february 5, 2015 regional transportation steering committee presentation

13
Work Plan Public Engagement & Survey Entire CRP Area Routing Options Draft Schedule & Cost Draft Plan & Costs Business Case Pilot Approval Draft RFP to operate Evaluation of Bids Award & Service Start Municipal roles definition Outcomes and Risks On-going meetings with elected officials and staff from participating municipalities throughout the process Monitor for Success Pilot Ends – Next steps Execute Marketing Plan Documentation of process Costing Revenue estimates Fare structure Internal working document Operating options Year 2 Year 3 and beyond Business Model Opting In/Out Public campaign preceding survey SURVEY: Hargroup Developed work phases of study Communications plan Public engagement plan Risks/challenges Project Start up Regional Options Plan Test Pilot meet with representatives from 4 municipalities Identify funding Raise potential pilot Integration with business model review Communications plan Municipal roles CRP roles Costing Projections Process to evaluate (KPI) 1. Municipal 2. CRP Executive Committee 3. CRP Board South region focus

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Work PlanPublic

Engagement & Survey

• Entire CRP Area

Routing Options

Draft Schedule &

Cost

Draft Plan & Costs

Business Case

Pilot Approval

Draft RFP to operate

Evaluation of Bids

Award & Service

Start

Municipal roles

definition

Outcomes and Risks

On

-go

ing

me

etin

gs

with

ele

cte

d o

ffic

ials

an

d s

taff fro

m p

art

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atin

g

mu

nic

ipa

litie

s th

rou

gh

ou

t th

e p

roc

ess

Monitor for Success

Pilot Ends –Next steps

Execute Marketing Plan

• Documentation of process

• Costing

• Revenue estimates

• Fare structure

• Internal working document

• Operating options

• Year 2

• Year 3 and beyond

• Business Model

• Opting In/Out

• Public campaign

preceding survey

• SURVEY:

Hargroup

• Developed work

phases of study

• Communications

plan

• Public

engagement plan

• Risks/challenges

Project Start up

Regional Options

PlanTest Pilot

• meet with representatives

from 4 municipalities

• Identify funding

• Raise potential pilot

• Integration with business

model review

• Communications plan

• Municipal roles

• CRP roles

• Costing

• Projections

• Process to evaluate

(KPI)

1. Municipal

2. CRP Executive

Committee

3. CRP Board

• South region focus

In Process

Work PlanPublic

Engagement & Survey

Routing Options

Draft Schedule &

Cost

Draft Plan & Costs

Business Case

Pilot Approval

Draft RFP to operate

Evaluation of Bids

Award & Service

Start

Municipal roles

definition

Outcomes and Risks

On

-go

ing

me

etin

gs

with

ele

cte

d o

ffic

ials

an

d s

taff fro

m p

art

icip

atin

g

mu

nic

ipa

litie

s th

rou

gh

ou

t th

e p

roc

ess

Monitor for Success

Pilot Ends –Next steps

Execute Marketing Plan

Project Start up

Regional Options

PlanTest Pilot

Ridership Estimation

• Heavily based on the HarGroup Survey of residents

• Mode split specific to each community = Transit Population

Survey Results• Stated preference Survey

• Percent of residents likely to use transit

• Times of travel

• Movement between communities

Table: 3.8: Expected Times of Travel between Community and Calgary

% of Respondents

Times of Travel

80 79 210 75

TV BD OK NT Total TV BD OK NT Total

Between 6:00 am up to 9:00 am 38 45 49 38 170 47.5% 57.0% 23.3% 50.7% 28.9%

Between 9:00 am up to noon 43 45 48 64 200 53.8% 57.0% 22.9% 85.3% 34.0%

Between noon up to 3:00 pm 22 21 16 17 76 27.5% 26.6% 7.6% 22.7% 12.9%

Between 3:00 pm up to 6:00 pm 14 16 17 15 62 17.5% 20.3% 8.1% 20.0% 10.5%

Between 6:00 pm up to 9:00 pm 12 14 17 6 49 15.0% 17.7% 8.1% 8.0% 8.3%

Between 9:00 pm up to midnight 3 0 9 2 14 3.8% 0.0% 4.3% 2.7% 2.4%

Between midnight up to 3:00 am 0 0 3 0 3 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.5%

Between 3:00 am up to 6:00 am 0 7 4 3 14 0.0% 8.9% 1.9% 4.0% 2.4%

It depends 0 1 0 0 1 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%

132 149 163 145 589 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Community to Calgary

RESPONSES PERCENTAGE

Process for Estimating Ridership

HargroupSurvey

Use % to create transit

population

Discounting process

Rides per trip

peak/off peak

Sample Fare

Structures

Pass/Ticket split

Revenues

Estimated

Daily Use from

preference

Total Population vs

transit users

Estimate based on

preference

Airdrie ICE as

example

Ridership Estimate

Route Options

• Local Service vsExpress option

• Local input on stop locations, Park and Ride

• Streets considered

• Transfer/layover points

Examine option

without local service

Examine option without

local service

11,800 Annual HoursMonday to Friday

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0:04 0:46 0:16 0:19 0:37 0:18 0:05 0:25 0:12 0:10 0:20 0:25 0:05 0:11 0:24 0:05 0:24 0:11

5:39 6:03 6:23 6:48 6:48 6:59 7:23 6:19 6:45 7:28 7:52 8:03 Bus 1

7:21 7:32 7:56 6:59 7:25 8:01 8:25 8:36 Bus 2

6:26 6:51 7:03 7:03 7:23 7:48 7:48 7:59 8:23 7:39 8:05 8:28 8:52 9:03 Bus 3

5:55 6:41 6:57 7:16 7:53 8:11 8:16 8:27 8:51 8:19 8:45 8:56 9:20 9:31 Bus 4

8:45 8:56 9:20 9:01 9:25 9:25 9:49 10:00 Bus 2

8:12 8:37 8:49 8:59 9:19 9:44 9:44 9:55 10:19 9:39 10:05 10:24 10:48 10:59 Bus 1

10:09 10:20 10:44 9:59 10:25 10:49 11:13 11:24 Bus 2

9:45 10:10 10:22 10:22 10:42 11:07 11:07 11:18 11:42 11:47 12:11 12:22 Bus 3

9:31 10:17 10:33 10:52 11:29 11:47 11:52 12:03 12:27 12:32 12:56 13:07 Bus 4

11:33 11:58 12:10 12:20 12:40 13:05 13:05 13:16 13:40 13:45 14:09 14:20 Bus 2

12:31 12:56 13:08 13:18 13:38 14:03 14:03 14:14 14:38 15:39 16:05 14:43 15:07 15:18 Bus 3

14:29 14:40 15:04 16:19 16:45 15:09 15:33 15:44 Bus 2

13:50 14:15 14:27 14:27 14:47 15:12 15:12 15:23 15:47 16:59 17:25 15:52 16:16 16:27 Bus 4

15:53 16:04 16:28 17:39 18:05 16:33 16:57 17:08 Bus 2

14:05 14:51 15:07 15:26 16:03 16:21 16:26 16:37 17:01 17:59 18:25 17:06 17:30 17:41 Bus 1

15:27 15:52 16:04 16:14 16:34 16:59 16:59 17:10 17:34 17:39 18:03 18:14 Bus 3

17:50 18:01 18:25 18:30 18:54 19:05 Bus 1

17:17 17:42 17:54 17:54 18:14 18:39 GARAGE Bus 2

16:27 17:13 17:29 17:48 18:25 18:43 18:43 19:08 19:20 19:20 19:40 20:05 GARAGE Bus 4

Turner Valley/Black DiamondNANTON & HIGH RIVER Okotoks - Calgary CALGARY TRANSIT SERVICE Calgary - Okotoks

8,158 Annual HoursMonday to Friday

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0:04 0:23 0:16 0:19 0:17 0:08 0:25 0:12 0:10 0:20 0:25 0:05 0:11 0:24 0:05 0:24 0:11

5:37 5:48 6:12 6:19 6:45 6:17 6:41 6:52 Bus 2

DH 5:03 5:27 5:47 6:12 6:17 6:28 6:52 6:59 7:25 6:57 7:21 7:32 Bus 1

6:57 7:08 7:32 7:39 8:05 7:37 8:01 8:12 Bus 2

DH 6:23 6:47 7:07 7:32 7:37 7:48 8:12 8:19 8:45 8:17 8:41 8:52 Bus 3

8:17 8:28 8:52 9:01 9:25 8:57 9:21 9:32 Bus 2

8:57 9:08 9:32 9:39 10:05 9:37 10:01 10:12 Bus 3

7:40 8:05 8:17 8:27 8:47 9:12 9:17 9:28 9:52 9:59 10:25 9:57 10:21 10:32 Bus 1

9:36 9:59 10:15 10:34 11:13 Garage Bus 2

Bus 3

13:15 13:38 13:54 14:13 14:52 14:57 15:08 15:32 15:39 16:05 15:37 16:01 16:12 Bus 2

14:00 14:25 14:37 14:47 15:07 15:32 15:37 15:48 16:12 16:19 16:45 16:17 16:41 16:52 Bus 3

16:17 16:28 16:52 16:59 17:25 16:57 17:21 17:32 Bus 2

16:57 17:08 17:32 17:39 18:05 17:37 18:01 18:12 Bus 3

15:40 16:05 16:17 16:27 16:47 17:12 17:17 17:28 17:52 17:59 18:25 17:57 18:21 18:32 Bus 1

17:36 17:59 18:15 18:34 19:13 Bus 2

18:12 18:37 18:49 18:59 19:19 19:44 Garage Bus 3

18:32 18:57 19:09 19:19 19:39 20:04 Garage Bus 1

Bold denotes Peak Period service

SERVICE HOURS BY BUS

Start Finish Shift Total Start Finish Shift Total Start Finish Shift Total

5:03 10:32 5:29 9:53 5:37 11:13 5:36 11:34 6:23 10:12 3:49 9:33

15:40 20:04 4:24 13:15 19:13 5:58 14:00 19:44 5:44

Verification AM 5:29 4:24 PM AM 5:36 5:58 PM AM 3:49 5:44 PM

bus 1 bus 2 bus 3

Nanton Turner Valley/Black Diamond CALGARY TRANSIT SERVICEOkotoks - Calgary Calgary - Okotoks

Comparison11,800 8,200

Total Cost $ 1,223,000 $ 897,400

Total Revenue $ 924,500 $ 679,400

Remaining Cost $ 298,500 $ 218,000

Cost Recovery 76% 84%

Annual Rides 157,400 155,700

Annual Trips 10,793 10,584

Rides Per Trip 14.6 14.7

Average Fare $ 5.87 $ 4.36

# of Vehicles 4 3

Initial Documentation

• Initial Feedback from Municipal Staff

• Add Performance Measures

• Explain ridership estimation process

• Update Service options:• Add Express options for Okotoks and Black Diamond &

cost

• Add Southland and CT LRT service to schedules

• Estimate total per trip fare including CT use

Next Steps

• Internal Workshop (FEB 20, 2015)• Routings

• Schedules

• Stop locations

• Fares

• Draft Service Plan

• Business Case outline