economist / ipsos mori issues index: july 2015
TRANSCRIPT
JULY 2015 ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX
Contacts:
020 7347 3000
2
Issues Facing Britain: July
Base: 989 British adults 18+, 3rd – 12th July 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
42%
32%
27%
22%
17%
16%
14%
14%
13%
13%
Immigration/immigrants
NHS
Economy
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Poverty/Inequality
Unemployment
Housing
Education/Schools
Low pay/fair wages
Pensions/social security
-3
-8
+12
+1
+1
-2
+1
-2
+3
+2
%
Change since June:
-3
Position
Top mentions %
+7
+1
-1
+1
-2
+1
3
Issues Facing Britain: July
Base: 989 British adults 18+, 3rd – 12th July 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
42%
32%
27%
22%
17%
16%
14%
14%
13%
13%
24%
8%
13%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
4%
2%
Immigration/immigrants
NHS
Economy
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Poverty/Inequality
Unemployment
Housing
Education/Schools
Low pay/fair wages
Pensions/social security
Top mentions %
MOST/OTHER
IMPORTANT ISSUES
MOST IMPORTANT
ISSUE
4
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
NHS UNEMPLOYMENT
CRIME/LAW &
ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION*
*Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
5
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Global Recession
and Russian
Financial crisis
Highest score since 1992;
Most important issue for
the first time
Sub-prime mortgage
crisis in the US
End of
recession
announced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Lowest score
since March 2008
(26%)
Northern Rock
nationalised
6
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Immigration / Immigrants*
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
* Up until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU
Countries (Poland, etc.)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Border controls relaxed for
Romanians and Bulgarians
Highest score since March
2008 (45%)
7
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years
Minimum wage
introduced
Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%
Lowest ever score (5%)
Youth unemployment reaches 1 million
Lowest score since December
2008 (16%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
8
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May day riots Riots in
England
9/11
Lowest score
since Oct 92 (9%)
9
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Report says waiting lists have
doubled under Labour
Lowest score since
December 1985 (12%)
Highest score since April 2006
(47%)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
10
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Introduction of means-tested tuition
fees. Education most important issue.
First City Academies
introduced
Lowest score since
Dec 1985 (9%)
Labour’s second term - pledge to
improve failing secondary schools
Education and Inspections Act
limits the power of LAs to open
new schools
April 2011 – Pupil Premium
introduced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
11
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
9/11 London
Bombs
Invasion of Iraq –
protests across Europe
Failed terror
attacks in London
and Glasgow
UK withdraws
from Iraq
War in
Kosovo
Parliamentary vote
against action in Syria
NATO bombing in
Libyan Civil War
Rise of
ISIS
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
12
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Sept 1999:
Alastair Darling – “one child in
three” living in poverty
July 2014:
highest score
recorded (18%)
January 2005:
Make Poverty History campaign
launched on New Year’s Day
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
13
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Inflation rate hits 16 year peak
Inflation rises to 3.4%
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
14
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
A8 Countries
join the EU
House prices
rising at fastest
rate in 10 years
Highest score since
July 2007 (16%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
15
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Lords vote to increase
compensation for those whose
company pension schemes
have collapsed
Blair and Harriet Harman propose
‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-
off from state benefits
Gordon Brown unveils
pension credits Pensions commission report –
“more than 12 million working
people are not saving enough for
their retirement”
Lowest ever
score (3%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
16
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Wettest Autumn since
records began –
widespread flooding
across the UK
EC proposes carbon emission
cuts of 20% by 2020
Flooding in
England
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
17
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Treaty of Accession: 10 new
EU Member States
France and Holland reject
ratification of EU constitution
Lowest score
recorded (1%)
UKIP come first in Euro
elections
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
EU Referendum bill:
Highest score since June
2005 (13%)
18
Labour and Conservative supporters have differing
views on the most important issues facing Britain What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
53%
38%
33%
32%
19%
15%
13%
13%
10%
9%
Immigration/immigrants
Economy
Defence/foreignaffairs/terrorism
NHS
EU/Europe
Pensions/social security
Education/Schools
Housing
Unemployment
Ageing population
Conservative supporters
39%
34%
30%
27%
22%
21%
19%
15%
15%
14%
NHS
Immigration/immigrants
Poverty/Inequality
Economy
Unemployment
Low pay/fair wages
Education/Schools
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Housing
Pensions/social security
Labour supporters
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Base: 214 Conservative and 268 Labour supporting British adults aged 18+. Fieldwork dates 3rd – 12th July 2015
19
Cameron becomes PM
Concern about the economy and unemployment
are both on the way down What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
Global Recession
and Russian
Financial crisis
Highest score since 1992;
Most important issue for
the first time
Sub-prime mortgage
crisis in the US
End of
recession
announced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Lowest score
since March 2008
(26%)
Northern Rock
nationalised
Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years
Minimum wage
introduced
Lowest ever score (5%)
Youth unemployment reaches 1 million
Lowest score since December
2008 (16%)
Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%
UNEMPLOYMENT ECONOMY
20
Age and social grade – different priorities What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Defence/immigration/NHS/economy
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
34% 37% 37%
49% 48% 48%
23%
19% 18%
23%
28%
21%
34%
23%
30%
25%
29%
21%
32%
19%
32%
38% 41%
31%
ABC1 18-34 C2DE 18-34 ABC1 35-54 C2DE 35-54 ABC1 55+ C2DE 55+
IMMIGRATION DEFENCE/TERRORISM ECONOMY NHS
Base: 989 British adults 18+, 3rd – 12th July 2015