economist / ipsos mori issues index march 2015

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Page 1: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

Contacts:

[email protected]

[email protected]

020 7347 3000

March 2015

Page 2: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

2

45

38

28

21

20

16

16

14

13

12

12

Base: 1,032 British adults 18+, 27th February – 11th March 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Top mentions %

Immigration/Immigrants

Economy

Education/schools

Unemployment

NHS

Defence/Foreign affairs/Terrorism

Housing

Poverty/inequality

Change since Feb:

+9

-3

+1

-2

+4

-2

+1

+1

+3

0

% Position

Pensions/social security/benefits

Low pay/minimum wages/fair pay -1

+1

-1

+1

-1

+3

Crime/Law and Order +1 -1

Page 3: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

3

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Page 4: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Global Recession and

Russian Financial

crisis

Highest score since 1992.

Most important issue for the

first time

Sub-prime

mortgage crisis in

the US

Northern Rock

nationalised

End of

recession

announced

Bank

bailout

Cameron becomes

PM

Lowest score since

June 2008 (28%)

Page 5: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

5

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

* Up until Sept 2014 the code was race/relations/immigration/immigrants

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

9/11

Cameron becomes

PM

Border controls

relaxed for Romanians

and Bulgarians

Border controls relaxed for “A8”

EU Countries (Poland, etc.) Highest score since

March 2008 (45%)

Page 6: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

6

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first

time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to

5.5%

Lowest ever score

(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Cameron becomes

PM

Lowest score this Parliament (20%)

Page 7: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

7

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May day riots Riots in England

Prison

overcrowding

reaches record

levels

9/11

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 8: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

8

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for

it” – BBC NHS day

Hewitt heckled at UNISON

conference – fears over NHS

job cuts

Lowest score

since

December 1985 (12%)

Cameron becomes

PM

A&E waiting times “worst in a

decade”: Highest score since April

2006

Page 9: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

9

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Introduction of

means-tested tuition

fees. Education most

important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score

since Dec 1985

(9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

Education and

Inspections Bill limits

the power of LAs to

open new schools

April 2011 – Pupil Premium

introduced

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 10: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

10

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

9/11

London

Bombs

Invasion of Iraq –

protests across Europe

Failed terror

attacks in

London and

Glasgow

UK

withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary

vote on action in

Syria

Cameron becomes

PM

NATO bombing

in Libyan Civil

War Rise of ISIS

Page 11: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

11

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Sept 1999: Alastair

Darling – “one

child in three”

living in poverty

July 2014 –

highest score

recorded (18%)

January 2005 –

Make Poverty

History campaign

launched on New

Year’s Day

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 12: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

12

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Inflation rate hits 16 year

peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 13: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

13

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

A8 Countries join

the EU

House prices rising

at fastest rate in 10

years

Highest score

since May 2008

(15%)

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 14: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

14

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Lords vote to increase

compensation for those whose

company pension schemes have

collapsed

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the

well-off from state benefits

Gordon Brown

unveils pension

credits

Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough

for their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 15: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

15

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Cameron’s “Vote

Blue, go Green”

campaign at 2006

local elections

Buncefield Oil Depot fire – toxic

cloud reaches northern Spain

Wettest Autumn since records began –

widespread flooding across the UK

EC proposes carbon

emission cuts of 20%

by 2020

Stern

Review on

climate

change

Cameron becomes

PM

Flooding

in England

Page 16: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

16

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

9/11

Treaty of Accession:

10 new EU Member

States France and Holland

reject ratification of

EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)

Amsterdam Treaty signed

Cameron becomes

PM

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Post Euro elections:

Highest score since

June 2005 (12%)

Page 17: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

17

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

45

38

28

21

20

16

16

14

13

12

Immigration/Immigrants

Economy

Education/schools

Unemployment

NHS

Defence/Foreign affairs/Terrorism

Housing

Poverty/inequality

Pensions/social security/benefits

Low pay/minimum wages/fair pay

55

33

25

21

20

19

14

8

8

8

Economy

Crime/Law and Order

NHS

Unemployment

Race relations/immigration

Defence/Foreign affairs/Terrorism

Morality/individual behaviour

Education/schools

Inflation/Prices

Drug abuse

Page 18: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

18

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Base: 560 men and 472 women aged 18+, 27th February – 11th March 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

44

44

24

23

23

17

17

16

14

14

NHS

Education/schools

Unemployment

Economy

Immigration/immigrants

Housing

Poverty/inequality

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Pensions/social security/benefits

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

47

32

32

18

16

16

15

12

11

11

Immigration/immigrants

Economy

Education/Schools

Unemployment

NHS

Poverty/inequality

Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages

Defence/Foreign affairs/Terrorism

Pensions/social security/benefits

Housing

Page 19: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

19

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Economy/ NHS

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Year

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Economy

NHS

Page 20: Economist / Ipsos MORI Issues Index March 2015

20

Year

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Immigration

EU/Europe

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index, 1974-2014.