kuehne + nagel international ag - bcp · kuehne + nagel 11.8% 17.7% 11.3% company sea air road...
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Kuehne + Nagel International AG
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Robert S. KaplanOctober 27, 2011 in Opfikon-Glattbrugg
Gerard van Kesteren CFO
Agenda
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11
What about Kuehne + Nagel 2 - 9
Strategy Go-for-Growth / Possible Scenarios 10 - 15
Controlling Tool Kit 16 - 21
Slide 2
Global Logistics Network
Over 60’000 employees
900 locations in more than 100 countries
Ownership of the global network
Non-asset based
Over 60’000 employees
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 3
Success Factors for a Leading Global Position
Human Resources –attractive remuneration programme / Employee Share Purchase and Option Plan
Information Technology –standardised IT systems / resulting in business intelligence
Finance –globally standardised systemglobally standardised system
Ownership of the Global Network / 900 locations
Seafreight
No. 1Contract Logistics
No. 3Airfreight
No. 3Road & Rail Logistics
No. 6
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 4
Sector PositioningG
loba
l Sco
pe
high
67
89
?
Kuehne + Nagel and its most important
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11
historical
estimated
Service Portfolio
Glo
bal S
cope
low
aver
age
12
34
5
narrow medium wide
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
?
?
important competitors count onglobal, integrated Logistics services.
Slide 5
Highlights 9-Months 2011
• Strong volume growth above market in all business units:
• Material negative forex impact of 14.5%
Kuehne+Nagel Market- Seafreight 11.4% 5%- Airfreight 14.5% 0%- Road&Rail 19.4% 3%- Contract Logistics 7.9% 2%
• Lower Seafreight margins per unit due to low rate environment
• Airfreight margin per unit stable, despite negativ forex impact
• Road & Rail Logistics: Acquisition Eichenberg Group, Brazil
• Reduction of idle space in Contract Logistics from 8.4% last year to 5.1% September 2011
• Stable 3.6% working capital intensity
• ROCE sustainable at 54%
• Effective tax rate 21% sustainable
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 6
Income Statement 9-Months
in CHF million As %
Invoiced turnover 15'178 16'707 1'529 (2'109) (13.9%) 14'598 (580)
Gross profit 4'453 5'016 563 (636) (14.3%) 4'380 (73)
Gross profit margin 29.3% 30.0% 36.8% 30.0%
Total expenses (3'707) (4'184) (477) 532 14.4% (3'652) 55
EBITDA 746 832 86 (104) (13.9%) 728 (18)
VarianceCHF million 2010Actual
2011w ith 2010 fx rates
VarianceForex Impact 2011
Actual
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11
EBITDA margin 4.9% 5.0% 5.6% 5.0%
EBIT 571 654 83 (82) (14.4%) 572 1
EBIT margin 3.8% 3.9% 5.4% 3.9%
EBT 572 661 89 (82) (14.3%) 579 7
EBT margin 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 4.0%
Net earnings for the period 449 519 70 (65) (14.5%) 454 5
Slide 7
Competitive Environment 1st Semester 2011
Market 6.0% <2.0% 4.0%
Kuehne + Nagel 11.8% 17.7% 11.3%
Company Road & RailSea Air
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Kuehne + Nagel 11.8% 17.7% 11.3%
DHL 0.2% 2.4% n.a.
DB Schenker 4.6% (0.6%) 20.7%
Panalpina 2.5% (2.2%) n.a.
DSV 5.1% 9.2% 12.0%
Share Performance
100
120
140
160
Gerard van KesterenCFO
0
20
40
60
80
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 9
Agenda
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11
What about Kuehne + Nagel 2 - 9
Strategy Go-for-Growth / Possible Scenarios 10 - 15
Controlling Tool Kit 16 - 21
Slide 10
Strategy „Go for Growth“ - Update
Development of industry specific solutions
Profitable Integrated Services through IT Leadership
Development of European Road & Rail Network
� Development of the network
Continuation of global Expansion
� Focus on China, India, Brazil and Colombia
Profitable Growth
(+16% YTD*)
* 09/2011 YTD profit after tax, excl. forex
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 11
20142009
Execution of StrategyBusiness development in the next five years
Revenue CHF 17 bn CHF 30/40 bn
Staff FTE 55‘000 FTE 80-90‘000
Seafreight TEU 2.5 mn TEU >5.0 mn
Airfreight Tons 0.8 mn Tons 1.3 mn
Road & Rail CHF 2.5 bn 100% turnover increase
Contract Logistics CHF 4.3 bn 50% turnover increase
TOP 1
TOP 3
TOP 3*
TOP 3
* in Europe
Slide 12ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11
Different Scenarios for the Global Economy
Sea: 6%
Global GDP Global Trade Logistics Industry
I. Growth
II. Stagnation
III. Recession
approx. 3% approx. 7%Sea: 6%
Air: 5%
CL/R&R: GDP
+/-0% in developed markets; slower growth in emerging markets
slower growth 0%
Negative growth in developed markets and significant drop in emerging markets
negative growth
(10%)
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 13
How to manage Business in a volatile Environment
I. Growth II. Stagnation III. Recession
Direct Manpower
Administration
ITIT
Sales
Capex
M&A
“Go for Growth”
Contract Logistics Focus on multinational customers and profitability improvement
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 14
Impact 10% Volume Reduction K+N
in CHF million
Invoiced Turnover 14'598 (1'460) 13'138
Gross Profit 4'398 (438) 3'960
"left"YTD
September 2011
10% volume reduction
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 15
Gross Profit 4'398 (438) 3'960
Manpower (2'505) - (2'505)
Other operations (1'147) - (1'147)
EBITDA 728 (438) 290
EBIT 572 (438) 134
PAT 457 (346) 111
Agenda
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11
What about Kuehne + Nagel 2 - 9
Strategy Go-for-Growth / Possible Scenarios 10 - 15
Controlling Tool Kit 16 - 21
Slide 16
Controlling Tool Kit: “Go for Growth” – Return on Investment
Strong Sales Effort and Efficiency
Improvement for Growth
� Outset: 250 legal entities in over 100 countries managed via 6’000 profit centers
� Monthly reporting on 5th working day of the following month for all profit center managers – globally
� Full visibility due to single, standardised reporting and controlling
Key Elements and Benefits of Kuehne + Nagel’s Tool Kit
Financial and Operational Controlling
Strong Operational
Capabilities and Know-How
� Full visibility due to single, standardised reporting and controlling platform
� Great flexibility of system. Data available:
per Business Unit(BU)
per Geography
per Trade-Lane and Product
per Industry Vertical
per Customer(across BUs)
per Salesperson
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 17
Example Controlling Tool Kit: Trade Lane Analysis
per Trade-Lane and Product
Investment:
� Trade lane know-how (24 specialists hired)
� Product know-how (44 specialists hired)
Example
Result: Profitable growth (volume growth, stable margin per unit)
Controlling:
� Return on investment � volume growth/GP
� Tools: Vol/GP/GP per unit report by trade lane (air/sea: +120.000 port to port: country by country 12.000)
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 18
Example Controlling Tool Kit: Sales Investment
per Salesperson
Investment:
� + CHF 300 million Sales cost (+11% 2011/10)
� 300 additional sales executives 1st half 2011 (+ 300 targeted for 2nd half)
Example
Result: Contributing double digit organic growth in Air and Sea
Controlling:
� Return on investment � TO/GP/Volume growth
� Tools: Performance by sales executive� Activities (KPI’s)
� TO/GP/volume contribution per customer
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 19
Detailed Budget (time horizon 15 months!) cancelled
Rolling Forecast concept introduced based on 3 months
Changes implemented
months
Monthly review calls with Regional Management
Financial function clear Nr. 2
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 20
Q&A
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 21
Thank you for your attention.
Disclaimer
Investing in the shares of Kuehne + Nagel Internati onal AG involves risks. Prospective investors are strongly requested to consult their investment advisors and tax advisors prior toinvesting in shares of Kuehne + Nagel International AG.This document contains forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. Thesestatements may be identified by such words as “may”, “plans”, “expects”, “believes” and similarexpressions, or by their context. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge andassumptions. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materiallyfrom those described in these statements. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-lookingstatements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreignstatements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreignexchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation orwarranty, express or implied, is made to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy,completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. The information in thispresentation is subject to change without notice, it may be incomplete or condensed, and it may notcontain all material information concerning the Kuehne + Nagel Group. None of Kuehne + NagelInternational AG or their respective affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss whatsoeverarising from any use of this document, or otherwise arising in connection with this document.This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The offer and sale of Kuehne +Nagel International AG securities has not been, and will not be registered under the United StatesSecurities Act of 1933, as amended. Kuehne + Nagel International AG securities may not be offered orsold to anyone in the United States absent such registration, except pursuant to an appropriate exemptionfrom registration. There will be no public offering of Kuehne + Nagel International AG securities in theUnited States.
ZfU-Seminar mit Prof. Kaplan - 27.10.11 Slide 23