blue sky - university of south australia - school of art, architecture and design
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8/6/2019 Blue Sky - University of South Australia - School of Art, Architecture and Design
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School of Art, Architecture & Design
University of South Australia
Blue Sky Thinking
Frank Wyatt
8/6/2019 Blue Sky - University of South Australia - School of Art, Architecture and Design
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Blue Sky
� Permission to THINK outside frameworks
� Take you beyond where the conventional
� Focus on what is coming that is:
y BIG,
y DIFFERENT, &
y UNEXPECTED?
� How will these impact on what, how, where, with whom andwhen you deliver?
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1. Which will have the biggest online market share in 5 years - Google,
Facebook, YouTube, MSN, Yahoo?
2. How many of you know that FaceBook is predicted to be the virtualinternet within 5 years?
� 10% of all internet on line time, doubling every 12 months, est. to growto 50% in 5 years (Scott Gallway, NYU Stern)
� 600m users: 70% outside of USA : 50% of users make $50k+/yr; 50%+degree + credit card + 1/3 smartphone to buy on-line & this is growingrapidly
3. How many of you have played a game on FaceBook?
4. Future global market is not China but FB ± ithas blown Google away!!
BIG, DIFFERENT, & UNEXPECTED?
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Exercise in Groups:
1. So what is BIG that is likely to happen in the world thatis your School?
2. What is DIFFERENT that you should anticipate?
3. W
hat has crept up on you that was UNEXPECTED?
4. What are the common CHARACTERISTICS shared byeach of these AND their implications for AADs?
Getting to Your Future
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Red Ocean Versus Blue Ocean StrategyIn the red ocean, differentiation costs because firms compete with the
same best-practice principle. Here, the strategic choices for firms are
to pursue either differentiation or low cost. In the reconstructionist
world, however, the strategic aim is to create new best-practice rules
by breaking the existing trade-offs and thereby creating blue ocean.
Red Ocean Strategy Blue Ocean Strategy
Compete in existing market spaces Create uncontested market spaces
Beat the other Universities & TAFE Make the competition irrelevant
Exploit existing demand from
students and community
Create and capture new demand
opportunities
Meet the competitive trade-offs Break the trade-off cycle by stepoutside of it
Align the whole system of the Schoolwith the strategic choice of either differentiation or low cost.
Align the whole system of the Schoolin pursuit of differentiation and lowcost.
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Blue Sky:
Student Numbers
1. What would have to happen if your School student
numbers dropped by 50%
2. What would have to happen if student numbers in one of
the components of the School, say Design, were to
increase by 50%
3. What would have to happen if you were to contemplatedelivery for student markets not yet thought of?
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Blue Sky:
Trans-Disciplinary Mode1. What would have to happen if .............Governments were to place
priority for funding on the solution of wicked problems?
2. What would have to happen if ..........the Division of Information
Technology, Engineering and the Environment were to reach outfor trans-disciplinary opportunities with AADs?
3. What would happen to AADs if open source innovative delivered
solutions to wicked problems whilst you focused on research and
learning?
� Multi-disciplinary = parallel sciences (production, business and economics)
aligned to solve complicated problems
� Trans-disciplinary = creating the undisciplined disciple for opportunities beyond
the obvious, for intersections where different competencies meet to solve
complex and wicked problems
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Distinguishing between Research & Learning and Outcomes
Application
or Use of
research &
learning
results
Effect on
individuals,
communities
or firms
� Research & Learning
� Engagement with
delivery partners
Defining Impact
Research Highlights Outcomes
External Response/EffectAADs Activity
AdoptionOutput Impact
Blue Sky:
Impact
What would happen if......there
was an expectation of 50%
increase in Impact were required
of AADs
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Blue Sky:
KPIs for Engagement by 2015
What would have to happen if ...... AADs were to set KPIs for:
� Enhancing the ability for industry, govt & the community to engage with AADs researchers:
y $40m in industry funding
y $15m in ARC Linkage
y At least one international company in partnership with AADs
� Increase collaboration with leading international research Institutions
y Attract $10m in international funding
� Increase collaboration with national research institutions
y $2m of new funding awarded in collaboration with CSIRO
y 15% increase in overall research funding
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Blue Sky:
Exposure toR
isks
What would have to happen if ........?
1. What would happen if ...... 20% of staff were lost (airplane
accident)?
2. What would happen if ......the University of Adelaide or TAFE
(with new degrees) made a concerted push to capture your
market space?
3. What would happen if..........the new National Regulator were
to gain scope over your School¶s offerings?
4. What would happen if........FaceBook were to offer online
learning programs?
What are some of the risks the School is exposed to?
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Blue Sky:
Sustaining Influence
School Influence
What would happen if you were not tonotice the soft signals of changeand«.?
y Y ou did nothing?
y Y ou ignored the signals of change?
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The End
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Current Insights
Three Questions:
1. What Teaching & Learning Programs need to be added
to what you CURRENTLY offer right now? NEW
2. What Teaching & Learning Programs currently offeredare worthy of expansion, more grunt? EXISTING
3. What Teaching & Learning Programs are no longer worth retaining in their current form? TIRED
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PIPELINE
SCHOOLS/
STUDENTS /
COMMUNITY
EXPECTATIONS
COMPETITION
OTHER SCHOOLS
WITHIN THE SCHOOL
FUNDING
ARC &
INDUSTRY
FUNDING
HIGHERAUTHORITY
VC¶s OFFICE/
STAFF /
UNIONS
Who are you blaming?
What excuses do you hear?
LOCUS OF CONTROL
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Consolidating
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Change Makers
The future is part chance and part choice
'creating and shaping change'
is the role of the leader.
Peter Ellyard, Futurist
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Insight to Foresight
Perception
Foresight
Current
� What¶s missing?� What teaching &
learning required in 10 ± 15 years
� How does Insightinform our foresight?
� How does NOW informthe FUTURE?
� Insights� Where are you now?
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Galvanising Programs for the
Future
� Who will develop the programs to buildsustainable competitive advantage?(Teams)
� Who else needs to be involved? (Other
Schools and Divisions)
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Wicked Problems
Where will Arts, Architecture and Designc ombine to solve wicked problems?
Wicked problems: Defined by Jeffrey Conklin ³W icked Problems and Social Complexity "
� Y ou don¶t understand the problem until you havedeveloped a solution
� Wi ck ed problems have no stopping rule
� Solutions to wi ck ed problems are not right or wrong, simply better, worse, good enough, or not good enough
� Every wi ck ed problem is essentially unique and
novel � Every solution to a wi ck ed problem is a ³one-shot
operation´
� Wi ck ed problems have no given alternativesolutions
� Climate change
� Water
� Sustainable
land and ocean
management,� Urban
congestion,
� Population
health, or
� Food security