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    1

    Using control charts,distribution analysis, rational

    sampling and Ppk to betterunderstand manufacturing

    process capability

    Process Capability

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    2

    Process Capability

    StandardPPAP Ppk > 1.67

    OngoingProduction

    Ppk > 1.33

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    3

    What is the problem that needs to be addressed?

    First we will examine the components of

    variation that are measured by Cpk and Ppk 

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    4

    Subgroup Number

    20

    90

    Total Variation

    Components of Variation

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    5

    Subgroup Number

    20

    90

    Between Subgroup Variation

    Components of Variation

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    6

    Subgroup Number

    20

    90

    Within Subgroup Variation

    Components of Variation

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    7

    Subgroup Number

    20

    90

    Within

    Within Between

    Between Total

    Total

    + =

    Components of Variation

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    8

    Total VariationWithin Subgroup

    Variation

    Between Subgroup

    Variation+ =

    Cpk measures within

    Subgroup variation Ppk measuresTotal variation

    Ppk and Cpk 

    σ2within   σ2between   σ2total

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    9

    Ppk and Cpk 

    Now for a look at the formulas

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    10

    )ˆ3

    )X(or

    ˆ3min(

    22  /  /    d  Rd  R

     LSL) X (USLCpk 

    σ  σ  

    −−

    =

    Cpk (Process Potential Capability)

    Ppk (Process Performance)

    )ˆ3

    )(orˆ3

    min(S S 

     LSL X ) X (USLPpk 

    σ  σ  

    −−

    =

    What is the difference above?

    Ppk vs. Cpk Formulas

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    11

    Standard Deviation

    2 /   / ˆ:Cpk  2   d  Rd  R   =σ  

    ∑=

      −

    =

    n

    i

    i

    n

     X  X 

    1

    2

    1

    )(ˆ :Ppk    σ  

    Ppk vs. Cpk Formulas

    Uses all of the data

    to estimate sigma!

    Uses min and max of each

    subgroup to estimate sigma.For subgroup size of 5, this amounts

    to only 40% of the data.

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    12S u b g r o u p Nu m b e r54321

    9 0

    8 0

    7 0

    6 0

    5 0

    4 0

    3 0

    2 0

    S u b g r o u p Nu m b e r

    54321

    9 0

    8 0

    7 0

    6 0

    5 0

    4 0

    3 0

    2 0

    R1

    R2

    R3

    R4

    R5

     X 

    Ppk standard deviation uses the

    difference between each reading and

    the mean

    Ppk 

    Cpk 

    Cpk vs. Ppk Training

    Total Variation

    Within Subgroup VariationCpk standard deviation uses the

    average range divided by D2.

    Rave. = (R1+R2+R3+R4+R5)/5

    D2 is a constant.

     X 

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    13

    Risks of using only Cpk

    • Cpk ignores between subgroup variation(It is possible to have out of specification parts and have a Cpk > 1.67)

    • Note: OK to use Pp, Cpk, Cp, etc. with Ppk forinvestigation

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    14

    Results – Cpk vs. Ppk 

    Now consider the following example

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    15

    Sample

       D  y  n  a  m   i  c   R  a   t  e

    24222018161412108642

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    Run Chart with Less Between Variation

    Sample

       D  y  n  a  m   i  c   R  a   t

      e

    24222018161412108642

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    Run Chart with More Between Variation

    Ppk vs. Cpk ResultsThe subgroups have the same ranges

    Cpk = 2.53

    Ppk = 0.52

    Cpk = 2.53

    Ppk = 1.65

    In the bottomexample Cpk = 2.53

    even though parts

    are out of

    specification,

    because Cpk

    measures only

    within subgroupvariation.

    USL = 100, LSL = 10

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    Rational Sampling

    How do I sample parts so the controlcharts show process shifts?

    16

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    Rational Subgroup

    • Includes only short term variation(No shifts in the process)

    • Consecutive parts

    • Typically 3-7 consecutive parts

    • Typical 300 piece PPAP rational sampling plan (Measure 5,skip 7)

    • Measure parts 1- 5,

    • Skip parts 6-12,

    • Measure parts 13 – 17,

    • Skip parts 18-24)………

    • Options for 1000 piece run when measuring 125 samples

    1. subgroups of 5 evenly spaced: Measure 5 parts, skip 36 parts…2. subgroups of 3 evenly spaced: Measure 3 parts, skip 21 parts…..

    17

    Why would you use a subgroup of 5 vs. 3 or 3 vs. 5?

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    1501401301201101009080706050403020101

    0.007

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    0.002

    Order of Production

    Run Chart of Profile

    Rational Subgroups Example

    18

    Good Rational Sampling

    Subgroups are parts builtconsecutively and most include

    only short term variation.

    1501401301201101009080706050403020101

    0.007

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    0.002

    Order of Production

    Run Chart of Profile

    Subgroup 1 Subgroup 4

    Subgroup 3

    Subgroup 2

    Subgroup 6

    Subgroup 5

    Incorrect Sampling

    Single subgroup includes

    multiple shifts in the process.

    Is this an acceptable rational sampling plan?

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    1501401301201101009080706050403020101

    0.007

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    0.002

    Order of Production

    Run Chart of Profile

    20

    Subgroup Subgroup

    Subgroup

    Subgroup

    Subgroup

    Subgroup

    What happens when consecutive parts are chosen for subgroups?

    28252219161310741

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

     _  _ X=0.004453

    UCL=0.005093

    LCL=0.003813

    28252219161310741

    0.003

    0.002

    0.001

    0.000

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

     _ R=0.001109

    UCL=0.002346

    LCL=0

    11111

    1111

    1

    11111111

    11

    111

    1

    11

    1111

    1

     Xbar-R Chart of Subgroup - Consecutive Parts

    Process ShiftsARE Detected!

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    21

    Subgroups – Charts below are from same process

    Subgroups that include

    Process Shifts

    Rational Subgroups

    (Consecutive Samples)

    Process Shifts Detected NO Yes

    X bar Control Limits 0.0027 - 0.006 (Inflated) 0.0038 - 0.005

    Range Upper ControlLimit

    0.006 (Inflated) 0.002

    28252219161310741

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

     _  _ X=0.004425

    UCL=0.006095

    LCL=0.002756

    28252219161310741

    0.0060

    0.0045

    0.0030

    0.0015

    0.0000

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

     _ R=0.002894

    UCL=0.006120

    LCL=0

     Xbar-R Chart (Subgroups include Process Shifts)

    28252219161310741

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

     _  _ X=0.004453

    UCL=0.005093

    LCL=0.003813

    28252219161310741

    0.003

    0.002

    0.001

    0.000

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

     _ R=0.001109

    UCL=0.002346

    LCL=0

    11111

    111

    1

    1

    11111111

    11

    111

    1

    11

    1111

    1

     Xbar-R Chart (Subgroups with Consecutive Parts)

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    Rational Subgroup Take Away

    • If parts in a subgroup span process shifts then

    control limits are inflated and process shifts areNOT detected.

    • Use 3-7 consecutive parts to minimize risk ofincluding process shifts inside a given subgroup

    22

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    Sampling Plan – Initial Capability Study

    What parts should I measure and what variablesdo I need to keep track of?

    23

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    Sampling Plan - Exhaust Manifold

    • 500 manifolds are being produced for phase 0 PPAP.

    • MFG Equipment: One milling machine with two spindles.One broaching bar is used to make the spline.

    • Time constraints and resources only allow for themeasurement of roughly 150 samples.

    How should samples be collected for the capability study of theSCs?

    Increase number of subgroups (Use 3 parts instead of 5 parts)

    25 subgroups of 3 from spindle 1, 25 subgroups of 3 from spindle 2

    Evenly space subgroups (e.g. spindle 1 – measure parts 1-3, skip 4- 10,

    measure 11-13, skip 14-20…. Same process for spindle 2.

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    Sampling Plan - Rear Differential Side Gear

    • Supplier can measure all SCs on 250 parts• 1040 gears are being manufactured

    1. Two CNC lathes.2. Two spindles per CNC lathe3. After the CNC operation all parts enter the process to machine

    the spline. This process uses two broaching bars.4. After broaching the parts are heat treated in one of the two furnaces

    each of which hold 520 parts.5. Each furnace is known to have a risk for variation between top and

    bottom and left and right.6. Parts cannot be etched and any mark put on parts prior to heat treat

    will be burned off during the heat treatment.

    Put together a sampling plan for the PPAP run.

    21 subgroups of 3 for each of the 4 spindles

    Keep track of which broach is used on each part and order of broaching

    Divide parts between two furnaces and area of furnaces (top, bottom, left, right)

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    Sampling Plan – Cast Aluminum Engine Block

    • Process: Molten aluminum forms around 14 sand cores to make anengine block. Sand is then removed leaving a cast block withpassage ways. Block is then cubed (Sides are machined)

    • Seven molds make a total of the 14 sand cores

    • There are 6 sets of the seven molds each of which makes a set ofthe 14 needed sand cores.• Sets 1-3 are run on production line 1 and sets 4-6 are run on

    production line 2.• One machining cell machines all of the parts.

    • Part has one SC (cast locator to machined surface), and eight HICs(as cast bore locations to cast datum)

    Put together a sampling plan for the PPAP run.

    Run 300 pieces for each of the 6 core sets (1800 pieces total)

    Rational sampling of 25 subgroups of 5 for each 6 core set (Total of 750 measured parts).

    Measure parts 1-5, skip 6-12, measure parts 13-17…..

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    Sampling Plan Summary

    • Number samples and divide subgroups evenly overproduction run (e.g. measure 5, skip 7………)

    • Allocate subgroups across important variables(e.g. machines, spindles, mold cavities, furnace area etc.)

    • Keep track of important variables for each measuredpart so their affect can be analyzed

    • If possible divide subgroups so control charts can bedone separately for key variables(e.g. 25 subgroups of 3 for spindle 1 and 25 subgroups of 3 for spindle 2.

    • Think of the initial PPAP runs as passive DOEs that canbe used to help quantify affect of critical variables

    27

    Good sampling strategy can lead to quicker improvements!

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    28

    Normality, Control, & Stability

    • Capability numbers (Ppk, Pp, Cpk, Cp) must beignored pending a review of the Control, Stability

    and the Distribution.

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    29

    Control and Stability

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a

      n

    464136312621161161

    180

    175

    170

    165

    160

     _  _ X=171.59

    UC L=177.19

    LCL=166.00

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

    464136312621161161

    24

    18

    12

    6

    0

     _ R=7.68

    UC L=17.51

    LCL=0

    111

    1111

    1

    11

    1111

    1

    11

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

     Xbar-R Chart of C15

    Not Stable

    Not In ControlC p 2.68

    CPL 2.82

    CPU 2.54

    Cpk 2.54

    Pp 1.59

    PPL 1.67

    PPU 1.50

    Ppk 1.50

    C pm *

    O v erall C apability

    Potential (Within) C apability

    Within

    Overall

    XX

    Out of control points = Special Cause

    (Do

    NOTuse Ppk, Pp, Cpk, Cp to predict future performance)

    3 sigma

    limits

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    30

    Is this process in control?

    UCL

    LCL

    BoreDiameter

    Time

    Does the answer change

    if the source of variation

    is from known Non-Random

    variation such as tool wear?

    Demonstrating e idence of stabilit and

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    31

    Demonstrating evidence of stability andcontrol with Non-Random variation

    UCL One solution is to use

    Modified Control Limits

    BoreDiameter

    Time

    LCL

    Demonstrating evidence of stability and

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    32

    UCL

    LCL

    Modified control charts are sometimes difficult to

    manage. An alternative is endpoint control.

    Insuring the tool begins and ends where it should.

    Any variation from the expected outcome would be

    analogous to a “trend” failure for random systems.

    First piece inspection to get in the ball park

    add 4 more pieces to form a sub-group

    Variation from “best fit line” is common cause.

    Dotted line is the desired

    “Saw Tooth Pattern”

    A five piece sub-group to ensuring weended the tool in the right spot

    Control limitscentered on

    nominal

    A second solution is

    to use endpoint control

    Demonstrating evidence of stability andcontrol with Non-Random variation

    Control and Stability with Non Random

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    33

    Control and Stability with Non-RandomVariation

    • Some processes have known causes of variation (Non-

    Random) that can cause a process to shift or drift (e.g. batch

    to batch variation, machining – tool wear)

    • Non-Random variation may be acceptable if there are controls

    in place for the shifts and drifts

    Reference the Ford STA SPC training and see your site STA or

    Master Black Belt for further guidance

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    34

    Control and Stability Take Away

    1. The chances of a subgroup falling outside the 3 sigma limits is

    extremely small (1 subgroup out of 370) thus any out of control

    points indicate special causes.

    Reference the Ford STA SPC training and see your

    Master Black Belt for help.

    2. For future production the special causes may come back and triggerthe process to make wild swings and out of specification parts.

    3. When special causes exist Ppk does not predict the future

    performance

    5. If special causes exist they must be fixed or controlledprior to using any capability calculations to predict the

    future or for approval of PPAP

    4. Non-Random variation may be acceptable if there are controls in

    place for the shifts and drifts

    P k & C k ti

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    35

    Distribution and Normality

    8 . 88 . 07 . 26 . 45 . 64 . 8

    Pilot OD

       P  e  r  c  e  n   t

    0.68450.68400.68350.68300.68250.6820

    99.9

    99

    95

    90

    80

    7060504030

    20

    10

    5

    1

    0.1

    Mean 0.6830

    StDev 0.0004121

    N 125

     AD 3.361

    P-Value .05

    Skewed – Non-

    Normal

    P value < .05

    Ppk & Cpk equations assume

    Normal Distribution (Bell Curve).

    Calculations are often extremelyinaccurate if data is not normal.

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    36

    Distribution and Normality

    If process experts or a review of historical data

    indicates that the process output is not normally

    distributed (and should not be), then the data can be• Fitted to the correct distribution (you should

    be working with a Master Black Belt)

    This will ensure a more accurate estimate of Ppk.

    See example on next page

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    Is this process capable?

    37

    Ppk

    Normal Distribution Model 1.73

    Weibull Distribution Model 0.77

    11.29.68.06.44.83.21.60.0

    LB USL

    LB 0

    Target *

    USL 7

    Sample Mean 0.901049

    S ample N 5000

    S hape 0.769151

    Scale 0.77244

    Process Data

    Pp *

    PPL *

    PPU 0.77

    Ppk 0.77

    Overall Capability

    Process Capability of Dimension

    Calculations Based on Weibull Distribution Model

    121086420-2

    LB USL

    LB 0

    Target *

    USL 7

    Sample Mean 0.901049

    Sample N 5000

    StDev(Within) 1.17469

    StDev(Overall) 1.17466

    Process Data

    CPU 1.73

    Cpk 1.73

    PPU 1.73

    Ppk 1.73

    O v erall C apability

    Potential (Within) C apability

    Process Capability of Dimension

    Calculations Based on Normal Distribution Model

    Should the data shown below be fit to the lognormal or the

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    Should the data shown below be fit to the lognormal or thenormal distribution?

    38

    252321191715131197531

    6.0

    5.5

    5.0

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

     _  _ X=5.261

    UCL=5.588

    LCL=4.934

    252321191715131197531

    1.2

    0.9

    0.6

    0.3

    0.0

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

     _ R=0.567

    UCL=1.199

    LCL=0

    1

    111

    111

    1

    111

     Xbar-R Chart of Hole Diameter

    Based on the control chart does

    your answer change?

    Looking at the control chart what

    is a potential cause for the data

    being non-normal?

    7.6.56.05.55.04.54.0

    99.9

    99

    95

    80

    50

    20

    5

    1

    0.1

    Hole Diameter

       P  e  r  c

      e  n   t

      Goodness of Fit Test

    Lognormal

     AD = 0.604

    P-Value = 0.114

    Probability Plot for Hole DiameterLognormal - 95% CI

    7.06.56.05.55.04.54.0

    99.9

    99

    95

    80

    50

    20

    5

    1

    0.1

    Hole Diameter

       P  e  r  c  e

      n   t

    Goodness of Fit Test

    Normal

     AD = 0.820

    P-Value = 0.033

    Probability Plot for Hole Diameter

    Normal - 95% CI

    P value > 0.05 P value < 0.05

    Wh t if th d t i d b / t hift?

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    6.46.26.05.85.65.45.2

    99

    95

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    5

    1

    Hole Diameter(Post-tool change)

       P  e

      r  c  e  n   t Mean 5.726

    StDev 0.2296

    N 40 AD 0.391

    P-Value 0.366

    Post Tool Change - Probability Plot of Hole Diameter

    Normal

    6.05.55.04.54.0

    99.9

    99

    95

    90

    8070605040

    3020

    10

    5

    1

    0.1

    Hole Diameter (Pre-tool change)

       P  e

      r  c  e  n   t

    Mean 5.042

    StDev 0.2607N 85

     AD 0.128

    P-Value 0.984

    Pre-tool Change - Probability Plot of Hole Diameter

    Normal

    What if the data is grouped by pre/post process shift?

    39

    Analyzing the pre & post toolchange data separately shows

    the process is normally

    distributed.

    252321191715131197531

    6.0

    5.5

    5.0

    Subgroup

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

    Pre-tool change Post-tool change

    252321191715131197531

    1.2

    0.9

    0.6

    0.3

    0.0

    Subgroup

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

    Pre-tool change Post-tool change

     Xbar-R Chart of Hole Diameter

    Always check the control chartto see if a process shift or out of

    control point is causing the data

    to be non-normal.

    If the process is expected to have a normal distribution and robust controls

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    If the process is expected to have a normal distribution and robust controlsare in place for tool changes is this data acceptable for PPAP?

    40

    252321191715131197531

    6.0

    5.5

    5.0

    Subgroup

       S  a  m

      p   l  e   M  e  a  n

    Pre-tool change Post-tool change

    252321191715131197531

    1.2

    0.9

    0.6

    0.3

    0.0

    Subgroup

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

    Pre-tool change Post-tool change

     Xbar-R Chart of Hole Diameter

    6.05.55.04.54.0

    99.9

    99

    95

    90

    807060504030

    20

    10

    5

    1

    0.1

    Hole Diameter (Pre-tool change)

       P  e  r  c  e  n   t

    Mean 5.042

    StDev 0.2607N 85

     AD 0.128

    P-Value 0.984

    Pre-tool Change - Probability Plot of Hole Diameter

    Normal

    6.46.26.05.85.65.45.2

    99

    95

    90

    80

    70

    60

    5040

    30

    20

    10

    5

    1

    Hole Diameter(Post-tool change)

       P  e  r  c  e  n   t Mean 5.726

    StDev 0.2296N 40

     AD 0.391

    P-Value 0.366

    Post Tool Change - Probability Plot of Hole Diameter

    Normal

    Pre-tool change data is stable

    Post-tool change

    data is stable

    Pre-tool change data is on control

    Post-tool change

    data is in control

    Pre-tool change

    data is normal

    Post-tool change

    data is normal

    7.26.66.05.44.84.23.63.0

    LSL USL

    Cp 3.08

    CPL 3.09

    CPU 3.06

    Cpk 3.06

    Pp 1.85

    PPL 1.85

    PPU 1.84Ppk 1.84

    Cpm *

    Overall Capability

    Potential (Within) Capability

    Within

    Overall

    Process Capability of Hole Diameter

    Ppk > 1.67

    Yes

    Resolution and Normal Distributions

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    5.45.35.25.15.04.94.84.74.64.5

    99.99

    99

    95

    80

    50

    20

    5

    1

    0.01

    Length

       P  e  r  c  e  n   t

    Mean 4.950

    StDev 0.1042

    N 5000

     AD 188.900

    P-Value

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    42

    Distribution and Normality Take Away

    1. Use process experts and historical data to determine

    expected distribution. This is a physics discussion.

    (Do NOT blindly fit data to a distribution)

    Reference the Ford STA SPC training and see your

    Master Black Belt for help.

    2. If the data does not match the expected distribution determine the

    special causes and fix the process.

    3. If the data matches the expected distribution but is not normal

    (Anderson-Darling P value < .05) fit the data to the correctdistribution and calculate Ppk. (If process is stable and in

    control)

    4. If data matches the expected distribution and is normal or

    symmetrical calculate Ppk. (If process is stable and in control)See following slide for list of non-normal distributions

    N l di t ib ti

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    43

    Non-normal distributions

    Manufacturing ProcessDescription

    Expected Process Distribute type

    Bilateral Process Normal

    Grinding process with auto correction Uniform

    Tapered roller bearing Fatigue Weibull

    Output signal Voltage Log Normal

    Flatness/Roundness Log Normal

    Plating Thickness Family of Weibull Distributions

    FTT - Non Normal - piled up near 100% Log Normal

    Sensor output transient voltage Exponential

    PPAP O i P d i

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    44

    PPAP vs. Ongoing Production 

    When does the process change from a PPAP (Ppk> 1.67) to ongoing Production (Ppk > 1.33) ?

    The ongoing production requirement of 1.33 is used afterPPAP once the process and data contains the expectedsources of variation that occur over time.

    With many commodities the initial Phase 2 PPAP run will notexperience all of the sources of variation (e.g.: different shifts,lots of components, machine wear, etc.)

    The PPAP Ppk requirement of 1.67 is higher than the ongoing

    production requirement of 1.33 because it is recognized thatthere will be a degradation as all of the expected sources ofvariation are experienced in ongoing production.

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    45

    Summary 

    Process must be in control and stable before looking at

    capability index values

    The data must be fit to the expected

    distribution

    (Do NOT blindly fit the data to a distribution.

    Exercise 1

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    46

    Exercise 1

    42363024181260

    USL

    LSL *

    Target *

    USL 10

    Sample Mean 1.64497

    S ample N 10000

    StDev (O v erall) 2.11492

    Process Data

    Pp *

    PPL *

    PPU 1.32

    Ppk 1.32

    C pm *

    O v erall C apability

    PPM < LSL *

    PPM > USL 9700.00

    PPM Total 9700.00

    O bserv ed Performance

    PPM < LSL *

    PPM > USL 38.99

    PPM Total 38.99

    Exp. Ov erall Performance

    Process Capability of C1

    Ppk = 1.32 for ongoing production. Assuming the Engineer is

    willing to modify the specification so the Ppk is greater than

    1.33 is this process capable?

    Exercise 1 Answer

    No

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    47

    Exercise 1 Answer

    Ppk

    Original data 1.32

    Lognormal DistributionModel

    0.46

    We don’t know if process is stable and in control. We also need historicaldata or process expert to help determine the expected distribution.

    42363024181260

    USL

    Pp *

    PPL *

    P PU 0.46

    P pk 0.46

    O verall C apability

    PPM < LSL *

    PPM > USL 10940.34

    PPM Total 10940.34

    Exp. Ov erall Performance

    Process Capability of C1Calculations Based on Lognormal Distribution Model

    Answers are drastically

    different depending upon

    the distribution that is used.

    No

    Exercise 2

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    48

    Exercise 2

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e

       M  e  a  n

    554943373125191371

    32

    28

    24

    20

     _  _ X=22.17UC L=22.87

    LCL=21.47

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

    554943373125191371

    2.4

    1.8

    1.2

    0.6

    0.0

     _ R=1.210

    UC L=2.559

    LCL=0

    1

     Xbar-R Chart of Rule 1 Data

    Given that the Ppk = 1.87 can the PPAP be signed?

    No: There is an out of control point which is likely from aspecial cause. Do NOT look at capability numbers until the process

    is stable and in control.

    Exercise 3

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    49

    Exercise 3

    With a Ppk = 1.66 can the PPAP be signed?

    Pilot OD

       P  e  r  c  e  n   t

    0.68450.68400.68350.68300.68250.6820

    99.9

    99

    95

    90

    80

    7060504030

    20

    10

    5

    1

    0.1

    Mean 0.6830

    StDev 0.0004121

    N 125

     AD 3.361

    P-Value USL 0.00

    PPM Tota l 0.00

    Observ ed Performance

    PPM < LSL 0.34

    PPM > USL 0.12

    PPM Tota l 0.46

    Exp. Within Performance

    PPM < LSL 1.04

    PPM > USL 0.39

    PPM Tota l 1.43

    Exp. Ov erall Performance

    Within

    Overall

    Process Capability of Pilot OD

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

    252321191715131197531

    0.68350

    0.68325

    0.68300

    0.68275

    0.68250

     _  _ X=0.68296

    UC L=0.683489

    LCL=0.682431

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

    252321191715131197531

    0.0020

    0.0015

    0.0010

    0.0005

    0.0000

     _ R=0.000918

    UC L=0.001941

    LCL=0

    1

     Xbar-R Chart of Pilot OD

    Out of control condition

    Rule # 1

    X

    X

    Answer: No

    Data is notnormal

    P value < .05

    Exercise 4

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    50

       I  n   d   i  v

       i   d  u  a   l   V  a   l  u  e

    10987654321

    0.0

    -0.8

    -1.6

     _ X=-0.596

    UCL=0.388

    LCL=-1.580

       M  o

      v   i  n  g   R  a  n  g  e

    10987654321

    1.0

    0.5

    0.0

     __ MR=0.37

    UCL=1.209

    LCL=0

    Observation

       V  a   l  u  e  s

    108642

    0.0

    -0.5

    -1.0

    1.81.20.60.0-0.6-1.2-1.8

    LSL USL

    LSL -2

    USL 2

    Specifications

    0.0-0.5-1.0-1.5

    Within

    Overall

    Specs

    StDev 0.328014

    C p 2.03

    C pk 1.43

    Within

    StDev 0.26604

    Pp 2.51

    Ppk 1.76

    C pm *

    O v erall

    Process Capability Sixpack of 10 Parts

    I Chart

    Moving Range Chart

    Last 10 Observations

    Capability Histogram

    Normal Prob Plot

     A D: 0.234, P: 0.723

    Capability Plot

    With a Ppk = 1.76 can this acceptable for PPAP?

    NoOnly 10 pieces used in study are not enough toallow a robust assessment of normality, stability or control.

    The PPAP requirement is 25 subgroups with typical subgroup size of 5

    Exercise 5

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    51

    With a process that has an expected normal distribution are these

    results acceptable for PPAP?

    25 subgroups with 5 parts each were used per Ford

    Specific PPAP

       S  a  m  p

       l  e   M  e  a  n

    252321191715131197531

    -0.4

    -0.6

    -0.8

     _  _ X=-0.5726

    UCL=-0.2586

    LCL=-0.8865

       S  a  m

      p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

    252321191715131197531

    1.0

    0.5

    0.0

     _ R=0.544

    UCL=1.151

    LCL=0

    Sample

       V  a   l  u  e  s

    252015105

    0.0

    -0.5

    -1.0

    1.81.20.60.0-0.6-1.2-1.8

    LSL USL

    LSL -2

    USL 2

    Specifications

    0.0-0.5-1.0-1.5

    Within

    O verall

    Specs

    StDev 0.234026

    C p 2.85

    Cpk 2.03

    Within

    StDev 0.238404

    Pp 2.8

    Ppk 2

    C pm *

    O v erall

    Process Capability Sixpack of 125 Parts

     Xbar Char t

    R Chart

    Last 25 Subgroups

    Capability Histogram

    Normal Prob Plot A D: 0.665, P: 0.081

    Capability Plot

    Process is stable

    Process is normal

    P value > .05

    Process is in control

    Ppk > 1.67

    Yes

    Exercise 6

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    1501401301201101009080706050403020101

    0.007

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    0.002

    Order of Production

    Run Chart of Profile

    Exercise 6

    52

    Is this a rational sampling plan?

    SubgroupNo – subgroup

    includes process shifts

    Exercise 7b

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    1501401301201101009080706050403020101

    0.007

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    0.002

    Order of Production

    Run Chart of Profile

    Exercise 7

    53

    Is this a rational sampling plan?

    Yes – subgroups are

    consecutive pieces and are lesslikely to include process shifts

    Subgroup 1Subgroup 4

    Subgroup 3

    Subgroup 2

    Subgroup 6

    Subgroup 5

    Exercise 8

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    1501401301201101009080706050403020101

    0.007

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    0.002

    Order of Production

    Run Chart of Profile

    54

    SubgroupUsing the subgroup sampling

    plan shown on the left results

    in the control chart shownbelow

    What is wrong with thissampling plan and what is the

    effect on the X bar R chart?

    28252219161310741

    0.006

    0.005

    0.004

    0.003

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   M  e  a  n

     _  _ X=0.004425

    UCL=0.006095

    LCL=0.002756

    28252219161310741

    0.0060

    0.0045

    0.0030

    0.0015

    0.0000

    Sample

       S  a  m  p   l  e   R  a  n  g  e

     _ R=0.002894

    UCL=0.006120

    LCL=0

     Xbar-R Chart of Subgroup with Process Shifts

    1. Subgroups are not consecutive partsand include process shifts

    2. Process shifts will NOT be detected

    Control limits are inflated (too large)