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Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | Investor Presentation May 2020

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Page 1: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Investor PresentationMay 2020

Page 2: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Our purpose

We at Deutsche Börse create trust

in the markets of today and tomorrow.

1

Page 3: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

6%

34%

10%3%

11%

29%

6%

Clear-

stream

€843mpost-trading

360T

€92mforeign

exchange

Qontigo

€190mindex &

analytics

Xetra

€329mcash equities

Eurex

€1,009mfinancial

derivatives

EEX

€289mcommodities

Diversified, scalable and resilient business

portfolio serves as a basis for growth Geographically diversified

36% Rest of Europe

30% UK

22% Germany

7% Americas

5% Asia-Pacific

Multi-asset class offering

High recurring revenues

52% Transactional

48% Recurring

50% Equity / index

25% Fixed income

9% Commodities

7% Interest income

6% Funds

3% FX

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

2

6%

59%

35%

Pre-

trading

€190m

Post-

trading

€1,026m

FY/2019

€2,936m

net revenue

IFS

€184minvestment fund

services

Trading &

clearing

€1,720m

Page 4: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Key pillars of Deutsche Börse’s growth strategy

TechnologyOrganic growth M&A

Execution discipline

Further increase valuation-multiple

Scale through asset class

consolidation

Exploit secular growth

opportunities

Maintain leading

IT position

Strengthen execution discipline along cost control,

financial steering and general management

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

3

Page 5: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Organic growth – secular growth drivers fully intact

despite dynamic environment

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

Main drivers for secular growth Impact on the business

Central clearing

▪ Demand for liquid EU-based OTC CCP alternative

▪ Pull effects for new products and services (e.g. collateral)

Over the counter (OTC) to on-exchange

▪ Shift from OTC to regulated markets (e.g. futurisation)

▪ Electronification of less penetrated asset classes

Active to passive investments

▪ Continued shift from active to passive investing

▪ Europe still offers significant growth potential

Importance of buy-side

▪ Increasingly self-directed buy-side and corporates

▪ Continued pressure on banking industry in general

Pre-

trading

Trading &

clearing

Post-

trading

4

Page 6: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Organic growth – broad number of initiatives support

key growth segments

5

Eurex(financial derivatives)

Segment Secular growth drivers Growth initiatives

OTC to on-exchange

Central clearing

Active to passive investments

Product innovation to support futurisation, e.g. total return and dividend futures

Liquid EU-based OTC clearing alternative, e.g. for Euro interest rate swaps

Product innovation to address accelerated buy-side demand, e.g. MSCI derivatives

EEX(commodities)

360T(foreign exchange)

Qontigo(index & analytics)

IFS(investment fund

services)

OTC to on-exchange

New markets/regions

Efficient on-exchange services, e.g. to address increasing share of renewables in power

New geographical markets and multi-commodity offering, e.g. Nodal (US), Japan, CO2

OTC to on-exchange

Shift to buy-side

Shift supported with new products and services e.g. FX futures, OTC FX clearing

Product/service offering geared directly towards corporates and asset managers

Fragmentation and inefficiencies Increase of efficiency through central fund distribution and settlement solutions

Active to passive investments

Shift to buy-side

Further expansion and integration of index and benchmarking services

Sophisticated risk analytics and portfolio-construction tools

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

Page 7: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 6

66

346

82

28

236

56

101

2010 400 300

5

10

15

20

total

growth1 (%)

360T

Clearstream

t/o secular

growth (%)

Qontigo

Eurex

EEX

Xetra

IFS

Group

Pre-trading

Post-trading

Trading & clearing

Strong performance in key secular growth

segments Total and secular net revenue growth (average Q1/18 to Q1/20)

Secular growth is key pillar of

Deutsche Börse’s growth strategy.

Note

Diversified business model serves

as basis for secular growth along

the full capital markets value chain.

Eurex, EEX, 360T, IFS and Qontigo

are key secular growth segments.

Continuous strategic investments

planned to support growth

momentum.

Net revenue Q1/20 (€m)

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

1) Total growth includes secular, cyclical and M&A growth.

Page 8: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 7

Net revenue growth target

(€m)

Net profit growth target (adj.)

(€m)

Organic growth – midterm targets

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.

2,462

2,7702,936

FY/17 FY/20EFY/18 FY/19

~3,000-

3,300+13%+6%

Mid-term target

>5% secular CAGR

857

1,003

1,106

FY/17 FY/19FY/18 FY/20E

~1.20bn+17%

+10%

Mid-term target

+10-15% CAGR

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

Page 9: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 8

M&A delivery since 2018

M&A – focused and disciplined approach started

in 2018 yielded good results

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

▪ Axioma acquisition strengthens Deutsche Börse’s pre-trading offering and

improves access to the buy-side and the US (Apr 2019)

▪ Acquisition of the spot FX platform GTX ECN allowed for expansion into the

US and the dealer-to-dealer market segment (May 2018)

▪ Acquisition of Swisscanto Funds Centre to expand services with

management of distribution contracts and data processing (Apr 2018)

▪ Acquisition of Ausmaq, a managed funds services business for the steadily

growing Australian fund market (May 2019)

▪ Acquisition of UBS Fondcenter AG (closing expected H2/20) creates a leading

provider of fund distribution services with high benefits for customers

▪ Acquisition of Grexel Systems (energy certificate registry; Dec 2018)

▪ Spark Commodities JV with Kpler for liquefied natural gas trading (Apr 2019)

▪ Acquisition of NFX’s futures and options exchange core assets, including

the portfolio of open interest in NFX contracts (Nov 2019)

M&A focus on five growth areas

Pre

-tra

din

g

Commodities

Fixed income

Foreign exchange

Tra

din

g &

cle

arin

g

Data, index &

analytics

Investment funds

Po

st-

tra

din

g

1

2

3

4

5

Page 10: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 9

Technology trends

Technology – capabilities in new technologies are

growing steadily

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

Big data /

advanced

analytics

Advanced analytics is both

a revenue driver adding

value to data, and an

efficiency lever

Robotics /

automation /

AI

Key efficiency driver for

operations-heavy tasks

Helps to create new

market structures and

allows adding products

onto existing structures

DLT /

block-chain

Cloud and provision of

services via APIs is helping

to increase agility, improve

quality and reduce costs

Public cloud

▪ First contracts regarding public cloud operation have been

signed with Microsoft, Google and SAP

▪ Contracts meet regulatory requirements to move significant parts

of operations into the public cloud over time

▪ HQLAx: innovative blockchain solution for collateral management

based on tokens to improve collateral mobility

▪ Centre of excellence for automation established; several

automation tools already in production for task automation;

further steps defined along use case roadmap

▪ New client requirements regarding data / analytics are addressed

by the creation of a buy-side intelligence leader as part of the

Axioma acquisition

Page 11: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 10

Execution discipline – strengthened discipline along cost

control, financial steering and general management

Organic growth

M&A

Technology

Execution discipline

▪ New executive board set-up completed in 2018 with stronger business and

technology focus

▪ New segment structure with increased P&L responsibilities/incentivisation to

achieve secular growth and improve transparency

▪ Structural cost improvement programme implemented; savings above €100

million target; savings reinvested into growth, new technology and regulation

▪ Upgraded M&A capabilities allow for systematic execution of external growth

opportunities

▪ Tighter steering and strict consequence management

▪ Regained trust and support of internal and external stakeholders

Execution

discipline

Page 12: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 11

2,7702,936

FY/19FY/18

1,0461,130

FY/18 FY/19

1,7291,813

FY/18 FY/19

Operating cost

+8%

+5% (organic)

EBITDA

+5%

Net profit

+10%

Group financialsFY/2019 (€m)

1,0031,106

FY/18 FY/19

Exceptional cost

items€135m

Depreciation (adj.)€223m

−6%

Net interest

income€246m

+20%

Note

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items; operating costs and EBITDA FY/18 non-GAAP indicative figures.

Financial result −€54m

Tax rate 26%

EPS (adj.)€6.03

+11%

Net revenue

+6%

+5% (organic)

+5% (secular)

Page 13: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 12

721

915

Q1/19 Q1/20

Net revenue

+27%

+24% (organic)

+ 8% (secular)

249291

Q1/19 Q1/20

476

620

Q1/19 Q1/20

Operating cost

+17%

+10% (organic)

EBITDA

+30%

+29% (organic)

Net profit

+33%

+36% (organic)

Group financialsQ1/2020 (€m)

292

387

Q1/19 Q1/20

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.

Exceptional cost

items€27m

Depreciation (adj.)€62m

+17%

Net interest

income€68m

+9%

Note

Financial result −€17m

Tax rate 26%

EPS (adj.)€2.11

+33%

Page 14: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 13

Consolidation

+3%

Secular growth

+8%

Cyclical growth

+16%

Secular growth trend remains intactQ1/2020 (€m)

Consolidation effects mainly driven

by Qontigo (Axioma) and a small

contribution from IFS (Ausmaq).

20

60

114

Q1/20Q1/19

721

915

+24% (organic)

All segments with positive secular

growth contribution; very good

progress at Eurex, 360T, IFS and

Qontigo.

Cyclical growth mainly driven by

exceptionally high volatility due to

the Corona situation.

Note

Page 15: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 14

Development of segment financials (I/II)Q1/2020 (€m)

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.

250

185

346

263

Net revenue

+38%

EBITDA

+42%

Eurex

74

37

82

45

Net revenue

+11%

EBITDA

+20%

EEX

21

10

28

13

Net revenue

+29%

EBITDA

+31%

360T

Q1/19

Q1/20

Net revenue

+17%

EBITDA

+25%

Xetra

87

56

101

70

Page 16: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 15

Development of segment financials (II/II)Q1/2020 (€m)

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.

209

139

236

162

Net revenue

+13%

EBITDA

+16%

Clearstream

Q1/19

Q1/20

42

21

56

33

Net revenue

+33%

+28% (org.)

EBITDA

+56%

+28% (org.)

IFS

38

27

66

34

Net revenue

+73%

+20% (org.)

EBITDA

+23%

+13% (org.)

Qontigo

Page 17: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Pay-out ratio (%)

55 54 53 49 48

FY/15 FY/16 FY/17 FY/18 FY/19

€2.25€2.35

€2.45

€2.70

€2.90

+7%

16

Dividend per share and pay-outFY/2019

Within the 40-60% range, pay-out

mainly depends on the business

development and dividend

continuity considerations.

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.

Note

Remaining free cash is planned to

be reinvested into the business to

support the Group‘s M&A strategy.

Deutsche Börse aims to distribute

40-60% of adjusted annual net

profit to shareholders in form of the

regular dividend.

Page 18: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

857

1,003

1,106

FY/17 FY/18 FY/19 FY/20E

~1.20bn+17%

+10%

17

OutlookFY/2020

Mid-term target

+10-15% CAGR

“Roadmap 2020” financial targets

have been successfully reached so

far (14% net profit CAGR 2017-19).

Continued secular net revenue

growth of at least 5% and

around €1.20 billion

adjusted net profit.

Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.

Note

For FY/2020 Deutsche Börse

expects:

Guidance for 2020 remains

unchanged; strong start to the year

expected to be off-set by cyclical

headwinds in Q2-4/20 (e.g. NII).

Net profit guidance

(€m)

Page 19: Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum · Centre of excellence for automation established; several automation tools already in production for task automation; further steps

Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 |

Disclaimer

Cautionary note with regard to forward-looking statements: This document contains forward-looking statements and statements of future

expectations that reflect management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to known and

unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied and that are

beyond Deutsche Börse AG's ability to control or estimate precisely. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words

'may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue' and similar expressions identify forward-

looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic

conditions, (ii) future performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels (iv) currency exchange rates (v) the behaviour of other market participants

(vi) general competitive factors (vii) changes in laws and regulations (viii) changes in the policies of central banks, governmental regulators and/or

(foreign) governments (ix) the ability to successfully integrate acquired and merged businesses and achieve anticipated synergies (x) reorganization

measures, in each case on a local, national, regional and/or global basis. Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to

update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials.

No obligation to update information: Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any information contained

herein.

No investment advice: This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but

only for use as general information.

All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only.

© Deutsche Börse AG 2020. All rights reserved.