electronic trading dr. aiman h. el-maleh computer engineering department dr. aiman h. el-maleh...

31
Electronic Trading Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Computer Engineering Department

Upload: toby-cross

Post on 13-Dec-2015

220 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

Electronic TradingElectronic TradingElectronic TradingElectronic Trading

Dr. Aiman H. El-MalehDr. Aiman H. El-Maleh

Computer Engineering DepartmentComputer Engineering Department

Dr. Aiman H. El-MalehDr. Aiman H. El-Maleh

Computer Engineering DepartmentComputer Engineering Department

Page 2: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--22

OutlineOutline

Basics of InvestingBasics of Investing

Investing StrategiesInvesting Strategies

Quotes & ResearchQuotes & Research

• Stock quotesStock quotes

• Stock chartsStock charts

• Stock researchStock research

Opening Etrading AccountOpening Etrading Account

SummarySummary

Page 3: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--33

Why Invest at All?Why Invest at All?

Maintain purchasing power to cope with even mild Maintain purchasing power to cope with even mild inflationinflation

Investing is funInvesting is fun• Pitting your intellect against investing communityPitting your intellect against investing community

• Rewarded with increase in assetsRewarded with increase in assets

Investment returns can accumulate at a faster rate than Investment returns can accumulate at a faster rate than your salary.your salary.

A successful investor puts natural curiosity and A successful investor puts natural curiosity and intellectual interest to work to earn more money. intellectual interest to work to earn more money.

Personal wealthPersonal wealth

Page 4: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--44

Where Stocks TradeWhere Stocks TradeWhere Stocks TradeWhere Stocks Trade

Stocks traded on securities and commodities Stocks traded on securities and commodities exchanges or over the counter exchanges or over the counter

Exchanges members handle trades for themselves and Exchanges members handle trades for themselves and their clients. their clients.

Securities and options are regulated by SEC Securities and options are regulated by SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) (Securities and Exchange Commission) • New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) • American Stock Exchange (AMEX) American Stock Exchange (AMEX)

For the over-the-counter (OTC) market:For the over-the-counter (OTC) market:• trades are handled electronically—either via telephone or trades are handled electronically—either via telephone or

computer. computer. • Done through dealersDone through dealers

Regulated by the National Association of Securities Regulated by the National Association of Securities Dealers, NASDAQ provides the automated quotes for Dealers, NASDAQ provides the automated quotes for this market. this market.

Stocks traded on securities and commodities Stocks traded on securities and commodities exchanges or over the counter exchanges or over the counter

Exchanges members handle trades for themselves and Exchanges members handle trades for themselves and their clients. their clients.

Securities and options are regulated by SEC Securities and options are regulated by SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) (Securities and Exchange Commission) • New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) • American Stock Exchange (AMEX) American Stock Exchange (AMEX)

For the over-the-counter (OTC) market:For the over-the-counter (OTC) market:• trades are handled electronically—either via telephone or trades are handled electronically—either via telephone or

computer. computer. • Done through dealersDone through dealers

Regulated by the National Association of Securities Regulated by the National Association of Securities Dealers, NASDAQ provides the automated quotes for Dealers, NASDAQ provides the automated quotes for this market. this market.

Page 5: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--55

Stock Market CycleStock Market CycleStock Market CycleStock Market Cycle

Stock market moves in cycles: fluctuates.Stock market moves in cycles: fluctuates. Get wonderful bargains every few years and sell again Get wonderful bargains every few years and sell again

at high prices a few years later.at high prices a few years later. With this principle, you will prosper if you don't With this principle, you will prosper if you don't

become too paralyzed to act. become too paralyzed to act. Stock market is a voting machine, polling investors on Stock market is a voting machine, polling investors on

the future, not the present.the future, not the present. The worse you feel, news is bad, the safer the market.The worse you feel, news is bad, the safer the market. The better you feel, news is good, the closer you are to The better you feel, news is good, the closer you are to

a top. a top.

Stock market moves in cycles: fluctuates.Stock market moves in cycles: fluctuates. Get wonderful bargains every few years and sell again Get wonderful bargains every few years and sell again

at high prices a few years later.at high prices a few years later. With this principle, you will prosper if you don't With this principle, you will prosper if you don't

become too paralyzed to act. become too paralyzed to act. Stock market is a voting machine, polling investors on Stock market is a voting machine, polling investors on

the future, not the present.the future, not the present. The worse you feel, news is bad, the safer the market.The worse you feel, news is bad, the safer the market. The better you feel, news is good, the closer you are to The better you feel, news is good, the closer you are to

a top. a top.

Page 6: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--66

Stock GlossariesStock GlossariesStock GlossariesStock Glossaries

Shares OutstandingShares Outstanding• Shares of common stock currently owned by investors.Shares of common stock currently owned by investors.

VolumeVolume• total number of shares traded of a stock during a specific time total number of shares traded of a stock during a specific time

period. period. Revenues Revenues

• net sales of the company plus any other revenues associated net sales of the company plus any other revenues associated with business operations.with business operations.

• does not include dividends, interest income or non-operating does not include dividends, interest income or non-operating income.income.

Net EarningsNet Earnings• profit after all costs, expenses and taxes have been paid. profit after all costs, expenses and taxes have been paid.

DividendsDividends• cash payment, per share, to shareholders every quarter. cash payment, per share, to shareholders every quarter. • part of profits not reinvested in the company. part of profits not reinvested in the company.

Shares OutstandingShares Outstanding• Shares of common stock currently owned by investors.Shares of common stock currently owned by investors.

VolumeVolume• total number of shares traded of a stock during a specific time total number of shares traded of a stock during a specific time

period. period. Revenues Revenues

• net sales of the company plus any other revenues associated net sales of the company plus any other revenues associated with business operations.with business operations.

• does not include dividends, interest income or non-operating does not include dividends, interest income or non-operating income.income.

Net EarningsNet Earnings• profit after all costs, expenses and taxes have been paid. profit after all costs, expenses and taxes have been paid.

DividendsDividends• cash payment, per share, to shareholders every quarter. cash payment, per share, to shareholders every quarter. • part of profits not reinvested in the company. part of profits not reinvested in the company.

Page 7: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--77

Stock Glossaries – Cont.Stock Glossaries – Cont.Stock Glossaries – Cont.Stock Glossaries – Cont.

Total ReturnTotal Return• price change plus dividend return over last 12 months price change plus dividend return over last 12 months

YieldYield• annual rate of return on a stock as paid in dividends. annual rate of return on a stock as paid in dividends.

• calculated by dividing latest dividend rate by latest closing calculated by dividing latest dividend rate by latest closing price and multiplying by 100. price and multiplying by 100.

• latest dividend rate is the total dividends paid in the past 12 latest dividend rate is the total dividends paid in the past 12 months.months.

Net Earnings-Per-Share (EPS) Net Earnings-Per-Share (EPS) • net earnings allocated to each share of stock.net earnings allocated to each share of stock.

• calculated by dividing net earnings by common shares calculated by dividing net earnings by common shares outstandingoutstanding

Total ReturnTotal Return• price change plus dividend return over last 12 months price change plus dividend return over last 12 months

YieldYield• annual rate of return on a stock as paid in dividends. annual rate of return on a stock as paid in dividends.

• calculated by dividing latest dividend rate by latest closing calculated by dividing latest dividend rate by latest closing price and multiplying by 100. price and multiplying by 100.

• latest dividend rate is the total dividends paid in the past 12 latest dividend rate is the total dividends paid in the past 12 months.months.

Net Earnings-Per-Share (EPS) Net Earnings-Per-Share (EPS) • net earnings allocated to each share of stock.net earnings allocated to each share of stock.

• calculated by dividing net earnings by common shares calculated by dividing net earnings by common shares outstandingoutstanding

Page 8: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--88

Stock Glossaries – Cont.Stock Glossaries – Cont.Stock Glossaries – Cont.Stock Glossaries – Cont.

Estimated EPS GrowthEstimated EPS Growth• mean estimate of EPS growth, derived from estimates from mean estimate of EPS growth, derived from estimates from

Wall Street analysts. Wall Street analysts.

• provided by Zacks Investment Research.provided by Zacks Investment Research.

Forward P/EForward P/E• calculated using latest closing price of stock divided by t calculated using latest closing price of stock divided by t

latest EPS estimate latest EPS estimate

PEG ratio (price-to-earnings-growth) PEG ratio (price-to-earnings-growth) • calculated by dividing a stock's forward P/E by its projected calculated by dividing a stock's forward P/E by its projected

three- to five-year annual EPS growth rate. three- to five-year annual EPS growth rate.

• A PEG ratio of less than one is considered a sign that a stock A PEG ratio of less than one is considered a sign that a stock is a good value.is a good value.

• The higher the PEG, the pricier the stockThe higher the PEG, the pricier the stock..

Estimated EPS GrowthEstimated EPS Growth• mean estimate of EPS growth, derived from estimates from mean estimate of EPS growth, derived from estimates from

Wall Street analysts. Wall Street analysts.

• provided by Zacks Investment Research.provided by Zacks Investment Research.

Forward P/EForward P/E• calculated using latest closing price of stock divided by t calculated using latest closing price of stock divided by t

latest EPS estimate latest EPS estimate

PEG ratio (price-to-earnings-growth) PEG ratio (price-to-earnings-growth) • calculated by dividing a stock's forward P/E by its projected calculated by dividing a stock's forward P/E by its projected

three- to five-year annual EPS growth rate. three- to five-year annual EPS growth rate.

• A PEG ratio of less than one is considered a sign that a stock A PEG ratio of less than one is considered a sign that a stock is a good value.is a good value.

• The higher the PEG, the pricier the stockThe higher the PEG, the pricier the stock..

Page 9: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--99

Shorting StocksShorting StocksShorting StocksShorting Stocks

Buying a stock is taking a long position.Buying a stock is taking a long position. Shorting a stock: sell the stocks and then buy them Shorting a stock: sell the stocks and then buy them

when the price falls.when the price falls. You decide that price of a stock is going to fall. You decide that price of a stock is going to fall. Call broker ordering to short, "selling" the stocks at Call broker ordering to short, "selling" the stocks at

the current price. the current price. Broker rounds up the shares in order to sell them for Broker rounds up the shares in order to sell them for

youyou• loans you the certificates from his stashloans you the certificates from his stash

• borrows them from another broker. borrows them from another broker.

When the price falls, you buy the shares at the lower When the price falls, you buy the shares at the lower price, covering the borrowed shares.price, covering the borrowed shares.

Buying a stock is taking a long position.Buying a stock is taking a long position. Shorting a stock: sell the stocks and then buy them Shorting a stock: sell the stocks and then buy them

when the price falls.when the price falls. You decide that price of a stock is going to fall. You decide that price of a stock is going to fall. Call broker ordering to short, "selling" the stocks at Call broker ordering to short, "selling" the stocks at

the current price. the current price. Broker rounds up the shares in order to sell them for Broker rounds up the shares in order to sell them for

youyou• loans you the certificates from his stashloans you the certificates from his stash

• borrows them from another broker. borrows them from another broker.

When the price falls, you buy the shares at the lower When the price falls, you buy the shares at the lower price, covering the borrowed shares.price, covering the borrowed shares.

Page 10: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1010

Investing StrategiesInvesting StrategiesInvesting StrategiesInvesting Strategies

Investing is a simple process:Investing is a simple process:• Choose a stock in which to take a position Choose a stock in which to take a position

• Commit to the position by executing a trade Commit to the position by executing a trade

• Monitor the trade to see if it fits your expectations Monitor the trade to see if it fits your expectations

• Close the trade when your expectations are met or lost Close the trade when your expectations are met or lost

Stock SelectionStock Selection• A good Watch List is the key to successful stock selection A good Watch List is the key to successful stock selection

• Compare stock performance with other stocks you're Compare stock performance with other stocks you're watchingwatching

• Collect other information about that stockCollect other information about that stock• Price range Price range • NewsNews• Analysts reportsAnalysts reports

Investing is a simple process:Investing is a simple process:• Choose a stock in which to take a position Choose a stock in which to take a position

• Commit to the position by executing a trade Commit to the position by executing a trade

• Monitor the trade to see if it fits your expectations Monitor the trade to see if it fits your expectations

• Close the trade when your expectations are met or lost Close the trade when your expectations are met or lost

Stock SelectionStock Selection• A good Watch List is the key to successful stock selection A good Watch List is the key to successful stock selection

• Compare stock performance with other stocks you're Compare stock performance with other stocks you're watchingwatching

• Collect other information about that stockCollect other information about that stock• Price range Price range • NewsNews• Analysts reportsAnalysts reports

Page 11: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1111

Investing Strategies – Cont.Investing Strategies – Cont.Investing Strategies – Cont.Investing Strategies – Cont.

Commit to a PositionCommit to a Position• Execute a long or short term tradeExecute a long or short term trade

• Timing is importantTiming is important

• Share your decision with a financial advisorShare your decision with a financial advisor

Monitoring the PositionMonitoring the Position• Most critical aspect of the trading process Most critical aspect of the trading process

• What the investment community thinks of your picksWhat the investment community thinks of your picks

• If pick is up increase your position to increase your gainsIf pick is up increase your position to increase your gains

• If pick is going down, you have to know when to cut your If pick is going down, you have to know when to cut your losses. losses.

Closing the PositionClosing the Position• To make money you have to close the trade. To make money you have to close the trade.

Commit to a PositionCommit to a Position• Execute a long or short term tradeExecute a long or short term trade

• Timing is importantTiming is important

• Share your decision with a financial advisorShare your decision with a financial advisor

Monitoring the PositionMonitoring the Position• Most critical aspect of the trading process Most critical aspect of the trading process

• What the investment community thinks of your picksWhat the investment community thinks of your picks

• If pick is up increase your position to increase your gainsIf pick is up increase your position to increase your gains

• If pick is going down, you have to know when to cut your If pick is going down, you have to know when to cut your losses. losses.

Closing the PositionClosing the Position• To make money you have to close the trade. To make money you have to close the trade.

Page 12: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1212

Value and Growth StrategiesValue and Growth StrategiesValue and Growth StrategiesValue and Growth Strategies

One of the most popular ways of studying stocks is One of the most popular ways of studying stocks is called fundamental analysis. called fundamental analysis.

Figure out true stock value based on basic information Figure out true stock value based on basic information such as growth of sales and profits.such as growth of sales and profits.

Growth Stocks Growth Stocks • Predict which companies will grow faster in the future Predict which companies will grow faster in the future

• Stock grows its earnings and revenues faster than averageStock grows its earnings and revenues faster than average

• Famous investor: Peter Lynch (Magellan mutual fund)Famous investor: Peter Lynch (Magellan mutual fund)

Value StocksValue Stocks• Look for stocks that have been overlooked by other investors Look for stocks that have been overlooked by other investors

and may have a "hidden value." and may have a "hidden value."

• Famous investor: Warren Buffet (Berkshire Hathaway)Famous investor: Warren Buffet (Berkshire Hathaway)

One of the most popular ways of studying stocks is One of the most popular ways of studying stocks is called fundamental analysis. called fundamental analysis.

Figure out true stock value based on basic information Figure out true stock value based on basic information such as growth of sales and profits.such as growth of sales and profits.

Growth Stocks Growth Stocks • Predict which companies will grow faster in the future Predict which companies will grow faster in the future

• Stock grows its earnings and revenues faster than averageStock grows its earnings and revenues faster than average

• Famous investor: Peter Lynch (Magellan mutual fund)Famous investor: Peter Lynch (Magellan mutual fund)

Value StocksValue Stocks• Look for stocks that have been overlooked by other investors Look for stocks that have been overlooked by other investors

and may have a "hidden value." and may have a "hidden value."

• Famous investor: Warren Buffet (Berkshire Hathaway)Famous investor: Warren Buffet (Berkshire Hathaway)

Page 13: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1313

Importance of DiversificationImportance of DiversificationImportance of DiversificationImportance of Diversification

Diversification means building a portfolio with Diversification means building a portfolio with securities from different asset classes. securities from different asset classes.

Example: a portfolio that includes a certain percentage Example: a portfolio that includes a certain percentage of stocks and bonds. of stocks and bonds. • bonds tend to do well when stocks don't bonds tend to do well when stocks don't

Buy securities not affected by the same variables. Buy securities not affected by the same variables. • Utilities, grocery stores, and airlines are completely different Utilities, grocery stores, and airlines are completely different

businessesbusinesses

A diversified portfolio will have less volatility, and A diversified portfolio will have less volatility, and steadier returns.steadier returns.

Overall return lower than in an undiversified portfolio. Overall return lower than in an undiversified portfolio.

Diversification means building a portfolio with Diversification means building a portfolio with securities from different asset classes. securities from different asset classes.

Example: a portfolio that includes a certain percentage Example: a portfolio that includes a certain percentage of stocks and bonds. of stocks and bonds. • bonds tend to do well when stocks don't bonds tend to do well when stocks don't

Buy securities not affected by the same variables. Buy securities not affected by the same variables. • Utilities, grocery stores, and airlines are completely different Utilities, grocery stores, and airlines are completely different

businessesbusinesses

A diversified portfolio will have less volatility, and A diversified portfolio will have less volatility, and steadier returns.steadier returns.

Overall return lower than in an undiversified portfolio. Overall return lower than in an undiversified portfolio.

Page 14: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1414

Mutual Funds InvestingMutual Funds InvestingMutual Funds InvestingMutual Funds Investing

Most mutual funds invest in stocks, are called equity Most mutual funds invest in stocks, are called equity funds. funds.

Mutual funds are categorized by market capitalization Mutual funds are categorized by market capitalization of stocks in their portfolios.of stocks in their portfolios.

Some funds specialize in investing inSome funds specialize in investing in• Small-cap stocks < $500 millionSmall-cap stocks < $500 million

• Mid-cap stocks $500 million to $5 billionMid-cap stocks $500 million to $5 billion

• Large-cap stocks > $5 billionLarge-cap stocks > $5 billion

Equity fund managers styles of stock picking Equity fund managers styles of stock picking • Value approachValue approach

• Growth approachGrowth approach

• Blend approachBlend approach

Most mutual funds invest in stocks, are called equity Most mutual funds invest in stocks, are called equity funds. funds.

Mutual funds are categorized by market capitalization Mutual funds are categorized by market capitalization of stocks in their portfolios.of stocks in their portfolios.

Some funds specialize in investing inSome funds specialize in investing in• Small-cap stocks < $500 millionSmall-cap stocks < $500 million

• Mid-cap stocks $500 million to $5 billionMid-cap stocks $500 million to $5 billion

• Large-cap stocks > $5 billionLarge-cap stocks > $5 billion

Equity fund managers styles of stock picking Equity fund managers styles of stock picking • Value approachValue approach

• Growth approachGrowth approach

• Blend approachBlend approach

Page 15: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1515

Index Fund InvestingIndex Fund InvestingIndex Fund InvestingIndex Fund Investing

An index fund builds its portfolio by buying all the An index fund builds its portfolio by buying all the stocks in a particular index.stocks in a particular index.

Most popular index of stock index funds is the Most popular index of stock index funds is the Standard and Poor's 500.Standard and Poor's 500.

Key distinction between stock index funds and Key distinction between stock index funds and "actively managed" mutual funds"actively managed" mutual funds• No need for stock selection No need for stock selection

• No need for a team of highly-paid stock analysts No need for a team of highly-paid stock analysts

• Much cheaper to run than an active fundMuch cheaper to run than an active fund

• Perform better than actively managed fundsPerform better than actively managed funds• In 1998, 85% of all mutual funds that were set up to beat the In 1998, 85% of all mutual funds that were set up to beat the

S&P 500 failed to meet that goal.S&P 500 failed to meet that goal.

An index fund builds its portfolio by buying all the An index fund builds its portfolio by buying all the stocks in a particular index.stocks in a particular index.

Most popular index of stock index funds is the Most popular index of stock index funds is the Standard and Poor's 500.Standard and Poor's 500.

Key distinction between stock index funds and Key distinction between stock index funds and "actively managed" mutual funds"actively managed" mutual funds• No need for stock selection No need for stock selection

• No need for a team of highly-paid stock analysts No need for a team of highly-paid stock analysts

• Much cheaper to run than an active fundMuch cheaper to run than an active fund

• Perform better than actively managed fundsPerform better than actively managed funds• In 1998, 85% of all mutual funds that were set up to beat the In 1998, 85% of all mutual funds that were set up to beat the

S&P 500 failed to meet that goal.S&P 500 failed to meet that goal.

Page 16: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1616

Impact of News on InvestmentImpact of News on InvestmentImpact of News on InvestmentImpact of News on Investment

Chasing a hot stock or attempting to time the swings in Chasing a hot stock or attempting to time the swings in the marketthe market• costly to implement, costly to implement,

• extremely low probability of success, extremely low probability of success,

• ineffective in adding value to your portfolio.ineffective in adding value to your portfolio.

When you hear news about a company, you need to When you hear news about a company, you need to figure out its impact on your investmentfigure out its impact on your investment• news likely to affect the profitability of the stock in the future, news likely to affect the profitability of the stock in the future,

short-term and long-term? short-term and long-term?

• problem specific to this company, or affect entire industry? problem specific to this company, or affect entire industry?

• how news likely to affect performance of investment in your how news likely to affect performance of investment in your time frame?time frame?

• time frame analyst used in making "downgrade", "upgrade" ?time frame analyst used in making "downgrade", "upgrade" ?

Chasing a hot stock or attempting to time the swings in Chasing a hot stock or attempting to time the swings in the marketthe market• costly to implement, costly to implement,

• extremely low probability of success, extremely low probability of success,

• ineffective in adding value to your portfolio.ineffective in adding value to your portfolio.

When you hear news about a company, you need to When you hear news about a company, you need to figure out its impact on your investmentfigure out its impact on your investment• news likely to affect the profitability of the stock in the future, news likely to affect the profitability of the stock in the future,

short-term and long-term? short-term and long-term?

• problem specific to this company, or affect entire industry? problem specific to this company, or affect entire industry?

• how news likely to affect performance of investment in your how news likely to affect performance of investment in your time frame?time frame?

• time frame analyst used in making "downgrade", "upgrade" ?time frame analyst used in making "downgrade", "upgrade" ?

Page 17: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1717

Do not Rush to an InvestmentDo not Rush to an InvestmentDo not Rush to an InvestmentDo not Rush to an Investment

Good investing is an exercise in controlled fussiness. Good investing is an exercise in controlled fussiness. Safest strategy is being very hard to please.Safest strategy is being very hard to please. Focus on not make avoidable mistakes.Focus on not make avoidable mistakes. Insist on waiting for a stock to satisfy you completely Insist on waiting for a stock to satisfy you completely

before you risk your capital.before you risk your capital. Take your time, plenty of other possibilities.Take your time, plenty of other possibilities.

Good investing is an exercise in controlled fussiness. Good investing is an exercise in controlled fussiness. Safest strategy is being very hard to please.Safest strategy is being very hard to please. Focus on not make avoidable mistakes.Focus on not make avoidable mistakes. Insist on waiting for a stock to satisfy you completely Insist on waiting for a stock to satisfy you completely

before you risk your capital.before you risk your capital. Take your time, plenty of other possibilities.Take your time, plenty of other possibilities.

Page 18: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1818

Common MistakesCommon MistakesCommon MistakesCommon Mistakes

Panic sellingPanic selling• will sell at low, possibly below its cost and at a loss will sell at low, possibly below its cost and at a loss

compared with its earlier prices. compared with its earlier prices.

• most who sell near a bottom fail to reenter until well toward most who sell near a bottom fail to reenter until well toward the next top. the next top.

Never sellingNever selling• far from a perfect approach in most cases far from a perfect approach in most cases

Investing in Penny stocksInvesting in Penny stocks• riskiest investments riskiest investments

• the remnants of the stock marketthe remnants of the stock market

Panic sellingPanic selling• will sell at low, possibly below its cost and at a loss will sell at low, possibly below its cost and at a loss

compared with its earlier prices. compared with its earlier prices.

• most who sell near a bottom fail to reenter until well toward most who sell near a bottom fail to reenter until well toward the next top. the next top.

Never sellingNever selling• far from a perfect approach in most cases far from a perfect approach in most cases

Investing in Penny stocksInvesting in Penny stocks• riskiest investments riskiest investments

• the remnants of the stock marketthe remnants of the stock market

Page 19: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--1919

Tap the Power of the InternetTap the Power of the InternetTap the Power of the InternetTap the Power of the Internet

Internet shattered barriers between Wall Street and Internet shattered barriers between Wall Street and Main Street.Main Street.

Previously, took a lot of manpower and computing Previously, took a lot of manpower and computing power to research a stock.power to research a stock.

With internet you canWith internet you can• retrieve in seconds sock price and volume information retrieve in seconds sock price and volume information

• plot intraday stock graphs or historical graphs for one week or plot intraday stock graphs or historical graphs for one week or one month, one year or twentyone month, one year or twenty

• up-to-date company newsup-to-date company news

• inspect corporate financial statements filed with the Securities inspect corporate financial statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). and Exchange Commission (SEC).

• Insider informationInsider information

Internet shattered barriers between Wall Street and Internet shattered barriers between Wall Street and Main Street.Main Street.

Previously, took a lot of manpower and computing Previously, took a lot of manpower and computing power to research a stock.power to research a stock.

With internet you canWith internet you can• retrieve in seconds sock price and volume information retrieve in seconds sock price and volume information

• plot intraday stock graphs or historical graphs for one week or plot intraday stock graphs or historical graphs for one week or one month, one year or twentyone month, one year or twenty

• up-to-date company newsup-to-date company news

• inspect corporate financial statements filed with the Securities inspect corporate financial statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). and Exchange Commission (SEC).

• Insider informationInsider information

Page 20: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2020

Quotes & ResearchQuotes & ResearchQuotes & ResearchQuotes & Research

Many excellent internet sites for stock quotes and Many excellent internet sites for stock quotes and researchresearch• finance.yahoo.comfinance.yahoo.com

• www.excite.comwww.excite.com

• www.www.etradeetrade.com.com

Most stock quotes are delayed by 20 minutesMost stock quotes are delayed by 20 minutes Free real time quotes with accountFree real time quotes with account Example: finance.yahoo.comExample: finance.yahoo.com

• Stock QuoteStock Quote

• Charts: stock price rangesCharts: stock price ranges

• ResearchResearch

• NewsNews

• SEC & insiderSEC & insider

Many excellent internet sites for stock quotes and Many excellent internet sites for stock quotes and researchresearch• finance.yahoo.comfinance.yahoo.com

• www.excite.comwww.excite.com

• www.www.etradeetrade.com.com

Most stock quotes are delayed by 20 minutesMost stock quotes are delayed by 20 minutes Free real time quotes with accountFree real time quotes with account Example: finance.yahoo.comExample: finance.yahoo.com

• Stock QuoteStock Quote

• Charts: stock price rangesCharts: stock price ranges

• ResearchResearch

• NewsNews

• SEC & insiderSEC & insider

Page 21: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2121

Stock QuotesStock QuotesStock QuotesStock Quotes

Basics :Basics :• SymbolSymbol

• NameName

• Last Trade Last Trade

• Change & PercentChange & Percent

• VolumeVolume

• Average Daily VolumeAverage Daily Volume

Fundamentals :Fundamentals :• Earnings/ShareEarnings/Share

• P/E RatioP/E Ratio

• Dividend Pay DateDividend Pay Date

• Dividend/ShareDividend/Share

• Market CapitalizationMarket Capitalization

Basics :Basics :• SymbolSymbol

• NameName

• Last Trade Last Trade

• Change & PercentChange & Percent

• VolumeVolume

• Average Daily VolumeAverage Daily Volume

Fundamentals :Fundamentals :• Earnings/ShareEarnings/Share

• P/E RatioP/E Ratio

• Dividend Pay DateDividend Pay Date

• Dividend/ShareDividend/Share

• Market CapitalizationMarket Capitalization

Details :Details :• Bid/AskBid/Ask• Previous ClosePrevious Close• OpenOpen• Day's RangeDay's Range• 52-week Range52-week Range

Portfolios:Portfolios:• Shares OwnedShares Owned• Price PaidPrice Paid• CommissionCommission• Holdings ValueHoldings Value• Day's Value ChangeDay's Value Change• Holdings Gain & PercentHoldings Gain & Percent• Trade DateTrade Date• Annualized GainAnnualized Gain

Page 22: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2222

Stock Quote ExampleStock Quote ExampleStock Quote ExampleStock Quote Example

SymbLast

Change Volume

Day's Range

52-week Range

INTC 131 1/8 -5 11/16 -4.16% 22,361,100 130 7/8 - 139 1/16 50 1/8 - 145 3/8

Intel CorporationIntel Corporation

Page 23: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2323

Stock Quote - DetailedStock Quote - DetailedStock Quote - DetailedStock Quote - Detailed

Last Trade

2:55PM · 131 3/8

Change +1/4

(+0.19%)

Prev Cls 131

1/8

Volume

21,959,200

Div Date

Jun 1

Small: [ 1d | 5d | 1y | none ] Big: [ 1d | 5d | 3m | 1y | 2y |

5y | max ]

Day's Range

127 31/64 -

134 1/4

Bid 131 5/16

Ask 131

3/8

Open

130

Avg Vol

27,561,364

Ex-Div May

3

52-week Range 50 1/8 -

145 3/8

Earn/Shr 2.11

P/E 62.14

Mkt Cap 439.1B

Div/Shr 0.12

Yield

0.09

Page 24: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2424

Stock ChartsStock ChartsStock ChartsStock Charts

Intel Corporation – 1 year chartIntel Corporation – 1 year chart

Page 25: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2525

Stock Charts – Cont.Stock Charts – Cont.Stock Charts – Cont.Stock Charts – Cont.

Intel Corporation – 5 year chartIntel Corporation – 5 year chart

Page 26: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2626

Stock Charts – Cont.Stock Charts – Cont.Stock Charts – Cont.Stock Charts – Cont.

Intel Corporation – 1 year chart vs. S&P500Intel Corporation – 1 year chart vs. S&P500

Page 27: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2727

Stock ResearchStock ResearchStock ResearchStock Research

Number of brokersrecommending as: Strong Buy 22

Moderate Buy 12

Hold 6

Moderate Sell 0

Strong Sell 0

Average Recommendation

(Strong Buy) 1.00 - 5.00 (Strong Sell)

This Week 1.52

Last Week 1.57

Change 0.1

Earnings Per Share

Last Quarter

(Dec1999) 0.69

Surprise 9.5%

Consensus Estimates

This Quarter

)Mar 00( 0.68

This Year )Dec 00( 2.91

Next Year 3.39

Research SummaryResearch Summary

Page 28: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2828

Stock Research- Cont.Stock Research- Cont.Stock Research- Cont.Stock Research- Cont.

Dec 1998 Mar 1999 Jun 1999 Sep 1999 Dec 1999

EstimateActual

Difference% Surprise

0.530.600.0712.26 %

0.540.570.035.56 %

0.540.51-0.03-5.56 %

0.570.55-0.02-3.51 %

0.630.690.069.52 %

Earnings History & GrowthEarnings History & Growth

Last 5 Years

This Year(Dec 00)

Next Year(Dec 01)

Next 5 Years

Price/Earn(Dec 00)

PEG Ratio(Dec 00)

Intel CorpELEC COMP-SEMICS&P 500

16.5 %10.8 %9.2 %

25.3 %30.4 %11.6 %

16.5 %36.7 %8.5 %

19.3 %30.8 %15.2 %

45.057.626.7

1.781.892.30

Page 29: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--2929

Opening Etrading AccountOpening Etrading AccountOpening Etrading AccountOpening Etrading Account

There are several companies to Etrade with.There are several companies to Etrade with. Types of accounts:Types of accounts:

• CashCash

• MarginMargin

E*trade: www.etrade.comE*trade: www.etrade.com• $20 per trade (upto 5000 shares)$20 per trade (upto 5000 shares)

• $1000 for cash account$1000 for cash account

• $2000 for margin account$2000 for margin account

• Free real time quotesFree real time quotes

Charles Shwab: www.shwab.comCharles Shwab: www.shwab.com• $30 per trade (upto 1000 shares)$30 per trade (upto 1000 shares)

• $5000 for margin account$5000 for margin account

• Free real time quotes Free real time quotes

There are several companies to Etrade with.There are several companies to Etrade with. Types of accounts:Types of accounts:

• CashCash

• MarginMargin

E*trade: www.etrade.comE*trade: www.etrade.com• $20 per trade (upto 5000 shares)$20 per trade (upto 5000 shares)

• $1000 for cash account$1000 for cash account

• $2000 for margin account$2000 for margin account

• Free real time quotesFree real time quotes

Charles Shwab: www.shwab.comCharles Shwab: www.shwab.com• $30 per trade (upto 1000 shares)$30 per trade (upto 1000 shares)

• $5000 for margin account$5000 for margin account

• Free real time quotes Free real time quotes

Page 30: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--3030

Opening Etrading Account – Cont.Opening Etrading Account – Cont.Opening Etrading Account – Cont.Opening Etrading Account – Cont.

Datek Online: www.datek.comDatek Online: www.datek.com• $10 per trade (upto 5000 shares)$10 per trade (upto 5000 shares)• $2000 for margin account$2000 for margin account• Free real time quotesFree real time quotes

National Discount Brokers: www.ndb.comNational Discount Brokers: www.ndb.com• $15 market order, $20 limit order per trade (upto 5000 $15 market order, $20 limit order per trade (upto 5000

shares)shares)• No minimum balance to open accountNo minimum balance to open account

TD Waterhouse: www.tdwaterhouse.comTD Waterhouse: www.tdwaterhouse.com• $12 per trade (upto 5000 shares)$12 per trade (upto 5000 shares)

Ameritrade: www.ameritrade.comwww.ameritrade.com• $8 market orders, $13 limit and stop orders (upto 10,1000

shares)• Free real time quotes

Datek Online: www.datek.comDatek Online: www.datek.com• $10 per trade (upto 5000 shares)$10 per trade (upto 5000 shares)• $2000 for margin account$2000 for margin account• Free real time quotesFree real time quotes

National Discount Brokers: www.ndb.comNational Discount Brokers: www.ndb.com• $15 market order, $20 limit order per trade (upto 5000 $15 market order, $20 limit order per trade (upto 5000

shares)shares)• No minimum balance to open accountNo minimum balance to open account

TD Waterhouse: www.tdwaterhouse.comTD Waterhouse: www.tdwaterhouse.com• $12 per trade (upto 5000 shares)$12 per trade (upto 5000 shares)

Ameritrade: www.ameritrade.comwww.ameritrade.com• $8 market orders, $13 limit and stop orders (upto 10,1000

shares)• Free real time quotes

Page 31: Electronic Trading Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department Dr. Aiman H. El-Maleh Computer Engineering Department

COE-KFUPMCOE-KFUPM Day 3Day 3--3131

SummarySummarySummarySummary

Investing is important to maintain money powerInvesting is important to maintain money power Before investing learn Before investing learn

• Investing basicsInvesting basics

• Investing strategiesInvesting strategies

Internet has made trading simpleInternet has made trading simple Tap the power of the internet in stock research and Tap the power of the internet in stock research and

collecting informationcollecting information Extensive information resources and toolsExtensive information resources and tools Any one can make good money by electronic tradingAny one can make good money by electronic trading

Investing is important to maintain money powerInvesting is important to maintain money power Before investing learn Before investing learn

• Investing basicsInvesting basics

• Investing strategiesInvesting strategies

Internet has made trading simpleInternet has made trading simple Tap the power of the internet in stock research and Tap the power of the internet in stock research and

collecting informationcollecting information Extensive information resources and toolsExtensive information resources and tools Any one can make good money by electronic tradingAny one can make good money by electronic trading