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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBAL GLOBAL TRENDS TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander

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Page 1: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Mar 2011

MIPIM 2011 Cannes

Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President

GLOBALGLOBAL TRENDSTRENDS

“It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it”Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander

Page 2: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Key Points

1. The World• World of Contrasts• Urban World• Mobile world• Refuge Blocks• Global players• Global issues /Crisis• Global Imbalances

2. Global Trends• Mobility• Digital Era• Identity –Culture

3. Lessons ?• Innovate. Integrate.Inspire

Global Trends

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Page 3: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

A World of Contrasts

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Sao Paulo, Brazil

•North – Old and Rich•South – Young and Poor•South 90% < 25 years old

Jodhpur, India

Rich/poorKnowledgeDigital fracture

•Brain drain/Mobility•Competing Cities

Digital fracture

•6,5 billions population•5,2 billions mobiles•4,5 billions radios•3,5 billions tv•1,6 billion computers•0,5 b Facebook

Page 4: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

An Urban World

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

The World•2007 : > 50% urban population•Monster or sustainable cities ?• + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050•500 000 slum dwellers /month

Sao Paulo, Brazil

An Urban World

Population m•Tokyo 35.2•Jakarta 22,0•Bombay 21,2•Delhi 21,0•Manila 20,8•New York 20,6•Sao Paulo 20,2•Seoul 19,9•Mexico 18,7•Shanghai 18.4•Cairo 17,3

GUP b €•Tokyo 1 191 •New York 1 133•Los Angeles 639•Paris 460•Chicago 460•Londres 452•Osaka-Kobe 341•Mexico 315•Philadelphia 312•Washington 299

Page 5: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

A World of mobility

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

•6 % The world Population – 2008•2020 : 15% of EU population from Africa•Delocalisation v/s immigration •Climate refugees•Mass tourism•Retired living 2 summers•Expats for Creative cities

Nomades , Mali

A Mobile WorldPeople – Ideas - Goods

Page 6: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

A World of refuge blocks

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

DiversityRegionalisation

•By Region•By Culture•By Trade•By Geopolitics

Page 7: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Emerging nations•BRICS + CIVETS•2008 : FDI 65 000 billions US$

Networks PowerMultinationalsWorld FinanceCivil SocietyNGOs

A World of Global Players

Global Entreprises•Exxon – BP – Toyota - Nokia•Vectors of norms

New kind of economyNew kind of economybased on networksbased on networks

•New principlesNew principles•New ways of creating valuesNew ways of creating values

Page 8: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

A World of Global Issues and Crisis

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Climate ChangeCultural DiversityEconomic CrisisFood crisisLand ownership

CO2 Emissions tons/person•Qatar 48.3•Bahrein 27.0•Emirates 25.9•Koweit 25.7•Luxembourg 23.6

Climate refugeesBangladesh Abandoned city

Texas, USA

Page 9: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Global TrendsTechnological progressTechnological progressGlobal imbalancesGlobal imbalancesHealth and PandemiasHealth and PandemiasIncreasing MobilityIncreasing MobilityEnvironment DeclineEnvironment DeclineIdentity v/s GlobalisatioIdentity v/s Globalisation

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Page 10: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Specific Trends for the TradeAsymmetrical MarketSustainability OpportunitiesRetired population marketMass TourismCultural projects

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Louvre Abu DhabiLouvre Abu Dhabi

Page 11: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Global Trends : MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - GoodsMOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods

MobilityMobilityAir TravelAir TravelIntermodal containerIntermodal containerCyberspaceCyberspaceGlobal hubsGlobal hubs

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Choking citiesJakarta – Up to 10h/dayIndia - $6b/year

Bogota TransMilenio 400km by 2012Curitiba – 1100 km : 2m pax

2015: 600 m living 2 summers

2020: 1,6 b tourists 2010: $ 460 b remittance - 230 m people

HNI : with nomad tools

•Urban mobility •Management models•MIT + Singapore

Page 12: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Digital EraDigital EraDeath of distance?Death of distance?Mobility acceleratorMobility acceleratorNew organisation of spaceNew organisation of space

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

•Increased productivity/efficiency•Online database•Health identifier•Distance learning•Exchange accelerator•Mobile meteo for farmers in Africa•Internet / Facebook revolution•Wikileaks : Big brother II

Global Trends : DIGITAL ERADIGITAL ERA

Page 13: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Identity - CultureIdentity - Culture

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

March 2011March 2011•Rio carnivalRio carnival•Francophony dayFrancophony day•Haiku – World Poetry DayHaiku – World Poetry Day

Global Trends : IDENTITY - CULTUREIDENTITY - CULTURE

Bilbao

Singapore –National Art Gallery

Hybrid/Fusion = InnovationHybrid/Fusion = Innovation

Page 14: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Lessons ?

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Thin

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utsi

de t

he

box

Thin

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New ModelNew Model•Connecting mobilities, affinities, identities, languages•Understanding a globalized, integrated, collaborative world •Sharing new mobility (knowledge/resources) •Designing necessity into beauty

Page 15: INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting

Shi SheiGratias

ObrigadoMerci

SpasibaThank youShoukran

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Gaëtan Siew Imm P President