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Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose Toyota Motor Corporation

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Page 1: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable

Mobility

Oct. 20 2014

Katsuhiko Hirose

Toyota Motor Corporation

Page 2: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Crude oil supply forecast

Source: IEA; ExxonMobil

(units: m

illio

n o

il-equiv

ale

nt

barr

els

/day)

Global liquids supply by type

2

Others

Biofuels

Deep-sea oil fields

Oil sands

Crude oil

(conventional oil fields)

Liquid natural gas

Source: U.N. Dept. of Economic and Social Affairs

Global population

Urban population

Po

pu

lati

on

10

(billion)

8

6

4

2

0

Global and urban population Global GDP

Source: OECD Environmental Outlook

• Global GDP to increase more than threefold

• Global population of 9.6 billion

• 70% of the world’s population living in cities

- Developing non-conventional resources will increase the global oil supply

- Rapid increase in overall/urban population and economy leading to Intensified

environmental problems (climate change, global warming, air pollution)

Page 3: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

State of the automobile

Increasing CO2 emissions

(global warming)

Concern over future oil supply

Increase in

number of

vehicles

Surge in

fossil fuel

consumption

Increasing air pollution

Growth of global

industry and

technology in the

20th century

3 3

Page 4: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

A sustainable society

A society which uses diverse energy sources,

with electricity and hydrogen infrastructures

EVs/PHVs

Electricity

storage

facilities Thermal

power

generation

Power generation units

Automotive fuel

Hydrogen

tanks

Biomass

Wastewater

Photovoltaic

generation

Wind power Renewable

Energy

Fossil Fuels Electricity Grid

Hydrogen Grid

Hydrogen-Electricity Conversion

High-volume,

long-term storage

Electrolysis

Industry

Electricity

Energy Flow

Hydrogen

Fossil fuels

FCVs/FC buses

Urban/

residential

HVs

Refineries/chemical plants

Chemical

plants

Urban/

residential

Urban/

residential

4

Page 5: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Diversification of automobile fuels and powertrains

Primary energy

sources Automotive fuels Powertrains

Oil

Natural gas

Coal

Plants

Uranium

Hydro, solar, geothermal electricity

generation

Gaseous fuels

Synthetic fuels

Biofuels

Electricity

Hydrogen

Diesel

Gasoline Conventional

vehicles

&

HV

EV

FCV

PHV

5 S

avin

g o

il F

uel

div

ers

ifica

tion

5

Page 6: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Birth of the Prius 6

“In time for the 21st century”

Dec. ’97: sales started

6

Page 7: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

7 Hybrid vehicles: Lineup

Toyota has introduced hybrid models to all the vehicle categories

Compact

Medium

Large

SUV

Minivan

Commercial

As of Jan. 2014

7

Page 8: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Hybrid vehicles: Sales

1997 1999 2001 2009 2011 2003 2005 2007 2013 2014

Per y

ear

(millio

n)

1.2

1.4

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

Number of units

sold per year

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

(millio

n)

Cum

ula

tive

HV global sales

・’12: Achieved 1 million units sales

per year for the first time

・Mar. ’13: Cumulative sales passed 5

million units

- Dec. ’13: Cumulative sales passed

6 million units

cumulative

3 million units

2 million units

1 million units

4 million units

5 million units

6 million units

8 8

As of Jun

Approaching 7 million units

Page 9: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

9 Development of hybrid technology

EV

HV

PHV

FCV

Motor

Fuel tank

PCU

Battery

En

gin

e

Generator

Motor

Fuel tank

PCU

Battery

En

gin

e

Motor

Fuel

tank

PCU

Battery

En

gin

e

Generator

Motor PCU

Battery

Hydrogen

tank

Fuel

cell

Hybrid technology as core technology

including PHV, EV, FCV elements

9

Page 10: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Fuel diversity and uses

EVs: Short-distance, HVs & PHVs: Wide-use,

FCVs: Medium-to-long distance

Short-distance commuter vehicles

Travel distance

Fuel Electricity Gasoline, diesel, biofuels, CNG, synthetic fuels, etc. Hydrogen

Home delivery vehicles

EVs

HVs

PHVs

FC buses

FCVs

Ve

hic

le

siz

e

Passenger cars

Route buses

Personal mobility

EVs

HV/PHVs FCVs

Home delivery trucks

Full-size trucks

10

Page 11: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Characteristics of alternative fuels

The strengths of individual alternative fuels

EVs are appropriate for short-distance commuting and fleet use

FCVs are for future zero emission main stream

Electricity

Hydrogen

Biofuel

Natural gas

Well-to-wheel CO2

Poor

to Excellent

Poor

to Excellent

Poor

to Excellent Good

Supply volume Excellent Excellent Poor Good

Cruising range Poor Excellent Excellent Good

Fueling/charging

time Poor Excellent Excellent Excellent

Dedicated

infrastructure Good Poor Excellent Good

Internal combustion

engines

Internal combustion

engines FCV EV

11

Page 12: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

12 EV-FCV comparison

EV

FCV

FCV優位

EV優位

Syste

m c

ost

Cruising range

FCV advantages

FCV system’s cost increase over long cruising ranges is rather small Has advantages in mid-to-long ranges

EV advantages

12

Page 13: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

13 Advantages of FCVs

Energy diversification

Hydrogen can be produced

from various primary energy

sources

Driving pleasure

Zero emissions

Zero CO2 emissions during driving

Practical cruising range

(Similar to conventional

sized vehicle)

Refueling time (approx. 3 min.)

Cold-start capability (-30ºC)

Performance

Power supply capabilities are 4-5 times that of an EV,

and can supply power to an average household for more than a

week

Large power supply capability for emergencies

Smooth start and good

acceleration at low and medium

speeds

Smooth and quiet operation

13

Page 14: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

14

Size reduction

Achieved 3.0kW/L

Enabled under-seats layout

Output power More than 100kW

Output power density:

Improved more than double (Compared to TOYOTA FCHV-adv)

FC system development

Realized performance improvement and

size reduction of fuel cell system

Top-level

14

Page 15: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Tank storage density:

Improved approx. 20% Achieved 5.7wt% (Compared to TOYOTA FCHV-adv)

15 High-pressure hydrogen tank development

Decrease in number of tanks per

vehicle from four to two

※hydrogen storage per unit tank mass

Realized performance improvement and cost reduction of

high-pressure hydrogen tank

Reduced costs

Top-level

(70MPa) (70MPa)

15

Re-examination of material used

and manufacturing process

Page 16: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

16 FC system development

Aiming for further improvement toward its market introduction

Vehicle system efficiency 60% 65%

(Compared to TOYOTA FCHV-adv., LA#4 mode, Toyota measurement)

No humidifier Enhanced reliability, reduced size, weight, and cost

Adoption of boost converter Fewer number of cells, smaller motor

16

Boost converter Fuel cell Hydrogen tank

Motor power control unit Battery Fuel filler

Page 17: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Fuel cell system cost reduction

Design Production technology

Limited sales

Mass production

Resolve technical issues

Market entry Widespread use

Reduce cost

Costs down to 5% of

FCHV-adv costs (2015)

Further cost

reductions

FCHV-adv (2008)

Fuel cell system costs have decreased significantly,

and will continue to decrease.

17

Page 18: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

World-wide location of hydrogen stations

Few hundreds of hydrogen stations are planned by 2015

Hawaii

Japan

Scandinavia

Korea

France

UK

China

Germany

Japan

Started 19 sites construction in 2013

Approx. 100 sites by 2015

[as stated in Japan Reconstruction

Strategy in July 2012]

UK

UKH2Mobility:

aim: 65 sites Nordic MOU

Developed hydrogen

promotion program in

Nordic countries USA

Established H2USA

Aiming to construct

infrastructure by DOE

and private companies

In operation Planned

Not in operation

Areas where infrastructure development

can be expected from early 2015

California

37 sites by 2014

(plans for 68 sites in 2015)

[July 2012 CaFCP Roadmap]

Germany

50 sites by 2015

[public-private basic

agreement in 2012]

Northeast states

Project started, aiming

for 100 sites by 2020

Areas where infrastructure development

can be expected after 2015

USA

18

Page 19: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Project in Germany

10 sites in operation, 6 sites under construction, 30 sites under planning (Based on CEP data)

Siemens focuses post nuclear power business.

It conducts as part of its approach to ex-electric power company shifting to general energy company.

FCV fuel

Produce hydrogen by electrolyzation

Cogeneration power

Mixed with biogas using existing facilities

Use of heat

Germany has already started test programs using hydrogen

combined to other renewable energies

19

i.e. Hydrogen made from wind power used for power generation and FCV fuel (Enertrag HP)

Page 20: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

20

Example of container-type low cost station (Linde, Germany)

1. Hydrogen station deployment

- Material standards

- Pressure standards

- Accumulator structure

- Adjacent stations

- Periodic inspection method

- Self-service stations, etc.

2. Station technology development 3. Regulation review

“Action plan for regulation review” was announced in Dec 2010.

“Early

commercialization”

In 4 major metropolitan

areas

100 stations

“Commercialization

expanding”

47 prefectural

capitals covered

800 stations

“Mass commercialization”

Nation-wide hydrogen

net established

5,000 stations

2015 2025 from 2030 onward

Commercialization start

in 2015 Based on the proposal of Council of Competitiveness-Nippon (COCN)

Project in Japan

It is necessary to solve these three issues for hydrogen station establishment.

Page 21: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

Large amount

Long-term

Concept of “HyGrid”: Hybrid of electricity and hydrogen grid

Wind

power

Solar

power

・Water power

・Geothermal heat

・etc.

Renewable energies

Hydrogen grid

Hydrogen

storage

Hydrogen (as needed) Hydrogen station

EV

PHV FCV

Electricity grid

Stationary FC

Society Emergency power supply

By-product

hydrogen

Commercial

hydrogen Storage

battery

Water

electrolyzation Little amount

Short-term

Electricity

Hydrogen grid: Store or transfer hydrogen derived from renewable energies

Utilization of “HyGrid”, integration of electricity grid and hydrogen grid, enables optimization of total energy use for society.

Power plant

(Hydrogen, biomass)

21

Page 22: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

June 25 ’14 Official announcement of FCV 22

Page 23: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

23

<Japan> Sales start before April 2015

<US & EU> Preparations are underway for launches in 2015

Timing

<Japan> Through Toyota dealers and Toyopet dealers in Japan

(Deploy where hydrogen stations are expected to deploy)

<US & EU> Have not yet been decided

Sales Channel

<Japan> Around 7M yen in Japan

<US & EU> Have not yet been decided

Price

June 25 ’14 Official announcement of FCV

Page 24: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

24 Summary

Hybrid technology as core technology to correspond energy

saving and fuel diversification

Next-generation eco-friendly cars should be used depending

on its powertrain and fuel characteristics

Combine next-generation eco-friendly cars and electricity and

hydrogen grid enables efficient use of renewable energies

Page 25: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile

25

Hybrids have paved the way for electrified powertrains.

Hybrid technology will continue to play a key role in

electrified powertrains.

Conclusion

FCV represents Toyota’s long-term goal of fostering a

sustainable mobility society.

Toyota has always pushed boundaries.

Our ideas are revolutionary at the time,

but eventually they become “the norm”.

Page 26: Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility · 2016-02-05 · Toyota’s Effort Towards Sustainable Mobility Oct. 20 2014 Katsuhiko Hirose ... air pollution) State of the automobile