economist/ipsos mori issues index · june 2016 economist/ipsos mori issues index contacts:...

JUNE 2016ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

Contacts: [email protected]

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020 7347 3000

2

Issues Facing Britain: June

Base: 985 British adults 18+, 3rd-13th June 2016

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

48%

37%

32%

27%

18%

17%

15%

15%

14%

10%

Immigration/immigrants

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

European Union/Europe

Economy

Housing

Education/Schools

Poverty/Inequality

Unemployment

Defence/foreignaffairs/terrorism

Low pay/fair wages

+10

+4

+4

+4

+2

-1

+1

0

-3

+4

%

Change since May:

Position

Top mentions %

-3

+2

+3

-1

3

Issues Facing Britain: JuneWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


48%

37%

32%

27%

18%

17%

15%

15%

14%

10%

27%

9%

20%

8%

3%

2%

4%

4%

3%

2%




Economy

Housing

Education/Schools

Poverty/Inequality

Unemployment


Low pay/fair wages

Top mentions %

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE


4

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION*

*Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants

HOUSING

5

Cameron becomes PM

Issues Facing Britain:

Immigration / Immigrants


NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)


Border controls

relaxed for

Romanians and

Bulgarians

Highest concern

ever recorded (56%)

6

Cameron becomes PM


NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

Highest score since April 2006

(47%)

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

7

Cameron becomes PM


Common Market / Europe / Euro / EUWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Treaty of Accession: 10 new

EU Member States

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)

UKIP come first in European

Parliament elections


Highest score since

December 1999 (32%)

8

Cameron becomes PM


Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Global Recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US

End of

recession

announced


Lowest score

since March 2008

(22%)

Northern Rock

nationalised

9

Cameron becomes PM


Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest ever score(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Lowest score since October 2008

(14%)

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

10

Cameron becomes PM


Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May day riots Riots in

England

9/11Lowest score since

March 1991 (8%)

11

Cameron becomes PM


Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Introduction of means-tested tuition

fees. Education most important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

April 2011 – Pupil

Premium introduced


12

Cameron becomes PM


Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

9/11 London

Bombs

Invasion of Iraq –

protests across Europe

Failed terror

attacks in London

and Glasgow

UK withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing

in Libya

Rise

of IS


Paris attacks and

Parliamentary vote for

action against IS in Syria

13

Cameron becomes PM


Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

July 2014:

highest score

recorded (18%)

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day


14

Cameron becomes PM


Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)

Inflation rate hits 16 year peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%


15

Cameron becomes PM


HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

“A8” Countries

join the EU

Highest score since

October 1974 (21%)


16

Cameron becomes PM


Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Equitable Life sells

its non-profit

pension annuities

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-

off from state benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)


17

Cameron becomes PM


Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission

cuts of 20% by 2020

Winter flooding

and storms


18

Cameron becomes PM


Low pay/minimum wage/fair wagesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016


Highest recorded

score (15%)

19

Top issues – concern by party support

Base: 180 Conservative and 322 Labour supporters aged 18+, 3rd-13th June 2016



61%

41%

38%

34%

16%

20%

13%

11%

7%

4%

41%

37%

31%

29%

19%

12%

24%

17%

23%

17%




Economy

Education/Schools


Housing

Unemployment

Poverty/Inequality

Low pay/Fair wages

Top mentions %

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

20

Age and social grade – different top issues amongst

ABC1sWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 985 British adults 18+, 3rd-13th June 2016

48%

47%

46%

Immigration

NHS

EU

48%

45%

37%

NHS

Immigration

Economy

38%

35%

26%

Immigration

NHS

EU

63%

39%

35%

Immigration

EU

NHS

50%

33%

26%

Immigration

NHS

EU

47%

27%

20%

Immigration

Economy

NHS

18

-34

35

-54

55

+

ABC1 C2DE

Social grade

Ag

e b

rac

ke

t

21

Concern about the EU/Europe by subgroups


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44

28%

45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about EU/Europe by age group:

24%

35%

26%

36%

Concern by region:

32%26%

44%38%

31%

40%

32%27% 26%

Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeLocale Party support

Concern about EU/Europe by key demographic groups:

24%

19% 19%29% 31%

35%43%43% 43%

22

Immigration and the EU – contrasting concerns



Ipsos MORI Issues Index

40%

32%

27%26%

19% 19%

29%31%

43% 43%43%45%

60%

47%

37%

46%

49%

45%47%

60%

AB C1 C2 DE 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

EU ImmigrationSocial grade Age group

economist/ipsos mori issues index · june 2016 economist/ipsos mori issues index contacts:...

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