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Bancassurance - trends and development prospects Case study based on the Italian market and analysis of the market potential in Poland Presented by Ed Morgan May 18, 2016 Warsaw

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Page 1: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

Bancassurance - trends and development prospects Case study based on the Italian market and analysis of the

market potential in Poland

Presented by

Ed Morgan

May 18, 2016

Warsaw

Page 2: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

2

Contents

1. Italian Bancassurance Market

2. Comparison of Italian and Polish insurance and banking

3. Can Italian market success be replicated in Poland?

4. Conclusions and predictions

Page 3: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Why is bancassurance penetration relatively low in Poland

compared to Southern and Western European countries?

Looking over a long time horizon (10 years) we can see that in Southern and Western

European countries like France, Italy and Spain, bancassurance has been a dominant

channel for life insurance and a growing channel for non-life

In this talk we will examine why the Polish bancassurance market has not had as much

success as these other markets, taking Italy as an example.

The lower penetration of non-life in Italy can be attributed to lack of development of

MTPL in particular

Life Market Share Non-life Market Share

Source: Insurance Europe

Page 4: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Contents

1. Italian Bancassurance Market

2. Comparison of Italian and Polish insurance and banking

3. Can Italian market success be replicated in Poland?

4. Conclusions and predictions

Page 5: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Evolution of product offering

Creditor protection

Simple savings products

Standalone protection,

Home insurance

Motor

Retirement savings

Over a period of >20 years we have seen a gradual evolution of the product offering from

simple creditor protection products and tax advantaged savings products to a wide range

of different propositions

There are various driver for this growth including low interest rates reducing banks

interest margins and requiring them to look for alternative sources of revenue.

Page 6: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Italian bancassurance market – trend in production of

various protection lines

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Individual protection –term insurance

Individual protection –other

Group protection

LTC and CI

Accident

Sickness

Fire and natural forces

Other damages toproperty

Financial losses

Legal expenses

Assistance

Figures in EUR m

Page 7: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Different bancassurance models

Different bancassurance models have been realized during the years:

a. Captive bancassurance company (for example Credit Agricole/ Eurizon/Intesa) – this

follows the model adopted by leading French banks and allows the full integration of

activities

b. JV between company and bank (AxA-MpS, Unipol-BPER/BPSondrio, BPM-Covèa,

Fondiaria-BancoPopolare, BCC-Cattolica, BPVi-Cattolica….). In recent years formerly

captive companies have been put on the market (Arca, MpS, BCC, now Carige..),

which can help the banks to raise capital and the insurers to secure captive

distribution

c. Exclusive distribution agreement (Desio Vita, formerly owned by the bank, now 100%

owned by Helvetia) – for some of these cases effectively goodwill has been paid for

the exclusive distribution

d. Non-exclusive distribution agreement (some ‘Casse di Risparmio’)

e. In the past a number of bancassurance companies sold through multiple banks (e.g.

Arca Vita, Eurovita etc), but this model has become less common, in part due to

consolidation in the banking sector.

f. Some bancassurers are using a captive or JV for the mainstream products and a

specialist provider for more niche products like some types of protection

Page 8: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Italian Bancassurance Market – Key Players Life

INTERNAL RESEARCH FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES

2014 Premium

income (EUR bn)Main Channel

POSTE VITA 15.4 Banks (Post Office)

INTESA SANPAOLO VITA 15.3 Banks

GENERALI ITALIA 7.4 Agents

GENERTELLIFE 5.9 Financial Promoters

FIDEURAM VITA 5.8 Financial Promoters

CREDITRAS VITA 5.4 Banks

MEDIOLANUM VITA 5.2 Financial Promoters

BNP PARIBAS CARDIF VITA 5.1 Banks

ALLEANZA ASSICURAZIONI 4.1 Agents

CREDIT AGRICOLE VITA 3.9 Banks

UNIPOLSAI ASSICURAZIONI 3.7 Agents

ALLIANZ 3.0 Agents

POPOLARE VITA 3.0 Banks

CNP UNICREDIT VITA 2.8 Banks

AXA MPS ASSICURAZIONI VITA 2.3 Banks

OLD MUTUAL WEALTH ITALY 1.7 Various

AVIVA 1.6 Banks

LOMBARDA VITA 1.5 Banks

AVIVA VITA 1.4 Banks

BIPIEMME VITA 1.4 Banks

• Poste Vita was a relatively late starter in the Italian bancassurance market. For example in 2002 it was only in 5th place in the market with EUR 2.8 bnof premiums.

• The company is wholly owned by the Italian Post Office

• It offers a simple range of products through its very wide range of Post Offices

• The banking crisis in 2008 and beyond reduced confidence of customers in banks and Post Vita was able to further improve its market position

Ownership model: wholly owned

“captive”

• Intesa Sanpaolo Vita grew from the merger of a number of the bancassurance companies of a number of banks which themselves merged

• The also has a large Irish subsidiary selling mainly unit linked business

• The Company is a captive, after buying out the joint venture share of Generali several years ago

Ownership model: wholly owned

“captive”

The table below shows the leading 20 life

companies with bancassurers highlighted in

yellow.

Page 9: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Italian Bancassurance Market – Key Players Life

• Unicredit works through a number of joint ventures with different partners (Allianz-RAS, CNP and also Aviva, although this partnership is less active).

• Companies have generally been 50/50 joint ventures, backed by shareholdings from the insurers in the bank.

• The network is divide between the different partners and a single organisation within Unicreditnegotiates products with the different partners

• Product offering are usually very similar between the different partners and the partners try to avoid internal competition

Ownership model: Joint Venture

• Axa bought 50% of three bancassurancecompanies of the Montepaschi di Siena group in 2007.

• They were an Italian and an Irish life company as well as an Italian non-life company

• Due to changes in the strategy of AXA and some negative events within the bank, production is significantly lower than at the time of the acquisition and AXA has refocused its attention more on protection

Ownership model: Joint Venture

Page 10: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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The non-life bancassurance market is less well developed

There are a number of specialist players but they for example Poste Assicura had EUR

84m of premiums in 2014 compared to EUR 15.4 bn of life premiums from Poste Vita

Even some formerly bank owned companies (e.g. ex-Carige Assicurazioni) mainly sell

through agents

Some of the leading non-life bancassurers are shown below:

Italian Bancassurance Market – Key Players Non-Life

Name RankPremiums

(EUR m)

INTESA SANPAOLO ASSICURA 31 209

AXA MPS ASSICURAZIONI DANNI 37 160

ARCA ASSICURAZIONI 44 103

CREDITRAS ASSICURAZIONI 45 102

AVIPOP ASSICURAZIONI 70 48

CREDIT AGRICOLE ASSICURAZIONI 71 44

SOGESSUR S.A. 75 38

Page 11: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Below a typical organization model in a major Italian bank is described.

2 main segments, i.e. Retail and Corporate.

Retail clients were then divided into:

– “Family”, i.e. clients with deposits < 25k Euro. These clients are followed by the “basic”

employees, i.e. tellers or those working in the common areas in the banks, and usually the less

expert ones. Common bancassurance products for them include accumulation plans (ideally small

deposits, but trying to have a constant incoming cashflow), and protection products for mortgages,

loans, credit card debt covers and similar.

– “Affluent” clients, i.e. deposits > 25k, < 1-1.5m. These are usually followed by a more expert

employee, often in a private room, or sometimes by the branch director or deputy himself. The

product usually sold to these clients are endowments, often as a single premium, so with an

investment view, rather than a saving view. These clients, though, don’t usually have specific tailor

made products built for them, but only products that could suit them better. They are then divided

into Upper and Lower affluent (e.g. <250k, >250k).

– Private clients (> 1m or 1.5m Euro). Followed by a specific team, that often visit them at home also.

Specific products are prepared for them, with lower loadings or likely higher returns.

Corporate clients are usually followed by the deputy or branch director, if they were small ones, and by specific centres when bigger.

Banks selling model

Page 12: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Typical Conditions in Exclusive Bancassurance

Agreement

Most bancassurance agreements which have been negotiated as part of the creation of

JV companies include exclusivity clauses which give the JV company exclusive right to

distribute business unless mutually agreed or if a product cannot be provided (see

below).

The company’s commitments are defined. This might typically include:

– Provision of relevant material such as contractual forms

– Ensuring products distributed are compliant with all relevant laws

– Providing adequate customer service

The banks commitments include promoting the product, only using material approved by

the company, monitor sales practices to ensure that they are compliant with regulations,

ensure customers are adequately informed etc.

Typically there will be a provision in the joint venture agreement which deals with the

case in which the distributor (e.g. the bank) indicates a need to offer products not

available from the JV company. In this case the JV company has effectively a right of

first refusal to offer the products, but if it cannot do so within a reasonable timescale, the

bank may use a third party supplier

Page 13: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Reasons for Success of Bancassurance

24 April 2013

Bancassurance has been for many years been the leading channel in the Italian market.

Its success can be attributed to many factors including

High level of trust in banks from Italian consumers, although this has been eroded in

recent years due to a number of scandals (most recently that of Banca Montepaschi

di Siena). This contrasted with a sometimes mixed feeling towards insurers who

were very associated with compulsory motor business

Product innovation – the Italian market used to be more or less a tariff market and

bancassurers were the earliest movers in introducing products like unit linked and

more flexible savings products

Low marginal costs for banks in selling insurance compared to life companies – this

was helped by fairly limited regulations directly around the selling process

Banks needed to and were willing to extend their traditional activity in part to

substitute reduced interest margins as interest rates dropped in the Euro

convergence period. This was particularly the case of Unicredit

Insurers like AXA, Aviva and Allianz saw bancassurance as a way of gaining

important market shares

French bancassurers like BNP-Paribas and Credit Agricole have also imported

successful practices from France

Page 14: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Contents

1. Italian Bancassurance Market

2. Comparison of Italian and Polish insurance and banking

3. Can Italian market success be replicated in Poland?

4. Conclusions and predictions

Page 15: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Primary banking groups with their Subsidiary Insurers - Italy

Banking Group Subsidiary Insurance Company Comments

Gruppo Bancario

Intesa Sanpaolo Intesa Sanpaolo Vita

The bank resulted from a major banking merger and now the

insurance operations have largely been integrated into a

single captive bancassurer (buying out Generali from

previous JV)

Gruppo Unione di

Banche Italiane Aviva Vita and Lombarda VitaThis was the result of a previous process to sell stakes in the

bancassurance companies of the group

Gruppo Bancario

Veneto Banca Apulia Previdenza

Gruppo BipiemmeBipiemme Vita S.p.A.

Recently created a JV with the French insurer COVEA,

having previously been a captive company

Gruppo Monte dei

Paschi di Siena Axa-MPS AXA won a major process to buy 50% of Montepaschi Vita

Gruppo Banco

PopolarePopolare Vita S.p.A., Aviva

Assicurazioni Vita

These shares came from a major process similar to the MPV

one, but were divided between Aviva and Fonsai

Gruppo UnicreditCNP UniCredit Vita S.p.A, Aviva S.p.A,

CreditRas Vita S.p.A

Unicredit is in a unique position in having several insurance

partners – partly for historic reasons – but this gives it more

bargaining power with these partners

Gruppo Bancario

Cariparma Credit

AgricoleCrédit Agricole Vita CA follows its captive bancassurance model from France

Gruppo BNP

Paribas Cardif Vita S.p.A., BNL VitaCardif sells through third party banks whereas BNL Vita was

bought out by BNP Paribas, which had acquired BNL itself

earlier

Page 16: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Primary banking groups with their most important banks

and number of branches - Italy

Gruppo Bancario Intesa

Sanpaolo

Intesa Sanpaolo Banco di NapoliCassa di Risparmio del

Veneto

Cassa di

Risparmio di

Firenze

Cassa di

Risparmio in

Bologna

1.955 700 398 307 215

Gruppo Unione di Banche

Italiane

Banca Popolare di

Bergamo

Banco di Brescia San

Paolo CabBanca Carime

Banca Regionale

Europea

Banca Popolare

Commercio e

Industria

359 325 261 257 233

Gruppo Bancario Veneto

Banca

Veneto Banca S.C.P.A. Banca Apulia

Cassa di Risparmio di

Fabriano e

Cupramontana

326 105 61

Gruppo Bipiemme

Banca Popolare di

MilanoBanca di Legnano

547 206

Gruppo Monte dei Paschi

di Siena

Banca Monte dei Paschi

di SienaBanca Antonveneta

2.295 376

Gruppo Banco PopolareBanco Popolare Credito Bergamasco

1.648 239

Gruppo UnicreditUnicredit

4.276

Gruppo Bancario

Cariparma Credit Agricole

Cassa di Risparmio di

Parma e Piacenza

Banca Popolare

Friuladria

Cassa di Risparmio della

Spezia

609 204 73

Gruppo BNP Paribas

Banca Nazionale del

Lavoro

895

Page 17: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Relations of banks and insurers on the Polish market

Source: prnews.pl, press releases

*including clients of BGŻOptima

BankAssets

(bPLN)

No of clients

('000)

Own

branches

Branches +

agencies and

partnerships

Relation with insurers

PKO BP 262.4 8,982 1,277 2,158 Insurer within group

Bank Pekao SA 165.8 5,089 975 975According to news looking for an

insurance partner

BZ WBK 125.5 4,300 723 837 JV with Aviva

mBank 118.8 4,967 183 245 Former own insurer acquired by AXA

ING Bank Śląski 106.1 4,100 395 395 Insurer within group

Getin Noble Bank 71.5 2,189 277 476 Insurer within group

Bank Millennium 66.1 1,951 411 411

Bank BGŻ BNP Paribas 63.0 1,654* 486 508 Insurer within group

Citi Handlowy 49.4 711 45 45 Intensified cooperation with Warta

Alior Bank 40.0 2,461 328 851 PZU owns over 25% of Alior's shares

Page 18: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Productivity per Branch - indications

Full data on productivity for Italy and Polish bancassurance is hard to obtain on an

exactly comparable basis. However we can look at some figures from dedicated

bancassurance companies:

It can be seen that levels of non-

life production are not very

different between the two

countries, but that life production

is much higher

This can be seen as being driven

primarily by the successful sales

of savings products.

Note further that almost all Intesa

Sanpaolo production is traditional

(“endowment”) and further unit

linked production is sold on a

cross border basis by the Irish life

company of the group

Production per branch in EURm in 2014

Italy Poland

Page 19: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Contents

1. Italian Bancassurance Market

2. Comparison of Italian and Polish insurance and banking

3. Can Italian market success be replicated in Poland?

4. Conclusions and predictions

Page 20: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Challenges for Polish Insurance Market/opportunities in

bancassurance

The Polish insurance market is facing a whole series of regulatory and legal challenges

which are too long to go into here, but make the future evolution very unpredictable

The agency sales model in its historic form is probably no longer viable except for the

most efficient players

Trends in bancassurance partnership model are uncertain, but we may see some

combination of more dedicated models for mainstream products, but use of specialised

providers for more niche products

The potential for bancassurance can be realised, but only with a combination of:

– Working hard to develop value and integration of partnerships

– Investing in more sophisticated products and associated training

– Looking closely at all aspects of the business model

Page 21: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Contents

1. Italian Bancassurance Market

2. Comparison of Italian and Polish insurance and banking

3. Can Italian market success be replicated in Poland?

4. Conclusions and predictions

Page 22: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Conclusions and Predictions

Mid-term growth of bancassurance market share towards the highest levels seen in

Europe seems a probable outcome when we consider:

– Bancassurance has much lower marginal selling costs than traditional channels like

agencies

– In particular we do not believe the historical agency sales model is sustainable without

changes in Poland. Competition from banks is likely to accelerate this

– The low interest rate environment squeezes other margins of the banks and make

insurance intermediation an attractive proposition

However there are some “clouds” which may slow down this trend:

– Regulator/consumer protection action is likely to make it hard to sell very high margin

business

– Move to digital can (a) compete with banks on cost (b) reduce banks contact with clients

and hence opportunities for selling

We would expect:

– Trend in commissions from premium based to asset based for savings business

– More investment in sophisticated products and sales training

Page 23: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Development of the life insurance

Austria

Belgium Switzerland

Czech Republic

Germany

Spain

Finland

France

Greece

Italy

Netherlands

Poland

Portugal

Sweden

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Lif

e In

su

ran

ce

Pe

ne

tra

tio

n

Expense ratio

Source: Generally data is from Insurance Europe (except Germany expenses). Expenses are average of available data over the last10 years as a percentage of earned premiums. Life insurance penetration is the latest available figure as percentage of GDP.

Milliman’s analyses show that there is an inverse correlation between the development of the life market and the expense ratio (and this is quite independent of state of the economy – look at France and Portugal and Germany and Greece). We note that many of the relatively more developed markets have an important share of bancassurance.

Page 24: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

Questions?

Edward Morgan

[email protected]

Page 25: Bancassurance - trends and development prospects

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Legal disclaimer

This presentation is intended solely for educational purposes and presents information of a

general nature. It is not intended to guide or determine any specific individual situation and

persons should consult qualified professionals before taking specific actions. The

information contained in the presentation is of a general nature and should not be

construed as advice on an individual situation or company. Neither the author, nor the

author's employer has certified the information contained in this presentation or guarantee

the accuracy and completeness of such information. The use contained in this presentation

is voluntary and should not be relied upon unless an independent review of its accuracy

and completeness has been performed. Neither the author not the author's employer owe

any duty of care to any attendant of this presentation and each expressly disclaims any

responsibility for any judgments or conclusions which may result therefrom. Neither the

author, nor the author's employer shall have any responsibility or liability to any person or

entity with respect to damages alleged to have been caused directly or indirectly by the

content of this presentation.