milk category review
TRANSCRIPT
A LOOK AT FACTORS AFFECTING THE MILK MARKET
AN IN-DEPTH VIEW OF CONSUMER INSIGHTS
Overview Trends
2014: Consumers Insights
Source: Mintel
The big change in 2014 is the progression of “other
than soy” based drinks, i.e. made from rice, nuts, grains
and seeds
Many buyers are not purely motivated by dietary
restrictions, such as vegan diets and lactose sensitivity
to purchase
Flavor and health benefits are leading reasons to choose non-dairy milk
Milk and Non-Dairy Milk Consumption
Source: Mintel
42%
48%
22%
Purchase Non-Dairy Milk
Prefer the Taste of Non-Dairy
Consumers have Lactose sensitivity
In 2014, innovation in dairy-free milk – including soy, rice, nut, grain and seed based drinks – increased by 29% globally
Summary: • Huge opportunity for launching
non-dairy products based on taste and health platform
• Some consumers don’t enjoy the
taste and texture of dairy milk, describing it as too heavy and cloying in the mouth
• Almond Breeze heavily focuses on the taste experience – describing it as ‘extra-special treat’ with a creamy smooth texture that you don’t need to be lactose intolerant to enjoy
Who is Purchasing Non-Dairy Milk and Why?
Source: Mintel January through November
Female, age 55+
Male, age 18-34 Male, age
35-54
Millennials are leading the trend toward non-dairy milk, and believe non-dairy milks are higher in protein, calcium and other vitamins and minerals
Consumers Are Widening Their Milk Repertoire To Non-Dairy Milk
• 14% of dairy-free drinks
launched in 2014 contained
almond, compared to virtually
none 5 years ago
• Coconut milk is also on the
rise: the number of food and
drink products containing
coconut milk increased 56%
between 2013 and 2014
• Purchase overlap between
dairy and non-dairy milk
suggests that respondents buy
multiple varieties of milk for
different needs or occasions,
offering opportunities for
blends or other innovation
Almond and coconut milk are fast growers in the non-dairy segment
Source: Mintel January through November
Fairlife Boosts Protein, Calcium And The Price Of Milk
Launch Information • Launch Date: Feb 2015 • Manufactured by: Coca-Cola • Retailers: Nationwide i.e. Mariano’s,
Kroger, Wal-Mart, Target and Meijer • Avg. Price for 52oz: $3.77
Fairlife Milk vs. regular Milk: • 50% more protein
• 30% more calcium
• ½ the sugar
a2 Milk – The Milk That Might Change Everything
Launch Information • Launch Date: April 2015 • Location: California • Retailers: Safeway , Whole Foods and Kroger • Ave. Price: $4-4.50
A2 Milk vs. regular Milk: Regular Cows’ milk contains A1 and A2 proteins, and for some A1 may cause side effects such as bloating, nausea, gas and diarrhea. a2 Milk comes from specially handpicked diary cows that produce A2, so it may be gentler on your stomach
Alternative Milk Nutritional Chart vs. Whole Milk
per 1 cup Almond Coconut Flax Hemp Rice SoyCashew
Milk
Whole
Milk
Calories 40 552 25 60 45 90 25 146
Total Fat 3.58g 57g 0g 6g 2g 3.5g 0g 8g
Saturated Fat 0.275g 51g 0g 0.5g 0g 3.6g 0g 5g
Iron 0.72mg 0.36mg 0mg 0mg 0.48mg 0mg 0.36mg 0.7mg
Cholesterol 0mg 0mg 0mg 0mg 0mg 0mg 0mg 24mg
Sodium 5mg 36mg 80mg 25mg 135mg 95mg 160mg 98mg
Carbohydrate 1.4g 13g 1g 10g 10g 9g 1g 13g
Dietary Fiber 0.8g 5g 0g 0g 0g 1g 0g 0g
Sugars 0.34g 8g 0g 6g 6g 7g 0g 13g
Calcium 45% 45% 30% 46% 30% 45% 45% 33%
Protein 1.51g 5g 0g 2g 1g 6g 0g 8g
Cashew Milk
In Summary
Soy milk: High in protein but more expensive and large amounts of soy have the potential to alter menstrual cycles in women, and stimulate breast cancer cells
Coconut milk: Easily digestible, antifungal, and antiviral. High in vitamins and essential minerals magnesium, potassium, and iron
Hemp milk: Less common than other milk alternatives, and that can make it harder to find. Rich in nutrients and anti-inflammatory.
Almond milk: High mineral, vitamins, and healthy fats (monounsatured)
Flax milk: many minerals and nutrients, but contains phytoestrogens
Rice milk: High in carbohydrates and sugar, and low in protein and fat
Cashew milk: Good source of healthy fats, copper, manganese, magnesium, phosphorus, iron, and zinc
New Nut Milk - Pecan Milk
“Homemade Pecan milk is a great dairy-free alternative and is also very cost effective comparatively to buying store bought nut milks” -Shelley Alexander from A Harmony Healing Health Benefits: • Contains Omega-3 fatty
acids • Contain 20 grams of fat • 3 grams of protein and 4
grams of carbs • 3 grams of fiber • High in mineral -
magnesium and Copper
AN IN-DEPTH VIEW BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS
Milk Category Overview
Milk Market Share – 2013 vs. 2014 and 2015 YTD
65% 63% 62%
26% 27% 28%
4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4%
2% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 Market Volume Share 2014 Market Volume Share 2015 YTD Market VolumeShare
Milk Market Share
All Other *
ALMOND MILK
FLAV MILK/EGGNOG/BUTTERMILK
WHOLE MILK
SKIM/LOWFAT MILK
*All Other includes Coconut Milk, Soy Milk, Kefir, Milkshakes/Non-dairy drinks, and Milk Substitutes
Skim/Low-fat Milk has given up share to Whole Milk and Almond Milk in 2014 Same trend in 2015 YTD totals
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014 YTD 2/22/15
-2%
1%
1%
-1%
1%
=
58% 69% 70%
36% 25% 22%
4% 4% 4%
1% 1% 3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2013 Market Volume Share 2014 Market Volume Share 2015 Market Volume Share
Alternative Milk Volume Share
MILK SUBSTITUTES - ALL OTHER
COCONUT MILK
SOY MILK
ALMOND MILK
Milk Alternates – Share Shift 2013 vs. 2014 and 2015YTD
13%
-11%
Soy Milk has given up share to Almond Milk Coconut and All Other Milk Alternatives market share remain the same
Same trend in 2015 YTD
1%
-3%
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014 YTD 2/22/15
*Milk Substitutes – All Other includes Goat Milk, Flax Milk, and Lactose Free Milk
Alternative Milk Volume Share vs. Growth - 2014
Overview • Overall Alternative Milk increased by 17% compared to prior year • Private Label represent 13% however it increased by 28% compared to prior year • Blue Diamond is the fastest growing brand in the category
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014
7%
41%
28%
12%
-16%
272%
-50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300%
WHITEWAVE FOODS COMPANY
BLUE DIAMOND GROWERS
PRIVATE LABEL
TURTLE MOUNTAIN
8TH CONTINENT
CALIFIA FARMS
Volume Share vs. Growth
% Volume Share YOY % Cat Change
Lactose Milk Volume Share vs. Growth - 2014
Overview • Overall Lactose Milk increased by 7% compared to prior year • Private Label represent 24% however, it increased by 13% compared to prior year • Horizon Organic represent 2% however, it increased by 35% compared to prior year
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014
6%
13%
35%
16%
-42%
8%
-10%
-7%
-8%
-54%
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
HOOD LACTAID
PRIVATE LABEL
HORIZON ORGANIC
ORGANIC VALLEY
SMART BALANCE
DARIGOLD
SHAMROCK FARMS CALCIUM PLUS
KEMPS
WHITE WAVE LAND O LAKES DRY EAS
SPECIAL REQUEST SKIM PLUS
Volume Share vs. Growth
% Volume Share YOY % Cat Change
Almond Milk Volume Share vs. Growth - 2014
29%
41%
105%
272%
107%
-5%
28%
0%
-50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300%
WHITEWAVE FOODS COMPANY
BLUE DIAMOND GROWERS
PRIVATE LABEL
CALIFIA FARMS LLC
HILAND DAIRY FOODS CO LLC
TURTLE MOUNTAIN INC.
PRAIRIE FARMS DAIRY
OAKHURST DAIRY
Volume Share vs. Growth
% Volume Share YOY % Cat Change
Overview • Overall Almond Milk increased by 40% compared to prior year • Private Label only represent 10% however it increased by 105% compared to prior year • Two vendors dominate the segment Whitewave - 48% and Blue Diamond – 40%
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014
Almond & Soy Milk Average Price - 2014
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014
& $3.12
Private Label $2.89
$0.23
$3.48
Private Label $2.91
$0.57
Almond 64OZ Almond Milk Avg. Price Per Unit
Soy 64OZ Soy Milk Avg. Price Per Unit
AN IN-DEPTH VIEW BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS
Organic Milk Overview
Success Story: Kroger
“Simple Truth, Kroger Co.’s store brand for natural and organic foods, reached $1.2 billion in sales in 2014 after two
years on shelves”
- Kroger spokesman
The Organic Conversion
“Milk is often a consumer’s first organic food purchase”
- The Wall Street Journal
Organic Milk Trends
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014 Source: Mintel January through November
Organic Milk is the gateway to the rest of your organic program
It takes an entire Organic program (multiple categories) to be successful
Organic Milk Volume Share vs. Growth - 2014
10%
1%
7%
2%
8%
13%
-2%
-3%
7%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
PRIVATE LABEL
WHITEWAVE FOODS
ORGANIC VALLEY
STONYFIELD FARM
STREMICKS HERITAGE FOODS
TURTLE MOUNTAIN
CLOVER STORNETTA FARMS
KEMPS
SHAMROCK FOODS
LIFEWAY FOODS
Volume Share vs. Growth
% Volume Share YOY % Cat Change
Overview • Overall Organic Milk Category increased 5% compared to prior year • Turtle Mountain shows a 8% growth compared to prior year • Clovers Stornetta shows a 13% growth compared to prior year • Private Label represent 47% of the Organic Milk Category and shows 9% growth
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014
Organic Milk 64oz Average Price - 2014
$3.19
$4.08
$4.19
$4.43
$0.89
$0.12
$0.23
Source: IRI Calendar Year 2014
Organic 64OZ Organic Milk Avg. Price Per Unit
Very healthy Private Label
spread
SUGGESTIONS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS
How to Improve Milk Sales
Market to the Millennials
Developing:
Focus on developing non-dairy products based on taste and heath platform
Consider in-store sampling to influence consumers perception
Advertising:
Ads should be targeted toward Millennials as they are leading the trend toward non-dairy milk
Focus on protein, calcium and other vitamins and minerals claims
42%
48%
22%
Purchase Non-Dairy Milk
Prefer the Taste of Non-Dairy
Consumers have Lactose sensitivity