ipsos mori issues index: may 2014

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Ipsos MORI Issues Index May 2014

2

Base: 998 British adults 18+, 2nd – 12th May 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: May

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

36

34

32

27

17

16

15

14

14

12

Top mentions %

Economy

Unemployment

Housing

NHS

Race relations/Immigration

Education/Schools

Inflation/Prices

Poverty/Inequality

Change since Apr:

0

0

+2

+1

+2

+2

0

-1

0

+2

% Position

Crime/Law and order

Pensions/benefits

-2

+2

+1

3

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Unemployment

NHS

Crime/

Law & Order

Economy

Race / immigration

4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014


Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Global Recession and

Russian Financial

crisis

Highest score since 1992.

Most important issue for the

first time

Sub-prime

mortgage crisis in

the US

Northern Rock

nationalised

End of

recession

announced

Bank

bailout

Cameron becomes

PM

Lowest score since

June 2008 (36%)

5


Issues Facing Britain: Race Relations / Immigration / Immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Race riots in

Burnley, Oldham,

and Bradford

Sangatte detention

centre constantly in the

news throughout 2002

9/11

Anthony Walker

murdered in

Liverpool

Foreign

prisoners

furore

Cameron becomes

PM

Border controls relaxed for

Romanians and Bulgarians

6


Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first

time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to

5.5%

Lowest ever score

(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Cameron becomes

PM

7


Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Fuel

Protests

May day riots

Blair activates civil contingencies

machinery to deal with spiralling street

crime

Tory election pledge of

40,000 more police

Foreign prisoners scandal –

Charles Clarke is sacked

Rhys Jones and

Garry Newlove

murdered

Riots

Prison

overcrowding

reaches record

levels

9/11

Cameron becomes

PM

8


Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Blair tells doctors “not enough”

has been done for the NHS –

allocates extra £20 billion. Report

says waiting lists have doubled

under Labour

Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for

it” – BBC NHS day

Alan Milburn promises 35,000 more

nurses, 40 new hospitals and

development of foundation trusts as part

of NHS plan

General Election – “Battle

of Margaret’s shoulder”

Hewitt heckled at UNISON

conference – fears over NHS

job cuts

Lowest score

since

December 1985

Cameron becomes

PM

9


Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

London

Bombs

Introduction of

means-tested tuition

fees. Education most

important issue.

Fuel

Protests

City academies introduced to

combat entrenched failure in

some urban schools

Lowest score

since Dec 1985

(9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

Education and

Inspections Bill limits

the power of LAs to

open new schools

April 2011 – Pupil Premium

introduced

Cameron becomes

PM

10


Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

9/11

London

Bombs

War in

Iraq

General Election - extra £400

million allocated for defence

budget

Failed terror

attacks in

London and

Glasgow

UK

withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary

vote on action in

Syria

Cameron becomes

PM

Libyan Civil war:

height of NATO

bombing campaign

11


Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Sept 1999: Alastair

Darling – “one

child in three”

living in poverty

November 2013 –

highest score

recorded (16%)

January 2005 –

Make Poverty

History campaign

launched on New

Year’s Day

Cameron becomes

PM

12

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014


Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Inflation rate hits 16 year

peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%

Cameron becomes

PM

13


Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

9/11

House price

peak

A8 Countries join

the EU

House prices rising

at fastest rate in 10

years

2005 Election – Blair promises

to make families £800 better off

and help first time buyers

Highest score

since August

2008 (14%)

Cameron becomes

PM

14

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014


Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Benefits/Social security What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Lords vote to increase

compensation for those whose

company pension schemes have

collapsed

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the

well-off from state benefits

Brown unveils

pension credits

Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough

for their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)

Cameron becomes

PM

15


Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Cameron’s “Vote

Blue, go Green”

campaign at 2006

local elections

Buncefield Oil Depot fire – toxic

cloud reaches northern Spain

Wettest Autumn since records began –

widespread flooding across the UK

EC proposes carbon

emission cuts of 20%

by 2020

Stern

Review on

climate

change

Cameron becomes

PM

Flooding

in England

16

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

G8 commitment to

globalisation in

Cologne

9/11

Treaty of Accession:

10 new EU Member

States

UK starts 6 month

EU Presidency,

France and Holland

reject ratification of

constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)

Amsterdam Treaty signed –

increases EU remit

Cameron becomes

PM

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

17


Rising concern about inequality and our personal financial situation


0

10

20

30

40

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Cameron becomes

PM

One third (33%)

mention one of the

four issues

Prices/Inflation

Poverty/inequality

Low pay/fair wages

Petrol prices

18

34%

27%

27%

28%

18%

AB C1 Overall C2 DE

Who is most concerned about the NHS?


NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare


21%

27

%

28

%

30

%

18-34 Overall 35-54 55+

23%

27%

31%*

*Midlands only: 34%

27%

37%

17%

27%

Concern by age and

social grade Concern by region Concern by newspaper

readership

Independent, Daily Telegraph, FT, The

Times, The Guardian , The Scotsman

Quality papers

Mid-market papers

Red top papers

Overall

Daily Record, The Sun, The Mirror,

The Star

Daily Express, Daily Mail

19

10

%

18%

17%

12%

14%

AB C1 C2 DE Overall

Who is most concerned about housing?


Housing


14%

14

% 18

%

10

%

18-34 Overall 35-54 55+

10%

21%

10%

13%

12%

15%

17%

Concern by age and

social grade Concern by region Concern by tenure

Owns property

Mortgaged

Council renter

Private renter

36%

Greater

London

20 The economy as an issue and economic

optimism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same or get worse over the next 12 months?


-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

% “economy an issue”

EOI net score

% t

hin

k e

co

no

my i

s a

n is

su

e

Ec

on

om

ic O

ptim

ism

Ind

ex

ne

t sc

ore

21

Base: 287 UKIP supporters from Issues Index data, Jan – May 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain in 2014: UKIP supporters


74

30

26

23

20

19

14

13

12

10

36

38

25

30

8

15

12

12

6

10

Top mentions %

Economy

Unemployment

Housing

NHS

Race relations/Immigration

Overpopulation

Low pay/minimum wages

EU

Crime/Law and order

Pensions/benefits

All

UKIP supporters

8

10

16

15

Education

Poverty/inequality

Issues of more general concern outside

UKIP supporters’ top ten:

ipsos mori issues index: may 2014

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