the tarrance group, inc. / lake research partners …september 7-9, 2010 ~ n=1000 likely voters ~...
TRANSCRIPT
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67% 23% 10% 1000
68% 20% 12% 214
65% 26% 9% 168
60% 27% 13% 248
71% 23% 6% 86
68% 22% 11% 76
72% 26% 2% 70
72% 19% 9% 139
68% 22% 9% 101
71% 15% 14% 47
70% 26% 3% 53
66% 20% 13% 56
66% 24% 10% 742
67% 25% 8% 300
67% 23% 10% 700
62% 26% 12% 230
67% 22% 11% 309
68% 23% 8% 460
68% 24% 8% 446
66% 23% 11% 554
64% 25% 11% 440
70% 20% 10% 364
65% 27% 8% 196
65% 26% 9% 214
68% 23% 9% 540
64% 23% 13% 246
66% 25% 9% 480
67% 22% 11% 520
65% 24% 11% 287
68% 26% 6% 193
66% 22% 13% 282
68% 23% 9% 238
40% 33% 26% 120
65% 23% 12% 245
72% 20% 8% 335
72% 24% 4% 300
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
UPELECT
Extremelylikely
Very likely Somewhatlikely
UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 1
-
45% 34% 21% 174
68% 20% 13% 191
73% 21% 7% 408
73% 23% 4% 202
65% 27% 8% 24
57% 27% 16% 365
73% 21% 7% 408
72% 24% 5% 227
63% 24% 12% 303
72% 25% 3% 177
63% 22% 15% 281
72% 23% 5% 239
69% 23% 8% 750
57% 19% 24% 120
62% 33% 6% 90
69% 25% 6% 40
68% 23% 9% 386
70% 22% 8% 364
49% 32% 18% 36
60% 14% 26% 84
69% 28% 3% 37
57% 36% 7% 53
74% 23% 3% 251
64% 24% 12% 749
69% 24% 7% 410
64% 24% 12% 180
65% 23% 12% 410
69% 25% 6% 231
70% 22% 8% 179
60% 28% 12% 164
69% 20% 12% 246
73% 18% 10% 85
57% 29% 14% 95
66% 24% 10% 227
74% 23% 3% 183
61% 23% 16% 254
72% 22% 6% 156
62% 21% 17% 102
67% 28% 5% 78
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
UPELECT
Extremelylikely
Very likely Somewhatlikely
UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 2
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73% 22% 6% 429
52% 35% 13% 121
65% 22% 13% 449
72% 23% 5% 360
66% 24% 10% 77
59% 29% 12% 121
56% 22% 22% 67
66% 23% 11% 375
69% 22% 9% 578
62% 25% 14% 102
64% 26% 10% 320
73% 23% 4% 217
66% 22% 12% 361
64% 25% 11% 422
69% 24% 7% 410
64% 24% 12% 180
62% 22% 16% 123
66% 23% 10% 287
73% 22% 5% 381
65% 24% 11% 469
59% 41% 4
51% 28% 21% 60
54% 26% 20% 60
62% 28% 10% 26
46% 30% 24% 71
60% 30% 10% 216
63% 26% 11% 258
75% 18% 7% 455
59% 27% 14% 165
68% 23% 9% 835
54% 27% 19% 194
70% 22% 8% 604
68% 25% 8% 202
64% 24% 12% 348
68% 23% 9% 652
66% 25% 10% 168
62% 24% 14% 181
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
UPELECT
Extremelylikely
Very likely Somewhatlikely
UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 3
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66% 23% 11% 279
74% 21% 5% 325
43% 31% 26% 24
68% 24% 8% 67
60% 25% 15% 37
53% 27% 20% 157
73% 24% 3% 111
68% 21% 11% 178
71% 20% 10% 162
68% 28% 4% 162
65% 24% 10% 204
66% 22% 13% 86
63% 26% 11% 207
70% 23% 8% 407
67% 21% 11% 162
66% 25% 9% 113
62% 26% 12% 43
67% 24% 9% 102
75% 17% 8% 71
71% 26% 3% 101
66% 23% 11% 126
92% 8% 7
65% 24% 11% 593
62% 26% 12% 153
69% 24% 7% 327
65% 25% 10% 190
68% 21% 11% 330
65% 27% 8% 227
60% 24% 17% 116
67% 25% 7% 171
65% 18% 16% 52
60% 30% 11% 57
55% 28% 17% 63
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
UPELECT
Extremelylikely
Very likely Somewhatlikely
UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 4
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70% 19% 11% 279
46% 36% 17% 97
68% 24% 8% 624
72% 23% 5% 427
62% 18% 19% 147
63% 25% 11% 426
58% 29% 13% 180
74% 22% 3% 128
66% 28% 7% 110
55% 22% 23% 93
71% 18% 11% 256
67% 24% 9% 230
65% 22% 13% 119
68% 21% 11% 627
75% 23% 2% 59
64% 31% 5% 83
52% 48% 18
83% 17% 7
58% 28% 15% 14
64% 20% 16% 248
47% 34% 20% 113
71% 23% 6% 639
54% 25% 20% 93
72% 26% 1% 170
67% 21% 12% 248
71% 21% 8% 338
58% 29% 14% 151
65% 22% 13% 447
46% 38% 17% 71
71% 23% 6% 482
66% 21% 12% 430
45% 41% 14% 17
60% 30% 11% 218
73% 21% 6% 235
73% 22% 5% 100
69% 24% 7% 456
53% 29% 18% 124
68% 21% 11% 420
Right direction
Unsure
Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C
Republican
Undecided
Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
UPELECT
Extremelylikely
Very likely Somewhatlikely
UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 5
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73% 21% 6% 286
66% 23% 11% 178
64% 25% 11% 536
66% 21% 12% 209
65% 26% 9% 163
67% 24% 9% 628
68% 20% 11% 375
41% 44% 15% 83
69% 23% 8% 543
72% 21% 7% 456
60% 26% 13% 379
68% 22% 10% 153
68% 28% 4% 12
91% 9% 0% 398
87% 12% 1% 499
84% 15% 1% 600
81% 18% 2% 699
67% 23% 10% 1000
67% 23% 10% 1000
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
UPELECT
Extremelylikely
Very likely Somewhatlikely
UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 6
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28% 10% 62% 1000
30% 6% 64% 214
30% 6% 64% 168
29% 10% 61% 248
21% 15% 64% 86
23% 10% 67% 76
21% 14% 65% 70
30% 14% 56% 139
35% 11% 54% 101
22% 18% 60% 47
19% 11% 70% 53
33% 7% 60% 56
28% 9% 63% 742
25% 11% 64% 300
29% 9% 62% 700
26% 11% 63% 230
22% 9% 68% 309
32% 9% 58% 460
24% 11% 65% 446
31% 9% 61% 554
27% 9% 64% 440
29% 7% 64% 364
28% 17% 56% 196
21% 11% 69% 214
27% 10% 63% 540
35% 8% 56% 246
24% 11% 66% 480
32% 9% 60% 520
26% 9% 65% 287
21% 12% 67% 193
34% 6% 60% 282
28% 12% 59% 238
20% 20% 59% 120
36% 7% 57% 245
30% 8% 62% 335
23% 9% 68% 300
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 7
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26% 16% 58% 174
35% 8% 58% 191
29% 8% 63% 408
22% 10% 68% 202
13% 14% 73% 24
31% 11% 58% 365
29% 8% 63% 408
21% 11% 68% 227
26% 11% 63% 303
21% 9% 70% 177
35% 9% 56% 281
28% 9% 63% 239
24% 9% 67% 750
53% 11% 36% 120
29% 12% 59% 90
29% 15% 56% 40
20% 11% 69% 386
27% 7% 66% 364
39% 14% 46% 36
59% 10% 32% 84
43% 3% 54% 37
20% 18% 62% 53
19% 8% 73% 251
31% 10% 59% 749
7% 5% 88% 410
21% 17% 61% 180
52% 11% 37% 410
6% 6% 88% 231
7% 5% 88% 179
50% 14% 36% 164
53% 8% 38% 246
20% 17% 62% 85
22% 17% 61% 95
7% 8% 85% 227
6% 2% 92% 183
52% 10% 38% 254
52% 12% 36% 156
26% 16% 58% 102
15% 18% 66% 78
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 8
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10% 5% 85% 429
16% 22% 62% 121
48% 11% 41% 449
6% 4% 90% 360
17% 14% 69% 77
22% 18% 60% 121
24% 17% 59% 67
54% 10% 36% 375
11% 7% 82% 578
33% 21% 46% 102
56% 10% 33% 320
8% 2% 90% 217
13% 11% 76% 361
51% 13% 36% 422
7% 5% 88% 410
21% 17% 61% 180
37% 8% 55% 123
59% 12% 30% 287
6% 3% 90% 381
49% 12% 38% 469
100% 4
17% 11% 72% 60
11% 26% 63% 60
25% 16% 59% 26
16% 38% 46% 71
17% 9% 73% 216
32% 8% 60% 258
32% 7% 61% 455
33% 10% 57% 165
27% 10% 64% 835
35% 13% 52% 194
24% 8% 68% 604
31% 11% 57% 202
30% 9% 61% 348
27% 10% 63% 652
25% 7% 68% 168
35% 10% 55% 181
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 9
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27% 9% 64% 279
22% 7% 71% 325
62% 10% 29% 24
30% 12% 57% 67
31% 4% 65% 37
36% 15% 49% 157
26% 11% 63% 111
22% 8% 70% 178
29% 8% 62% 162
27% 6% 68% 162
22% 14% 64% 204
20% 15% 64% 86
42% 9% 49% 207
24% 7% 69% 407
27% 9% 63% 162
21% 15% 64% 113
31% 13% 56% 43
22% 6% 72% 102
29% 7% 65% 71
23% 1% 76% 101
23% 14% 62% 126
36% 64% 7
30% 11% 58% 593
22% 8% 71% 153
25% 12% 63% 327
27% 8% 65% 190
34% 9% 57% 330
16% 5% 79% 227
42% 13% 45% 116
7% 4% 89% 171
25% 16% 59% 52
43% 8% 49% 57
57% 10% 33% 63
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 10
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5% 5% 90% 427
22% 15% 63% 147
53% 12% 35% 426
42% 12% 46% 180
20% 7% 74% 128
18% 10% 72% 110
14% 13% 73% 93
16% 5% 79% 256
33% 10% 58% 230
31% 14% 55% 119
33% 8% 58% 627
49% 16% 35% 59
15% 10% 76% 83
21% 8% 70% 18
67% 11% 22% 7
15% 21% 63% 14
63% 11% 27% 248
28% 29% 43% 113
14% 6% 80% 639
46% 10% 44% 93
3% 2% 94% 170
71% 9% 20% 248
11% 6% 82% 338
12% 25% 63% 151
58% 16% 27% 447
13% 24% 63% 71
2% 2% 95% 482
59% 15% 26% 430
34% 29% 37% 17
4% 8% 88% 218
1% 1% 97% 235
8% 8% 83% 100
4% 4% 91% 456
13% 26% 61% 124
58% 11% 31% 420
4% 3% 93% 286
10% 10% 79% 178
46% 13% 41% 536
Republican
Undecided
Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 11
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68% 5% 27% 209
44% 16% 40% 163
10% 10% 80% 628
62% 10% 29% 375
23% 36% 41% 83
5% 6% 89% 543
31% 7% 62% 456
27% 12% 61% 379
23% 10% 67% 153
19% 20% 61% 12
29% 7% 64% 667
22% 15% 63% 235
32% 17% 52% 98
35% 3% 63% 398
33% 4% 63% 499
32% 4% 63% 600
30% 5% 64% 699
28% 10% 62% 1000
28% 10% 62% 1000
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 12
-
43% 15% 43% 1000
38% 19% 43% 214
40% 15% 45% 168
44% 11% 45% 248
56% 17% 27% 86
52% 12% 36% 76
58% 8% 34% 70
31% 17% 51% 139
33% 14% 53% 101
52% 14% 33% 47
57% 21% 23% 53
35% 19% 47% 56
43% 14% 43% 742
50% 13% 38% 300
40% 16% 45% 700
49% 14% 37% 230
46% 15% 39% 309
38% 14% 48% 460
48% 15% 37% 446
39% 14% 47% 554
41% 13% 47% 440
43% 19% 38% 364
47% 11% 42% 196
49% 14% 38% 214
44% 15% 40% 540
34% 14% 52% 246
51% 14% 36% 480
35% 16% 49% 520
52% 14% 35% 287
49% 14% 37% 193
33% 15% 53% 282
39% 17% 45% 238
30% 16% 53% 120
42% 14% 44% 245
40% 14% 46% 335
51% 15% 33% 300
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
RGENERCG
Republican Undecided Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 13
-
34% 13% 54% 174
42% 17% 41% 191
42% 14% 45% 408
52% 15% 33% 202
52% 29% 19% 24
38% 15% 47% 365
42% 14% 45% 408
52% 17% 31% 227
47% 15% 38% 303
56% 12% 32% 177
32% 15% 54% 281
40% 17% 43% 239
51% 15% 34% 750
3% 10% 87% 120
32% 13% 54% 90
31% 33% 37% 40
56% 14% 30% 386
46% 15% 39% 364
7% 3% 91% 36
1% 13% 85% 84
48% 9% 43% 37
22% 16% 62% 53
56% 15% 29% 251
38% 15% 47% 749
87% 7% 6% 410
29% 47% 24% 180
4% 9% 87% 410
87% 7% 6% 231
87% 6% 7% 179
5% 9% 87% 164
4% 9% 87% 246
40% 41% 18% 85
19% 52% 29% 95
86% 6% 8% 227
88% 7% 5% 183
3% 9% 88% 254
6% 9% 85% 156
27% 49% 23% 102
31% 44% 25% 78
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
RGENERCG
Republican Undecided Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 14
-
82% 11% 8% 429
31% 39% 30% 121
9% 12% 79% 449
91% 5% 4% 360
47% 37% 15% 77
28% 36% 36% 121
19% 45% 36% 67
4% 7% 89% 375
64% 14% 22% 578
21% 43% 36% 102
11% 7% 82% 320
79% 9% 12% 217
55% 17% 28% 361
13% 16% 71% 422
87% 7% 6% 410
29% 47% 24% 180
9% 17% 74% 123
2% 5% 92% 287
85% 9% 6% 381
11% 12% 77% 469
59% 41% 4
32% 33% 35% 60
34% 42% 24% 60
49% 34% 16% 26
23% 24% 53% 71
47% 14% 39% 216
41% 12% 46% 258
45% 15% 41% 455
33% 19% 48% 165
45% 14% 42% 835
28% 14% 58% 194
50% 14% 36% 604
35% 18% 47% 202
37% 13% 49% 348
46% 15% 39% 652
50% 11% 39% 168
26% 15% 59% 181
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
RGENERCG
Republican Undecided Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 15
-
41% 14% 44% 279
57% 13% 30% 325
25% 8% 67% 24
27% 21% 52% 67
6% 12% 81% 37
34% 14% 52% 157
42% 19% 39% 111
43% 14% 43% 178
49% 16% 35% 162
47% 9% 44% 162
49% 10% 41% 204
40% 32% 28% 86
29% 16% 55% 207
49% 14% 37% 407
46% 8% 46% 162
44% 12% 45% 113
48% 13% 39% 43
44% 16% 39% 102
45% 24% 30% 71
57% 8% 35% 101
46% 11% 43% 126
64% 36% 7
39% 15% 46% 593
59% 7% 34% 153
46% 17% 37% 327
42% 12% 46% 190
32% 18% 50% 330
66% 10% 24% 227
16% 9% 74% 116
79% 11% 10% 171
31% 8% 61% 52
29% 6% 65% 57
4% 11% 85% 63
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
RGENERCG
Republican Undecided Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 16
-
8% 11% 80% 279
22% 23% 55% 97
61% 15% 24% 624
17% 18% 65% 180
64% 12% 25% 128
54% 8% 38% 110
46% 25% 29% 93
62% 12% 26% 256
36% 12% 52% 230
28% 12% 59% 119
40% 14% 46% 627
13% 14% 73% 59
54% 25% 21% 83
64% 20% 17% 18
29% 11% 60% 7
50% 11% 39% 14
13% 11% 76% 248
17% 26% 57% 113
59% 14% 27% 639
20% 25% 54% 93
94% 4% 3% 170
3% 6% 91% 248
55% 21% 25% 338
37% 22% 41% 151
10% 13% 77% 447
27% 29% 44% 71
75% 15% 10% 482
9% 13% 78% 430
46% 54% 17
52% 17% 31% 218
87% 10% 3% 235
63% 30% 7% 100
84% 9% 7% 456
19% 57% 24% 124
5% 9% 86% 420
91% 6% 4% 286
56% 18% 25% 178
13% 18% 69% 536
Right direction
Unsure
Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
RGENERCG
Republican Undecided Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 17
-
2% 2% 96% 209
8% 8% 84% 163
65% 20% 14% 628
13% 11% 77% 375
22% 24% 54% 83
67% 16% 17% 543
47% 11% 42% 456
44% 16% 41% 379
30% 20% 51% 153
28% 43% 29% 12
46% 14% 40% 667
42% 11% 46% 235
22% 29% 49% 98
51% 5% 44% 398
51% 6% 43% 499
50% 8% 42% 600
49% 8% 42% 699
43% 15% 43% 1000
43% 15% 43% 1000
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
RGENERCG
Republican Undecided Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 18
-
45% 36% 19% 1000
43% 37% 20% 214
44% 45% 10% 168
45% 34% 21% 248
54% 28% 18% 86
47% 29% 24% 76
54% 26% 20% 70
39% 39% 22% 139
40% 44% 16% 101
49% 38% 13% 47
57% 28% 15% 53
48% 36% 16% 56
45% 35% 20% 742
48% 30% 22% 300
44% 38% 18% 700
47% 28% 24% 230
51% 35% 14% 309
40% 40% 20% 460
50% 32% 18% 446
42% 39% 20% 554
43% 40% 17% 440
49% 32% 19% 364
44% 32% 24% 196
41% 34% 26% 214
49% 33% 18% 540
41% 43% 16% 246
49% 35% 16% 480
42% 37% 22% 520
48% 37% 15% 287
51% 31% 18% 193
39% 40% 21% 282
45% 33% 22% 238
45% 46% 9% 120
38% 41% 22% 245
47% 37% 16% 335
50% 26% 24% 300
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
HSCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
HSCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INHOUSE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 19
-
43% 46% 11% 174
38% 39% 23% 191
45% 37% 18% 408
54% 25% 22% 202
50% 11% 39% 24
40% 42% 18% 365
45% 37% 18% 408
53% 23% 24% 227
46% 39% 15% 303
54% 28% 18% 177
41% 40% 19% 281
43% 33% 24% 239
50% 30% 20% 750
18% 66% 16% 120
47% 39% 14% 90
36% 40% 24% 40
53% 29% 18% 386
46% 32% 22% 364
4% 86% 9% 36
24% 57% 19% 84
55% 37% 7% 37
41% 40% 18% 53
54% 23% 23% 251
42% 40% 18% 749
73% 13% 15% 410
41% 23% 36% 180
20% 64% 16% 410
74% 14% 12% 231
71% 11% 18% 179
20% 69% 11% 164
19% 61% 19% 246
38% 23% 38% 85
43% 23% 34% 95
69% 16% 14% 227
77% 8% 16% 183
19% 68% 13% 254
21% 59% 20% 156
48% 20% 32% 102
31% 28% 41% 78
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
HSCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
HSCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INHOUSE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 20
-
67% 16% 17% 429
50% 19% 30% 121
23% 59% 18% 449
73% 12% 15% 360
56% 22% 22% 77
44% 27% 30% 121
28% 31% 41% 67
20% 65% 15% 375
61% 23% 17% 578
21% 41% 39% 102
25% 57% 17% 320
68% 15% 18% 217
56% 28% 16% 361
24% 53% 22% 422
73% 13% 15% 410
41% 23% 36% 180
20% 63% 17% 123
20% 65% 15% 287
72% 13% 15% 381
23% 58% 18% 469
38% 62% 4
59% 25% 15% 60
43% 20% 36% 60
27% 23% 50% 26
30% 41% 29% 71
50% 31% 19% 216
42% 43% 15% 258
47% 33% 20% 455
30% 39% 31% 165
48% 35% 17% 835
37% 46% 17% 194
49% 33% 18% 604
41% 35% 23% 202
38% 43% 19% 348
49% 32% 19% 652
43% 40% 17% 168
33% 46% 20% 181
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
HSCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
HSCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INHOUSE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 21
-
39% 43% 18% 279
58% 24% 18% 325
34% 36% 30% 24
40% 47% 13% 67
36% 54% 10% 37
37% 44% 19% 157
44% 28% 28% 111
57% 31% 12% 178
44% 35% 22% 162
46% 36% 18% 162
51% 34% 16% 204
35% 31% 34% 86
35% 45% 21% 207
47% 37% 16% 407
47% 36% 16% 162
60% 25% 15% 113
52% 19% 29% 43
50% 34% 16% 102
36% 44% 20% 71
47% 40% 13% 101
51% 32% 17% 126
44% 36% 20% 7
44% 35% 21% 593
50% 39% 11% 153
49% 33% 19% 327
44% 37% 19% 190
40% 37% 23% 330
57% 27% 17% 227
27% 59% 14% 116
65% 18% 17% 171
39% 46% 16% 52
30% 53% 16% 57
18% 70% 12% 63
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
HSCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
HSCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INHOUSE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 22
-
19% 62% 19% 279
31% 39% 30% 97
59% 23% 17% 624
74% 11% 15% 427
39% 25% 36% 147
19% 65% 17% 426
29% 51% 20% 180
60% 25% 15% 128
55% 31% 14% 110
40% 38% 22% 93
65% 18% 17% 256
43% 41% 16% 230
37% 40% 23% 119
45% 40% 15% 627
17% 67% 16% 59
39% 22% 39% 83
41% 45% 14% 18
39% 28% 33% 7
39% 22% 39% 14
27% 58% 15% 248
25% 43% 32% 113
56% 26% 18% 639
41% 46% 13% 93
81% 8% 11% 170
13% 66% 21% 248
54% 27% 19% 338
40% 31% 29% 151
23% 59% 18% 447
24% 42% 34% 71
69% 13% 18% 482
23% 60% 17% 430
28% 25% 47% 17
51% 31% 18% 218
76% 9% 16% 235
62% 6% 32% 100
72% 14% 14% 456
38% 17% 44% 124
18% 65% 17% 420
Right direction
Unsure
Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C
Republican
Undecided
Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
HSCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
HSCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INHOUSE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 23
-
78% 8% 14% 286
62% 25% 13% 178
22% 54% 24% 536
10% 79% 11% 209
26% 55% 20% 163
62% 16% 21% 628
20% 62% 18% 375
26% 31% 43% 83
66% 18% 16% 543
45% 37% 18% 456
49% 32% 18% 379
39% 41% 20% 153
20% 32% 47% 12
47% 35% 18% 667
43% 37% 20% 235
35% 40% 25% 98
50% 36% 14% 398
51% 35% 15% 499
49% 35% 16% 600
49% 35% 17% 699
45% 36% 19% 1000
45% 36% 19% 1000
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
HSCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
HSCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INHOUSE
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 24
-
46% 37% 17% 1000
49% 34% 18% 214
48% 42% 10% 168
42% 40% 17% 248
48% 33% 19% 86
50% 30% 20% 76
57% 26% 17% 70
39% 40% 21% 139
43% 38% 19% 101
42% 46% 12% 47
51% 30% 20% 53
55% 34% 11% 56
46% 37% 17% 742
45% 36% 18% 300
47% 37% 17% 700
45% 38% 17% 230
50% 33% 17% 309
45% 38% 17% 460
49% 32% 18% 446
44% 40% 16% 554
44% 40% 16% 440
49% 33% 17% 364
45% 35% 20% 196
47% 34% 19% 214
50% 32% 18% 540
37% 49% 14% 246
47% 37% 16% 480
46% 36% 18% 520
46% 42% 13% 287
48% 31% 21% 193
46% 39% 15% 282
46% 33% 21% 238
62% 31% 6% 120
41% 43% 16% 245
45% 41% 14% 335
46% 29% 25% 300
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
SENCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
SENCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INSENATE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 25
-
57% 36% 6% 174
39% 41% 19% 191
44% 40% 16% 408
47% 28% 24% 202
54% 18% 28% 24
48% 39% 13% 365
44% 40% 16% 408
48% 27% 25% 227
47% 39% 14% 303
46% 34% 19% 177
48% 38% 14% 281
44% 34% 23% 239
52% 30% 18% 750
19% 71% 10% 120
43% 41% 16% 90
36% 42% 22% 40
52% 32% 16% 386
51% 29% 20% 364
86% 14% 36
27% 65% 9% 84
45% 42% 12% 37
41% 40% 19% 53
50% 25% 25% 251
45% 41% 14% 749
71% 15% 14% 410
37% 36% 27% 180
26% 59% 15% 410
68% 18% 14% 231
75% 10% 15% 179
24% 64% 12% 164
27% 56% 17% 246
32% 39% 29% 85
41% 33% 26% 95
71% 16% 12% 227
71% 12% 16% 183
29% 59% 12% 254
20% 59% 20% 156
41% 37% 22% 102
31% 35% 35% 78
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
SENCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
SENCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INSENATE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 26
-
66% 19% 15% 429
43% 27% 30% 121
28% 56% 16% 449
71% 15% 14% 360
52% 27% 21% 77
43% 33% 24% 121
30% 35% 36% 67
25% 61% 14% 375
59% 26% 15% 578
27% 41% 32% 102
29% 55% 16% 320
65% 19% 16% 217
55% 30% 14% 361
29% 51% 20% 422
71% 15% 14% 410
37% 36% 27% 180
29% 54% 17% 123
24% 61% 15% 287
70% 17% 14% 381
26% 58% 16% 469
59% 41% 4
47% 24% 28% 60
51% 20% 29% 60
46% 21% 33% 26
34% 46% 21% 71
57% 28% 15% 216
48% 37% 16% 258
42% 39% 18% 455
41% 41% 19% 165
47% 36% 17% 835
43% 44% 13% 194
49% 34% 17% 604
42% 39% 20% 202
45% 38% 17% 348
47% 36% 17% 652
47% 37% 16% 168
43% 40% 17% 181
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
SENCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
SENCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INSENATE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 27
-
45% 39% 16% 279
52% 29% 19% 325
51% 17% 32% 24
39% 47% 14% 67
43% 48% 9% 37
43% 43% 14% 157
41% 38% 20% 111
54% 31% 15% 178
44% 40% 16% 162
42% 39% 18% 162
50% 33% 17% 204
42% 33% 25% 86
42% 42% 16% 207
48% 36% 16% 407
46% 37% 17% 162
54% 33% 13% 113
40% 28% 32% 43
52% 30% 18% 102
50% 37% 14% 71
37% 47% 16% 101
52% 33% 16% 126
56% 36% 8% 7
45% 37% 18% 593
48% 40% 13% 153
46% 36% 18% 327
47% 36% 17% 190
45% 36% 19% 330
57% 27% 16% 227
29% 59% 12% 116
63% 20% 18% 171
32% 52% 16% 52
38% 50% 12% 57
26% 65% 9% 63
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
SENCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
SENCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INSENATE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 28
-
23% 63% 15% 279
31% 39% 31% 97
59% 25% 16% 624
71% 15% 14% 427
33% 30% 36% 147
26% 60% 14% 426
37% 46% 16% 180
58% 27% 15% 128
55% 31% 14% 110
55% 33% 11% 93
52% 33% 16% 256
47% 36% 17% 230
38% 38% 24% 119
45% 42% 14% 627
33% 52% 15% 59
47% 23% 30% 83
35% 19% 45% 18
7% 71% 21% 7
39% 25% 35% 14
27% 57% 16% 248
34% 40% 26% 113
56% 28% 16% 639
42% 47% 11% 93
75% 14% 10% 170
17% 68% 14% 248
57% 26% 18% 338
40% 28% 31% 151
27% 57% 16% 447
34% 30% 36% 71
66% 19% 15% 482
26% 58% 16% 430
46% 28% 26% 17
50% 34% 16% 218
75% 11% 14% 235
57% 12% 31% 100
69% 17% 13% 456
34% 30% 36% 124
25% 60% 16% 420
Right direction
Unsure
Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C
Republican
Undecided
Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
SENCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
SENCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INSENATE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 29
-
77% 12% 11% 286
58% 25% 17% 178
26% 54% 20% 536
13% 79% 8% 209
39% 43% 18% 163
59% 21% 20% 628
24% 62% 13% 375
27% 36% 38% 83
64% 19% 17% 543
45% 38% 17% 456
49% 33% 18% 379
46% 40% 15% 153
16% 57% 27% 12
47% 37% 16% 667
44% 37% 19% 235
46% 36% 17% 98
46% 39% 14% 398
47% 39% 14% 499
46% 39% 15% 600
47% 38% 15% 699
46% 37% 17% 1000
46% 37% 17% 1000
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
SENCON
RepublicanParty
DemocraticParty
Unsure /refused
SENCON WHO WILL BE MAJORITY INSENATE
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 30
-
7% 4% 4% 3% 13% 8% 5% 46% 2%
10% 5% 4% 3% 11% 9% 3% 48% 2%
4% 3% 4% 5% 20% 7% 6% 40% 3%
8% 2% 3% 2% 7% 10% 5% 48% 1%
3% 9% 2% 2% 18% 6% 6% 47% 1%
7% 4% 8% 4% 12% 6% 5% 43% 1%
3% 6% 9% 6% 16% 8% 5% 39% 1%
7% 7% 2% 2% 15% 5% 3% 50% 3%
5% 7% 2% 2% 12% 7% 2% 53% 4%
8% 8% 1% 4% 5% 3% 55%
2% 12% 3% 3% 15% 3% 4% 49% 2%
8% 4% 6% 3% 20% 13% 5% 35% 2%
7% 4% 4% 4% 13% 8% 5% 45% 1%
8% 5% 2% 3% 14% 9% 6% 40% 1%
6% 4% 5% 4% 13% 7% 4% 49% 2%
8% 5% 2% 3% 13% 7% 6% 45% 1%
6% 3% 5% 2% 13% 6% 4% 50% 1%
7% 5% 4% 4% 14% 9% 4% 44% 3%
7% 3% 4% 4% 14% 7% 5% 47% 1%
6% 5% 4% 3% 13% 9% 4% 45% 2%
7% 4% 2% 3% 12% 7% 5% 49% 1%
7% 5% 4% 3% 15% 9% 4% 43% 2%
6% 4% 6% 4% 11% 8% 5% 46% 2%
8% 6% 4% 5% 17% 9% 7% 30% 1%
6% 3% 5% 3% 13% 7% 4% 50% 2%
7% 5% 2% 3% 12% 8% 4% 50% 1%
6% 4% 4% 3% 15% 7% 3% 46% 3%
7% 5% 3% 4% 12% 9% 6% 46% 1%
4% 4% 3% 3% 17% 6% 2% 51% 3%
9% 4% 6% 2% 13% 9% 5% 39% 2%
6% 4% 2% 3% 12% 11% 5% 51% 1%
8% 5% 6% 5% 11% 6% 7% 41% 0%
14% 2% 7% 7% 10% 14% 41% 2%
5% 3% 4% 3% 15% 5% 5% 52% 1%
5% 5% 2% 3% 14% 8% 3% 51% 2%
8% 6% 4% 3% 12% 7% 7% 38% 2%
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
CONGIS1Wars in Iraq
&Afghanistan
Illegalimmigration
Taxes Terrorism &HS
Gov'tspending
Health carereform
Retirement &SS
Economy &jobs
ReformingWall Street
CONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 31
-
11% 2% 6% 7% 10% 13% 2% 42% 2%
5% 3% 4% 2% 16% 3% 5% 54% 1%
5% 6% 3% 3% 14% 8% 4% 49% 2%
8% 4% 3% 2% 13% 7% 8% 39% 1%
8% 9% 6% 3% 3% 14% 4% 27% 4%
8% 3% 5% 4% 13% 8% 4% 48% 1%
5% 6% 3% 3% 14% 8% 4% 49% 2%
8% 5% 4% 2% 12% 8% 8% 38% 2%
6% 3% 2% 3% 14% 8% 3% 49% 3%
7% 5% 8% 2% 16% 6% 4% 41% 2%
8% 3% 5% 4% 13% 8% 4% 51%
6% 6% 2% 4% 10% 10% 8% 41% 2%
6% 5% 4% 4% 15% 7% 4% 45% 2%
13% 1% 2% 5% 13% 8% 56% 1%
5% 1% 7% 5% 9% 9% 7% 48% 1%
7% 7% 1% 5% 6% 6% 8% 39% 3%
6% 4% 4% 3% 16% 6% 3% 45% 3%
6% 5% 3% 4% 15% 8% 5% 44% 1%
7% 5% 11% 15% 7% 50% 4%
15% 2% 3% 12% 9% 58%
4% 8% 8% 6% 65%
5% 2% 12% 8% 10% 9% 7% 35% 1%
8% 6% 4% 3% 14% 7% 6% 39% 2%
6% 4% 4% 3% 13% 8% 4% 49% 2%
4% 6% 5% 5% 23% 7% 3% 36% 0%
6% 3% 5% 3% 10% 3% 4% 48% 1%
10% 3% 2% 2% 5% 11% 6% 55% 3%
6% 6% 5% 4% 25% 7% 3% 34% 0%
2% 7% 4% 5% 21% 8% 4% 39% 1%
8% 3% 3% 1% 4% 10% 4% 57% 6%
11% 3% 1% 3% 6% 11% 8% 53% 1%
4% 1% 3% 1% 10% 1% 2% 55% 2%
7% 5% 7% 4% 10% 5% 6% 41% 0%
5% 6% 4% 6% 25% 6% 3% 38%
3% 6% 6% 3% 20% 9% 4% 35% 1%
10% 2% 1% 2% 5% 12% 5% 56% 3%
8% 5% 3% 3% 5% 8% 7% 53% 3%
4% 1% 6% 2% 8% 62%
9% 6% 4% 4% 13% 6% 9% 29% 3%
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
CONGIS1Wars in Iraq
&Afghanistan
Illegalimmigration
Taxes Terrorism &HS
Gov'tspending
Health carereform
Retirement &SS
Economy &jobs
ReformingWall Street
CONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 32
-
5% 6% 4% 5% 21% 6% 3% 41% 0%
5% 4% 10% 2% 7% 4% 9% 38% 2%
9% 3% 2% 2% 7% 11% 5% 53% 3%
4% 7% 5% 5% 24% 6% 2% 37% 0%
3% 5% 4% 4% 12% 4% 8% 53%
5% 3% 8% 3% 7% 6% 6% 45% 2%
12% 1% 2% 2% 13% 2% 8% 39% 2%
9% 3% 2% 2% 5% 12% 5% 55% 3%
5% 6% 5% 4% 19% 8% 3% 40% 1%
4% 2% 3% 4% 8% 6% 4% 49% 1%
10% 2% 2% 1% 5% 8% 7% 55% 4%
4% 8% 5% 4% 21% 12% 2% 32% 0%
6% 4% 5% 4% 17% 6% 4% 46% 1%
9% 2% 2% 2% 6% 7% 6% 54% 3%
4% 6% 5% 5% 23% 7% 3% 36% 0%
6% 3% 5% 3% 10% 3% 4% 48% 1%
9% 5% 3% 2% 7% 16% 6% 45% 1%
10% 2% 1% 2% 4% 8% 6% 59% 4%
4% 7% 5% 5% 22% 6% 4% 38% 0%
8% 3% 2% 2% 7% 10% 6% 53% 3%
38% 62%
5% 5% 3% 1% 19% 9% 2% 51%
14% 5% 14% 2% 1% 4% 2% 42% 2%
7% 17% 13% 2% 11% 26%
5% 2% 13% 1% 3% 11% 4% 39% 1%
9% 6% 4% 6% 10% 9% 10% 39% 1%
7% 5% 2% 4% 15% 11% 5% 44% 3%
6% 4% 3% 2% 16% 5% 2% 51% 2%
3% 7% 4% 2% 11% 6% 5% 50% 3%
7% 4% 4% 4% 14% 8% 5% 45% 1%
10% 4% 1% 2% 7% 12% 1% 55% 3%
6% 4% 5% 4% 16% 7% 5% 45% 1%
6% 5% 4% 3% 12% 7% 8% 41% 2%
6% 2% 5% 5% 15% 6% 3% 52% 1%
7% 5% 3% 3% 13% 9% 5% 43% 2%
4% 1% 3% 4% 15% 5% 1% 56% 2%
8% 3% 7% 6% 14% 7% 5% 48% 0%
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
CONGIS1Wars in Iraq
&Afghanistan
Illegalimmigration
Taxes Terrorism &HS
Gov'tspending
Health carereform
Retirement &SS
Economy &jobs
ReformingWall Street
CONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 33
-
6% 2% 6% 4% 17% 6% 4% 50% 1%
6% 6% 3% 3% 15% 8% 5% 41% 2%
6% 4% 11% 74%
5% 2% 6% 5% 13% 6% 6% 44% 1%
6% 9% 16% 59% 3%
11% 5% 1% 1% 8% 11% 1% 54% 3%
6% 8% 3% 2% 12% 9% 10% 33% 3%
7% 4% 7% 2% 17% 8% 4% 46%
8% 4% 1% 4% 14% 9% 5% 45% 1%
5% 5% 2% 5% 12% 11% 8% 41% 2%
6% 4% 4% 5% 18% 5% 5% 45% 1%
11% 3% 0% 2% 6% 13% 7% 43% 1%
6% 5% 6% 1% 9% 4% 2% 54% 5%
7% 4% 3% 6% 15% 7% 4% 46% 1%
8% 2% 2% 2% 15% 7% 7% 47%
4% 6% 8% 1% 16% 10% 6% 43% 1%
2% 9% 5% 10% 22% 10% 21% 2%
10% 2% 4% 3% 17% 8% 2% 48%
8% 1% 1% 8% 11% 6% 5% 50%
3% 7% 2% 6% 17% 10% 3% 40% 2%
7% 4% 4% 5% 15% 3% 4% 49% 1%
20% 15% 8% 36%
7% 5% 4% 2% 12% 9% 5% 46% 2%
6% 3% 3% 3% 21% 5% 3% 46% 2%
7% 4% 5% 3% 12% 8% 3% 46% 3%
8% 5% 1% 6% 10% 10% 7% 44% 1%
7% 4% 5% 2% 13% 8% 5% 48% 1%
4% 6% 2% 5% 20% 5% 5% 42% 1%
12% 2% 1% 4% 5% 13% 7% 50% 2%
2% 7% 2% 6% 26% 3% 4% 39% 1%
6% 1% 3% 1% 7% 23% 6% 44% 4%
10% 2% 1% 3% 2% 10% 7% 51% 2%
17% 2% 7% 4% 5% 8% 54% 1%
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
CONGIS1Wars in Iraq
&Afghanistan
Illegalimmigration
Taxes Terrorism &HS
Gov'tspending
Health carereform
Retirement &SS
Economy &jobs
ReformingWall Street
CONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 34
-
12% 4% 2% 2% 6% 8% 5% 55% 3%
11% 3% 8% 2% 3% 3% 12% 41% 5%
4% 5% 4% 4% 18% 9% 3% 43% 1%
4% 6% 5% 5% 22% 7% 3% 37%
7% 4% 1% 5% 9% 5% 3% 50% 2%
10% 2% 3% 2% 6% 10% 7% 53% 3%
37% 2% 1% 2% 8% 5% 1% 41% 1%
7% 34% 3% 2% 11% 9% 2% 32% 1%
1% 5% 34% 0% 11% 5% 4% 38%
2% 4% 4% 35% 8% 6% 6% 36%
2% 2% 1% 2% 52% 2% 3% 35% 0%
5% 4% 3% 1% 9% 34% 2% 40% 1%
2% 1% 1% 0% 11% 9% 39% 35% 1%
4% 2% 2% 2% 7% 4% 2% 73% 2%
6% 5% 2% 2% 8% 51% 28%
4% 1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
15% 9% 3% 8% 3%
15% 7% 41%
7% 8% 4% 4% 10% 17%
12% 2% 3% 3% 4% 11% 6% 51% 2%
9% 2% 8% 4% 8% 9% 9% 43% 0%
4% 5% 3% 3% 18% 6% 3% 44% 2%
16% 2% 1% 4% 4% 14% 7% 49%
3% 6% 6% 3% 17% 11% 3% 42% 0%
8% 2% 2% 1% 4% 8% 5% 58% 4%
6% 5% 4% 4% 20% 5% 3% 43% 1%
5% 5% 5% 6% 15% 9% 7% 37% 0%
10% 3% 4% 2% 4% 10% 6% 53% 3%
13% 2% 1% 2% 11% 7% 5% 43% 1%
3% 6% 4% 4% 22% 6% 3% 40% 1%
10% 2% 4% 2% 4% 10% 6% 54% 3%
6% 6% 7% 11% 6% 13% 31%
5% 4% 3% 4% 22% 4% 3% 47% 1%
3% 9% 5% 6% 17% 8% 4% 37%
4% 3% 2% 1% 27% 3% 3% 34% 1%
4% 6% 6% 5% 23% 6% 3% 37% 0%
5% 3% 6% 1% 8% 3% 3% 51% 0%
10% 2% 1% 3% 5% 11% 7% 54% 3%
Right direction
Unsure
Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C
Republican
Undecided
Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
CONGIS1Wars in Iraq
&Afghanistan
Illegalimmigration
Taxes Terrorism &HS
Gov'tspending
Health carereform
Retirement &SS
Economy &jobs
ReformingWall Street
CONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 35
-
4% 8% 7% 5% 20% 8% 3% 39%
4% 4% 1% 3% 22% 8% 3% 41% 1%
9% 3% 3% 3% 7% 8% 6% 51% 3%
12% 3% 4% 4% 4% 10% 6% 54% 2%
8% 3% 4% 1% 6% 12% 5% 52% 4%
5% 5% 4% 4% 18% 6% 4% 42% 1%
10% 3% 2% 3% 3% 8% 6% 58% 3%
13% 3% 7% 2% 14% 6% 6% 31% 3%
4% 6% 4% 4% 20% 8% 4% 40% 1%
6% 5% 3% 4% 15% 7% 3% 49% 1%
9% 4% 6% 2% 12% 8% 5% 43% 1%
4% 2% 2% 3% 9% 10% 6% 47% 3%
19% 12% 11% 35% 4%
6% 5% 3% 4% 14% 9% 4% 47% 2%
8% 5% 7% 3% 13% 6% 6% 39% 2%
11% 1% 3% 4% 11% 8% 5% 56%
5% 4% 3% 2% 16% 8% 3% 50% 2%
4% 5% 3% 2% 15% 8% 3% 50% 2%
5% 5% 4% 3% 14% 8% 4% 48% 2%
5% 5% 4% 3% 15% 8% 5% 47% 2%
7% 4% 4% 3% 13% 8% 5% 46% 2%
7% 4% 4% 3% 13% 8% 5% 46% 2%
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
CONGIS1Wars in Iraq
&Afghanistan
Illegalimmigration
Taxes Terrorism &HS
Gov'tspending
Health carereform
Retirement &SS
Economy &jobs
ReformingWall Street
CONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 36
-
7% 1% 0% 1% 1000
4% 0% 0% 214
5% 1% 1% 1% 168
11% 2% 0% 248
5% 2% 86
10% 1% 76
6% 1% 70
3% 1% 3% 139
2% 1% 4% 101
12% 2% 47
7% 53
4% 56
7% 1% 0% 0% 742
10% 1% 0% 0% 300
5% 1% 0% 1% 700
9% 1% 0% 0% 230
7% 2% 0% 1% 309
5% 0% 0% 1% 460
7% 1% 0% 0% 446
6% 1% 0% 1% 554
7% 2% 0% 1% 440
6% 0% 0% 364
7% 1% 0% 196
11% 1% 0% 1% 214
6% 0% 0% 0% 540
4% 2% 1% 1% 246
7% 2% 0% 0% 480
6% 0% 0% 1% 520
4% 2% 1% 287
11% 1% 0% 193
5% 0% 282
8% 0% 0% 2% 238
2% 120
6% 2% 1% 245
5% 1% 1% 0% 335
10% 1% 0% 1% 300
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER
2 GOP U.S. Senators
Mixed U.S. Senatedelegation2 DEM U.S. Senators
SENCNTRL U.S.SENATEREPRESENTATION
GOP control
DEM control
PTYCNTRL PARTYCONTROL OF CD
10%+ unemployment
8%-9.9% unemployment
Less than 8%unemployment
RGEMPUNEMPLOYMENT BYSTATE
Rural
Suburban
Urban
URBAN URBAN CODE
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
18-29
30-44
45-59
60 and older
RAGEBG AGE/C
CONGIS1Combo /equally
Other None UnsureCONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 37
-
4% 174
5% 2% 1% 191
5% 1% 1% 0% 408
11% 1% 0% 2% 202
21% 24
5% 1% 1% 365
5% 1% 1% 0% 408
12% 1% 0% 2% 227
6% 2% 0% 1% 303
7% 1% 177
3% 0% 0% 281
10% 0% 0% 2% 239
7% 1% 0% 1% 750
1% 120
7% 2% 1% 90
15% 3% 40
7% 2% 1% 386
7% 0% 0% 1% 364
36
1% 84
3% 5% 37
9% 2% 53
10% 1% 0% 1% 251
5% 1% 0% 1% 749
8% 1% 0% 1% 410
13% 2% 0% 2% 180
3% 0% 0% 0% 410
7% 1% 231
8% 0% 2% 179
3% 1% 164
3% 0% 1% 0% 246
13% 5% 1% 3% 85
13% 1% 95
5% 1% 0% 227
11% 1% 0% 1% 183
2% 0% 1% 254
4% 1% 0% 156
11% 4% 1% 2% 102
14% 1% 78
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C
18-44
45-64
65 or over
RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /PARTYIDENTIFICATION
CONGIS1Combo /equally
Other None UnsureCONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 38
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7% 1% 0% 1% 429
15% 0% 2% 121
4% 1% 0% 0% 449
8% 1% 0% 1% 360
7% 1% 77
12% 2% 121
10% 6% 1% 2% 67
3% 1% 0% 0% 375
6% 1% 0% 1% 578
15% 3% 1% 1% 102
4% 0% 0% 320
9% 2% 0% 1% 217
5% 0% 1% 361
7% 1% 1% 0% 422
8% 1% 0% 1% 410
13% 2% 0% 2% 180
5% 0% 0% 123
2% 1% 0% 287
8% 1% 0% 1% 381
4% 1% 0% 1% 469
4
4% 1% 60
15% 60
21% 3% 26
19% 2% 71
5% 0% 1% 216
5% 1% 0% 258
6% 1% 0% 1% 455
8% 1% 0% 165
6% 1% 0% 1% 835
3% 0% 1% 194
6% 1% 0% 0% 604
11% 1% 202
3% 1% 0% 0% 348
8% 1% 0% 1% 652
6% 2% 0% 168
1% 0% 1% 181
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS
John McCain
Barack Obama
Ralph Nader
Other
Refused
Unsure
PRES08 2008PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION /TEACHERS' ASSN/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C
Yes
No
RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
CONGIS1Combo /equally
Other None UnsureCONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 39
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2% 1% 0% 0% 279
10% 2% 0% 0% 325
6% 24
11% 2% 67
6% 37
2% 1% 2% 157
13% 1% 111
4% 2% 178
7% 1% 0% 1% 162
8% 1% 162
6% 0% 1% 204
14% 86
4% 1% 1% 1% 207
6% 1% 0% 0% 407
7% 0% 1% 162
4% 113
12% 2% 4% 43
3% 3% 102
7% 1% 1% 1% 71
7% 2% 101
7% 1% 126
21% 7
7% 1% 0% 1% 593
6% 2% 153
7% 2% 0% 1% 327
7% 0% 1% 190
6% 0% 0% 1% 330
8% 1% 0% 1% 227
3% 116
7% 2% 0% 1% 171
5% 52
11% 1% 57
2% 63
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Catholic
Protestant
Baptist
Fundamentalist /PentecostalOther
No affiliation
RDENOMRESPONDENT'SRELIGION/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Catholic
Active Protestant
Active Baptist
Active Fundamentalist /PentecostalActive Other
Non-active
CHRUCH2 RELIGIOUSFOCUS
Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical
Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS
CONGIS1Combo /equally
Other None UnsureCONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 40
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4% 1% 0% 0% 279
8% 2% 1% 2% 97
8% 1% 0% 1% 624
8% 1% 0% 1% 427
11% 2% 1% 147
3% 0% 0% 1% 426
180
0% 128
110
93
256
230
1% 119
1% 627
59
79% 1% 83
62% 18
37% 7
51% 14
3% 1% 0% 0% 248
7% 0% 1% 0% 113
8% 1% 0% 1% 639
2% 1% 93
8% 0% 0% 0% 170
4% 1% 1% 1% 248
8% 1% 0% 1% 338
9% 0% 1% 151
3% 1% 0% 0% 447
12% 3% 1% 71
9% 1% 0% 1% 482
2% 1% 1% 0% 430
18% 3% 17
5% 1% 1% 218
9% 1% 1% 235
21% 1% 100
8% 1% 1% 456
14% 2% 1% 2% 124
2% 1% 0% 0% 420
Right direction
Unsure
Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C
Republican
Undecided
Democrat
RGENERCG GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C
Wars in Iraq &AfghanistanIllegal immigration
Taxes
Terrorism & HS
Gov't spending
Health care reform
Retirement & SS
Economy & jobs
Reforming Wall Street
Combo / equally
Other
None
Unsure
CONGIS12 MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE /COMBINED
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RCONGJACONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL/C
Approve both
Approve GOP only
Approve DEM only
Disapprove both
Other
CONJAPARCONGRESSIONAL JOBAPPROVAL BY PARTY
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACKOBAMA JOBAPPROVAL/C
Consistent approve
Approve job / drop-offpersonalApprove personal /drop-off jobConsistent disapprove
Other
DROP OBAMAAPPROVALCONSISTENCY
GOP Candidate
Undecided
Obama
RPRESBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C
CONGIS1Combo /equally
Other None UnsureCONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 41
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6% 1% 1% 286
8% 1% 2% 178
6% 1% 1% 0% 536
1% 0% 0% 209
4% 1% 163
9% 1% 0% 1% 628
3% 1% 0% 1% 375
15% 1% 83
8% 1% 0% 0% 543
3% 1% 0% 1% 456
8% 1% 0% 1% 379
12% 0% 153
15% 4% 12
6% 1% 0% 1% 667
10% 2% 1% 1% 235
2% 98
6% 0% 0% 0% 398
6% 1% 0% 0% 499
6% 1% 0% 1% 600
6% 1% 0% 0% 699
7% 1% 0% 1% 1000
7% 1% 0% 1% 1000
GOP on 5-6 issues
GOP on 3-4 issues
GOP on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTG GOPPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
DEM on 5-6 issues
DEM on 3-4 issues
DEM on 0-2 issues
HANDCNTD DEMPREFERENCES ONISSUE HANDLING
Agree
Unsure
Disagree
RSTIMAD ECONOMICSTIMULUS ISWORKING/C
Excellent / good
Just fair
Poor
Unsure
RPEREC RATEPERSONALECONOMICSITUATION/C
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION
Most likely 40%
Most likely 50%
Most likely 60%
Most likely 70%
100% of sample
TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS
TOTAL
CONGIS1Combo /equally
Other None UnsureCONGIS1 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. / LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSPOLITICO-GWU Battleground Poll #12676: Weighted TablesSeptember 7-9, 2010 ~ N=1000 likely voters ~ MOE +/- 3.1%
Page 42
-
12% 9% 8% 7% 13% 16% 8% 18% 5%
11% 7% 11% 11% 10% 11% 6% 22% 6%
15% 6% 10% 6% 11% 11% 8% 22% 4%
9% 10% 6% 8% 18% 18% 9% 13% 5%
14% 13% 4% 5% 13% 15% 12% 16% 6%
11% 9% 8% 3% 14% 12% 11% 26% 2%
8% 11% 9% 14% 25% 6% 15% 7%
17% 10% 3% 4% 13% 26% 5% 15% 4%
19% 7% 3% 4% 12% 29% 5% 16% 3%
11% 14% 5% 19% 11% 13% 1% 22% 4%
5% 14% 4% 8% 15% 14% 15% 14% 9%
10% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 6% 30% 10%
12% 9% 9% 6% 14% 16% 8% 17% 4%
8% 12% 7% 5% 15% 17% 12% 16% 4%
14% 8% 8% 7% 13% 16% 6% 19% 5%
8% 9% 8% 6% 18% 17% 10% 15% 5%
11% 10% 11% 7% 13% 11% 8% 18% 4%
15% 8% 6% 6% 11% 20% 6% 20% 5%
12% 10% 8% 7% 14% 15% 10% 15% 5%
13% 8% 8% 6% 13% 17% 6% 20% 4%
15% 7% 8% 7% 16% 17% 8% 15% 3%
9% 10% 8% 8% 12% 12% 8% 22% 6%
14% 12% 7% 4% 10% 24% 7% 17% 5%
10% 11% 7% 5% 17% 11% 9% 21% 3%
12% 9% 9% 6% 12% 19% 7% 17% 5%
14% 7% 7% 9% 12% 16% 8% 19% 6%
10% 10% 9% 8% 14% 15% 5% 20% 5%
14% 8% 7% 6% 13% 18% 11% 16% 4%
8% 8% 10% 8% 14% 17% 3% 21% 7%
14% 13% 6% 7% 13% 12% 8% 19% 3%
14% 6% 8% 6% 13% 19% 11% 16% 5%
14% 11% 6% 5% 13% 16% 10% 17% 2%
15% 12% 7% 9% 13% 19% 15% 5%
7% 6% 8% 8% 12% 23% 7% 17% 7%
14% 9% 8% 5% 15% 15% 9% 19% 4%
13% 11% 8% 6% 12% 11% 11% 19% 3%
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO
McCain state
Obama state
ST2008 2008PRESIDENTIALWINNER