DARIO HIDALGO, DIRECTOR RESEARCH AND PRACTICE, EMBARQ, WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE

URBAN TRANSPORT AND

CLIMATE CHANGE

Not just that…

CONGESTION

ROAD SAFETY

CLIMATE CHANGE

PUBLIC HEALTH

2-5% cost of GDP through traffic

congestion

Transport accounts for one-quarter of

global CO2 emissions

Traffic fatalities lead to 1.2 million deaths

every year and many more injuries

Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths

worldwide, on par with smoking

CONGESTION

ROAD SAFETY

CLIMATE CHANGE

PUBLIC HEALTH

2-5% cost of GDP through traffic

congestion

Transport accounts for one-quarter of

global CO2 emissions

Traffic fatalities lead to 1.2 million deaths

every year and many more injuries

Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths

worldwide, on par with smoking

Global Calculator

Global Calculator

www.globalcalculator.org

Global Calculator

Can we improve the quality of life

globally and reduce GHG

emissions?

YES!

“The world has enough for everyone's

need, but not enough for everyone's

greed.”

― Mahatma Gandhi

Compact, Connected, Coordinated Cities

Better Growth Better Climate

New Climate Economy Report

http://newclimateeconomy.report/cities/

Improved Access, Specially for the Poor

Reduced Fatalities, Injuries, Illness

Achieving the CO2 reduction targets

Technology

Improvements Public

TransportNon-motorized

Transport

Urban

development

and transport

integration

AVOID SHIFT IMPROVE

THREE PRONGED APPROACH

Compact, Connected, Coordinated Cities

http://newclimateeconomy.report/cities/

Global Calculator

Global Calculator

www.globalcalculator.org

We could even travel further (on average), but 20-30% less

than business as usual projection (consistent with ETP-IEA)

Industrialized countries need reductions in VKT

Emerging countries need to curb current VKT pathway

Some findings from http://globalcalculator.org/

Avoid, Shift, Improve combined measures

Cooper, Lefevre, Pestiaux, GHG Emissions from the Transport Sector Using

Multi-Sectoral Tool, TRB Annual Meeting, 2015

Myths busted:

Switching coal to gas does not work: we need to

decarbonise global electricity generation to near zero

gCO2e/kWh by 2050 – Electrify 10% Car fleet by 2050

We cannot rely on running out of fossil fuel. The world

has enough fossil fuel resources to put the world at risk

of a global mean temperature of over 6°C by 2100

We also cannot rely on futuristic technologies to suck

carbon out of the atmosphere. At best 10% savings

Curbing population to the UN’s lower projected estimate

(8 billion) would only save around 10%

Some findings from http://globalcalculator.org/

Myth Busted: Biofuels Are Not a Green Alternative

http://www.wri.org/publication/avoiding-bioenergy-competition-food-crops-and-land

Source: EMBARQ; http://thecityfix.com/blog/on-the-move-advancing-sustainable-

transport-getting-from-here-to-there-holger-dalkmann/

WE HAVE SOME HOPE: SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY IS

ON THE RISE

Photo by Alan Crawford, http://www.bikeleague.org/

CYCLING ON THE RISE - USA

http://www.bikeleague.org/content/acs-bike-commuting-continues-rise

REALLY SHY COMPARED WITH WESTERN EUROPE

http://www.fietsberaad.nl/library/repository/bestanden/Fietsberaad_publicatie7_Engels.pdf

http://citymaus.tumblr.com/post/1986376111/cphbikehighways

Congestion pricing – emerging

Year

Received wide implementation due to EU’s health-based air

quality standard;

Additional 100 EU cities will implement LEZs

Low emission zones - tipping in European Union

Caps the number of new vehicle registrations

Formats

Beijing, Guiyang – Lottery

Singapore, Shanghai – Auction

Guangzhou and Tianjin – Auction and Lottery

Vehicle quota system – on the rise in China

Year

http://churumuri.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/11july07kpn78.jpg

TransMilenio, Bogotá, 104 km 2 million pax/day

Metro rail - tipping in China

London 1863;

189 cities - 10,500 kilometers - 112 million pax/day;189 Cities

10,500 km

112 MM pax/day

181 Cities

4,500 km

31 MM pax/day

Guadalajra Ahmedabad Istanbul

Rio de Janeiro Belo Horizonte Brasilia

BhopalIndoreMexico DF

Global Growth of Car Sharing 2000-2012

The future is not what

it used to be; we see

some indications of

change, but not

enough is happening!

Count it, measure, scale it

20 km BRT (2005) -> 105 km BRT (2014)

1 city -> 9 cities (265 km)

MÉXICO

1 bus system (2009) -> 18 cities (2014)

INDIA

Pedestranization Historic Penninsula

TURKEY

Most used BRT Line in the World

Metrobüs Intercontinental Connection

Urban Mobility Plans

BRAZIL

Low-carbon and sustainable transport in Qingdao

CHINA

3-Tiered Approach Towards Change

Scaling Strategy

Global

Agenda Sustainable Development Goals & Climate Change

Agreement

National

Policy and Funding Programs for Sustainable Mobility and Urban

Development

Local/National

Avoid, Shift, Improve

Sustainable Sustainable Development Goals

(Draft) still missing quality in public transport

and infrastructure for walking and biking

Teşekkür ederim

dhidalgo@embarq.org