key indicators of the labor market and global employment trends 2012 director lawrence jeff johnson...
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Key Indicators of the Labor Market and Global Employment Trends 2012
Director Lawrence Jeff JohnsonILO Country Office for the Philippines
12th National PESO Congress11 October 2012 Baguio City
ILO Global Employment Trends
ILO Global Employment Trends
Unemployment: tip of the iceberg
=
Workers in vulnerable employment globally
2011 is estimated at 1.52 billionincrease of 136 million since 2000 and of nearly 23 million since 2009
Labour Productivity Growth ASEAN
Source: ILO / Key Indicators of the Labor Market, 7th ed, 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
Cambodia Indonesia Malaysia Singapore
Thailand Philippines Vietnam
GD
P p
er p
erso
n e
mp
loye
d (
1990
=10
0)
Philippine Labour Productivity
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20106700
6900
7100
7300
7500
7700
7900
8100
8300
8500
110
115
120
125
130
135
113.7
118.1
123.7
126.8
124.7
130.6
GDP per person GDP Growth
GD
P p
er p
erso
n e
mp
loye
d (
con
stan
t 19
90 U
S$
at P
PP
)G
DP
pe
r pe
rso
n e
mp
loy
ed
(19
90
=1
00
)
Source: ILO / Key Indicators of the Labor Market 7th ed, 2011
Unemployment Rate
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Indonesia Philippines
Singapore Thailand
South-East Asia & the Pacific
Un
emp
loye
d (
per
cen
t)
Source: ILO / Key Indicators of the Labor Market 7th ed, 2011
Philippines: Unemployment Rate
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2,500,000
2,550,000
2,600,000
2,650,000
2,700,000
2,750,000
2,800,000
2,850,000
2,900,000
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
Total Unemployed Unemployment Rate (%)
To
tal N
um
ber
of
Un
emp
loye
d
To
tal Sh
are of U
nem
plo
yed in
Lab
or F
orce (%
)
Source: NSO’s Labor Force Survey (LFS).
Vulnerable Employment
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 201130
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
Indonesia Philippines Thailand
Vu
lner
able
Em
plo
ymen
t (p
er c
ent)
Source: ILO / Key Indicators of the Labor Market 7th ed, 2011
Philippines: Vulnerable Employment
Source: Constructed from estimates from the NSO’s Labor Force Survey given years
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 201014,200,000
14,300,000
14,400,000
14,500,000
14,600,000
14,700,000
14,800,000
14,900,000
15,000,000
15,100,000
30
35
40
45
50
Vulnerable Employment Vulnerable Employment Rate (%)
Vu
lner
ably
Em
plo
yed
To
tal Sh
are of V
uln
erably E
mp
loyed
in T
otal E
mp
loyed
(%)
Philippine Employment by Sector
36
15.6
48.5
2005
Agriculture Industry Service
33
14.9
52.2
2011
Source: ILO / Key Indicators of the Labor Market 7th ed, 2011
Supply and Demand of Workers
Agribusiness workersEngineers
Allied Workers
ShipbuildersAimators
Medical transcriptionist
Software Programmers
Call Center Agents
BPO Engineers, Accountants, other skilled workersDoctors
Nurses
Hotel and Restaurant workers0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000Demand for WorkersSupply of Workers
Nu
mb
er o
f w
ork
ers
133,938 747,967 178,771
Source: National Human Resources Summit, 2007
Not just the level of growth
“We will only get the
recovery right if we take a
holistic approach to managing the economy—one that focuses not only on standard macroeconomic and financial policies, but also on
job creation and
social protection.”
- International Monetary Fund, 2011
ILO Decent Work Strategic Pillars
Fundamental Principles &
Rights at WorkEmployment
Opportunities
Social Protection
Social Dialogue and Tripartism
Virtuous spiral
Increased Productivity
Increased Real Wages
Increased Earnings
Poverty Alleviation
Productivity & Output Growth
Increased Well-Being & Diminished Inequality
Increased Investments & Demand
Sustainable & Expanding Growth
Decent Work & Employment
Growth
Poverty Alleviation
IncreasedReal Earnings & Social Benefits
Technological Improvements
Increased Demand, Increased Output
Increased Demand & Well-Being
Increased Technological Change
In pursuit of inclusive growth
High-growth” Industries:
• Agribusiness• Business Process Outsourcing• Creative Industries• Infrastructure• Manufacturing and Logistics• Mining• Tourism, Medical Travel,
and Retirement
Joint Foreign Chambers of the Philippines
Labour Market Information System Development and Flow
LMI Collection
(NSO, etc)Poli
cy F
orm
ulatio
n
AnalysisDiss
emina
tion
of L
MI
LMI Collection (NSO, etc)
Policy Formulation
Analysis
Dissemination of LMI
LMI Initiatives
Support to the NSO in defining a sample to produce provincial level estimates
Survey on Children PESO Kit and Capacity Building on
Employment Services Philippines Employment
Projections Model
Thank youFor more information, please contact:
ILO Country Office for the Philippines
Tel: 63 2 580 9900, Fax: 63 2 856 7597
E-mail: [email protected]
www.ilo.org/manila