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1 DH – Leading the nation’s health and care Dental Contract Reform Engagement Events January and February 2017

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  • 1 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    January and February 2017

  • 2 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement EventsIntroduction and overview

  • 3 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    Why Change?

    Activity systems fit well with high disease and high treatment need (e.g. post-war Heavy Metal generation).

    But oral health has been transformed in last 60 years. Now need system focussed on prevention as well as treating disease.

    Tooth decay is largely preventable

    Current system: Is not keeping pace with improvements in oral health

    Does not meet the changing pattern of dental treatment needs across different generations/patient groups

    Is not perceived by dentists as recognising time/resources used by dental teams in advising/supporting individual patients to improve and then maintain good oral health

    Dental Contract Reform

  • 4 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    Contract Reform to date

    The need for a new clinical approach and a remuneration system which reflects the developing focus on prevention were set out in Professor Jimmy Steeles Independent Review in 2009

    The 2010 coalition government committed to introducing a new NHS dental contract with the aim of improving oral health and increasing access to NHS dentistry and to pilot any potential new contract before making any changes.

    The principles of the reformed system are:

    A preventative clinical approach (the patient pathway)

    Measurement and remuneration for quality of care; and

    Remuneration that supports prevention as well as treatment

    Piloting began in 2011 in order to test the key elements of reform needed to design a new system.

    There has been cross-party support for the need to reform the current system.

    Dental Contract Reform

  • 5 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    What did the Pilots tell us?

    The dental pilots ran from April 2011 to 31 March 2016.

    Learning from the pilots included:

    That the prevention focused pathway has been welcomed by both patients and dentists

    Some pilots were able to maintain access

    Switching from full activity to full capitation would be too radical a shift

    That we need a remuneration system that supports prevention and delivery of treatment (the prototype system)

    Dental Contract Reform

    Piloting showed potential for change and the current Government support the need for the next stage of testing (Prototyping)

  • 6 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    Prototypes the current stage

    The learning from piloting enabled the prototype system to be designed

    Prototype practices:

    Are continuing to test the patient pathway

    Are continuing to be measured against clinical and patient indicators in the Dental Quality and Outcomes Framework (DQOF)

    Are testing two blends of remuneration. The majority of remuneration in both blends are for capitated ongoing and preventative care.

    Dental Contract Reform

  • 7 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    Contract Reform Principles Patient Pathway

    Dental Contract Reform

    * RAG = The patients oral health marked as red, amber or green

  • 8 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    Prototypes Remuneration

    Dentists receive a proportion of their remuneration as capitation and a proportion for measured activity.

    To determine the most appropriate mix of capitation and activity, two blends are being tested in which capitation and activity cover different proportions of care.

    Blend A approx. 60% capitation Blend B approx. 83% capitation

    Capitation forms the majority of payment in both blends.

    Dental Contract Reform

    All band 1 and band 2 activity included in capitation Band 3 included in activity

    All band 1 activity included in capitation band 2 and 3 included in activity

  • 9 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    What are the characteristics of the prototypes?

    Total of 82 prototypes

    79 high street

    3 Community Dental Services

    21 new sites (ex UDA)

    58 former pilots

    Of the 79 high street practices

    40 Blend A ( 29 former pilot 11 new prototypes)

    39 Blend B (29 former pilot 10 new prototypes)

    Dental Contract Reform

  • 10 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    How will we measure success?

    3 high level measures of success have to be captured before any new system can be rolled out:

    1. Appropriate, high quality care: outcomes will be measured (tooth decay and gum disease) and treatment volumes to check appropriate care has been delivered

    2. Access: prototypes will need to be able to provide care for at least the same number of patients as the current system

    3. Value for money: that care to patients can be delivered within the existing dental budget

    Dental Contract Reform

  • 11 DH Leading the nations health and careDH Leading the nations health and care

    From 2018 2019 it may be possible to begin nation-wide roll out

    Proposed remuneration system finalised for CDS, domiciliary services etc.

    Learning from prototypes

    2016/17

    Prototyping new system

    2017/18

    Further development and

    evaluation

    2018-2019 and beyond

    High level timeline for reformDental Contract Reform

    Initial Evaluation

    Decision on timing of full roll out

    Full Evaluation

  • 12 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract Reform

    Interim Evaluation

  • 13 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Evaluation prototype scheme

    Evaluation and Learning Sub Group:

    Chaired by Eric Rooney, deputy CDO

    Representatives from BDA and CQC

    Key themes

    Quality and appropriateness of care;

    Improvements in oral health;

    Access and accessibility

    Value for money

    Sustainability for roll out

    Pro

    fess

    ion

    Pati

    ents

    Co

    mm

    issi

    on

    ers

  • 14 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Evaluation continued

    Quality and appropriateness of care

    Patients getting the treatment they need

    Compliance with the pathway / all bits of the pathway adding value

    Professional satisfaction with the approach

    Patient journey / resources going to patients with the highest need

    Oral Health

    Were the improvements seen at the pilot stage maintained / improved further

  • 15 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Access and accessibility

    Can practices provide care to the same number of patients

    Are patients able to get an appointment (both new patients and existing patients)

    Value for money

    Can the reformed contract be delivered within the same financial budget

    Evaluation continued

  • 16 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Evaluation continued

    Sustainability for roll out

    Is it scalable?

    Does it work for all practice types?

    What tweaks are required?

    Does the contract structure have the flexibility to evolve over time?

  • 17 DH Leading the nations health and care

    The purpose of the interim evaluation

    To assist the National Dental Steering Group and the Programme Board in their consideration of the next stage of the programme.

    Its prime purpose is to consider whether there are any serious difficulties with the current prototype versions of the contract, that cast doubt on moving to the next planned stage

  • 18 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    Interim Evaluation

    Oral Health

  • 19 DH Leading the nations health and care

    High level question

    Oral Health

    Were the improvements seen at the pilot stage maintained / improved further?

  • 20 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Oral health Patients with a series of OHA - OHRsP

    erc

    enta

    ge

  • 21 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Oral health Patients with a series of OHA - OHRsP

    erc

    enta

    ge

  • 22 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    The Pathway helps to deliver appropriate care for all patients

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nordisagree

    Disagree Strongly disagree

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2 practices

    in terms of preventative care

    in terms of treatment

  • 23 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    The Pathway helps to deliver appropriate care for all patients

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nordisagree

    Disagree Strongly disagree

    The Pathway helps to deliver appropriate care for all patients

    Former UDA Practices

    in terms of preventative care

    in terms of treatment

  • 24 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Have flexibility to use clinical judgement

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Stronglyagree

    Agree Neitheragree nordisagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Stronglyagree

    Agree Neitheragree nordisagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Notapplicable

    Percentage of responses

    Former UDA practices

  • 25 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Flexibility to use clinical judgement compared to during pilot

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Much better Slightly better No difference Slightly worse Much worse

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

  • 26 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Summary

    Oral Health: Recognising that the aim of the reform program is to achieve long term improvement in oral health, reports from the pilot phase have shown that over a relatively short timescale oral heath improved through use of the clinical pathway in the pilots. Further monitoring over time is required to assess the stability of this. There is some evidence that this improvement is being maintained by the ex pilots in the prototype phase and no significant evidence at this stage that oral health is deteriorating as a result of the prototype arrangements. The analysis does not cover the former UDA prototype nor any influence that may be associated with Blend A or B as there has been insufficient time for a fully representative sample across the range of times between assessments and reviews. This will be picked up in the full report

  • 27 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Workshop questions and discussions

    Sense check the data:

    What data provided was as you expected?

    What data was a surprise ?

    What questions for further analysis does it raise for you?

    For the problems identified, what are your suggestions for improving oral health?

  • 28 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    Interim Evaluation

    Access and accessibility

  • 29 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Access and accessibility

    Can practices provide care to the same number of patients?

    Are patients able to get an appointment (both new patients and existing patients)?

    High level questions

  • 30 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Capitated numbers

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    102%

    Change in capitated numbers from start of pilot/ prototype (November 16 data)

    former UDApractices

    wave 2 pilots

    wave 1 pilots

  • 31 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Wave 1 spread

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    % of expected capitated patients - 10 highest and lowest Wave 1 pilots from start to Nov 16

  • 32 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Wave 2 spread

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    % of expected capitated patients - all Wave 2 pilots from start to Nov 16

  • 33 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Former UDA practices spread

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    % of expected capitated patients - all former UDA practices from start to Nov 16

  • 34 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Access falls and recovery

    0.8

    0.85

    0.9

    0.95

    1

    1.05

    % of expected capitated patients by blend and wave, from pilot/prototype start (November 2016 data)

    Blend B, former UDApractices

    Blend A, former UDApractices

    Blend B, Wave 1 practices

    Blend B, Wave 2 practices

    Blend A, Wave 2 practices

    Blend A, Wave 1 practices

  • 35 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Access analysis

    Practice Profile

    Analysis has taken place to establish if there is any relationship existsbetween the drop in patient numbers and age profile of practicepopulations or the index of multiple deprivation. No clear relationship hasbeen found at this stage and this will be investigated more deeply in thefinal report.

    Practice operating procedures

    The length of time for taken for the oral health assessment OHA hasanecdotally been considered as something which is likely to affect the abilityto maintain patient numbers. Appointment time data collected as part ofthe programme has been analysed together with the capitated patientnumbers and no correlation of significance has been found. There does notappear to be evidence that longer median OHA appointment durationsexplain the decline in the number of capitated patients in any of the wavesof the programme.

  • 36 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Accessibility

    % of patients responding that they

    were quite or very satisfied with NHS

    dentistry received (PE.06)

    % of patients responding that the

    length of time it took to get an

    appointment was as soon as was

    necessary (PE.07)

    2015/16 2016/17 (to Oct 2016) 2015/16 2016/17 (to Oct 2016)

    Wave 1 pilots 97.0% 96.8% 87.8% 89.8%

    Wave 2 pilots 97.5% 97.4% 86.6% 88.7%

    Former UDA

    practices 97.5% 97.5% 93.2% 89.2%

    Total 97.2% 97.1% 88.8% 89.4%

    Current UDA

    practices

    95.9% 91.0%

  • 37 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Accessibility

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

    Day

    s

    Time in days until 3rd next available appointment for an OHA/OHR with any dentist (based on responses from 46 pilot and 10 former UDA practices)

    Wave 1 & 2pilots 2016

    Wave 1 & 2pilots 2015

    Former UDApractices 2016

  • 38 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Summary

    Access: The majority (63%) of practices are delivering the level of access expected within the parameters of the contract. For the practices that joined the programme in Spring 2016, the initial impact on access has been less than in the pilot phase. For the ex-pilot practices, there is evidence of improving access towards the expected level, and some evidence that the rate of this is greater for blend B practices. There is no evidence at this stage of a significant relationship between access levels and either the age or deprivation profile of the practices, or the appointment length for Oral Health Assessments. These factors will be explored in more detail for the final report.

    Accessibility: Patients in the prototype practices were slightly less satisfied with the length of time to get an appointment than those in normal NHS general dental practices, but slightly more satisfied with the NHS dental care received.

  • 39 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Workshop questions and discussions

    Sense check the data:

    What data provided was as you expected?

    What data was a surprise ?

    What questions for further analysis does it raise for you?

    For the problems identified, what are your suggestions for maintaining access or accessibility?

  • 40 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Lunch

    Please be ready to start again in 45 minutes

  • 41 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    Interim Evaluation

    Sustainability for roll out

  • 42 DH Leading the nations health and care

    High level question

    Sustainability for roll out

    Is it scalable?

    Does it work for all practice types?

    What tweaks are required?

    Does the contract structure have the flexibility to evolve over time?

  • 43 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability delivering the contract

  • 44 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability delivering the contract

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    % of wave 1,blend A

    % of wave 1,blend B

    % of wave 2,blend A

    % of wave 2,blend B

    % of UDA pracs,blend A

    % of UDA pracs,blend B

    Overall achievement by blend and wave (Nov 16)

    >100%

    96%-100%

    90%-96%

  • 45 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Delivering the contract UDA element

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    160%

    % of 16/17 expected prototype UDAs achieved, 3-month moving average

    All Wave 1

    All Wave 2

    All former UDA

  • 46 DH Leading the nations health and care

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    160%

    % of 16/17 expected prototype UDAs achieved, 3-month moving average

    Former UDA Blend B

    Former UDA Blend A

    Wave 2 Blend A

    Wave 1 Blend A

    Wave 2 Blend B

    Wave 1 Blend B

    Sustainability Delivering the contract UDA Element

  • 47 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Offset of activity for capitated patients

    Blend Wave TypeCapitation

    achievement %

    Activity

    achievement (%)

    Overall

    achievement (%)

    B wave 1 1 105% 72% 100%

    A former UDA - 104% 86% 97%

    A wave 2 3 104% 85% 97%

    B wave 1 1 103% 63% 99%

    B former UDA - 103% 85% 99%

    B wave 1 2 99% 89% 98%

  • 48 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Is 20 minutes enough for OHA?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Much toolong

    Slightly toolong

    Right lengthof time

    Slightly tooshort

    Much tooshort

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Much too long Slightly toolong

    Right length oftime

    Slightly tooshort

    Much tooshort

    Percentage of responses

    Former UDA practices

  • 49 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Is 15 minutes enough for OHR?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Much toolong

    Slightly toolong

    Right lengthof time

    Slightly tooshort

    Much tooshort

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Much too long Slightly toolong

    Right length oftime

    Slightly tooshort

    Much tooshort

    Percentage of responses

    Former UDA practices

  • 50 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Skill mix has changed to deliver pathway

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Stronglyagree

    Agree Neither agreenor disagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Strongly agree Agree Neither agreenor disagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Percentage of responses

    Former UDA practices

  • 51 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Skill mix has reverted back

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Strongly agree Agree Neither agreenor disagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

  • 52 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Blended contract better than UDA system

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Stronglyagree

    Agree Neitheragree nordisagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Strongly agree Agree Neither agreenor disagree

    Disagree Stronglydisagree

    Percentage of responses

    Former UDA practices

  • 53 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Stress compared to under UDA system

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Much better Slightly better No difference Slightly worse Much worse

    Percentage of responses

    Former UDA practices

    personal stress stress across practice

  • 54 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    Stress compared to under UDA system

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Much better Slightly better No difference Slightly worse Much worse

    Percentage of responses

    personal stress stress across practice

  • 55 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Sustainability Practice survey results

    How well the practice is managing overall under prototype scheme

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Very well Well Neither wellnor poorly

    Poorly Very poorly

    Percentage of responses

    Wave 1 and 2

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Very well Well Neither wellnor poorly

    Poorly Very poorly

    Number of responses

    Former UDA practices

  • 56 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Summary

    Sustainability for Practices: Currently 46% of practices are achieving their contract requirements. This figure is skewed by Wave 1 and 2 pilot practices who are transitioning from the pilot phase. In general they have been required to increase their patient numbers and activity as measured by UDAs from the level delivered in the pilot phase. It is clear that loss of access it is difficult to recover and achieve the overall contract requirements.

    For the new joiners who entered the prototypes in the spring of 2016 from the current 2006 contract, their expected patient numbers have remained the same as those seen in the previous year, and their expected activity as measured by UDAs has been reduced in recognition of the focus on prevention. Simple linear projections suggest that 62% are projected to meet their contractual requirements by year-end, based on the latest 6 months achievement.

    It is important to remember that in any further roll out of the prototype programme, practices will be entering in the same manner as the new joiner practices.

  • 57 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Workshop questions and discussions

    Sense check the data:

    What data provided was as you expected?

    What data was a surprise ?

    What questions for further analysis does it raise for you?

    For the problems identified, what are your suggestions for improving sustainability for practices?

  • 58 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Refreshment break

    Please be ready to start again in 15 minutes

  • 59 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    Panel questions

  • 60 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Panel questions

    Please wait for microphone before asking your question

  • 61 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    Next steps for evaluation and programme

  • 62 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events

    Close

  • 63 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Close

    Thank you for your participation today

    Please complete your evaluation forms

    Have a safe journey home

  • 64 DH Leading the nations health and care

    Dental Contract ReformEngagement Events