© Z/Yen Group

2016

Z/Yen Group Limited

Risk Reward Managers

90 Basinghall Street

London EC2V 5AY

United Kingdom

tel: +44 (20) 7562-9562www.zyen.com

“Zest for Enlightenment”

International Conference On

Contract Simplification

Blockchain Technology: The Next Big Thing?

Professor Michael Mainelli

@mrmainelli

michael_mainelli@zyen.com

29 March 2016

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ Special – City of London’s leading commercial think-tank

♦ Services – projects, strategy, expertise on demand,

coaching, research, analytics, modern systems

♦ Sectors – technology, finance, voluntary, professional

services, outsourcing

Independent Publisher Book Awards Finance, Investment &

Economics Gold Prize 2012 for The Price of Fish

British Computer Society IT Director of the Year 2004 for

PropheZy and VizZy

DTI Smart Award 2003 for PropheZy

Sunday Times Book of the Week, Clean Business Cuisine

£1.9M Foresight Challenge Award for Financial £aboratory

visualising financial risk 1997

Z/Yen

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ Distributed ledgers (1995-present)

♦ LIBOR and FX surveillance (2007-present)

♦ PropheZy and VizZy – automation &

visualisation of compliance monitoring

(2002-present)

♦ Prediction markets and bubbles (1998-

present) – www.extzy.com

♦ Market intelligence – Ministry of Defence,

e.g. Vision 2020 (1994-present)

♦ Avatars for Big Data (2010-2012)

♦ Financial £aboratory Club visualising risk

(1997-1998)

Z/Yen in Finance Research

© Z/Yen Group

2016

The Study Of Money Is

The Root Of Much Madness

[www.dilbert.com, Thursday, 27 January 2015]

[http://illusionsetc.blogspot.com/2005/08/moving-mobius-strip.html]

www.longfinance.net

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Bit + Coin

Spectrum.ieee.org “How a Bitcoin Transaction Works”

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Ledgers: Look Beneath The Coins

“…

the potential impact of the distributed

ledger may be much broader than on

payment systems alone. The majority of

financial assets — such as loans,

bonds, stocks and derivatives — now

exist only in electronic form, meaning

that the financial system itself is already

simply a set of digital records.”

Bank of England, Quarterly Bulletin

(2014, Q3)

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Potential of Potential

“In distributed ledger technology, we may be witnessing one of those

potential explosions of creative potential that catalyse exceptional levels of

innovation.”Matthew Hancock & Ed Vaizey (January 2016)

Professors Michael Mainelli & Mike SmithZ/Yen Group

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Sharing Ledgers For Sharing Economies

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Possibly Distributively Ledgerable

Area Possible ApplicationsFinancial instruments, records, models

Currency, private and public equities, certificates of deposit, bonds, derivatives,insurance policies, voting rights associated with financial instruments, commodities,derivatives, trading records, credit data, collateral management, client moniessegregation, mortgage or loan records, crowd-funding, P2P lending, microfinance,(micro)charity donations, account portability, airmiles & corporate tokens, etc.

Public records Land and property titles, vehicle registries, shipping registries, satellite registries,business license, business ownership/incorporation/dissolution records, regulatoryrecords, criminal records, passport, birth/death certificates, voting ID, health and safetyinspections, tax returns, building and other types of permits, court records,government/listed companies/civil society, accounts and annual reports, etc.

Private records Contracts, ID, signature, will, trust, escrow, any other type of classifiable personal data(e.g. physical details, date of birth, taste) etc.

Semi-private/semi-public records

High school/university degrees and professional qualifications, grades, certifications,human resources records, medical records, accounting records, business transactionrecords, locational data, delivery records, genome and DNA, arbitration, genealogytrees, etc.

Physical keys Key to home, hotel, office, car, locker, deposit box, mail box, Internet of Things, etc.Intellectual property

Copyrights, licenses, patents, digital rights management of music, rights managementof intellectual property such as patents or trademarks, proof of authenticity orauthorship, etc.

Other records Cultural, historical events, documentary (e.g. video, photos, audio), (big) data (weather,temperatures, traffic), SIM cards, archives, geostamping, etc.

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Why Does A Central Registry Exist?

Financial services are

based on ‘mistrust’ &

leverage

♦ Validate - Sin of

Commission – forgery of

a transaction

♦ Safeguard - Sin of

Deletion – reversal of a

transaction

♦ Preserve - Sin of

Omission – censorship

of a transaction

[Robert Sams, “Blockchain Finance” (March 2015)]

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ Validates – “a trust model for timestamping”

♦ Safeguards – “a set of rules for updating

state via blocks”

♦ Preserves – “a shared state”

Persistent & Pervasive

What Does A Distributed Ledger Do?

[Nick Williamson, “What Is A Blockchain?” (12 April 2015) - http://blog.credits.vision/what-is-a-blockchain/]

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ ledger – a record of transactions

♦ distributed – divided among several or many, in multiple

locations

♦ mutual – shared in common, or owned by a community

♦ mutual distributed ledger (MDL) - a record of

transactions shared in common and stored in multiple

locations

♦ mutual distributed ledger technology – a technology that

provides an immutable record of transactions shared in

common and stored in multiple locations

♦ blockchain - “a transaction database shared by all nodes

participating in a system based on the Bitcoin protocol”

Terms Defined

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Buzz or Hype? The New New Thing

[Ken Tindell mashup - 14 May 2015 https://twitter.com/kentindell/status/598865133247569920]

© Z/Yen Group

2016

The Old Old New New Thing…

[www.dilbert.com, Friday, 17 November 1995]

[Internet (1976 for me), databases (Oracle, Ingres, DBII,

relational/hierarchical/distributed), web (SGML, Gopher), ‘Internal Internets’ (i.e.

intranets), social media (SixDegrees)…]

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ 1976 – Diffie-Hellman & Merkle

(also RSA)

♦ 1990 – Mondex, Digicash, Flooz

♦ 1993 – Encrypted Open Books

♦ 1995 – Z/Yen Stacks, WebDNA

♦ 1996 – Ricardo payment system

♦ 1998 – Wei-Dai b-money 1998

♦ 1999 – LOCKSS & CLOCKSS

♦ 2000 – Gnutella

♦ 2004 – Ripple

♦ 2007 – Estonia

♦ 2009 – Bitcoin

Buzz Or Hype - Old Old Things?

♦ 2013 – Silk Road, FBI, Alderney coin

♦ 2014 – Regulators – Jersey &

Alderney, Isle of Man, FATF, ECB,

State of New York

♦ 2015 – IBM-Samsung, Bank of

England research agenda, UK budget

for cryptocurrency standards,

Barclays, UBS, BNY Mellon, Goldman

Sachs, USAA, NASDAQ, Honduras

land registry, Channel Islands

Standards for MDLs, Fine (sic) Sign of

having arrived – Ripple $700,000, Sign

of the Tines – Bitcoin forking hell,

Economist Special, FT Special

♦ 2016 – UK government, Blythe

Masters DAH, R3, SafeShare

Insurance, CLEAR, …

© Z/Yen Group

2016

No

Trusted

Third

Parties

Single

Trusted

Third

Party

Efficient

Inefficient

Master Node

Supervisor Nodes

Majority Nodes

Collective Nodes

Free for All Nodes

BitcoinEthereum

Ripple

Central Database

‘Woven’ Broadcasting

Mistrust Costs Coins

Paper

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ Identity systems – PwC KYC Centre

of Excellence

♦ Wholesale insurance ‘deal rooms’

♦ Retail insurance – motor, home,

small business

♦ Credit validation and scoring

♦ Clinical trials

♦ Timestamping – MetroGnomo.com

with States of Alderney

Logically One, Physically Many

© Z/Yen Group

2016

InterChainZ & IntereXchainZ

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Identity

© Z/Yen Group

2016

InterChainZ Deal Room

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Insurance - ACORD Messaging

© Z/Yen Group

2016

*In some

territories these

can be onshore

Current Operating Model

Coverholder & Service Company – Key Interactions

22

NB: Relates to Lloyd’s business only. This

diagram does not include known issues such

as: oversight, approval, audits and complaints

Justification for RAG status

1) Multiple data formats

2) Negative Londonisms, e.g. Declaration,

onerous data requirements

3) Paper usage, photocopying and

scanning, duplication

4) Negative Londonisms, e.g. LPANS,

Bureau queries

5) Manual mismatch clearing, data

duplication

5a) ACORD XML

6) Lack of structured data, no written data or

‘Net of RI’

7) Lack of structured data. three days to

settle monies

8) Lack of structured data, duplication

across carriers

9) and 10) Lack of audit trail and granularity,

signed data only

Various

reports

Risk query, claims, Policy etc.

Reporting Data

Risk, premium, claim

information; premium and

claims payments Referrals and

responses

Quote, Policy, Claims

Advice, Declaration,

Premium Payment etc.

Policy, Claims

Advice,

Premium

Payment etc.

Domestic Market

London Market

International

Offices

1

1

1

22 2

1

0

Tax and

Regulatory

Reporting

Agreement

Process

Bureau Submission

Regulatory

Information

(Lloyd’s only)

Syndicate Returns (Lloyd’s only)

Central Settlement

London Market

Carrier(s)

Approved

Broker

4

56

8

7

9

3

Lloyd’s

Lloyd’s

Business

placed outside

LM

Bureau

Services

LDR5

a

* In some territories these can be onshore.

Key: Inefficient process 1Sub-optimal process Efficient process Process sequence

Client (can be in or out of

territory)

Local / Placing /

Producing Broker*

Regulators

and Tax

Authorities

Regulators

and Tax

Authorities

Coverholder / Service

Company (TPA for some

claims)

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Regional Broker

Policy Holder

Target Operating Model (TOM)

London Market – Key Interactions

23

Local Broker

Interaction

Any direct interaction

would either be where

local broker is a

subsidiary of the

Approved Broker, or

where local broker

has been approved in

its own right

Regulatory

Information

for IUA

E.g. Quote request

Declaration

Claims Advice

Premium Payment

*

Risk query,

claims, Policy

etc.*

Non Service

Hub Activities

6

Approved Broker

2

5

4

7

6

7

2

1

Lloyd’s

Data feed

Data feeds

Direct

access to

Carrier via

Hub

Data feed

(ACORD XML)

Real-time

integration

and ACORD

messages

Real-time

integration

and ACORD

messages

Face-to

face

negotiation

(as

required)

Broker Authorised: Direct

Policy, Claims Advice,

Premium Payment,

Endorsements etc.

Justification for RAG status

1) and 2) Easier access to central

services

3) Placing avoiding paper with single

contract version and no re-keying of

data; enhance trading floors

4) and 5) Easier access to central

services (ACORD) to avoid

duplicative processes and rekeying

data

6) Data provided to Lloyd’s and IUA in

ACORD XML for consistency, audit

trail and automated reporting

7) Written as well as signed data

provided to regulators, full audit trail

and consistency

3

London Market

Carrier(s)

Optional Channels

Customer Interactions

Carrier Interactions

Carrier

Services

Bureau

Services

e-Placing Services

Document

Repository

Claims Services

Broker

Services

Customer

Services

Data services

Message Hub (TMEL)

Service Hub

* Encourage Data Standards adoption, don’t enforce a new Londonism

Key: Inefficient process 1Sub-optimal process Efficient process Process sequence

NB: Brokers primarily interact with broker

and market services, NOT carrier or Hub

services

Surplus Lines

Broker

Local Broker

London

Market

Companies

IUA

Companies

Regulators

and Tax

Authorities

Structure Data Capture

© Z/Yen Group

2016

MetroGnomo

© Z/Yen Group

2016

INSERT

BORDEREAUX

INSERT OTHER

Host details Property details

Peroid of cover Policy cancell

ed

Reason for cancellation

Premium IPT

From To

First Name

Surname

Unique Referenc

e Address Poscode Address Postcode Date Time Date Time 9.50%

John Smith VR0001123 Bank

Street EC2V 5AY54 Woodhill

Lane W17 RQ No £2.00 £0.19

Select £-

Select £-

Select £-

Select £-

Select £-

Select £-

Select £-

Select £-

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Process Change Difficulty

Technology

Change

DifficultyAsset Transfer

Archiving

Contract Execution

Shared DataTimestamping

Market

Wholesale Payments

Asset Maintenance

Regulatory Reporting

Identity

Deal Rooms

Process versus Technology

© Z/Yen Group

2016

♦ Mutual distributed ledgers help make

better ‘contract’ utilities by providing:

shared ‘preserved’ data

shared ‘safeguarded’ transactions

♦ Mutual distributed ledger technology will

displace much messaging and shared

data functions

… try one out … www.MetroGnomo.com

Thoughts?

© Z/Yen Group

2016

Thank you!

When Would We Know Our Commerce Is Working?

“Get a big picture grip on the details.”

Chao Kli Ning

Basic Copyright Notice & Disclaimer

©2016 This presentation is copyright protected. All rights reserved. You may download or print out a hard copy for your private or internal use. You are not permitted to create any modifications or derivatives of this presentation without the prior written permission of the copyright owner.

This presentation is for information purposes only and contains non-binding indications. Any opinions or views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Swiss Re. Swiss Re makes no warranties or representations as to the accuracy, comprehensiveness, timeliness or suitability of this presentation for a particular purpose. Anyone shall at its own risk interpret and employ this presentation without relying on it in isolation. In no event will Swiss Re be liable for any loss or damages of any kind, including any direct, indirect or consequential damages, arising out of or in connection with the use of this presentation.