citizens united la ag topline

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Statewide Dual-Frame (30%) Survey among 501 Likely Voters in Louisiana – TOPLINE DATA October 2015

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the polling company, inc./ WomanTrend on behalf of

Citizens United

TOPLINE DATA

Statewide Dual-Frame (30% Cell) Survey of 501 Likely Voters in Louisiana

Field Dates: October 5-6, 2015 Margin of Error: ±4.4%

**PLEASE NOTE: Response categories may not equal 100% due to rounding**

SCREENER

1. Are you 18 years of age and currently registered to vote here in Louisiana as a (ROTATED) Republican, Democrat, Libertarian, Independent/Unaffiliated, or are you not registered to vote at all in Louisiana

54% YES, DEMOCRAT 31% YES, REPUBLICAN 14% YES, INDEPENDENT/UNAFFILIATED 1% YES, LIBERTARIAN

2. On October 24, there will be primary elections for statewide offices such as Governor and state

Attorney General. At this time, do you plan to.. (READ AND ROTATED RESPONSE CATEGORIES 2:1-6)

98% TOTAL DEFINITELY/PROBABLY VOTE (NET) 88% DEFINITELY VOTE (SKIPPED NEXT Q) 10% PROBABLY VOTE (SKIPPED NEXT Q) 1% NOT SURE BECAUSE I DON’T KNOW ENOUGH ABOUT THE CANDIDATES

OR THE ISSUES YET * NOT SURE BECAUSE THE ELECTION IS TOO FAR AWAY

3. How often do you vote for statewide offices in Louisiana when there is no Presidential or

Congressional election? (READ AND ROTATED TOP-TO-BOTTOM AND BOTTOM-TO-TOP)

n=6

33% ALWAYS or ALMOST ALWAYS 67% SOMETIMES


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4. Into which of the following broad categories does your age fall?

19% 18-34 19% 35-44 19% 45-54 18% 55-64 25% 65+ * REFUSED

5. Would you describe your racial or ethnic background as.. (READ LIST)?

71% WHITE/CAUCASIAN 23% BLACK/AFRICAN-AMERICAN 2% NATIVE AMERICAN 1% HISPANIC * ASIAN 1% OTHER, SPECIFIED (VOL.) * DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE (VOL.) 1% REFUSED (VOL.)

6. Region1 (RECORDED BY PARISH FROM SAMPLE)

34% ACADIANA 10% CENTRAL 23% FLORIDA/NORTHSHORE 14% NEW ORLEANS 19% NORTH

7. Gender (RECORDED BY OBSERVATION)

48% MALE 52% FEMALE

1 Acadiana: Acadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Iberville, Jefferson Davis,

Lafayette, Lafourche, Pointe Coupee, St. Charles, St. James, St. John The Baptist, St. Landry, St. Martin, St. Mary, Terrebonne, Vermilion Central: Allen, Beauregard, Catahoula, Concordia, Grant, Lasalle, Natchitoches, Rapides, Sabine, Vernon Florida/Northshore: East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, St. Helena, St. Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington, West Baton Rouge, West Feliciana New Orleans: Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, St. Bernard North: Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto, East Carroll, Franklin, Jackson, Lincoln, Madison, Morehouse, Ouachita, Red River, Richland, Tensas, Union, Webster, West Carroll, Winn


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NAME RECOGNITION AND FAVORABILITY RATINGS Next, I am going to read you a series of names of individuals. After I read each one, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you have no opinion, or have never heard of them, just tell me and we’ll move on. (RANDOMIZED NAMES) (ASKED FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE): And, do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion?

8. Buddy Caldwell

29% TOTAL FAVORABLE (NET) 9% STRONGLY FAVORABLE 20% SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 20% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE (NET) 7% SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 13% STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 30% HEARD OF, NO OPINION 18% NEVER HEARD OF 2% DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE (VOL.) * REFUSED (VOL.)

9. Jeff Landry

24% TOTAL FAVORABLE (NET) 8% STRONGLY FAVORABLE 16% SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 15% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE (NET) 6% SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 9% STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 27% HEARD OF, NO OPINION 33% NEVER HEARD OF 1% DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE (VOL.) - REFUSED (VOL.)


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JOB APPROVAL

10. Do you (ROTATED) approve or disapprove of the job that Buddy Caldwell is doing as Louisiana state Attorney General? (PROBED: And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT approve/disapprove?)

43% TOTAL APPROVE (NET) 17% STRONGLY APPROVE 26% SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% TOTAL DISAPPROVE (NET) 10% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 11% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 35% DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE (VOL.) 1% REFUSED (VOL.)


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BALLOT TESTS

11. If the primary election for Louisiana Attorney General were tomorrow, would you vote for (ROTATED) Republican Buddy Caldwell, Republican Jeff Landry, Republican Martin Maley, Democrat Geraldine Baloney, or Democrat Ike Jackson? (PROBED THOSE WHO SAY A CANDIDATE: And would that be DEFINITELY or PROBABLY [INSERT CANDIDATE NAME]?) (PROBED THOSE WHO SAY “UNDECIDED” OR “DO NOT KNOW”: Toward which candidate do you lean?)

29% TOTAL BUDDY CALDWELL (NET) 18% DEFINITELY BUDDY CALDWELL 8% PROBABLY BUDDY CALDWELL 3% LEAN BUDDY CALDWELL 19% TOTAL JEFF LANDRY (NET) 12% DEFINITELY JEFF LANDRY 5% PROBABLY JEFF LANDRY 2% LEAN JEFF LANDRY 7% TOTAL IKE JACKSON (NET) 5% DEFINITELY IKE JACKSON 2% PROBABLY IKE JACKSON * LEAN IKE JACKSON 6% TOTAL GERALDINE BALONEY (NET) 4% DEFINITELY GERALDINE BALONEY 2% PROBABLY GERALDINE BALONEY * LEAN GERALDINE BALONEY 2% TOTAL MARTIN MALEY (NET) 1% DEFINITELY MARTIN MALEY 1% PROBABLY MARTIN MALEY 1% LEAN MARTIN MALEY

33% HARD UNDECIDED/DO NOT KNOW (VOL.) 1% SOMEONE ELSE, SPECIFIED (RECORD VERBATIM) (VOL.) 3% REFUSED (VOL.)


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12. If the runoff election for Louisiana Attorney General were tomorrow, would you vote for (ROTATED) Republican Buddy Caldwell or Republican Jeff Landry? (PROBED THOSE WHO SAY A CANDIDATE: And would that be DEFINITELY or PROBABLY [INSERT CANDIDATE NAME]?) (PROBED THOSE WHO SAY “UNDECIDED” OR “DO NOT KNOW”: Toward which candidate do you lean?)

33% TOTAL BUDDY CALDWELL (NET) 22% DEFINITELY BUDDY CALDWELL 9% PROBABLY BUDDY CALDWELL 2% LEAN BUDDY CALDWELL 29% TOTAL JEFF LANDRY (NET) 19% DEFINITELY JEFF LANDRY 9% PROBABLY JEFF LANDRY 1% LEAN JEFF LANDRY 32% HARD UNDECIDED/DO NOT KNOW (VOL.) 2% SOMEONE ELSE, SPECIFIED (RECORD VERBATIM) (VOL.) 5% REFUSED (VOL.)

ADDITIONAL DEMOGRAPHICS Finally, a few confidential statistical questions for classification purposes only..

13. Are you….? (READ CATEGORIES)

39% CATHOLIC 39% PROTESTANT (ASKED NEXT Q.) 2% JEWISH 2% AGNOSTIC/ATHEIST * LDS/Latter Day Saints 6% OTHER, SPECIFIED (RECORD VERBATIM (VOL.) 5% NONE/UNAFFILIATED (VOL.) 7% REFUSED (VOL.)

14. (ASK ONLY OF THOSE WHO SAID “PROTESTANT” IN PREVIOUS Q., n=194) And would you

consider yourself born-again or Evangelical?

70% YES 26% NO 5% DO NOT KNOW/REFUSED (VOL.)


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15. Thinking for a moment about your social, economic, and political views...Do you consider yourself to be (ROTATED) conservative, moderate, or liberal…? [IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASK] And would you consider yourself to be VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT (conservative/liberal)?)

53% TOTAL CONSERVATIVE (NET) 31% VERY CONSERVATIVE 23% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 28% MODERATE 12% TOTAL LIBERAL (NET) 5% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 7% VERY LIBERAL 1% LIBERTARIAN 6% DO NOT KNOW/REFUSED (VOL.)

16. In politics today, and regardless of how you are registered, do you consider yourself to be a

(ROTATED) Republican, Independent, or Democrat? (IF REPUBLICAN ASKED, “and are you a strong Republican, Tea Party Republican, no-so-strong Republican, or Independent-leaning Republican?” IF DEMOCRAT, ASKED: “Are you a strong Democrat, Independent-leaning Democrat, not-so-strong Democrat, strong Democrat, or progressive Democrat)?” (IF “INDEPENDENT,” ASKED “Which way you lean, or usually vote, the Democratic or Republican Party?”)

43% TOTAL REPUBLICAN (NET) 6% TEA PARTY REPUBLICAN 23% STRONG REPUBLICAN 6% NOT-SO-STRONG REPUBLICAN 7% INDEPENDENT LEANING REPUBLICAN 16% INDEPENDENT 36% TOTAL DEMOCRAT (NET) 4% INDEPENDENT LEANING DEMOCRAT 6% NOT-SO-STRONG DEMOCRAT 21% STRONG DEMOCRAT 4% PROGRESSIVE DEMOCRAT * OTHER (VOL.) 1% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.) 4% REFUSED (VOL.)

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