results for the year ended 31 december 2015 - savills/media/files/s/savills-ir-v2... · 2016. 3....
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Savills plc Results for the year ended 31 December 2015
1 10 March 2016
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Disclaimer: Forward-looking statements
These slides contain certain forward-looking statements including the Group’s financial
condition, results of operations and business, and management’s strategy, plans and
objectives for the Group. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and
are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond the Group’s
control, are difficult to predict and could cause actual results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied or forecast in the forward-looking statements. These factors include,
but are not limited to, the fact that the Group operates in a highly competitive environment.
All forward-looking statements in these slides are based on information known to the Group
on the date hereof. The Group undertakes no obligation publically to update or revise any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise.
2
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Results
1
2
3
4
Introduction and
Highlights
Financial Review
Strategic Progress
Summary and Outlook
3
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Highlights
4
Performance overview Drivers
Group revenue £1,283.5m
+19%
Group UPBT £121.4m
+21%
Transaction advisory revenues up 25%
Strong UK commercial, Asia Pacific and
US offset by weaker UK residential
US revenue growth of 71% (like-for-like
12%)
Several bolt-on acquisitions completed
Savills Investment Management growth
through SEB deal (AUM up 138% to
€17.1bn)
Group UEPS 63.2p
+14%
Net Cash £151.0m
-2%
Dividend 26.0p
+13%
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Savills Diversified Business Model
5
Defensive, Scale Businesses Revenue by Business Cyclical, High-margin Businesses
Property management – 31%
Consultancy – 18%
Investment management – 3%
Commercial Transactions – 36%
Residential Transactions – 12%
• Recurring revenue streams less
exposure to transaction environment
• 2.04bn ft2 under management
• Strong UK consultancy business
• €17.1bn AuM
• High-return, but cyclical earnings
• 3:1 split Commercial vs. Residential
• 57:43 Commercial split Tenant
rep/leasing vs. Capital markets
48% 52%
Combination of cyclical and less cyclical service lines
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Ten Year Revenues
6
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
£m
Transactional "Non-Transactional"
47%
53% 52%
48%
£243.5m £665.5m
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Broad Geographic Spread
Over 30,000 employees in 700 offices in more than
60 countries
7
580 Employees
4,588 Employees
129 Offices
931 Employees
34 Offices
24,597 Employees
59 Offices
Revenue
£193m
(15% of Total)
Revenue
£560m
(44% of Total)
Revenue
£130m
(10% of Total)
Revenue
£401m
(31% of Total)
580 Employees
27 Offices
*Staff numbers - weighted average for 2015
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Business Development
8
UK UK North
America Asia Pacific Europe Investment
Management
Acquisitions
New Offices
/ Teams
Smiths Gore
Rural property
management
Collier & Madge
Commercial
property
management
Residential Offices
Ealing, Earls Court
and Shoreditch
Aberdeen
Mixed services
New Offices
Phoenix, Dallas
Cordeau-Marshall
Sydney, Australia,
Residential Agency
& Property
Management
Pro-Directions
Christchurch, New
Zealand Project
Management
Cooper Brady
Tenant rep, Project
Management Silicon
Valley
Vertical
Integrations
Corporate Real
Estate, Tampa
KLG Advisors
Consultancy, NY
New Offices
Stuttgart, Barcelona
Sydney,
Chinatown
Residential
Taipei
2 new Residential
offices
Team lifts:
Singapore
Tenant rep, Valuation
Sydney
Valuation
Project Management
Pan-Region
Team lifts:
Amsterdam &
Frankfurt
Office Agency, Milan
Capital Markets
SEB Asset
Management
Frankfurt, Singapore
Real Facilities
Tenant rep - Toronto
Tagis
Amsterdam – Project
Management
New Offices
Hong Kong
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Continuing positive trend in financial KPIs
9
722 806
905
1,078
1,284
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(£m
)
Revenue Underlying PBT ROCE1
50 59
75
101
121
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (£
m)
24
28 30
33 33
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(%)
7.0% 7.3%
8.3%
9.3% 9.5%
-
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(%)
Margin Underlying EPS DPS
29 34
43
55
63
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(pence)
9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 12.0
4.0 6.0
8.5 12.0
14.0
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(pence)
Ordinary
Supplementary
1 Return on capital employed (ROCE) = EBIT / Average of opening and closing debt + equity
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Financial Review
10
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Summary Underlying Results
11
Year ended December (£ millions) 2015 2014 % chg
Revenue 1,283.5 1,078.2 +19%
Underlying profit before tax 121.4 100.5 +21%
Underlying PBT margin 9.5% 9.3% +0.2% pts
Underlying basic earnings per share 63.2p 55.2p +14%
Dividend per share 26.0p 23.0p +13%
Net cash 151.0 154.2 -2%
Net assets 365.0 330.3 +11%
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67.8
18.6 23.4
4.4
76.9
21.1 24.7
10.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
+13% +6%
+148%
494.6
338.6
217.0
28.0
618.0
390.7
230.3
44.5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
+15%
+6%
+59%
Revenue and underlying PBT by business
12
Revenue
Transaction
Advisory
Property
Management Consultancy
Investment
Management
UPBT
+25%
+13%
Margin 13.7% 12.4% 5.5% 5.4% 10.8% 10.7% 15.7% 24.5%
£m
2014 2015
* Excludes unallocated costs of £12.2m (2014: £13.7m)
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Revenue and underlying PBT by region
13
502.4
355.0
112.3 108.5
560.1
401.1
192.5
129.8
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Revenue
UK Asia Pacific United States
UPBT
+11%
Europe
65.1
34.7
12.4
2.0
71.7
34.2
18.8
8.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80 +10%
+13%
+71% +20%
(1)%
+345%
+52%
£m
Margin 13.0% 12.8% 9.8% 8.5% 11.0% 9.8% 1.8% 6.9%
2014 2015
* Excludes unallocated costs of £12.2m (2014: £13.7m)
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Cashflow performance
14
154 151
121 33
13
71 22
31 20
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Net cash at 31-Dec-2014
UPBT Non-cash items Working capital Acquisition spend - current
& deferred
Capex Dividends paid Tax Net cash at 31-Dec-2015
Cash generated from operations of £141m
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Commercial Transaction Advisory
15
2015 Revenue £460m (+34%) 2015 UPBT £56m (+26%)
Asia Pacific substantial market share growth in Hong Kong (“Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect”)
UK Central London Investment and leasing markets remain strong. Continued strength in UK regional
investment
Europe constant currency growth in revenues of 22%, driven primarily by recovery in Germany
US like-for-like revenue growth of 12%. Expansion in tenant rep and occupier services
112 99
56
193
0
50
100
150
200
250
Asia Pacific UK Europe US
Growth +16% +17% +10% +71%
16 17
4
19
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Asia Pacific UK Europe US
Growth (2)% +21% +208% +52%
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Residential Transaction Advisory
16
2015 Revenue £159m (+5%) 2015 UPBT £21m (-11%)
UK impact of reduction in secondary sales revenue mitigated by strong performances in New Homes and PRS
sectors
Improving position in “Core London” market
Asia Pacific strong growth in revenues; expansion in Australia, good performance in Shanghai. Singapore
remains very weak including our mid market associate Huttons
31
128
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Asia Pacific UK
Growth +41% (1)%
3
18
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Asia Pacific UK
Growth (16)% (10)%
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Property Management
17
2015 Revenue £391m (+15%) 2015 UPBT £21m (+13%)
Area under management decreased by 2% to 2.04bn sq ft (2014: 2.09bn sq ft)
Asia Pacific growth in Australia, Hong Kong, China and Singapore. Pricing pressure in Hong Kong
UK New commercial management contracts and growth in rural (Smiths Gore acquisition in May) and Central
London (Collier & Madge). Residential Management (incl Lettings) growth offset by expansion costs
Europe Underlying constant currency growth (22%). Acquisition of Tagis in the Netherlands. Restructuring
costs affecting profits in Sweden and Ireland
228
134
29
0
50
100
150
200
250
Asia Pacific UK Europe
Growth +10% +28% +9%
12 11
-2 -4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Asia Pacific UK Europe
Growth +8% +15% +8%
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Consultancy
18
2015 Revenue £230m (+6%) 2015 UPBT £25m (+6%)
UK strong performances in Building, Planning and Housing & Healthcare, offset by flat performance from
valuations and expansion costs
Asia Pacific strong performance in Hong Kong, growth in Vietnam and Japan offset by weaker demand for
feasibility studies in China and expansion costs in Australia and Singapore
Europe small reductions in business in Germany against a strong comparable
183
31 16
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
UK Asia Pacific Europe
Growth +9% +3% (12)%
22
2 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
UK Asia Pacific Europe
Growth +12% (15%) (50)%
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Investment Management
19
2015 Revenue £45m (+59%) 2015 UPBT £11m (+148%)
Fee income substantially improved through acquisition of SEB (31st August)
Assets under management increased by 138% to €17.1bn (2014: €7.2bn)
Profits substantially improved to £10.9m (“Potsdamer Platz” effect)
Rebranded from “Cordea Savills” to “Savills Investment Management”
Transactions of c. €4.1bn executed on behalf of investors and €1.7bn new capital raised
17
28
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
UK Europe
Growth
4
7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
UK Europe
Growth +132% +4% 247% 72%
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Strategic Progress
20
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Key Achievements in 2015
21
2015 performance Trends
Commercial Commercial
Consultancy / Property
management
Investment Management
Transactional
Strong Commercial performances across the Globe
Resilient Residential performance
A step shift in performance, coverage (Asia) and AUM
Strengthened transactional/capital raising capability
Strong PM performance
Expansion of Consulting teams in a number of markets
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Studley integrated and further bolt-on
transactions completed in the US
Management Activity and Focus
22
2016 Focus
Increased resource and performance
from cross-border investment and
occupier service teams
Further office openings and market
share gains in Core London
Malaysia acquired, India opened,
Philippines in train
SEB acquisition completed plus
selective hires
Recruitment/Bolt on business
development
2015 Management Delivery
Continuation of cross border focus
Selective growth in Core market
Philippines and India
Disposal of liquidating SEB funds.
Consider US expansion
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Retain current expectations for the full year
Record Performance in 2015 with a good start to 2016
Summary and Outlook
UK: Brexit and stamp duty
Occupier demand positive
Europe: offers value
23
Asia: resilience of our business model
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Connecting people and
property since 1855