09 process capability

41
Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 1 ©The British Standards Institution 2008 Process Capability 2 SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 Learning Objectives At the end of this section delegates will be able to: Recognise the difference between process control and process capability Carry out capability studies on variable and attribute data Assess and interpret the data from capability studies Convert data from capability studies into DPM or Cpk values

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Page 1: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 1 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

Process Capability

2

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Learning Objectives

At the end of this section delegates will be able to:

• Recognise the difference between process control and process capability

• Carry out capability studies on variable and attribute data

• Assess and interpret the data from capability studies

• Convert data from capability studies into DPM or Cpk values

Page 2: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 2 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

3

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Process Capability Agenda

• Process Control v Process Capability

• Process Capability – Variable Data

• Capability Study – 7 steps

• Capability Study – Minitab

• Workshop

• Capability Study Issues

• Process Capability – Non-normal Data

• Summary

4

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Process Control

• Process Control refers

to the evaluation of

process stability over

time

• Process Capability

refers to the

evaluation of how well

a process meets

specifications

LSL USL

0 5 10 15 20 25

Time

UCL

LCL

Page 3: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 3 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

5

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

DMAIC Improvement ProcessDefine ImproveMeasure Control

� Control Critical x’s

� Monitor y’s

� Validate Control Plan

� Close Project

1 5 10 15 20

10.2

10.0

9.8

9.6

Upper Control Limit

Lower Control Limit

y

Phase Review

Analyse� Characterise x’s

� Optimise x’s

� Set Tolerances for x’s

� Verify Improvement

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.

� Identify Potential x’s

� Analyse x’s

� Select Critical x’s

Phase Review

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Effect

C1 C2

C4

C3

C6C5

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

x

� Select Project

� Define Project Objective

� Form the Team

� Map the Process

� Identify Customer Requirements

� Identify Priorities

� Update Project File

Phase Review

� Define Measures (y’s)

� Evaluate Measurement System

� Determine Process Stability

� Determine Process Capability

� Set Targets for Measures

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

Define ImproveMeasure Control� Control Critical

x’s

� Monitor y’s

� Validate Control Plan

� Close Project

1 5 10 15 20

10.2

10.0

9.8

9.6

Upper Control Limit

Lower Control Limit

y

Phase Review

� Control Critical x’s

� Monitor y’s

� Validate Control Plan

� Close Project

1 5 10 15 20

10.2

10.0

9.8

9.6

Upper Control Limit

Lower Control Limit

yy

Phase Review

Analyse� Characterise x’s

� Optimise x’s

� Set Tolerances for x’s

� Verify Improvement

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.

� Identify Potential x’s

� Analyse x’s

� Select Critical x’s

Phase Review

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Effect

C1 C2

C4

C3

C6C5

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

x

Phase Review

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Effect

C1 C2

C4

C3

C6C5

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

x

� Select Project

� Define Project Objective

� Form the Team

� Map the Process

� Identify Customer Requirements

� Identify Priorities

� Update Project File

Phase Review

� Select Project

� Define Project Objective

� Form the Team

� Map the Process

� Identify Customer Requirements

� Identify Priorities

� Update Project File

Phase Review

� Define Measures (y’s)

� Evaluate Measurement System

� Determine Process Stability

� Determine Process Capability

� Set Targets for Measures

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

Process Capability – Variable Data

Page 4: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 4 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

7

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

“Special” causes of variation are present

Tim

e

TotalVariation

Target

Unstable Process

8

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Tim

e

Target

TotalVariation

Only “Common”causes of variation are present

Stable Process

Page 5: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 5 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

9

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Tim

e

Spec Limits

CAPABLE

NOTCAPABLE Process is Stable but

Process is not Capable

Process is Stable and Process is Capable

Capable Process

10

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Process Capability, Cp Index

• Defined as:

• USL-LSL represents the width of the spec

• 6σWithin represents width of process (±3σ)

−−−−≈≈≈≈

−−−−====

2

p

dR6

LSLUSL

6σσσσWithin

LSLUSLC

Page 6: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 6 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

11

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

LSL

USL

Cp = 0.5 Cp = 1 Cp = 2Cp = 1.5

Process Capability, Cp Index

12

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Process Capability, Cpk Index

• Defined as:

• Numerator represents the distance to the

nearest spec

• Denominator represents the amount of this

distance consumed by variation

(((( ))))

3σσσσWithin

LSLX,XUSLminCpk

−−−−−−−−====

d2

RσσσσWithin≈≈≈≈

Page 7: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 7 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

13

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

LSLUSL

Numerator

Target

Denominator

Process Capability, Cpk Index

14

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

LSL

USL

Cpk = 2

Cpk = 0.5

Cpk = 0.5Cpk = 1

Cpk = 1

Cpk = 1.5

Cpk = 1.5

Cpk when Cp=2

Page 8: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 8 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

15

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

LSL

USL

Cp= 1

Cp= 2

Cp= 2

Cp= 4

Cpk = 1

16

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Cpk and Cp

• Cpk ≤ Cp

• Cpk = Cp only when the process is

perfectly centred

• Cp represents the highest possible value

for Cpk

Page 9: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 9 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

17

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

One Spec Limit

• Cp is not defined – requires 2 spec limits

• Cpk can still be calculated – requires only

one spec limit

18

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Six Sigma Quality - Measurable

Characteristics

• Requires no more than 3.4 defects per

million for each measurable characteristic

• Producing no more than 3.4 defects per

million requires keeping the process

average at least 4.5σ from the nearest

spec

Page 10: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 10 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

19

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

0000 2σ2σ2σ2σ 4σ4σ4σ4σ 6σ6σ6σ6σ−−−−2σ2σ2σ2σ−−−−4σ4σ4σ4σ−−−−6σ6σ6σ6σ

12σσσσ Wide Spec Limits

±±±±1.5σσσσ Operating Window

At least 4.5σσσσ

Lower

SpecLimit

UpperSpecLimitAt least 4.5σσσσ

Six Sigma Quality - Measurable

Characteristics

20

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Study

• Determines if process is stable and capable, ie

can it consistently make good product.

• Measures success and progress achieved using

the other tools.

20

10

0

74.8 74.9 75.0 75.1 75.2 75.3

Fill vol. (ml)

30

NUMBER

USLLSL

Page 11: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 11 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

21

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Study

1. Collect data

2. Calculate required statistics

3. Draw charts

4. Plot data

5. Interpret charts and draw conclusions

6. Draw histogram

7. Calculate Cp and Cpk and draw conclusions

22

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(1) Collect Data

• Collect 20 subgroups of 5 data points each over several hours, where the 5 data points in each subgroup are collected at the same time

The data below refers to a filling operation (target fill = 75.0 ml)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

75.02 75.03 75.03 74.98 75.03 75.03 75.02 75.03 75.05 75.02

75.03 75.06 75.05 75.01 75.02 75.06 74.99 74.98 75.00 75.01

75.05 75.06 75.03 75.03 75.03 75.01 75.02 75.03 75.03 75.00

75.01 75.02 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.01 75.07

75.02 75.09 75.06 75.02 75.02 75.00 75.07 75.05 75.07 75.00

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

75.04 75.08 75.00 75.07 75.02 75.04 75.05 75.05 75.04 75.06

75.05 74.99 75.04 75.05 75.01 75.02 75.03 75.04 75.02 75.04

74.97 75.02 75.01 75.06 75.04 75.04 75.06 75.03 75.04 75.02

75.00 75.05 75.02 75.03 75.03 75.06 75.03 75.01 75.01 75.05

75.01 74.99 75.04 75.01 75.02 75.05 75.08 74.99 75.03 75.00

Page 12: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 12 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

23

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(1) Collect Data

• Most capability studies are carried out over short time

periods

• Typically, high volume production should be sampled at

least hourly

• Lower volume production should be adjusted accordingly –

a rule of thumb would be one subgroup of 5 every 50

components

• Practical considerations may dictate the time period

selected, but subgroups should be taken at regular intervals

• Consider extending the time period to cover process

changes (eg 2nd shift, material changes etc)

24

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(2) Calculate Required Statistics

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

75.02 75.03 75.03 74.98 75.03 75.03 75.02 75.03 75.05 75.02

75.03 75.06 75.05 75.01 75.02 75.06 74.99 74.98 75.00 75.01

75.05 75.06 75.03 75.03 75.03 75.01 75.02 75.03 75.03 75.00

75.01 75.02 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.04 75.01 75.07

75.02 75.09 75.06 75.02 75.02 75.00 75.07 75.05 75.07 75.00

average 75.026 75.052 75.042 75.016 75.028 75.028 75.028 75.026 75.032 75.020

range 0.04 0.07 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

75.04 75.08 75.00 75.07 75.02 75.04 75.05 75.05 75.04 75.06

75.05 74.99 75.04 75.05 75.01 75.02 75.03 75.04 75.02 75.04

74.97 75.02 75.01 75.06 75.04 75.04 75.06 75.03 75.04 75.02

75.00 75.05 75.02 75.03 75.03 75.06 75.03 75.01 75.01 75.05

75.01 74.99 75.04 75.01 75.02 75.05 75.08 74.99 75.03 75.00

average 75.014 75.026 75.022 75.044 75.024 75.042 75.050 75.024 75.028 75.034

range 0.08 0.09 0.04 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.03 0.06

Page 13: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 13 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

25

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(2) Calculate Required Statistics

• Controls Limits are always:

Average ± 3 Standard Deviations

Where the average and standard deviation are

the average and standard deviation of whatever is

plotted: subgroup averages, subgroup ranges, …

26

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

• The control limits can be calculated directly as

follows:

• Using these constants simplifies the calculations

• Minitab allows us to choose whether to use R-Bar

or the within subgroup variation

(2) Calculate Required Statistics

RDLCL

RDUCL

RAXLCL

RAXUCL

3R

4R

2x

2x

=

=

-=

+=

Page 14: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 14 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

27

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(2) Calculate Required Statistics

Sample size A 2 D 3 D 4 d 2

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1.880

1.023

0.729

0.577

0.483

0.419

0.373

0.337

0.308

0

0

0

0

0.076

0.136

0.184

0.223

3.267

2.574

2.282

2.114

2.004

1.924

1.864

1.816

1.777

1.128

1.693

2.059

2.326

2.534

2.704

2.847

2.970

3.078

0

28

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(2) Calculate Required Statistics

• The upper and lower control limits for the average & range

are:

0RDLCL

0.120.0555 x 2.114RDUCL

75.000.0555) x (0.57775.0303R0.577XRAXLCL

75.060.0555) x 0.577(75.0303R0.577XRAXUCL

0.0555R75.0303,X

3R

4R

2X

2X

==

===

=−=−=−=

=+=+=+=

==

Page 15: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 15 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

29

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(3) Draw Charts

subgroup

subgroupave.

20151050

75.06

75.05

75.04

75.03

75.02

75.01

75.00

74.99

75.06

75.03

74.99

Plot of subgroup ave. vs subgroup

subgroup

subgroupave.

20151050

75.06

75.05

75.04

75.03

75.02

75.01

75.00

74.99

75.06

75.03

74.99

Plot of subgroup ave. vs subgroup

30

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(3) Draw Charts

subgroup

subgroup range

20151050

0.12

0.10

0.08

0.06

0.04

0.02

0.00 0

0.0555

0.12

Plot of subgroup range vs subgroup

Page 16: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 16 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

31

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(4) Plot Data

subgroup

subgroupave.

20151050

75.06

75.05

75.04

75.03

75.02

75.01

75.00

74.99

75.06

75.03

74.99

Plot of subgroup ave. vs subgroup

subgroup

subgroupave.

20151050

75.06

75.05

75.04

75.03

75.02

75.01

75.00

74.99

75.06

75.03

74.99

Plot of subgroup ave. vs subgroup

32

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(4) Plot Data

subgroup

subgroup range

20151050

0.12

0.10

0.08

0.06

0.04

0.02

0.00 0

0.0555

0.12

Plot of subgroup range vs subgroup

Page 17: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 17 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

33

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(5) Interpret Control Charts and

Draw Conclusions• The control limits represent

the range of values

expected for the subgroups

(averages / ranges) if the

process is stable

• Points outside the control

limits indicate the process

average is unstable

Conclusions

• The average is stable

• The range is stable subgroup

subgroup range

20151050

0.12

0.10

0.08

0.06

0.04

0.02

0.00 0

0.0555

0.12

Plot of subgroup range vs subgroup

subgroup

subgroupave.

20151050

75.06

75.05

75.04

75.03

75.02

75.01

75.00

74.99

75.06

75.03

74.99

Plot of subgroup ave. vs subgroup

subgroup

subgroupave.

20151050

75.06

75.05

75.04

75.03

75.02

75.01

75.00

74.99

75.06

75.03

74.99

Plot of subgroup ave. vs subgroup

34

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Histogram

(6) Draw Histogram

ml

Frequency

75.0875.0675.0475.0275.0074.98

18

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Histogram of ml

Page 18: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 18 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

35

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Normal Probability Plot

ml

Percent

75.10075.07575.05075.02575.00074.97574.950

99.9

99

95

90

80

7060504030

20

10

5

1

0.1

Mean

0.055

75.03

StDev 0.02368

N 100

AD 0.730

P-Value

Probability Plot of mlNormal

P > 0.05

Passes Normality

Test

36

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Reasons for Failing a Normality Test

• A shift occurred in the middle of the data

• Mixed populations

• Truncated data

• Rounding to a small number of values

• Outliers

• Too much data

• The underlying distribution is not normal

• With this data set, we have just passed the test for normality.

• What do you think are the reasons for this situation?

Page 19: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 19 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

37

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(7) Calculate Cp and Cpk and

Draw Conclusions• Cp is defined as:

• USL-LSL represents the width of the spec

• 6σWithin represents width of process (±3σ)

−≈

−=

2

p

dR6

LSLUSL

6σWithin

LSLUSLC

38

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(7) Calculate Cp and Cpk and

Draw Conclusions• Cp is calculated as follows:

• Cp is a measure of whether the variation is acceptable

• A value ≥ 1.5 is often acceptable

1.40

2.326

0.05556

74.975.1

d

R6

LSLUSLC

2

p =

−=

−=

Page 20: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 20 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

39

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(7) Calculate Cp and Cpk and

Draw Conclusions

• Cpk is defined as:

• Numerator represents the distance

to the nearest spec

• Denominator represents the amount of this

distance consumed by variation

2

Within

Within

pkd

LSL)X,Xmin(USLC ≈

−−=

40

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(7) Calculate Cp and Cpk and

Draw Conclusions• Cpk is calculated as follows:

• Cpk jointly measures centring and variation

• A value ≥ 1.5 is required for Six Sigma

0.971.82)min(0.97,C

2.326

0.05553

74.9)75.030375.0303,min(75.1C

d

R3

LSL)X,Xmin(USLC

pk

pk

2

pk

==

−−=

−−=

Page 21: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 21 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

41

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Final Conclusion

• Both the average and variation are stable

• Centring the process will improve Cpk

• Variation must be reduced in order to

achieve a Cpk of ≥ 1.5

42

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Open Worksheet

Fill volume 1

Capability Analysis - Minitab

Page 22: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 22 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

43

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Analysis - Minitab

1. Enter ml

4. Select Estimate

2. Enter Subgroup Size

3. Enter Specs

44

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Select Rbar

Capability Analysis - Minitab

Page 23: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

SSG06101ENUK - PC/Issue 1.3/ July 2008 23 ©The British Standards Institution 2008

45

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Analysis – Fill Volume

75.0975.0675.0375.0074.9774.9474.91

LSL USL

LSL 74.9

Target *

USL 75.1

Sample Mean 75.0303

Sample N 100

StDev (Within) 0.0238607

StDev (Overall) 0.0236752

Process Data

Cp 1.40

CPL 1.82

CPU 0.97

Cpk 0.97

Pp 1.41

PPL 1.83

PPU 0.98

Ppk 0.98

Cpm *

Overall Capability

Potential (Within) Capability

PPM < LSL 0.00

PPM > USL 0.00

PPM Total 0.00

Observed Performance

PPM < LSL 0.02

PPM > USL 1743.87

PPM Total 1743.90

Exp. Within Performance

PPM < LSL 0.02

PPM > USL 1619.95

PPM Total 1619.97

Exp. Overall Performance

Within

Overall

Process Capability of ml

46

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Analysis - Sixpack

Page 24: 09 Process Capability

Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Analysis - Sixpack1. Enter ml

4. Select Estimate

2. Enter Subgroup Size

3. Enter Specs

48

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Select Rbar

Capability Analysis - Sixpack

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49

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Capability Analysis - Sixpack

191715131197531

75.050

75.025

75.000

Sample Mean

__X=75.0303

UCL=75.06231

LCL=74.99829

191715131197531

0.10

0.05

0.00

Sample Range

_R=0.0555

UCL=0.1174

LCL=0

2015105

75.10

75.05

75.00

Sample

Values

75.0975.0675.0375.0074.9774.9474.91

LSL USL

LSL 74.9

USL 75.1

Specifications

75.1075.0575.0074.95

Within

Overall

Specs

StDev 0.0238607

Cp 1.4

Cpk 0.97

Within

StDev 0.0236752

Pp 1.41

Ppk 0.98

Cpm *

Overall

Process Capability Sixpack of ml

Xbar Chart

R Chart

Last 20 Subgroups

Capability Histogram

Normal Prob PlotAD: 0.730, P: 0.055

Capability Plot

50

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Pp and Ppk

• Minitab, and other statistical packages provide

additional measures of process capability called

Pp and Ppk

• These measures are the same as Cp and Cpk

except that Pp and Ppk always use the total

standard deviation rather than variation within

subgroups

Page 26: 09 Process Capability

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

TotalVariation

Within SubgroupVariation

Between Subgroup

Variation

Pp

&

Ppk

Total Variance = Within Subgroup Variance + Between

Subgroup Variance

Components of Variation

52

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

−−−−≈≈≈≈

−−−−====

2

p

dR6

LSLUSL

6σσσσWithin

LSLUSLC

Within subgroup standard deviation

−−−−====

p6σσσσTotal

LSLUSLP Total standard

deviation

Cp and Pp

Page 27: 09 Process Capability

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53

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

(((( ))))

3σσσσWithin

LSLX,XUSLminCpk

−−−−−−−−====

d2

RσσσσWithin

≈≈≈≈

Within subgroup standard deviation

(((( ))))

3σσσσTotal

LSLX,XUSLminPpk

−−−−−−−−====

Total standard deviation

Cpk and Ppk

54

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Why measure Pp and Ppk?

• If we calculate Cp and Cpk using within subgroup variation, we are assessing “best case”performance

• If the process is stable, then this is generally OK

• If our process is unstable, Pp and Ppk provide a more realistic assessment of process capability, because they are calculated using total variation

• However, if the process is unstable, our priority should be to identify and eliminate the factor

causing the instability (special cause)

Page 28: 09 Process Capability

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Behaviour of Pp and Ppk

• Pp < Cp until process is stable and under control,

then Pp = Cp

• Ppk < Cpk until process is stable and under control,

then Ppk = Cpk

56

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Metric Centring? Stability?

Cp No No

Cpk Yes No

Pp No Yes

Ppk Yes Yes

Process Capability Metrics

Page 29: 09 Process Capability

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57

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Components of Variation

• We have talked about total variation in processes, which we

have divided into:

� Within Subgroup Variation

� Between Subgroup Variation

• In terms of Variance:

σ2Total = σ2

Within + σ2Between

• Minitab uses the term “overall variation” – this is the same

as “total variation”

58

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Process Capability - Workshop

• Open the Worksheet “Fill volume 2”. The data has 20 subgroups with n=5

• Perform a complete Capability Study on the data provided (USL=75.1, LSL=74.9)

• Use the Minitab Control Chart option – Stat> Control Charts> Variables Charts for Subgroups> Xbar-R

• Use the Minitab Capability option – Stat> Quality Tools> Capability Analysis > Normal

• Perform other analyses as required (eg histograms, dot plots,

normality tests, Sixpack etc) to aid your interpretation of data

• Make a presentation of your findings to the other groups including recommendations

Page 30: 09 Process Capability

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Capability Study Issues

60

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Possible Differences

• Number of samples per subgroup

• Number of subgroups

• Use of total variation versus within subgroup

variation

• Length of time capability study run over (hours,

day, week, month)

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Sample Size

• The standard procedure uses 100 samples

divided into 20 subgroups of 5

• A minimum of 50 samples should be used, 10

subgroups of 5

• Lower sample sizes result in poorer estimates of

Cp and Cpk

62

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Accuracy of Cp and Cpk

• Running the standard study of 20 subgroups of 5

results in estimates of Cp and Cpk that are

accurate to ±15%

• Reducing this to 10 subgroups of 5 increases the

error to ±22%

• Reducing this to 6 subgroups of 5 increases the

error to ±28%

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Within Versus Total

• Control limits should always be calculated using

the within subgroup variation

• CP and Cpk can be calculated using either the

within subgroup or total standard deviation:

� Which is used changes their interpretation

� Recommend using within subgroup variation

64

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Questions to Ask

• Which standard deviation was used to calculate

Cp and Cpk?

• Over what period of time was the study run?

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Process Capability – Non-Normal Data

66

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Non-normal Data Sets

• Some data sets are non-normal because the

underlying distribution is non-normal

• Some possible transformations were covered in

the Basic Statistics section of this program

• If we have successfully transformed our data then

we can use the standard process capability

procedure (for normal data) described earlier

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Insufficient Discrimination

• The Anderson-Darling normality test can often

indicate non-normality when we have insufficient discrimination in our measurement system

• For this reason it is best to ensure that we have

sufficient discrimination in our measurement

systems before carrying out capability studies

• A good rule of thumb is to have at least 14 levels of discrimination between our lower and upper

specifications

• If this is not possible, seek advice from a statistician

68

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Weibull Distribution

• In some cases, where we have right skewed data

sets and cannot successfully transform the data,

the Weibull Distribution can be used to good

effect

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

β = 3.5

αααα = 2.0

β = 0.5

αααα = 1.0β = 3.5

αααα = 1.0

)(xf

x values

Weibull Distribution

• The Weibull Distribution is actually a family of probability

distributions with two parameters:

β - shape parameter

α - scale parameter

70

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Weibull Distribution

α

α

βα

β

α

=

x

exxf

1

)(

β = 3.5

αααα = 2.0

β = 0.5

αααα = 1.0β = 3.5

αααα = 1.0

)(xf

x values

Page 36: 09 Process Capability

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71

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Worksheet: Transform Time

Stat>Quality Tools>>Capability Analysis>Nonnormal

Click “Single Column” – select “Time”

Click “Distribution” – select “Weibull”Lower Spec: 0 (Boundary)

Upper Spec: 60

Weibull Distribution - Minitab

120100806040200

LB USL

LB 0

Target *

USL 60

Sample Mean 24.1052

Sample N 100

Shape 1.28146

Scale 26.2028

Process Data

Pp *

PPL *

PPU 0.43

Ppk 0.43

Overall Capability

PPM < LB 0.00

PPM > USL 50000.00

PPM Total 50000.00

Observed Performance

PPM < LB *

PPM > USL 55511.28

PPM Total 55511.28

Exp. Overall Performance

Process Capability of TimeCalculations Based on Weibull Distribution Model

72

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Create Column “Values”Enter 10,20…..120Calc>Probability Distributions>WeibullCumulative ProbabilityShape: 1.28Scale: 26.2Input Column: ValuesOptional Storage: Proportion

The Proportion column gives the expected proportion of the

distribution less than the given values. We can estimate the

proportion above or below any value using this function.

Weibull Distribution

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

β = 3.5

αααα = 2.0

β = 0.5

αααα = 1.0β = 3.5

αααα = 1.0

)( xf

x values

Weibull – Points to Remember

• If our data is non-normal, we should first concentrate on

discovering why our data is non-normal

• If it is discovered that our underlying distribution is non-

normal, then we should try some simple transformations

• If a simple transformation is not successful, then the Weibull

distribution may be applicable for right skewed data

74

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Role of Capability Studies

• Capability Studies are the primary tool for

managing variation reduction. They act as the

scorecard

• Capability Studies help characterise the type of

problem (unstable, off-target, excessive variation)

guiding which tools and strategies to apply

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

DMAIC Improvement ProcessDefine ImproveMeasure Control

� Control Critical x’s

� Monitor y’s

� Validate Control Plan

� Close Project

1 5 10 15 20

10.2

10.0

9.8

9.6

Upper Control Limit

Lower Control Limit

y

Phase Review

Analyse� Characterise x’s

� Optimise x’s

� Set Tolerances for x’s

� Verify Improvement

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.

� Identify Potential x’s

� Analyse x’s

� Select Critical x’s

Phase Review

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Effect

C1 C2

C4

C3

C6C5

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

x

� Select Project

� Define Project Objective

� Form the Team

� Map the Process

� Identify Customer Requirements

� Identify Priorities

� Update Project File

Phase Review

� Define Measures (y’s)

� Evaluate Measurement System

� Determine Process Stability

� Determine Process Capability

� Set Targets for Measures

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

Define ImproveMeasure Control� Control Critical

x’s

� Monitor y’s

� Validate Control Plan

� Close Project

1 5 10 15 20

10.2

10.0

9.8

9.6

Upper Control Limit

Lower Control Limit

y

Phase Review

� Control Critical x’s

� Monitor y’s

� Validate Control Plan

� Close Project

1 5 10 15 20

10.2

10.0

9.8

9.6

Upper Control Limit

Lower Control Limit

yy

Phase Review

Analyse� Characterise x’s

� Optimise x’s

� Set Tolerances for x’s

� Verify Improvement

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.y=f(x1,x2,..)

y

x

. . .. . .. .. . .

. .

.

� Identify Potential x’s

� Analyse x’s

� Select Critical x’s

Phase Review

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Effect

C1 C2

C4

C3

C6C5

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

x

Phase Review

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2

Effect

C1 C2

C4

C3

C6C5

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

x

� Select Project

� Define Project Objective

� Form the Team

� Map the Process

� Identify Customer Requirements

� Identify Priorities

� Update Project File

Phase Review

� Select Project

� Define Project Objective

� Form the Team

� Map the Process

� Identify Customer Requirements

� Identify Priorities

� Update Project File

Phase Review

� Define Measures (y’s)

� Evaluate Measurement System

� Determine Process Stability

� Determine Process Capability

� Set Targets for Measures

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

15 20 25 30 35

LSL USL

Phase Review

76

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

DMAIC – Measure Phase

• Capability Studies can be used:

� To determine process stability

� To determine process capability

� To determine the nature of the problem (eg unstable

process, off-target, excessive variation, outliers)

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

DMAIC – Improve Phase

• Capability Studies can be used to determine the

stability and capability of critical x’s

• Capability Studies can be used to verify process

improvement

• Capability Studies measure the current state of

the processes, track progress and are used to

demonstrate improvements

• They measure the success of the other variation

reduction tools and processes

78

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

DMAIC - Control Phase

• In conjunction with the use of control charts,

process capability can be used during the control

phase to:

� Control critical x’s

� Confirm process capability during Process Validation

� Ensure effective long-term monitoring of the y’s

(measures)

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Summary

• Long-term studies are more reliable than short-term studies.

We must ensure that a sufficient time period is sampled

• Always check whether the process is stable before or during

a capability analysis. Special causes should be removed, or

at least understood, before continuing

• Test for normality. Some types of data will require different

capability analyses

• If the process is stable and a sufficient time period is taken,

then achieving a Cpk / Ppk of 1.5 at the end of your project

means that you have achieved the Six Sigma Target!

80

SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

Process Capability Flowchart

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centering

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyze Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centering

No

Go to Analyze Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centring

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyse Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centring

No

Go to Analyse Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centering

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyze Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centering

No

Go to Analyze Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centring

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyse Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centring

No

Go to Analyse Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centering

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyze Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centering

No

Go to Analyze Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centring

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyse Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centring

No

Go to Analyse Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centering

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyze Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centering

No

Go to Analyze Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

Is the Process

Centred ?

No

Is Pp > Target?

No

Variation

Reduction

Yes

Process

Centring

Yes

Review

Project

Yes

Yes

Stability Issue

(Go to Analyse Phase)

No

No

Is the Process

Capable?

Yes

Is Process

Stable?

Yes

Variation Reduction

& Process Centring

No

Go to Analyse Phase

(Variation Reduction Issue)

Collect

Data

Test for

Stability

Assess

Capability

Test for

Normality

Is the Data

Normal?

Can the data be

transformed?

Check 7 Reasons

New sample

required?

Choose

Control Chart Type

Review

Project

NoNo

Yes

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SSG06101ENUK – Delegate Slides/Issue 1.3/ July 2008

DMAIC Measure Phase Summary

• Identification of measures (y’s)

• Prioritise y’s (not too many!)

• Variable measures if possible

• Evaluate Measurement Systems

• Establish Current Level of Stability of y’s

• Don’t characterise unnatural data!

• Investigate & Remove Special Causes

• Assess Process Capability

• Determine the improvement approach required for each measure