value and work in the platform economy*elance/odesk –microwork –fill up working day -- amt 2....

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Value and Work in the Platform Economy* Martin Kenney Professor Community and Regional Development Unit University of California, Davis & Senior Project Director Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy & Senior Fellow Research Institute for the Finnish Economy (ETLA) This presentation was first made at the Colegio de la Frontera Norte in Tijuana, Mexico on January 14, 2014. Since then it has evolved due to comments after presentations in the U.S., Europe, and Canada. John Zysman of BRIE has been instrumental in the progress of my thinking; some of the ideas are from our joint work. Thanks to Ruth Collier and Bryan Pon for comments. May 5, 2015

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Page 1: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Value and Work in the Platform Economy*

Martin Kenney

Professor

Community and Regional Development Unit

University of California, Davis

&

Senior Project Director

Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy

&

Senior Fellow

Research Institute for the Finnish Economy (ETLA)

This presentation was first made at the Colegio de la Frontera Norte in Tijuana, Mexico on January 14, 2014. Since then it has evolved due to comments after presentations in the U.S., Europe, and Canada. John Zysman of BRIE has been instrumental in the progress of my thinking; some of the ideas are from our joint work. Thanks to Ruth Collier and Bryan Pon for comments. May 5, 2015

Page 2: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

My Proposition

The definition of value creation, work, and employment are changing dramatically

Page 3: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

My Goal

Create models for thinking about labor in the emerging platform

economy

Page 4: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Setting the Stage: Digital Technologies

• Moore’s Law

• Ubiquitous connectivity

• PCssmartphonesInternet of Things

– Sense, store, process, transmit data

• Cloud computing (see Zysman 2012)

• Software eats everything (open source)

All at decreasing cost

Page 5: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Digital Platforms

• Algorithm-enabled “cyberplaces” where constituents can act or transact

• Create network effects between applications and users, virtuous circles of growth

Page 6: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Is “Value Creation” More than What Is Compensated?

• Surfing the internet (Terranova, Lanier et al.)?

• Putting content on Facebook, Pinterest, Youtube, LinkedIn?

• Creating open source software?

– If on GitHub?

• Sharing economy -- Wikipedia, Khan Academy

Page 7: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Number of Participants

Venture Labor

Apps stores, Youtube etc.. shared advertising revenue,

Amazon self-published books, games, such as Zynga, King Digital, Supercell, etc.., affiliate marketing revenue

Open Source commercialRedhat, Github

Cyberformalglobally biddable labor monetization. Amazon, Mech Turk, oDesk, etc.

Open Source Wikipedia (no payment)

Free labor such as posting to Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Youtube, Pinterest, Yelp, etc..

All activity on the net-Google, Bing, Browsers, ad networks

Compensated by employer for building website, etc..

Can become Venture Labor

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Labor, Value Creation and Capture in the Platform Economy

Can become monetized if sufficiently visited

Acknowledgements: Thanks to John Zysman, Ruth Collier, Bryan Pon and Lilly Irani for suggestions and comments on this figure.

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Liquidity event, stock options valuable, no longer Venture Labor now operating companies subject to stock market etc..

Cyberformal asset monetization. Ebay, Amazon Market, Uber Craigslist, AirBnB

These areplatform buildersand VC financed

Monetizing assets such as automobile, spare room

Platform firms funded by VCs, e.g. Google, Facebook, Uber – their direct employees

Virtual Project

Funding, Kickstarter, Indiegogo,

etc..

Copyright: Martin Kenney

Cyberformalize inforrmalmarkets, Taskrabbit, etc.

Page 8: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Number of Participants

Venture Labor

Can become Venture Labor

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Compensation

Venture Labor in the Platform Economy

Acknowledgements: Thanks to John Zysman, Ruth Collier, Bryan Pon and Lilly Irani for suggestions and comments on this figure.

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Liquidity event, stock options valuable, no longer Venture Labor now operating companies subject to stock market etc..

These areplatform buildersand VC financed

Successful platform firms funded by VCs, e.g. Google, Facebook, Uber – their direct employees

Copyright: Martin Kenney

Entrepreneurs and Employees Are the

Largest Winners – if successful

Page 9: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Open Source, software Wikipedia (no payment)

Number of Participants

All activity on the net- Google, Bing, Browsers, ad networks

Compensated by employer for building website, monitoring social media, etc.

No

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Acknowledgements: Thanks to John Zysman, Ruth Collier, Bryan Pon and Lilly Irani for suggestions and comments on this figure.

Copyright: Martin Kenney

Compensation

Free Labor in the Platform Economy –Enormous Distributed Value Creation

Free labor such as posting to Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Youtube, Pinterest, Yelp, etc..

Can become monetized if sufficiently visited

Observation: Enormous Amount of Value Created and No Direct Compensation

Page 10: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Five Forms of Compensated Platform-Mediated Work

1. Global bidding/cyber-contracting –eLance/Odesk

– Microwork – fill up working day -- AMT

2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab – Uber; hotel -- Airbnb

3. Informal work – cyber formalized, e.g., TaskRabbit, Instacart

4. Virtual consignment – Apps stores

5. Virtual project funding –Indiegogo,Udemy

Page 11: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

1, 2 &3. Contract Labor in the Platform Economy

Open Source CommercialRedhat, Github

1. Cyberformallabor monetization Amazon, Mech Turk, oDesk, etc.

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2. Cyberformalasset monetization. Ebay, Amazon Market, Uber Craigslist, AirBnB

Monetizing assets such as automobile, spare room, things

3. Cyber-formalize informal markets, Taskrabbit, etc.

Page 12: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

1. Globally Biddable Contract Labor

• Lowest price

• Contractors largely powerless– Exception if they have rare skills (Kunda and

Barley’s gurus)

• Little upside for contractor besides possibly learning– Could lead to a permanent job?

• Social Outcome: – Replace permanent employees

– More efficiently allocate people to work

Page 13: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

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Page 14: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

2. Industry Cyber-Transformed• Convenience, efficiency, mobilization of slack

assets

• Often roll up fragmented industries

• Breakdown barriers to competition (taxi rules, zoning, anti-discrimination)

– But some initial advantages eroding as Airbnb pays hotel tax, Uber/Lyft get commercial insurance, etc

• Providers largely powerless vs. platform owner

– Little upside for contractor

Page 15: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Airbnb –Algorithmic Big Data Model

Entire platform hosted by Amazon, etc..

Travelers –Picture, variousinformation, credit card

Credit card information Background check information

Facebook, LinkedInlinks

Airbnbvalidated pictures

AirBnB, Providers – Variousinformation includingpictures

Page 16: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

3. Informal Work -- Cyber-Formalized

• Cyber formalization history is long – eBay, Craigslist

• Large number of huge platforms

• Movement of control and monitoring to the Cloud

• Social Outcomes– Greater efficiency and price discovery

– Greater transparency in terms of taxation, trust etc.

– Shift of power to platform owner

Page 17: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

4 & 5. Virtual Consignment and Virtual Project Funding Models

4. Apps stores, Youtube etc.. shared advertising revenue,

Amazon self-published books, games, such as Zynga, King

Digital, Supercell, etc.., affiliate marketing revenue

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Co

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Can become monetized if sufficiently visited

5. Virtual Project

Funding, Kickstarter,

Indiegogo, etc..

Can Lead to Entrepreneurship and upside

Page 18: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

4. Virtual Consignment Model

• Platform owner gets content at no cost

• Content provider bears all costs

• Content provider has two forms of upside

– Payment through platform owner

– Ancillary income sources from audience

• Appearances, testimonials, product placements, items

• Content provider return characterized by long tail

• Social Outcome:

– Enormous opportunities for new work but WTA

Page 19: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Virtual Consignment

• Apps stores have now paid out $25 billion

• YouTube – YouTube Partner Program–Created in 2007

–1M+ creators

–1,000s of channel earning $100K+

–Vidcon Convention 2014 – 19K+

• Udemy – Online courses

Page 20: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Concluding Reflections

Page 21: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Second Machine Age suggests much work will be displaced

New types of value creation, work, and organization thereof are

emerging

Page 22: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Labor Atomized Throughout Society

• Online human activity, both work and not work, creates (or is transformed into) value

• Most “long tail” work is not sufficiently valued to produce substantial income, but forms the corpus from which some becomes valuable

– Flappy Birds etc.

• Where is the work place – potentially everywhere that there is digitization!

Page 23: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Successful Platforms Are Winner Takes All

• They have a VALUE proposition

• Massive new value creation or saving

• Reinforce income inequality?

• Platform owner worker/owners benefit massively, but relatively lowly-compensated contractual workers, consignment workers with a few big winners

• Barriers to entry dissolved digitally– Zenefits (insurance brokers)

Page 24: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

What Is This New Economy?

• Creative economy (Florida)

• Cognitive-creative economy (Alan Scott)

• Sharing economy (Yochai Benkler)

Or Old Classes Weakened

• Gig economy (Friedman)

• Precariat (Standing)

Or Better to Think About How It Works

Platform economy

Page 25: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

If Platform Economy, then

• Who owns/controls the platform

–Wikipedia meets Uber meets the Danish Ag Coop

• Power will be centralized as platform controls the communication system

• Leverage to enter new fields

Page 26: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

If Platform Economy Is a Social Wage Proper Response?

• Extend reward for the “lucky” individual to the milieu– Many of the consignment economy winners may

be one-off “hits”

• Increase entrepreneurship? – We cannot a priori know who will win, e.g.,

Flappy Birds

• Support creative activities?

• Increase consumption?

Page 27: Value and Work in the Platform Economy*eLance/Odesk –Microwork –fill up working day -- AMT 2. Industry cyber-transformed, e.g., taxi cab –Uber; hotel -- Airbnb 3. Informal work

Thank you