road freight productivity – trends and prospects
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Road freight productivity – trends and prospects. Jack McAuley, BTRE BTRE Transport Colloquium 13 - 14 June 2007. Outline. Historical trends in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travel Projected increases in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travel - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Road freight productivity – trends and prospects
Jack McAuley, BTRE
BTRE Transport Colloquium13 - 14 June 2007
Outline
• Historical trends in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travel
• Projected increases in articulated truck freight volumes and vehicle travel
• Potential impact on vehicle traffic of potential regulatory changes:– Performance Based Standards– Expansion of B-triple network
Road freight has grown at 5.8 per cent per annum since 1971
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Road freight
5.8 % pa
Source: BTRE Report 112
Articulated trucks account for most of the growth
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Road freight
5.8 % pa
Light commercial vehicles 6.3 % pa
Rigid trucks3.4 % pa
Articulated trucks
6.8 % pa
Source: BTRE Report 112
Types of articulated truck
Images adapted from National Transport Commission website
Single articulated truck
Types of articulated truck
Images adapted from National Transport Commission website
Single articulated truck
B-double
Types of articulated truck
Images adapted from National Transport Commission website
Single articulated truck
B-double
Road train
Types of articulated truck
Images adapted from National Transport Commission website
Single articulated truck
B-double
Road train
B-triple
The share of freight carried by B-doubles is growing at 2.2 percentage points per annum
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Sh
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Road trains
B-doubles
Single articulated trucks
Source: ABS Survey of Motor Vehicle Use, 1992-2005
The average load of each vehicle class has remained relatively constant…
Source: Vicroads CULWAY data for laden trucks on the Hume Highway
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Single articulated trucks
B-doubles
Source: BTRE Report 112
and there have been no changes to legal mass limits in the last decade
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Single articulated truck mass limit
Single articulated trucks
B-doubles
B-double mass limit
Source: BTRE Report 112, Vicroads CULWAY data
…so that substitution to B-doubles is driving the increase in load for articulated trucks as a class
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To
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es Articulated trucksSingle articulated trucks
B-doubles
• There is scope for further substitution to B-doubles• The increase is truck travel will be slower than the increase
in freight• Per unit of freight:
– Lower environmental costs– Lower safety costs– Lower road wear costs
Increase in average load is expected to continue
Truck travel will grow slower than road freight
Source: BTRE (2005, 2006)
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Projections
• Implementation of performance based standards (PBS)• Possible expansion of B-triple network
Future regulatory changes
Performance Based Standards could reduce truck travel by a further 5 %
Source: BTRE (2005, 2006)
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Projections
Expansion of B-triple network to inter-capital routes could reduce truck travel by a further 4%
Source: BTRE (2005, 2006)
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Artic vehicle km with PBS expanded B-triple network
Projections
Summary• The articulated truck freight task will increase by 69 per cent
by 2020• Articulated truck travel will increase by 29 per cent by 2020• With no further regulatory changes, articulated truck travel
per unit of freight will be 35 per cent lower in 2020• Performance Based Standards could reduce truck travel by
a further 5 %• B-triples on inter-capital routes could reduce truck travel by
a further 4 %
References
ABS, Survey of Motor Vehicle Use
BTRE 2006, Freight Measurement and Modelling, Report 112
BTRE 2005, Greenhouse gas emissions from Australian transport: Base Case Projections to 2020, Report for the Australian Greenhouse Office
NRTC 2001, Performance-Based Standards Policy Framework for Heavy Vehicle Regulation, Regulatory Impact Statement, May