mipim 2012 - wrap-up keynote address from francois ortalo-magne

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Prof. François Ortalo-Magné Albert O. Nicholas Dean Wisconsin School of Business MIPIM 2012: Insights from participants

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Austerity-Stimulus, Risks-Opportunities: Fresh insights and way forward. The US and Europe have embarked on fundamentally different paths in resolving their debt challenges: Austerity measures in Europe versus stimulus in the US. Policy outcomes will be different, and cannot be overlooked by real estate investors. There are many risks to consider and lots of opportunities ahead. How should investors approach the market today? What strategies are investors pursuing for a brighter tomorrow? Join us for the freshest insights on real estate markets: A combination of our panelists' research, your insights gathered during MIPIM conferences and events, and through our survey responses.

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Page 1: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Prof. François Ortalo-Magné Albert O. Nicholas DeanWisconsin School of Business

MIPIM 2012:Insights from participants

Page 2: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

How is your business activity this quarter compared to same quarter last year?

Better

Same

Worse

49%

41%

11%

Page 3: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Why

• Tedious transition

• High stakes• The crisis

How

• Transparency• Control• Alignment• Trust

What

• Core: • Fixed income• Relative to

financial assets• Non Core:

• Alternative

A new paradigm for real estate investment?

Page 4: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Is now the time to invest beyond core/safe real estate assets?

Yes

No

70%

30%

71%

29%

2012 2011

Page 5: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Is the state of debt markets an impediment to your activity or an opportunity to make profits?

Impediment

Opportunity

53%

48%

Page 6: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Has uncertainty about the fate of the Euro affected your activity?

Yes

No

55%

45%

Page 7: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Low Risk

• Fiscal responsibility

• Social responsibility

• Local DNA

Spillovers

• Infrastructure• Catalysts• Cultural change

Concerns

• Who pays?• Elections• National

framework

Proactive and competitive cities

Page 8: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

What do you consider the biggest impediment to investment in your city or region?

Political climate

Local economic fundamentals

Competition from other cities

Global economic conditions

13%

23%

28%

37%

Page 9: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

What competitive advantage did you emphasize here at MIPIM to make your city attractive to investors?

Growth

Infrastructure

High-tech base

New vision

Location

14%

16%

16%

20%

34%

Page 10: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

How has MIPIM changed your outlook?

More Optimistic

Same

Less Optimistic

54%

43%

3%

Page 11: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

What is your perspective on your real estate market compared to same time last year?

More Optimistic

Same

Less Optimistic

50%

35%

15%

Page 12: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Are you planning to hire this year?

Yes

No

64%

36%

Page 13: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

In conclusion

• FT this morning– “Bondholders back Greek bailout”– “Too much information –

are regulators overwhelmed?”• Core real estate: safe yield asset class• Cities as supporting-coordinating structures• A professional MIPIM

Page 14: MIPIM 2012 - Wrap-Up Keynote address from Francois Ortalo-Magne

Survey conducted by

The Wisconsin Real Estate MBA Class of 2013With the support of Prof. Erwan Quintin