road freight productivity – trends and prospects

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Road freight productivity – trends and prospects. Jack McAuley, BTRE BTRE Transport Colloquium 13 - 14 June 2007. Outline. Historical trends in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travel Projected increases in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travel - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Road freight productivity trends and prospectsJack McAuley, BTRE

    BTRE Transport Colloquium13 - 14 June 2007

  • OutlineHistorical trends in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travelProjected increases in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travelPotential impact on vehicle traffic of potential regulatory changes:Performance Based Standards Expansion of B-triple network

  • Road freight has grown at 5.8 per cent per annum since 1971Source: BTRE Report 112

  • Articulated trucks account for most of the growthSource: BTRE Report 112

  • Types of articulated truckImages adapted from National Transport Commission websiteSingle articulated truck

  • Types of articulated truckImages adapted from National Transport Commission websiteSingle articulated truckB-double

  • Types of articulated truckImages adapted from National Transport Commission websiteSingle articulated truckB-doubleRoad train

  • Types of articulated truckImages adapted from National Transport Commission websiteSingle articulated truckB-doubleRoad trainB-triple

  • The share of freight carried by B-doubles is growing at 2.2 percentage points per annumSource: ABS Survey of Motor Vehicle Use, 1992-2005

  • The average load of each vehicle class has remained relatively constantSource: Vicroads CULWAY data for laden trucks on the Hume Highway

  • and there have been no changes to legal mass limits in the last decadeSource: BTRE Report 112

  • so that substitution to B-doubles is driving the increase in load for articulated trucks as a classSource: BTRE Report 112, Vicroads CULWAY data

  • Increase in average load is expected to continueThere is scope for further substitution to B-doublesThe increase is truck travel will be slower than the increase in freightPer unit of freight:Lower environmental costsLower safety costsLower road wear costs

  • Truck travel will grow slower than road freightSource: BTRE (2005, 2006)

  • Future regulatory changesImplementation of performance based standards (PBS)Possible expansion of B-triple network

  • Performance Based Standards could reduce truck travel by a further 5 %Source: BTRE (2005, 2006)

  • Expansion of B-triple network to inter-capital routes could reduce truck travel by a further 4%Source: BTRE (2005, 2006)

  • SummaryThe articulated truck freight task will increase by 69 per cent by 2020 Articulated truck travel will increase by 29 per cent by 2020With no further regulatory changes, articulated truck travel per unit of freight will be 35 per cent lower in 2020Performance Based Standards could reduce truck travel by a further 5 %B-triples on inter-capital routes could reduce truck travel by a further 4 %

  • ReferencesABS, Survey of Motor Vehicle Use

    BTRE 2006, Freight Measurement and Modelling, Report 112

    BTRE 2005, Greenhouse gas emissions from Australian transport: Base Case Projections to 2020, Report for the Australian Greenhouse Office

    NRTC 2001, Performance-Based Standards Policy Framework for Heavy Vehicle Regulation, Regulatory Impact Statement, May

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