polish media: everything is...
TRANSCRIPT
POLISH MEDIA:EVERYTHING IS POLITICS
March 2017
AmCham Marketing & Communications Committee
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OVERVIEW: THE POLISH MEDIA MARKETTHE DUOPOLY: DIGITAL AND TVDECLINE OF PUBLIC TV ACCELERATESONLINE VIDEO IS EXPLODINGTHE ADBLOCKALYPSE
PRINT MEDIA’S AGONY CONTINUESTHE STAMPEDE TO DIGITALSTORM CLOUDS OVER PRINT: SOROS TO THE RESCUE!REPOLONIZATION: FOLLOWING IN PUTIN’S FOOTSTEPS?
HOW TO GET NOTICEDCONTENT MARKETINGTALKING TO JOURNALISTS: 3 TIPS
The Duopoly: Digital and TV
Similar to other markets: Digital is squeezing out print and radio
Media groups are expanding online video
Trend is accelerating: Wyborcza sacking top journalists; Sukces and Bloomberg BusinessWeek going digital-only; BusinessInsider enters the market
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Poland Czech Rep. Germany USA
Source: MEC
49,7 47,7 45,7 45,9 42,9 49,6
25,2 23,8 26,741,5 44 43,6
7,5 6,7 7,4 6,8 7,14,6
4,3 4,2 4,4
6,1 4,7 4,1
13,97,7
1,915,5
9,9 6,642,7
34 23,7
22,2 13,37,8
15,8
9,4
4
17,2
12,1 10,2
17,3
13,9
11,3
19,9
16,412,9
319,8
33,3
7,318,1 21,1
4,619
27,1
7,919,1
29,2
10,1 8,7 7,7 7,3 9,9 7,9 5,9 5,1 6,8 2,4 2,5 2,4
2005 2010 2016f 2005 2010 2016f 2005 2010 2016f 2005 2010 2016f
TV Radio Newspapers Magazines Internet Other
Distribution of Ad Spending
Decline in Public TV Viewership Accelerates
Expansion of terrestrial digital: continued fragmentation, continued dominance
Public TV market share continues shrinking after politics takes center stage
Polsat takes the lead as most popular TV channel, overtaking TVP1
TVN’s Fakty becomes top news program
Viewers flee TVP’s main news programs, then stay away for prime time
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78% 74%67%
60%48%
43% 41%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016
Top 4 (TVP1, TVP2, TVN, Polsat) share
Polsat11,45%
TVP111,10%
TVN10,37%
TVP28,32%
2016
Polsat11,60%
TVP112,28%
TVN10,65%
TVP28,72%
2015
Source: MEC
Politics Shapes Ad Spending
State-owned giants halt advertising on TVN, spending it on less popular TVP
PGNiG absent from TVN since 2015, PGE left in 2016, Orlen and PZU in 2017
Ad prices at private stations unaffected so far
Anecdotal evidence of advertisers saying “I’m not going to advertise on that propaganda mouthpiece”
Remember: TV in Poland is still CHEAP compared to elsewhere in Europe
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Top 10 State-Owned Advertisers on TVP and TVN
Source: Kantar Media
TVP61%
TVN39%
2015
TVP79%
TVN21%
2016
TVP84%
TVN16%
JAN-FEB 2017
43%
35%
76%
33%
25%
9% 4%
30%
16%18%
aVOD aVOD/sVOD/tVOD aVOD/sVOD PAID TV sVOD
Most Popular Sources of Long-Format Videosin 2016
Online Video Is Exploding
Online video ad spend is PLN 300 mln - 350 mln
Higher than spending on dailies, almost 10% of TV spend
Mainly taking share from press; in other markets, becoming a threat to TV
Investments in online video: Poles don’t read
Netflix vs Showmax: Poles will pay, but:
• they demand value for money
• local content is key
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Source: MEC VIDEO TRACK 2016
Key Trends: AdBlockalypse
Number of users with ad blockers installed is No. 2 in Europe
Trend is particularly strong among young users
Media are starting to demand white-listing
Advertisers are responding by shifting to Facebook and content marketing
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Source: MEC Wavemaker
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PRINT MEDIA’S AGONY CONTINUESTHE STAMPEDE TO DIGITALSTORM CLOUDS OVER PRINT: SOROS TO THE RESCUE!REPOLONIZATION: FOLLOWING IN PUTIN’S FOOTSTEPS?
The Stampede to Digital
Agora expands digital; >100,000 Wyborcza subscribers (cf. NYT, WaPo)
Dailies expand Internet TV offerings: Wyborcza, Rzeczpospolita, Parkiet
Arms race – Ringier Axel Springer (Onet, Forbes) vs Wirtualna Polska:
• heavy investment in expansion of internet television services
• new channels/programs; hiring celebrities, including those sacked from public TV
• No. 3 web portal Interia also expanding
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Source: Gemius/PBI
Users of Weeklies’ Websites (mln)
2,51
1,311,09
0,68 0,63
2,98
1,72 1,601,47
1,30
newsweek.pl wpolityce.pl niezalezna.pl polityka.pl wprost.pl
Dec-15 Dec-16
Storm Clouds Gather Over Print
Sales of dailies continue to fall; only Gazeta Polska Codziennie sees sales growth
Agora cuts costs, sacking top journalists
Soros buys 11% of Agora from pension funds; political gesture to defend independence
State-owned Orlen/Lotos limit displays of Wyborcza newspaper at their gas stations
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0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Av
era
ge
sal
es
Average Sales of Dailies
Fakt
Gazeta Wyborcza
Super Express
Rzeczpospolita
Dziennik-Gazeta Prawna
Gazeta Polska Codziennie
Puls Biznesu
Parkiet
Source: ZKDP
The Word of the Year: Repolonization
Government working on antitrust law changes to limit foreign ownership (cf. U.S., France)
After banks and power, another sector where government wants to increase influence
Axel Springer CEO: Poland following in Putin's footsteps (retroactive ownership limits)
Market impact:
• will they find buyers?
• quality may drop
• exodus of journalists could push down sales
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•No.1 Radio: RMF FM – 24.5% market share
•No.1 Magazine Publisher: 38 titles
•No.3 web portal: Interia.pl
•No.1 Daily: Fakt – 281,242 copies sold in 2016 on average
•No.3 Weekly: Newsweek -112,112 copies sold in 2016
•No.1 web portal: Onet.pl
•Forbes
•No.1 publisher of regional dailies: 20 titles
•150 regional weeklies
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HOW TO GET NOTICEDCONTENT MARKETINGTALKING TO JOURNALISTS: 3 TIPS
How to Get Noticed: Content Marketing
Solution to AdBlockalypse
Can address all media and platforms
Businesses need an arsenal of content creators (including professional writers, editors, designers, analysts)
Consumers are spending more time online: use data to drive strategies
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Talking to Journalists: 3 Tips
Talk to news agencies: ISB News, PAP Biznes
• media outlets are cutting their business desks
Recognize that cross-platforming may push down quality
• print journos required to write online (Bonnier: Puls print, pb.pl and bankier.pl; Wirtualna consolidates money.pl with finanse.wp.pl; Axel)
• news may go stale as it appears in other media from the same owner
Changes in the press law: deadline for authorization; other changes?
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ALDGATE STRATEGY GROUP SP. Z O.O., UL. NOWOGRODZKA 21, 00-511 WARSZAWA, WWW.ALDGATE.PL
OLGA MARKIEWICZ
(+48) 601 286 362 [email protected]
NATHANIEL ESPINO
(+48) 696 041 731 [email protected]
PAWEŁ KOZŁOWSKI
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