elliott wave and fibonacci analysis on 010609

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1/6/200910:30 PM Pacific The S&P cash interpretation also includes an alternate zigzag / Flat combination that could produce a different outcome than a completed double zigzag. In this case, price has already completed half of the next zigzag (assumed). Here the retracement would be measured against only the most recent wave up from c, and only one more wave up would follow the retracement before completing a triple combination correction (Zigzag/Flat/Zigzag). A triple combination is the limit for a corrective combination pattern. In this case a .500 Fibonacci retracement only goes to 900. You may recall that this is also the .382 retracement level of the move up from X in the e-mini futures from earlier today. I show it again below for easy reference and so that you may compare and contrast the two options. This alternate thesis also projects to the price zone projected in the intermediate-term weekly forecast.

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Elliott wave zigzag, double zigzag, Fibonacci extension, Fibonacci retracement, and corrective combination are profiled in this evening report by TheMarketDetective.com

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Page 1: Elliott wave and Fibonacci analysis on 010609

1/6/200910:30 PM Pacific

The S&P cash interpretation also includes an alternate zigzag / Flat combination that could produce a different outcome than a completed double zigzag. In this case, price has already completed half of the next zigzag (assumed). Here the retracement would be measured against only the most recent wave up from c, and only one more wave up would follow the retracement before completing a triple combination correction (Zigzag/Flat/Zigzag). A triple combination is the limit for a corrective combination pattern.

In this case a .500 Fibonacci retracement only goes to 900. You may recall that this is also the .382 retracement level of the move up from X in the e-mini futures from earlier today. I show it again below for easy reference and so that you may compare and contrast the two options. This alternate thesis also projects to the price zone projected in the intermediate-term weekly forecast.

Page 2: Elliott wave and Fibonacci analysis on 010609

1/6/200910:30 PM Pacific

I say that this is an alternate thesis, but it may only be an alternate context with which to view the same price action. It is possible that both scenarios will play out with a good part of the e-minis price action occurring after hours.

TMD/DW The market detective provides personal market opinion based on sound technical analysis and research. However, no warranty is given or implied as to its true reliability. The market detective will make errors and mistakes. The market detective is not an investment adviser and is not making recommendations to buy, sell, or place orders relating to the futures contracts, ETFs, or stocks that he writes about. The responsibility for decisions made from information contained in this service are solely that of the individual subscriber. The individual must fully research and make his/her own decisions before acting on any information provided by the market detective. The market detective assumes no responsibility for subscriber investment or trading results.