energy systems analysisarnulf grubler energy data a brief summary
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Energy Systems Analysis Arnulf Grubler
Energy Data
A brief summary
Energy Statistics• Energy use:
-- UN since 1929 (no online access)-- BP (fastest update) Publications – Statistical Review http://www.bp.com BP + UN: Primary energy supply by source (no non-commercial)-- EIA (US): Primary and secondary energy (no final, no non-commercial)-- IEA: supply and disposition (primary and final energy by fuel …and sector; incl. non-comm. [OK since ca. 1995]) http://www.iea.org/Textbase/stats/index.asp
• Emissions: All gases/sources: EDGAR http://www.mnp.nl/edgar/CO2: IEA (see class server) and UN based (http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/trends.htm), energy focus!
• Economics:-- IEA Energy prices and Taxes (see class server) end-use focus, no upstream and no cost data
• Efficiency: only imputed indicators (intensities), cf. IEA (rather than EIA!)
• Technology: no official statistics, individual efforts e.g. IIASA CO2DB
Energy Systems Analysis Arnulf Grubler
Austria Energy Balance 2001 (1000 toe): Supply
Energy Systems Analysis Arnulf Grubler
Austria Energy Balance 2001 (1000 toe): Disposition
IEA: Energy Balances (common energy unit) and Energy Statistics (physical units)
PE Accounting Methods of IEA/BP• Substitution equivalent for nuclear
– Calculate PE as: “…the primary heat equivalent of the electricity produced by a nuclear power plant with an average thermal efficiency of 33%.”
– Primary energy form = heat
- Geothermal: assumes 10% thermal efficiency
• Direct equivalent for hydro, solar, wind– “Hydro shows the energy content of the electricity produced in
hydro power plants.” w/ no thermal efficiency factor.– Primary energy form = electricity (assumes 100% efficiency)
• Result– Nuclear = weighted to be larger proportion of TPES than hydro,
solar and wind
US EIA does not publish equivalence factors used(implied direct equivalent for all non-fossils)