

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

Dollars

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Money Income in the United States: 1999, Current Population Report P60-209

Median Household Income in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 1989 and 1999 with

Percent Change 1989 to 1999

MedianHousehold Income

PercentRace/Ethnicity 1989 1999 Changeof Householder (in 1999 dollars) 1989-99

Total $ 39,009 $ 41,994 7.7

Anglo 41,106 45,367 10.4

Black 25,643 29,423 14.7

Hispanic* 31,351 33,676 7.4

Asian 48,030 51,908 8.1

*Hispanics can be of any race.

Median Household Income In 1999 in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Householder

$47,162

$29,305 $29,873

$50,049

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

Anglo Black Hispanic Asian

Educational Attainment in 2000 in Texas for Persons 25+ Years

of Age By Race/Ethnicity _____________________________________

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

< High School

High School

Some College

College or More

Hispanic

Black

Anglo

Asian

Percent

Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001

by Selected Characteristics SAT Score

Mean Mean

Characteristic Verbal Math

All Students 506 514(N = 1,276,320)

Race/Ethnicity:American Indian 481 479African American or Black 433 426Hispanic: Mexican American 451 458 Puerto Rican 457 451 Other Hispanic 460 465White 529 531Asian American or Pacific Islander 501 566

Household Income: < $10,000 421 443 $10,000 - 20,000 442 456 $20,000 - 30,000 468 474 $30,000 - 40,000 487 489 $40,000 - 50,000 501 503 $50,000 - 60,000 509 512 $60,000 - 70,000 516 519 $70,000 - 80,000 522 527 $80,000 - 100,000 534 540

> $100,000 557 569

SAT Score

Mean Mean

Characteristic Verbal Math

All Students 506 514(N = 1,276,320)

Race/Ethnicity:American Indian 481 479

Household Income: < $10,000 421 443

> $100,000 557 569

PROJECTIONS

Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

White alone Black alone Asian aloneAll other

races2000 195,771 34,414 10,436 5,909 35,629 282,1582010 200,853 37,985 14,083 7,586 49,726 310,2332020 205,255 41,847 18,308 9,612 66,365 341,3872030 207,217 45,461 22,991 11,904 85,931 373,5042040 206,065 48,780 28,064 14,523 108,223 405,6552050 203,347 51,949 33,418 17,503 132,792 439,010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections

Year

(Resident population as of July 1. Numbers in thousands)Non-Hispanic

Hispanic (any race)

Total

Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions)

7.617.5

23.0

11.6

97.2

156.9

Non-HispanicWhite alone

Non-HispanicBlack alone

Non-HispanicAsian alone

Non-Hispanic allother races

Hispanic (anyrace)

Total


Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

White alone Black alone Asian aloneAll other

races2000 69.4 12.2 3.7 2.1 12.62010 64.7 12.2 4.5 2.4 16.02020 60.1 12.3 5.4 2.8 19.42030 55.5 12.2 6.2 3.2 23.02040 50.8 12.0 6.9 3.6 26.72050 46.3 11.8 7.6 4.0 30.2


Year

(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)Non-Hispanic

Hispanic (any race)

Percent Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

3.9

51.0

220.2

196.2

272.7

55.6

Non-HispanicWhite alone

Non-HispanicBlack alone

Non-HispanicAsian alone

Non-Hispanic allother races

Hispanic (anyrace)

Total


Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

Non-Hispanic White alone5%

Non-Hispanic Black alone11%

Non-Hispanic Asian alone15%

Non-Hispanic Other7%

Hispanic62%


Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: 2000 to 2050

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Under 5 years 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.45 to 19 years 21.7 20.3 19.9 19.7 19.4 19.320 to 44 years 36.9 33.8 32.7 32.0 31.5 31.745 to 64 years 22.1 26.1 24.7 22.6 22.7 22.465 to 84 years 10.9 11.1 14.1 17.0 16.5 15.885 years and over 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.3 3.5 4.3

Age Group(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)


Percent Age Distribution of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000

Non-Hispanic White alone

Non-Hispanic Black alone

Non-Hispanic Asian alone

Non-Hispanic all other races

Hispanic (any race)

Total

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0Under 5 years 5.8 8.0 6.5 12.5 10.5 6.85 to 17 years 16.9 23.2 17.5 28.1 24.4 18.818 to 24 years 8.6 11.0 11.0 11.4 13.4 9.725 to 44 years 29.3 30.8 36.0 26.7 33.0 30.145 to 64 years 24.5 18.8 21.1 15.9 13.8 22.165 years and over 15.0 8.2 7.8 5.4 4.9 12.4

65 to 74 years 7.7 4.7 4.8 3.3 3.1 6.575 to 84 years 5.4 2.6 2.4 1.7 1.4 4.485 years and over 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.5


Age(Percent of each race/origin group's resident population as of July 1)

Projected Percent Age Distribution of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2030





Hispanic (any race)

Total





Projected Percent Age Distribution of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2050





Hispanic (any race)

Total





Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000





Hispanic (any race)

Total




Age(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)

Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age

Groups: 2030Non-Hispanic White alone




Hispanic (any race)

Total





Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age

Groups: 2050Non-Hispanic White alone




Hispanic (any race)

Total





Percent Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Age: 2000 to 2050

46.638.3 33.6

57.7

125.6

343.2

0-4 5-19 20-44 45-64 65-84 85 and older


Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projectionsof the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other Total 2000 11,074,716 2,421,653 6,669,666 685,785 20,851,820 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 11,331,876 2,627,287 8,060,605 783,215 22,802,983 2020 11,381,134 2,771,406 9,336,505 841,642 24,330,687 2030 11,171,448 2,823,276 10,576,279 878,111 25,449,114 2040 10,733,060 2,796,623 11,662,274 893,152 26,085,109 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 11,533,976 2,754,751 9,080,459 961,460 24,330,646 2020 11,796,448 3,052,417 11,882,980 1,273,895 28,005,740 2030 11,789,274 3,268,623 15,140,100 1,632,578 31,830,575 2040 11,525,089 3,403,163 18,804,311 2,028,602 35,761,165 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 11,740,011 2,888,474 10,252,202 1,177,908 26,058,595 2020 12,227,572 3,361,698 15,226,394 1,921,052 32,736,716 2030 12,442,120 3,783,666 21,871,385 3,020,460 41,117,631 2040 12,376,306 4,140,679 30,604,633 4,585,923 51,707,541 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 11,441,595 2,925,751 9,847,852 1,158,749 25,373,947 2020 11,612,122 3,447,896 13,940,031 1,858,400 30,858,449 2030 11,525,269 3,922,900 18,973,424 2,863,893 37,285,486 2040 11,196,427 4,341,627 25,090,745 4,243,239 44,872,038

Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Populationin Texas by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex

and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Non-Hispanic Period White Black Hispanic Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2000-2010 2.3 8.5 20.9 14.2 9.4 2010-2020 0.4 5.5 15.8 7.5 6.7 2020-2030 -1.8 1.9 13.3 4.3 4.6 2030-2040 -3.9 -0.9 10.3 1.7 2.5 2000-2040 -3.1 15.5 74.9 30.2 25.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2000-2010 4.1 13.8 36.1 40.2 16.7 2010-2020 2.3 10.8 30.9 32.5 15.1 2020-2030 -0.1 7.1 27.4 28.2 13.7 2030-2040 -2.2 4.1 24.2 24.3 12.3 2000-2040 4.1 40.5 181.9 195.8 71.5 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2000-2010 6.0 19.3 53.7 71.8 25.0 2010-2020 4.2 16.4 48.5 63.1 25.6 2020-2030 1.8 12.6 43.6 57.2 25.6 2030-2040 -0.5 9.4 39.9 51.8 25.8 2000-2040 11.8 71.0 358.9 568.7 148.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2000-2010 3.3 20.8 47.7 69.0 21.7 2010-2020 1.5 17.8 41.6 60.4 21.6 2020-2030 -0.7 13.8 36.1 54.1 20.8 2030-2040 -2.9 10.7 32.2 48.2 20.3 2000-2040 1.1 79.3 276.2 518.7 115.2

Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by

Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other 2000 53.1 11.6 32.0 3.3 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 49.8 11.5 35.3 3.4 2020 46.7 11.4 38.4 3.5 2030 43.8 11.1 41.6 3.5 2040 41.2 10.7 44.7 3.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 47.4 11.3 37.3 4.0 2020 42.2 10.9 42.4 4.5 2030 37.0 10.3 47.6 5.1 2040 32.2 9.5 52.6 5.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 45.1 11.1 39.3 4.5 2020 37.3 10.3 46.5 5.9 2030 30.3 9.2 53.2 7.3 2040 23.9 8.0 59.2 8.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 45.1 11.5 38.8 4.6 2020 37.6 11.2 45.2 6.0 2030 30.9 10.5 50.9 7.7 2040 24.9 9.7 55.9 9.5

Percent Anglo Population

Less Than 50% Anglo Population

50% or Greater Anglo PopulationSource: 2006 Population Projections, Texas State Data Center,Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio

2000

2040 2040(2000-2004 Scenario)(0.5 Scenario)

2040(1.0 Scenario)

Texas Counties with 50 Percent or More of Their Total Population That is Angloin 2000 and Projected for 2040 Under Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 andProjected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from

2020 to 2040 for Texas Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex andRace/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

Age Non-Hispanic Group White Black Hispanic Other Total

All Scenarios <18 23.0 31.7 35.8 26.1 28.2 18-24 8.8 11.2 13.2 11.2 10.6 25-44 30.1 32.1 31.8 37.7 31.1 45-64 24.4 17.7 14.0 20.1 20.2 65+ 13.7 7.3 5.2 4.9 9.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Migration 2020 <18 20.1 24.8 32.0 21.2 25.2 18-24 8.2 10.2 11.1 9.1 9.6 25-44 24.7 29.3 26.9 24.0 26.1 45-64 27.4 25.0 21.5 29.9 24.9 65+ 19.6 10.7 8.5 15.8 14.2 2040 <18 17.4 19.9 27.5 16.8 22.2 18-24 7.6 8.8 10.0 6.5 8.7 25-44 24.1 27.6 27.1 23.7 25.9 45-64 24.9 26.5 20.6 22.1 23.0 65+ 26.0 17.2 14.8 30.9 20.2

Percent 65 Years Old and Older

< 11.9 (n=66)

12.0 - 14.9 (n=70)

15.0 - 19.9 (n=80)

20.0 or more (n=38)

Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio. Census 2000 Summary File 1.

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2000

Percent 65 Years Old and Older

< 11.9 (n=2)

12.0 - 14.9 (n=19)

15.0 - 19.9 (n=79)

20.0 or more (n=154)

Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio. Texas Population Estimatesand Projections Program, 2006 Projections.

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2040*

* Assuming rates of migration equal to 2000-2004

Percent of Net Change in Texas Population from 2000-2040 Due toEach Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of

Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

Race Number Percent

Assuming Zero Net Migration Anglo -341,656 -6.6 Black 374,970 7.2 Hispanic 4,992,608 95.4 Other 207,367 4.0 Total 5,233,289 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 Anglo 450,373 3.0 Black 981,510 6.6 Hispanic 12,134,645 81.4 Other 1,342,817 9.0 Total 14,909,345 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 Anglo 1,301,590 4.2 Black 1,719,026 5.6 Hispanic 23,934,967 77.6 Other 3,900,138 12.6 Total 30,855,721 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 Anglo 121,711 0.5 Black 1,919,974 8.0 Hispanic 18,421,079 76.7 Other 3,557,454 14.8 Total 24,020,218 100.0

U.S. EDUCATION

Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment

in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other Total

Total Enrollment

2000 48,210,516 11,401,765 11,583,495 5,577,745 76,773,521 2010 45,818,641 11,372,040 15,839,927 6,911,552 79,942,160 2020 44,987,166 11,616,295 20,623,690 8,545,532 85,772,683 2030 44,729,776 12,139,946 25,763,323 10,190,591 92,823,636 2040 43,321,445 12,364,257 31,741,606 12,027,667 99,454,975 2050 42,431,107 12,801,740 37,970,089 14,123,748 107,326,684

Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 36,491,940 9,163,622 9,695,332 3,917,404 59,268,298 2010 33,735,042 8,825,219 13,412,715 4,858,347 60,831,323 2020 33,566,335 8,984,880 17,413,828 6,023,510 65,988,553 2030 33,328,448 9,393,383 21,607,545 7,063,674 71,393,050 2040 31,941,753 9,463,222 26,572,664 8,308,712 76,286,351 2050 31,386,808 9,786,556 31,637,838 9,745,502 82,556,704

College Enrollment 2000 11,718,576 2,238,143 1,888,163 1,660,341 17,505,223 2010 12,083,599 2,546,821 2,427,212 2,053,205 19,110,837 2020 11,420,831 2,631,415 3,209,862 2,522,022 19,784,130 2030 11,401,328 2,746,563 4,155,778 3,126,917 21,430,586 2040 11,379,692 2,901,035 5,168,942 3,718,955 23,168,624 2050 11,044,299 3,015,184 6,332,251 4,378,246 24,769,980

Percent of Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment

in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other

Total Enrollment

2000 62.7 14.9 15.1 7.3 2010 57.4 14.2 19.8 8.6 2020 52.5 13.5 24.0 10.0 2030 48.1 13.1 27.8 11.0 2040 43.6 12.4 31.9 12.1 2050 39.5 11.9 35.4 13.2

Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 61.5 15.5 16.4 6.6 2010 55.5 14.5 22.0 8.0 2020 50.9 13.6 26.4 9.1 2030 46.6 13.2 30.3 9.9 2040 41.9 12.4 34.8 10.9 2050 38.0 11.9 38.3 11.8

College Enrollment 2000 66.9 12.8 10.8 9.5 2010 63.3 13.3 12.7 10.7 2020 57.8 13.3 16.2 12.7 2030 53.2 12.8 19.4 14.6 2040 49.1 12.5 22.3 16.1 2050 44.5 12.2 25.6 17.7

Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Elementaryand Secondary School, Community College and Public University

Enrollment in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other Total

Total Enrollment 2000-2010 -5.0 -0.3 36.7 23.9 4.1 2010-2020 -1.8 2.1 30.2 23.6 7.3 2020-2030 -0.6 4.5 24.9 19.3 8.2 2030-2040 -3.1 1.8 23.2 18.0 7.1 2040-2050 -2.1 3.5 19.6 17.4 7.9 2000-2050 -12.0 12.3 227.8 153.2 39.8

Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000-2010 -7.6 -3.7 38.3 24.0 2.6 2010-2020 -0.5 1.8 29.8 24.0 8.5 2020-2030 -0.7 4.5 24.1 17.3 8.2 2030-2040 -4.2 0.7 23.0 17.6 6.9 2040-2050 -1.7 3.4 19.1 17.3 8.2 2000-2050 -14.0 6.8 226.3 148.8 39.3

College Enrollment 2000-2010 3.1 13.8 28.5 23.7 9.2 2010-2020 -5.5 3.3 32.2 22.8 3.5 2020-2030 -0.2 4.4 29.5 24.0 8.3 2030-2040 -0.2 5.6 24.4 18.9 8.1 2040-2050 -2.9 3.9 22.5 17.7 6.9 2000-2050 -5.8 34.7 235.4 163.7 41.5

Percent of Net Change in Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment in the

United States Due to Each Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Race Number Percent

Total Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,779,409 -19.0 Non-Hispanic Black 1,399,975 4.6 Hispanic Origin 26,386,594 86.4 Non-Hispanic Other 8,546,003 28.0 Total 30,553,163 100.0 Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,105,132 -21.9 Non-Hispanic Black 622,934 2.7 Hispanic Origin 21,942,506 94.2 Non-Hispanic Other 5,828,098 25.0 Total 23,288,406 100.0 College Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -674,277 -9.3 Non-Hispanic Black 777,041 10.7 Hispanic Origin 4,444,088 61.2 Non-Hispanic Other 2,717,905 37.4 Total 7,264,757 100.0

TEXAS EDUCATION

Enrollment and Change in Enrollment of Economically Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas

Public Schools, 1998-99 and 2008-09 School Years

Enrollment 10-Year Change

Race/Ethnic Category 1998-99 2008-09 Numeric Percent

Economically DisadvantagedWhite 368,387 402,057 33,670 9.1African American 364,434 460,703 96,269 26.4Other 36,589 57,852 21,263 58.1Hispanic 1,146,071 1,765,647 619,576 54.1Total 1,915,481 2,686,259 770,778 40.2

TotalWhite 1,746,896 1,616,115 -130,781 -7.5African American 568,757 671,871 103,114 18.1Other 112,068 186,487 74,419 66.4Hispanic 1,526,713 2,275,098 748,385 49.0Total 3,954,434 4,749,571 795,137 20.1

Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2008-09 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf

Enrollment, Percent Change in Enrollment and Proportion of Enrollment of Economically

Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas Public Schools, 1998-99 and 2008-09 School Years

EnrollmentPercent Change

Proportion of Enrollment

Race/Ethnic Category 1998-99 2008-09 10-Year 1998-99 2008-09

Economically Disadvantaged StudentsWhite 368,387 402,057 9.1 19.2 15.0African American 364,434 460,703 26.4 19.0 17.2Other 36,589 57,852 58.1 1.9 2.2Hispanic 1,146,071 1,765,647 54.1 59.8 65.7Total 1,915,481 2,686,259 40.2 100.0 100.0

All StudentsWhite 1,746,896 1,616,115 -7.5 44.2 34.0African American 568,757 671,871 18.1 14.4 14.1Other 112,068 186,487 66.4 2.8 3.9Hispanic 1,526,713 2,275,098 49.0 38.6 47.9Total 3,954,434 4,749,571 20.1 100.0 100.0

Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2008-09 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf

District/County/School Year White (%)African American

(%)

Hispanic (%)

Asian/Pacific Islander (%)

Native American

(%)

Total Enrollment

Houston ISD (Harris)2000-2001 10.0 32.1 54.9 2.9 .1 208,4622007-2008 8.0 28.4 60.3 3.2 .1 198,769

Dallas ISD (Dallas)2000-2001 7.8 35.9 54.5 1.4 .4 161,5482007-2008 4.8 28.7 65.3 1.0 .2 157,605

Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris)2000-2001 58.5 10.0 23.4 7.9 .2 63,4972007-2008 38.8 15.2 37.1 8.6 .3 96,546

Northside ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 36.7 6.6 54.3 2.2 .2 63,7392007-2008 25.4 7.8 63.2 3.3 .3 85,544

Austin ISD (Travis)2000-2001 33.7 15.7 47.8 2.5 .3 77,8162007-2008 26.4 12.1 58.0 3.3 .2 82,181

Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant)2000-2001 21.4 30.9 45.4 2.1 .2 79,6612007-2008 14.3 25.6 58.2 1.6 .3 78,732

Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend)2000-2001 37.8 28.0 18.1 16.0 .1 53,9992007-2008 24.4 31.8 23.0 20.6 .2 67,780

Arlington ISD (Tarrant)2000-2001 47.3 21.3 24.0 6.8 .6 58,8662007-2008 31.4 23.9 37.2 7.1 .4 62,560

North East ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 49.1 9.4 38.8 2.5 .2 50,8752007-2008 39.2 9.4 47.4 3.7 .3 61,910

El Paso ISD (El Paso)2000-2001 15.2 4.8 78.5 1.2 .3 62,3252007-2008 12.2 4.8 81.3 1.4 .3 61,839

Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2007-2008

*Largest enrollment based on 2007-2008 school yearSource: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles

Texas Higher Education Enrollment in Public Universities, Public 2-year Colleges andHealth-related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2008

Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity

Public Univ

Public 2-year Colleges

Health-related Institutions

2000 Enrollment

White (%) 58.4 52.8 61.3

African American (%) 9.8 11.0 4.9

Hispanic (%) 19.6 28.9 12.6

Asian (%) 5.7 3.9 14.6

American Indian (%) .5 .5 .5

International (%) 5.3 2.4 4.8

Unknown (%) .7 .5 1.3

Total 2000 Enrollment 414,626 447,998 13,806

2008 Enrollment

White (%) 50.4 45.2 51.3

African American (%) 11.6 11.8 6.6

Hispanic (%) 24.3 34.1 13.8

Asian (%) 6.6 4.2 14.5

American Indian (%) .5 .5 .6

International (%) 5.7 2.5 9.7

Unknown (%) .9 1.7 3.5

Total 2008 Enrollment 509,136 617,507 20,421

Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center using data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB)

Public Elementary and Secondary Public CommunityCollege, and Public University Enrollment in Texas by

Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 AssumingRates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

Total Public Education (All Levels)

2000 2,186,097 661,995 1,785,676 160,507 4,794,275 2010 2,125,643 693,172 2,367,308 231,798 5,417,921 2020 2,106,211 731,976 3,308,472 326,936 6,473,595 2030 1,992,718 746,148 4,324,751 432,828 7,496,445 2040 1,852,133 739,828 5,596,378 590,265 8,778,604

Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 1,727,733 576,977 1,582,538 114,979 4,002,227 2010 1,643,722 588,781 2,065,327 164,425 4,462,255 2020 1,643,592 619,318 2,892,656 227,683 5,383,249 2030 1,527,293 623,104 3,729,428 287,975 6,167,800 2040 1,411,454 612,608 4,803,635 397,902 7,225,599

Public Community Colleges 2000 230,497 46,742 124,057 19,782 421,078 2010 239,191 56,798 184,582 29,824 510,395 2020 232,120 62,178 254,482 44,330 593,110 2030 232,363 68,156 364,216 65,020 729,755 2040 220,266 70,850 485,107 88,280 864,503

Public Universities 2000 227,867 38,276 79,081 25,746 370,970 2010 242,730 47,593 117,399 37,549 445,271 2020 230,499 50,480 161,334 54,923 497,236 2030 233,062 54,888 231,107 79,833 598,890 2040 220,413 56,370 307,636 104,083 688,502

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 458,364 85,018 203,138 45,528 792,048 2010 481,921 104,391 301,981 67,373 955,666 2020 462,619 112,658 415,816 99,253 1,090,346 2030 465,425 123,044 595,323 144,853 1,328,645 2040 440,679 127,220 792,743 192,363 1,553,005

Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary, PublicCommunity College and Public University Enrollment in Texasby Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming

Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other

Public Education (All Levels)

2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 39.2 12.8 43.7 4.3 2020 32.5 11.3 51.1 5.1 2030 26.5 10.0 57.7 5.8 2040 21.1 8.4 63.8 6.7

Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 36.8 13.2 46.3 3.7 2020 30.6 11.5 53.7 4.2 2030 24.7 10.1 60.5 4.7 2040 19.5 8.5 66.5 5.5

Public Community Colleges 2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 46.9 11.1 36.2 5.8 2020 39.1 10.5 42.9 7.5 2030 31.9 9.3 49.9 8.9 2040 25.5 8.2 56.1 10.2

Public Universities 2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 54.5 10.7 26.4 8.4 2020 46.4 10.2 32.4 11.0 2030 38.9 9.2 38.6 13.3 2040 32.0 8.2 44.7 15.1

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 50.5 10.9 31.6 7.0 2020 42.5 10.3 38.1 9.1 2030 35.0 9.3 44.8 10.9 2040 28.4 8.2 51.0 12.4

Percent Change in Projected Public Elementary andSecondary, Public Community College and Public University

Enrollment in Texas Assuming Rates of Net MigrationEqual to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

Time Period Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

Total Public Education (All Levels)

2000-2010 -2.8 4.7 32.6 44.4 13.0 2010-2020 -0.9 5.6 39.8 41.0 19.5 2020-2030 -5.4 1.9 30.7 32.4 15.8 2030-2040 -7.1 -0.8 29.4 36.4 17.1 2000-2040 -15.3 11.8 213.4 267.8 83.1

Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 2000-2010 -4.9 2.0 30.5 43.0 11.5 2010-2020 -0.0 5.2 40.1 38.5 20.6 2020-2030 -7.1 0.6 28.9 26.5 14.6 2030-2040 -7.6 -1.7 28.8 38.2 17.2 2000-2040 -18.3 6.2 203.5 246.1 80.5

Public Community Colleges 2000-2010 3.8 21.5 48.8 50.8 21.2 2010-2020 -3.0 9.5 37.9 48.6 16.2 2020-2030 0.1 9.6 43.1 46.7 23.0 2030-2040 -5.2 4.0 33.2 35.8 18.5 2000-2040 -4.4 51.6 291.0 346.3 105.3

Public Universities 2000-2010 6.5 24.3 48.5 45.8 20.0 2010-2020 -5.0 6.1 37.4 46.3 11.7 2020-2030 1.1 8.7 43.2 45.4 20.4 2030-2040 -5.4 2.7 33.1 30.4 15.0 2000-2040 -3.3 47.3 289.0 304.3 85.6

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000-2010 5.1 22.8 48.7 48.0 20.7 2010-2020 -4.0 7.9 37.7 47.3 14.1 2020-2030 0.6 9.2 43.2 45.9 21.9 2030-2040 -5.3 3.4 33.2 32.8 16.9 2000-2040 -3.9 49.6 290.2 322.5 96.1

Number and Percent of Net Change in Projected Public Elementaryand Secondary, Public Community College and Public University

Enrollment in Texas Due To Each Race/Ethnicity Group,Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

Race/ Ethnicity Number Percent

Total Public Education (All Levels) Anglo -333,964 -8.4 Black 77,833 2.0 Hispanic 3,810,702 95.6 Other 429,758 10.8 Total 3,984,329 100.0 Public Elementary and Secondary Anglo -316,279 -9.8 Black 35,631 1.1 Hispanic 3,221,097 99.9 Other 282,923 8.8 Total 3,223,372 100.0 Public College Colleges Anglo -10,231 -2.2 Black 24,108 5.4 Hispanic 361,050 81.4 Other 68,498 15.4 Total 443,425 100.0 Public Universities Anglo -7,454 -2.4 Black 18,094 5.7 Hispanic 228,555 72.0 Other 78,337 24.7 Total 317,532 100.0 Total Public Colleges and Universities Anglo -17,685 -2.3 Black 42,202 5.5 Hispanic 589,605 77.5 Other 146,835 19.3 Total 760,957 100.0

Future Demands for Specific Programs

Source: The New Texas Challenge: Population Change and the Future of Texas

186.8%

119.9%

48.5%

183%

188.1%

64.7%

101.9%

69.9%

Bilingual/ESL

Economically Disadvantaged

Gifted and Talented

Immigrants

Limited English Proficiency (LEP)

Special Education

Title 1

Career and Technology Education

0% 50% 100% 150% 200%

2000-2040 Percent Change

76.2% Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Growth

Early Childhood

Early Childhood Age Population and Total Population in Texas by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity and Percent of Total Group Population

for Selected Time Periods

Race/Ethnicity

Number Percent

Age < 3

Ages3 to 5

Ages0 to 5

Total Population

Age < 3

Ages3 to 5

Ages0 to 5

Total Population

Census 2000

Anglo 389,504 399,426 788,930 11,074,716 39.8 41.1 40.5 53.1

Black 121,690 124,058 245,748 2,421,653 12.4 12.8 12.6 11.6

Hispanic 435,403 416,493 851,896 6,669,666 44.5 42.9 43.7 32.0

Other 30,841 30,882 61,723 685,785 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3

Total 977,438 970,859 1,948,297 20,851,820 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Estimated for 2008

Anglo 401,474 406,601 808,075 11,342,864 34.2 36.3 35.2 46.6

Black 131,036 128,743 259,779 2,823,460 11.2 11.5 11.3 11.6

Hispanic 595,953 543,901 1,139,854 9,116,768 50.8 48.5 49.7 37.5

Other 45,164 41,997 87,161 1,043,882 3.8 3.7 3.8 4.3

Total 1,173,627 1,121,242 2,294,869 24,326,974 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0


Change in Early Childhood Age Population and Total Population in Texas by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2008

Race/Ethnicity

Numeric Change Percent Change

Age < 3

Age3 to 5

Ages0 to 5

Total Population

Age < 3

Ages3 to 5

Ages0 to 5

Total Population

Anglo 11,970 7,175 19,145 268,148 3.1 1.8 2.4 2.4

Black 9,346 4,685 14,031 401,807 7.7 3.8 5.7 16.6

Hispanic 160,550 127,408 287,958 2,447,102 36.9 30.6 33.8 36.7

Other 14,323 11,115 25,438 358,097 46.4 36.0 41.2 52.2

Total 196,189 150,383 346,572 3,475,154 20.1 15.5 17.8 16.7


Early Childhood Age Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas and Selected Counties in Texas in 2000 and Estimated for 2008


Race/Ethnicity

Texas Bexar Dallas Harris Hidalgo Tarrant Travis Webb

Census 2000

Anglo

788,930

33,890 65,514

103,723

2,849

70,019

29,538

934

Black

245,748

9,722 47,177

64,599

142

20,882

7,996

29

Hispanic

851,896

86,302 94,964

151,933

66,288

40,685

28,687

23,653

Other 61,723

2,341

9,507

16,460

401

6,308

3,342

107

Total Population

1,948,297 132,255

217,162

336,715

69,680

137,894

69,563

24,723

Estimated for 2008

Anglo

808,075

35,717 55,191

91,668

4,171

70,959

31,820

502

Black

259,779

10,537 47,086

70,506

79

25,121

8,507

6

Hispanic

1,139,854 104,919

129,132

219,130

87,587

64,057

43,148

33,577

Other 87,161

3,773

12,848

23,303

811

9,345

5,281

178

Total Population

2,294,869 154,946

244,257

404,607

92,648

169,482

88,756

34,263

Percent of an Area’s Early Childhood Age Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas and Selected Counties in Texas in 2000 and Estimated for 2008


Race/Ethnicity

Texas Bexar Dallas Harris Hidalgo Tarrant Travis Webb

Census 2000

% Anglo 40.5

25.6

30.2

30.8

4.1

50.8

42.5

3.8

% Black 12.6

7.4

21.7

19.2

0.2

15.1

11.5

0.1

% Hispanic 43.7

65.3

43.7

45.1

95.1

29.5

41.2

95.7

% Other 3.2

1.8

4.4

4.9

0.6

4.6

4.8

0.4

Estimated for 2008

% Anglo 35.2

23.1

22.6

22.7

4.5

41.9

35.9

1.5

% Black 11.3

6.8

19.3

17.4

0.1

14.8

9.6

-

% Hispanic 49.7

67.7

52.9

54.2

94.5

37.8

48.6

98.0

% Other 3.8

2.4

5.3

5.8

0.9

5.5

6.0

0.5

Early Childhood

Early Childhood Age Population and Total Population in Texas by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040

Under Net Migration Rates Equal to 2000-2007 Age

GroupAnglo Black Hispanic Other Total

Census 2000

< 3 389,504 121,690 435,403 30,841 977,4383-5 399,426 124,058 416,493 30,882 970,8590-5 788,930 245,748 851,896 61,723 1,948,297All Ages 11,074,716 2,421,653 6,669,666 685,785 20,851,820

Projected 2010

< 3 398,192 132,968 626,611 46,611 1,204,3823-5 407,608 131,264 585,618 44,387 1,168,8770-5 805,800 264,232 1,212,229 90,998 2,373,259All Ages 11,441,595 2,925,751 9,847,852 1,158,749 25,373,947

Projected 2020

< 3 360,408 132,883 729,063 55,600 1,277,9543-5 374,324 138,084 702,447 52,443 1,267,2980-5 734,732 270,967 1,431,510 108,043 2,545,252All Ages 11,612,122 3,447,896 13,940,031 1,858,400 30,858,449

Projected 2030

< 3 325,434 130,726 890,312 70,921 1,417,3933-5 335,061 132,929 837,044 66,101 1,371,1350-5 660,495 263,655 1,727,356 137,022 2,788,528All Ages 11,525,269 3,922,900 18,973,424 2,863,893 37,285,486

Projected 2040

< 3 310,388 135,871 1,059,827 94,598 1,600,6843-5 316,100 137,190 1,013,901 87,100 1,554,2910-5 626,488 273,061 2,073,728 181,698 3,154,975All Ages 11,196,427 4,341,627 25,090,745 4,243,239 44,872,038


Percent of Early Childhood Age Population and Total Population in Texas by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040

Under Net Migration Rates Equal to 2000-2007

Age Group

Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

Census 2000< 3 39.8 12.4 44.5 3.2 100.03-5 41.1 12.8 42.9 3.2 100.00-5 40.5 12.6 43.7 3.2 100.0All Ages 53.1 11.6 32.0 3.3 100.0

Projected 2010< 3 33.1 11.0 52.0 3.9 100.03-5 34.9 11.2 50.1 3.8 100.00-5 34.0 11.1 51.1 3.8 100.0All Ages 45.1 11.5 38.8 4.6 100.0





Numerical Change in Early Childhood Age Population and Total Population in Texas by Age Group and

Race/Ethnicity for Selected Time Periods Under Net Migration Rates Equal to 2000-2007

Age Group


Change 2000-2010< 3 8,688 11,278 191,208 15,770 226,9443-5 8,182 7,206 169,125 13,505 198,0180 - 5 16,870 18,484 360,333 29,275 424,962All Ages 366,879 504,098 3,178,186 472,964 4,522,127

Change 2010-2020< 3 -37,784 -85 102,452 8,989 73,5723-5 -33,284 6,820 116,829 8,056 98,4210 - 5 -71,068 6,735 219,281 17,045 171,993All Ages 170,527 522,145 4,092,179 699,651 5,484,502

Change 2020-2030< 3 -34,974 -2,157 161,249 15,321 139,4393-5 -39,263 -5,155 134,597 13,658 103,8370 - 5 -74,237 -7,312 295,846 28,979 243,276All Ages -86,853 475,004 5,033,393 1,005,493 6,427,037

Change 2030-2040< 3 -15,046 5,145 169,515 23,677 183,2913-5 -18,961 4,261 176,857 20,999 183,1560 - 5 -34,007 9,406 346,372 44,676 366,447All Ages -328,842 418,727 6,117,321 1,379,346 7,586,552

Change 2000-2040< 3 -79,116 14,181 624,424 63,757 623,2463-5 -83,326 13,132 597,408 56,218 583,4320 - 5 -162,442 27,313 1,221,832 119,975 1,206,678All Ages 121,711 1,919,974 18,421,079 3,557,454 24,020,218


Percent Change in Early Childhood Age Population and Total Population in Texas by Age Group and

Race/Ethnicity for Selected Time Periods Under Net Migration Rates Equal to 2000-2007

Age Group


Change 2000-2010< 3 2.2 9.3 43.9 51.1 23.23-5 2.0 5.8 40.6 43.7 20.40 - 5 2.1 7.5 42.3 47.4 21.8All Ages 3.3 20.8 47.7 69.0 21.7

Change 2010-2020< 3 -9.5 -0.1 16.4 19.3 6.13-5 -8.2 5.2 19.9 18.1 8.40 - 5 -8.8 2.5 18.1 18.7 7.2All Ages 1.5 17.8 41.6 60.4 21.6

Change 2020-2030< 3 -9.7 -1.6 22.1 27.6 10.93-5 -10.5 -3.7 19.2 26.0 8.20 - 5 -10.1 -2.7 20.7 26.8 9.6All Ages -0.7 13.8 36.1 54.1 20.8

Change 2030-2040< 3 -4.6 3.9 19.0 33.4 12.93-5 -5.7 3.2 21.1 31.8 13.40 - 5 -5.1 3.6 20.1 32.6 13.1All Ages -2.9 10.7 32.2 48.2 20.3

Change 2000-2040< 3 -20.3 11.7 143.4 206.7 63.83-5 -20.9 10.6 143.4 182.0 60.10 - 5 -20.6 11.1 143.4 194.4 61.9All Ages 1.1 79.3 276.2 518.7 115.2


Households and Households in Owner Occupied Housing in Texas and the United States by Presence of Own Children

in 2000 by Race/Ethnicity of Householder

Households Proportion of Households

All Households

Owner Occupied

All Households

Owner Occupied

Race/Ethnic Category AllWith Own

Children < 18 AllWith Own

Children < 18

TexasWhite, Not Hispanic 4,487,574 3,175,771 1,014,994 60.7 67.3 59.3Black, Not Hispanic 844,696 391,863 136,543 11.4 8.3 8.0Other, Not Hispanic 273,943 146,731 25,560 3.7 3.1 1.5Hispanic 1,787,141 1,002,929 533,594 24.2 21.3 31.2Total 7,393,354 4,717,294 1,710,691 100.0 100.0 100.0

United StatesWhite, Not Hispanic 79,086,566 57,296,118 17,865,789 75.0 82.1 77.0Black, Not Hispanic 12,136,354 5,625,147 1,938,860 11.5 8.1 8.4Other, Not Hispanic 5,077,417 2,704,635 1,190,373 4.8 3.9 5.1Hispanic 9,179,764 4,190,613 2,194,288 8.7 6.0 9.5

Total 105,480,101 69,816,513 23,189,310 100.0 100.0 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, SF-4

Households by Race/Ethnicity of the Householder and Owner Occupancy Status and Presence of Own Children in Texas and the United States in 2000

– Percent of Total Race/Ethnic Group Households

All Households

Owner Occupied

Race/Ethnic CategoryHouseholds with

Children All

With Own Children <

18

TexasWhite, Not Hispanic 4,487,574 30.1 70.8 22.6Black, Not Hispanic 844,696 38.4 46.4 16.2Other, Not Hispanic 273,943 43.0 53.6 9.3Hispanic 1,787,141 53.2 56.1 29.9Total 7,393,354 37.1 63.8 23.1

United StatesWhite, Not Hispanic 79,086,566 29.5 72.4 22.6Black, Not Hispanic 12,136,354 37.2 46.3 16.0Other, Not Hispanic 5,077,417 42.5 53.3 23.4Hispanic 9,179,764 52.5 45.7 23.9Total 105,480,101 33.0 66.2 22.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, SF-4

All Households(Percent of All Households)

Owner Occupied(Percent of Owner Occupied Households)

County Total White Black Hispanic Other Total White Black Hispanic OtherBexar 488,942 43.4 7.2 46.4 3.0 299,171 47.7 5.7 44.2 2.5Brazoria 81,954 72.9 6.7 17.2 3.2 60,682 75.9 5.9 15.0 3.2Cameron 97,267 22.8 0.3 75.9 1.0 65,854 26.5 0.3 72.4 0.8Collin 181,970 80.5 4.7 7.0 7.9 124,935 84.5 3.2 5.0 7.3Dallas 807,621 54.3 20.3 20.1 5.3 424,788 65.2 15.6 14.8 4.3Denton 158,903 80.3 5.7 8.6 5.3 102,469 85.2 3.7 6.4 4.7Ector 43,846 60.3 4.5 33.3 1.9 30,098 62.7 3.4 32.4 1.5Ellis 37,020 77.6 8.1 12.8 1.5 28,226 82.1 6.2 10.3 1.3Ft. Bend 110,915 52.7 19.4 16.5 11.4 89,628 55.0 18.6 14.3 12.1Galveston 94,782 68.2 14.9 13.6 3.4 62,790 75.6 10.3 11.3 2.8Guadalupe 30,900 67.1 5.0 25.9 2.0 23,799 70.9 4.3 22.8 2.0Hale 11,975 54.6 4.7 39.1 1.6 7,765 61.8 3.3 33.6 1.3Harris 1,205,516 50.7 18.7 24.2 6.3 667,129 60.9 14.1 19.2 5.8Hays 33,410 72.2 2.4 23.0 2.4 21,680 74.6 1.8 21.9 1.7Hidalgo 156,824 17.3 0.3 81.3 1.1 114,570 19.4 0.2 79.5 0.9Johnson 43,636 87.6 1.8 8.6 2.0 34,420 90.2 1.3 6.9 1.6Lubbock 92,516 69.6 6.8 21.3 2.3 54,763 75.0 5.0 18.5 1.5McLennan 78,859 70.3 14.8 13.0 1.9 47,463 77.5 10.1 11.3 1.1Montgomery 103,296 86.1 3.2 8.4 2.4 80,750 88.3 2.6 7.0 2.1Nueces 110,365 45.7 4.2 47.9 2.2 67,687 49.9 3.1 45.1 2.0Smith 65,692 73.4 18.3 6.8 1.6 45,777 78.6 14.5 5.6 1.3Tarrant 533,864 69.0 12.5 13.8 4.7 324,754 76.1 9.2 10.8 3.9Taylor 47,274 78.0 6.1 13.4 2.5 29,091 82.2 3.9 11.8 2.0Travis 320,766 65.3 8.4 20.3 6.0 165,123 72.8 6.9 16.1 4.2Wichita 48,441 79.3 8.3 8.7 3.7 30,192 84.0 5.5 7.5 3.0Williamson 86,766 78.9 4.8 12.9 3.4 64,391 82.2 3.9 10.7 3.2Texas 7,393,354 60.7 11.2 24.2 3.9 4,717,294 67.3 8.2 21.3 3.2United States 105,480,101 75.0 11.2 8.7 5.1 69,816,513 82.1 7.9 6.0 4.1

Households and Owner Occupied Households by Race/Ethnicity of the Householder for Texas, the United States, and Selected Texas Counties in 2000

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, SF-4

Total Households With Own Children < 18(Percent of Households with Children)

Owner Occupied With Own Children < 18(Percent of Owner Occupied Households with Children)

County Total White Black Hispanic Other Total White Black Hispanic OtherBexar 180,106 33.2 7.3 56.6 2.9 108,110 39.7 4.9 52.6 2.8Brazoria 33,773 63.7 7.3 25.3 3.7 24,730 67.0 6.2 22.9 3.9Cameron 44,917 9.6 0.4 89.2 0.8 27,361 11.3 0.2 87.8 0.7Collin 74,378 75.7 5.0 9.3 9.9 59,238 79.9 3.8 6.7 9.6Dallas 285,855 38.1 22.8 33.2 5.9 152,589 51.4 16.2 26.5 5.8Denton 62,464 75.9 6.4 11.7 5.9 46,613 80.8 4.4 9.1 5.7Ector 17,222 44.4 3.9 49.8 1.9 11,961 46.0 2.5 49.7 1.8Ellis 15,720 72.2 7.6 18.6 1.6 11,568 78.1 4.9 15.9 1.1Ft. Bend 55,701 45.8 20.5 19.5 14.1 46,127 48.8 19.1 16.8 15.3Galveston 32,242 61.8 15.1 19.4 3.7 21,101 72.3 8.4 16.1 3.2Guadalupe 11,806 57.4 5.6 34.9 2.1 8,755 62.5 4.3 30.7 2.5Hale 4,793 36.7 3.8 56.8 2.7 2,801 41.4 2.0 53.5 3.1Harris 196,646 21.5 27.3 45.0 6.2 262,254 51.4 11.8 29.5 7.2Hays 11,484 64.7 2.7 30.5 2.1 8,778 69.7 1.9 26.8 1.6Hidalgo 78,530 6.2 0.2 92.7 0.8 55,272 6.5 0.2 92.6 0.8Johnson 17,724 82.9 1.5 13.3 2.3 13,545 85.5 1.0 11.5 1.9Lubbock 29,460 56.5 8.9 32.7 1.9 18,073 66.4 4.6 27.3 1.8McLennan 26,048 60.6 16.6 21.0 1.8 15,434 71.2 8.8 19.0 1.1Montgomery 42,084 81.2 3.6 12.5 2.7 33,556 83.9 2.5 10.9 2.6Nueces 40,012 35.3 4.2 58.0 2.5 22,954 42.0 2.3 53.4 2.3Smith 22,046 64.7 20.2 13.3 1.8 14,877 71.5 14.2 12.7 1.6Tarrant 198,257 59.4 13.7 21.2 5.6 126,359 68.8 8.8 17.2 5.2Taylor 16,505 68.5 7.9 20.3 3.3 9,595 74.5 3.7 18.6 3.2Travis 94,666 52.3 10.3 31.5 5.9 59,432 64.4 6.6 23.4 5.6Wichita 16,337 73.3 9.2 13.3 4.1 9,527 79.8 4.6 12.2 3.4Williamson 38,163 73.2 5.5 17.2 4.0 29,666 77.3 4.5 14.2 4.0Texas 2,742,486 49.2 11.8 34.7 4.3 1,756,930 57.8 7.6 30.4 4.2United States 34,819,260 67.0 13.0 13.8 6.2 23,189,310 77.0 8.1 9.5 5.4

Households with Own Children < 18 and Owner Occupied Households with Own Children < 18 by Race/Ethnicity of the Householder for Texas,

the United States, and Selected Texas Counties in 2000

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, SF-4

TotalHouseholds

Owner Occupied (Percent of Total Households)

Owner Occupied With Own Children < 18(Percent of Total Households)

County Total White Black Hispanic Other Total White Black Hispanic OtherBexar 488,942 61.2 29.2 3.5 27.0 1.5 22.1 8.8 1.1 11.6 0.6Brazoria 81,954 74.0 56.2 4.4 11.1 2.4 30.2 20.2 1.9 6.9 1.2Cameron 97,267 67.7 17.9 0.2 49.0 0.6 28.1 3.2 0.1 24.7 0.2Collin 181,970 68.7 58.0 2.2 3.4 5.0 32.6 26.0 1.2 2.2 3.1Dallas 807,621 52.6 34.3 8.2 7.8 2.3 18.9 9.7 3.1 5.0 1.1Denton 158,903 64.5 54.9 2.4 4.1 3.1 29.3 23.7 1.3 2.7 1.7Ector 43,846 68.6 43.1 2.3 22.2 1.1 27.3 12.6 0.7 13.5 0.5Ellis 37,020 76.2 62.6 4.7 7.9 1.0 31.2 24.4 1.5 5.0 0.4Ft. Bend 110,915 80.8 44.5 15.0 11.6 9.7 41.6 20.3 7.9 7.0 6.3Galveston 94,782 66.2 50.1 6.8 7.5 1.9 22.3 16.1 1.9 3.6 0.7Guadalupe 30,900 77.0 54.6 3.3 17.6 1.6 28.3 17.7 1.2 8.7 0.7Hale 11,975 64.8 40.1 2.1 21.8 0.9 23.4 9.7 0.5 12.5 0.7Harris 1,205,516 55.3 33.7 7.8 10.6 3.2 21.8 11.2 2.6 6.4 1.6Hays 33,410 64.9 48.4 1.2 14.2 1.1 26.3 18.3 0.5 7.0 0.4Hidalgo 156,824 73.1 14.2 0.1 58.1 0.7 35.2 2.3 0.1 32.6 0.3Johnson 43,636 78.9 71.1 1.0 5.5 1.3 31.0 26.6 0.3 3.6 0.6Lubbock 92,516 59.2 44.4 2.9 11.0 0.9 19.5 13.0 0.9 5.3 0.3McLennan 78,859 60.2 46.7 6.1 6.8 0.7 19.6 13.9 1.7 3.7 0.2Montgomery 103,296 78.2 69.0 2.0 5.5 1.7 32.5 27.3 0.8 3.6 0.9Nueces 110,365 61.3 30.6 1.9 27.7 1.2 20.8 8.7 0.5 11.1 0.5Smith 65,692 69.7 54.8 10.1 3.9 0.9 22.6 16.2 3.2 2.9 0.4Tarrant 533,864 60.8 46.3 5.6 6.6 2.3 23.7 16.3 2.1 4.1 1.2Taylor 47,274 61.5 50.6 2.4 7.3 1.3 20.3 15.1 0.7 3.8 0.6Travis 320,766 51.5 37.5 3.5 8.3 2.2 18.5 11.9 1.2 4.3 1.0Wichita 48,441 62.3 52.3 3.4 4.7 1.9 19.7 15.7 0.9 2.4 0.7Williamson 86,766 74.2 61.0 2.9 7.9 2.4 34.2 26.4 1.5 4.9 1.4Texas 7,393,354 63.8 43.0 5.2 13.6 2.1 23.8 13.7 1.8 7.2 1.0United States 105,480,101 66.2 54.3 5.2 4.0 2.7 22.0 16.9 1.8 2.1 1.2

Percent of All Households by Owner Occupied Status and Presence of Own Children < 18 by Race/Ethnicity of the Householder for Texas,

the United States, and Selected Texas Counties in 2000

Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in 2000 Dollars)


$54,441

$52,639

$50,903

$49,326

$47,883

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040


11.4

7.5

15.0

26.7

18.9

14.415.4

11.8

17.0

30.0

18.9

16.6

Family Households

Married Couple

Male Householder

Female Householder

Nonfamily Households

Total Households

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Percent in Poverty

2000 2040

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040


18.8

29 28.7

18.2

5.3

30.128.7

23.9

12.9

4.4

No High School Diploma

High School Graduate

Some College

Bachelor's Degree

Graduate/Prof.Degree

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Percent

2000 2040

Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*

*From Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (1% File)

$30,412

$42,271

$52,552

$80,950

$102,410

$32,473

$44,068

$54,467

$80,327

$104,294

Less ThanHigh School

High SchoolGraduate

Some College or Associate Degree

Bachelor'sDegree

Graduate/ProfessionalDegree

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

Average Income

Texas United States

Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040* Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates

*Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

12.7

25.7

31.6

30.0

24.0

29.9

30.6

15.5

50.7

22.0

18.4

8.9

21.0

16.1

20.6

42.3

2.2

16.6

33.4

47.8

4.3

25.6

40.5

29.6

32.1

25.8

24.1

18.0

13.4

7.6

11.0

68.0

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc

Bachelor's +

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc.

Bachelor's +

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc

Bachelor's +

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc

Bachelor's +

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0

Percent

2000 2040

Black

Hispanic

Other

Anglo

Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under

Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

*Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

$251

$621

$765

$938

$210

$528

$629

$752

2000Base Values

2040 Assuming2000 Attainment

Differentials

2040 Assuming1990-2000 Trends

in Differentials

2040 AssumingAnglo Trends

Apply to all Groups

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

Billions

Aggregate Income Consumer Expenditures

The mark of a truly educated man is to be

moved deeply by statistics.

George Bernard Shaw

Steve MurdockPhone: 210-867-4385

E-mail: [email protected]

rice university tamu commerce educational conference july 15, 2010

Documents

population of texas

population size

population values

population estimates

percent population change

census bureau decennial

components of change

thousandsten largest