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CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

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Page 1: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

CUNA Economic Update

February 2018

Jordan van Rijn,

Senior Economist

Page 2: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

CUNA Economic Update is sponsored by

Page 3: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

5.0

7.3

9.99.3

8.57.9

6.7

5.65.0 4.7

4.1 4.1 3.9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018January

2018Forecast

Unemployment RatePercent Changes

Source: BLS

Page 4: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist
Page 5: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20160

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

In Billions

Member Business Lending by Credit UnionsSource: CUNA

No. business Loans Amt. Business Loans (billions)

Page 6: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

Source: Federal Reserve Small Business Credit Survey (April 2017)

Page 7: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

Source: Federal Reserve Small Business Credit Survey (April 2017)

Page 8: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

Source: Federal Reserve Small Business Credit Survey (April 2017)

Page 9: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist
Page 10: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

$275,105

$48,392

$1,071,426

$102,177

Conditional Mean Conditional Median

Credit Union Bank

Business Equity

10.0%

14.7%

Percentage who own any Business Equity

Credit Union Bank

Business Equity represents the net value of the business if it were to be sold at the time of the surveySource: Survey of Consumer Finances (2016).

Page 11: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist
Page 12: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist
Page 13: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

Source: Federal Reserve Small Business Credit Survey (April 2017)

Page 14: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist
Page 15: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist
Page 16: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

Credit Union Competitive Advantage

1. Borrower acquisition

2. Borrower experience & satisfaction

3. Customer & product mix

4. Costs of funds

5. Cost of underwriting, operating & regulatory compliance

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Page 17: New CUNA Economic Update · 2018. 2. 12. · CUNA Economic Update February 2018 Jordan van Rijn, Senior Economist

CUNA Economic Update is sponsored by