the outlook for energy - home - safe · the outlook for energy: a view to 2040. 2 exxonmobil 2015...

This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" in the Investors section of our website at: www.exxonmobil.com. The information provided includes ExxonMobil's internal estimates and forecasts based upon internal data and analyses as well as publically-available information from external sources including the International Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved.

The Outlook for Energy:A View to 2040

2

ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy

Global Progress Drives DemandPopulationBillion

GDPTrillion 2010$

Energy DemandQuadrillion BTUs

OECD*

Key Growth

ChinaIndia

Rest of World

EnergySavings

*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries

3


Demand Shifts to Growth Economies

Quadrillion BTUsOECD Demand

North America

Europe OECD

Rest of OECD

China

India

ME Non OECD

Rest of Non OECD

LA Non OECD

Africa

Russia/Caspian

Quadrillion BTUs

Non OECD Demand

4


PPP 2005$k

Standards of Living Increase in the Non OECD2040 GDP per Capita

2010


5


Primary Energy Demand by SectorQuadrillion BTUs

‘10

‘25

‘40

Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation

Electricity Generation Leads Growth

6


Primary Energy Demand by SectorQuadrillion BTUs

Electricity Generation Leads Growth

Non OECD

OECD

‘10

‘25

‘40

Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation

7


Global Demand2040 By FuelQuadrillion BTUs

Average Growth / Yr. 2010 - 2040

Average Growth / Yr. 2010 - 2040

1.0%1.0%2010

0.8%

1.6%

2.3%0.5%

5.8% 1.8%

0.1%

8


Energy DemandQuadrillion BTUsEnergy DemandQuadrillion BTUs

Europe Energy Trends

BillionPopulation GDP

Trillion 2010$

9


Europe Energy Demand and Supply

Transportation

Industrial

Electricity Generation

Res/Comm

Oil

Gas

Coal

Nuclear

Biomass

Other Renewables

By SectorQuadrillion BTUs

By FuelQuadrillion BTUs

10


By CountryQuadrillion BTUs

Europe Energy Demand by CountryBy FuelQuadrillion BTUs

France

Germany

Italy

U.K.

Rest of Europe

Oil

Gas

Coal

Nuclear

Biomass

Other Renewables

11


By FuelQuadrillion BTUs

Oil

Gas

Other

Coal

Europe Natural Gas DemandBy SectorBCFD

12


Europe Transportation Demand & Fleet Shift

Light Duty

Aviation

Heavy Duty

Marine

Rail

Transportation DemandMBDOE

Light Duty VehiclesMillion

13


Liquids Trade Balance by Region

North America

LatinAmerica

Europe Russia/Caspian

Africa MiddleEast

Asia Pacific

MBDOEBiofuels

Natural Gas LiquidsOther

Tight OilOil SandsDeepwaterConventional C&C DevelopmentConventional Crude & CondensateDemand

‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20

14


Gas Trade Balance by Region

North America

LatinAmerica

Europe Russia/Caspian

Africa MiddleEast

Asia Pacific

BCFD

‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20

Demand

Unconventional ProductionConventional Production

15


CO2 Emissions

16


World Emissions

Billion metric tonnesCO2 Emissions by Region

OECD*

Rest of World

India

China

Key Growth


Emissions per CapitaTonnes / Person

‘10

‘40

17


Billion Tonnes

Europe Energy-Related CO2 Emissions

Liquids

Gas

Coal

Transportation

Electricity Generation

Industrial

Res/Comm

By Sector By FuelBillion Tonnes

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the outlook for energy - home - safe · the outlook for energy: a view to 2040. 2 exxonmobil 2015...

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