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Page 1: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

www.coneval.gob.mx

Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave

Gonzalo Hernández Licona

March, 2014

Page 2: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Measuring poverty according to the Social Development Law (2005)

Dimensions for poverty

measurement

•Current income per capita

• Educational gap

• Access to health services

• Access to social security

• Quality of dwelling

• Dwelling’s basic services

• Access to food

National, State and

Municipality level

Social rights’

approach

Page 3: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Advantages of the social rights approach

• It solves problems of weights and thresholds:– Since human rights are indivisible &

interdependent, they all have the same relative importance. They have the same weight.

– The Mexican regulation sets thresholds for several dimensions.

• The poverty measurement has a normative approach.

Page 4: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Social RightsDeprivations

Main features

Income cut-off

WithoutDeprivations

035 24 16

PoorIncom

e

• Education• Health services • Social security • Quality

dwelling • Dwelling´s

services• Access to food

Page 5: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Moderate

poor

Social RightsDeprivations

Income cut-off

Extreme poor

03

Vulnerable people by

social deprivation

s

Vulnerable people by

income

5 24 16

Not poor and not

vulnerable

Minimum IncomeCut-off

Public policy

Poverty identificationIn

com

e

Page 6: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Social RightsDeprivations

EWL

035 24 16

Not poor and not vulnerable

21.8 million19.3%

MWLIncom

eTotal population 2010 (112.6 millions)

Urban = $2,114 Rural = $1,329

Source: estimates by CONEVAL based on MCS-ENIGH 2010.

Extreme poor

10.4% (11.7 million)3.7 deprivations

on average

35.8% (40.3 million)

2.1 deprivations on average

Moderate poorUrban = $978 Rural = $684

46.2 % 52.0 millions 2.5 deprivations on average

Poverty

Page 7: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

4.1

-2.5

-2.3

-2.9

-9.0

-0.8

4.8

3.2

-10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0

Change in multidimensional poverty 2008-2010.Mexico

Fuente: estimaciones del CONEVAL con base en el MCS-ENIGH 2008 y 2010

Poverty

Nr of people with low income

Access to food

Basic services in the house

Quality of housing

Access to social security

Access to health services

Educational gap

Dep

rivatio

ns

Millions of People

Page 8: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Using the multidimensional approach for policy purposes

• It is now possible to evaluate the effect of social policy not only on income poverty but also on specific social deprivations.

• Measuring poverty in a multidimensional way helps governments to do better in terms of policy

• Poverty is a multidimensional phenomenon and must be tackled and measured in a multidimensional way

Page 9: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

ANNEX

Page 10: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Social RightsDeprivations

LBE

03

Vulnerable people by social deprivation 32.3 million

28.7%1.9 deprivations on average

Vulnerable people by

income6.5 million

5.8%

5 24 16

Not poor and not vulnerable

21.8 million19.3%

LBM

Wellb

ein

gIn

com

eTotal population 2010 (112.6 millions)

Urban = $2,114 Rural = $1,329

Source: estimates by CONEVAL based on MCS-ENIGH 2010.

Extreme poor

10.4% (11.7 million)3.7 deprivation on

average

35.8% (40.3 million)

2.1 deprivations on average

Moderate poorUrban = $978 Rural = $684

46.2 % 52.0 millions 2.5 deprivations on average

Poverty

Page 11: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Educational gap[20.6%]

Social Deprivations

Access to health services[31.8%]

Access to social security [60.7%]

Quality of dwelling [15.2%]

Access to housing basic services [16.5%]

Access to food [24.9%]

Source: estimations of CONEVAL based on MCS-ENIGH 2010.

Page 12: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Economic wellbeing

Incomes below EWL [52.0%]

Incomes below EMWL

[19.4%]

Source: estimations of CONEVAL based on MCS-ENIGH 2010.

Page 13: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

THRESHOLDS

Page 14: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Legal criteria

Experts criteria

How to determine thresholds? Social rights

Consultation with specialists

Use of legal norms, if they exist

Public institutions

Health, Housing, Social Security, Education

Page 15: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Educational gap

Population aged 3-15

years

Population aged

16 years or older

She or he is not attending a formal educational center

• When someone was born before 1981 and lacks the mandatory basic education current at the time he or she should have completed it. Primary

• When someone was bornbefore 1982 and lacks the mandatory basic education current at the time she should have completed it. Secondary

How to determine thresholds of social deprivations?

Page 16: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

When a person is not enrolled in or not entitled to receive medical services from:

Popular Insurance

A social security public institution

A private medical service

Acces to health services

How to determine thresholds of social deprivations?

Page 17: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Access to social

security

• If the worker does not receive medical services as a work benefit or through voluntary enrollment and a retirement investment plan

Direct access

Family nucleus

Other family nucleus and

voluntary enrollment

• If a person is not enrolled in an institution that provides medical services by voluntary enrollment.

• If the spouse,child, parent, -law of the head of household is not enrolled in an medical institution

If the person does not have a relative who has access to social security

If the person is not beneficiary of a social program of pensions for senior citizens

How to determine thresholds of social deprivations?

Page 18: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Quality of living spaces

When the material is cardboard sheets or residue material

Roofs

Walls

Floors

Overcrowding

When the material is mud or daub&wattle; reed, bamboo or palm; cardboard, metal or asbestos sheets; residue material

When the material of the floor is soil

When the ratio of people per room is greater than 2.5

How to determine thresholds of social deprivations?

Page 19: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Housing access to basic services

• When it is obtained from a well, river, lake, stream, or truck.

• When piped water is carried from another dwelling or gotten at a public faucet or hydrant

Water

Drainage

service

Electricity

• No drainage service.• When the drain is connected to

pipes leading to a river, lake, sea, ravine or crack

When there is no electricity

How to determine thresholds of social deprivations?

Page 20: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Food security

Food insecurity

Acess tofood

Deprivation due to lack of

access to food

Slight

Moderate

Severe

How to determine thresholds of social deprivations?

Page 21: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

Food basket Non food basket

Minimum economic

wellbeing line

Changes on current consumption patterns

Calorics requirements & micronutrients

Rural & urban settings

Economic wellbeing

How to determine thresholds? Economic Wellbeing

Goods and services have an income

elasticity<1

Necessary goods & services

Rural & urban settings

Page 22: Www.coneval.gob.mx Multidmensional Poverty Measurement: The Mexican Wave Gonzalo Hernández Licona March, 2014

•Estimates for incidence, depth and intensity (average number of deprivations)

•Population groups decomposable

•Dimension decomposable

•Comparability across time

•In the space of social rights, equivalent to M0=H·A

PROPERTIES

Rigorous

Social Deprivation Index (SDI) and MP measures:

satisfy a set of axiomatic properties (Alkire y Foster, 2007) the SDI also satisfies the validity, reliability and additivity properties (Gordon; 2007,2010)