the scuttlebutt method

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KIM MØLLER- ELSHØ J DIRECTOR & FOUNDER 1 torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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Presentation from Danish Market Analysis Day 2010, Copenhagen, 6 May 2010 "Scuttlebutt: Patterning brand conversations in on-line social media." Description of Conference: http://www.smrn.dk/Home/tabid/75/ArticleId/7299/Culture/English/language/da-DK/Default.aspx

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Scuttlebutt Method

KIM MØLLER-ELSHØJDIRECTOR & FOUNDER

1torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 2: The Scuttlebutt Method

WHAT TO INVESTIGATE?

• Current perception of liquor “Brand X” on-line

• What stories were people telling each other about this liquor?

• What narrative patterns (positive/negative) could be identified?

• What kind of stories should a future strategy focus on?

2torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 3: The Scuttlebutt Method

LynxEye on Scuttlebutt• LynxEye did a global brand strategy project for a brand in the spirits category

between October 2009 and April 2010. As part of the insight hypothesis generation Scuttlebutt conducted an on-line narrative research project.

• It has been an exciting process, and very interesting to see how the method works. More importantly, however, we have learnt that the method works. As this was our first experience with on-line narrative research, we used it as a compliment to more traditional qualitative research. It was interesting to see that many of Kim’s findings went hand-in-hand with what we learnt in consumer focus groups.

• On-line narrative research is a useful brand equity snap-shot , providing an understanding of which brand perceptions seem to be stable and which could be changed, and what functional and emotional role (if any) the brand plays in people’s lives. Kim also did a good job pointing out potential watch-outs for the brand positioning. Next time, we will also be sure to include a competitive brand in the research, in order to gain an even wider understanding of the market.

Sofia Björkman, Project Manager, LynxEye Brand Consultants

3torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 4: The Scuttlebutt Method

4. DESIGN & EXECUTION OF THE ANALYSIS

THE METHOD

• Collect narrative fragments* from social media (~500 stories)

• Enrich them with descriptive meta-data (rich tags)

• Analyse and detect patterns across them all (sensemaking)

• Matching key patterns with matching strategic actions

*Fragments: blogs, reviews, photos, threads, videos, tweets.4torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 5: The Scuttlebutt Method

5torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 6: The Scuttlebutt Method

jello

food

coffeeBaileys

dessert

alcoholic

sweet

food macro

5torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 7: The Scuttlebutt Method

SIGNIFIERS & QUESTIONSthe meta-data

6torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 8: The Scuttlebutt Method

THE META-DATA“QUESTIONS”

1. Point of Consumption

2. Brands Role in Story

3. Emotional Intensity

4. Type of Fragment

5. Endurance of Story

7torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 9: The Scuttlebutt Method

THE META-DATA“QUESTIONS”

1. Point of Consumption

2. Brands Role in Story

3. Emotional Intensity

4. Type of Fragment

5. Endurance of Story

7torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 10: The Scuttlebutt Method

8torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 11: The Scuttlebutt Method

TOP LEVEL RESULTSSELECTED EXAMPLES

9torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 12: The Scuttlebutt Method

How long is this story likely to live on?How long is this story likely to live on?Moment 151Fade Eventually 175Few weeks 61Years 15Forever 1

37 %

43 %

15 %4 %

How long is this story likely to live on?

MomentFade EventuallyFew weeksYearsForever

TOP LEVEL RESULTSSELECTED EXAMPLES

9torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 13: The Scuttlebutt Method

How long is this story likely to live on?How long is this story likely to live on?Moment 151Fade Eventually 175Few weeks 61Years 15Forever 1

37 %

43 %

15 %4 %

How long is this story likely to live on?

MomentFade EventuallyFew weeksYearsForever

80% of stories are short-lived. Shows ‘low invol-vement’ and ‘instability’

TOP LEVEL RESULTSSELECTED EXAMPLES

9torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 14: The Scuttlebutt Method

How long is this story likely to live on?How long is this story likely to live on?Moment 151Fade Eventually 175Few weeks 61Years 15Forever 1

37 %

43 %

15 %4 %

How long is this story likely to live on?

MomentFade EventuallyFew weeksYearsForever

Grandma’s “Brand X” was something that truly brought people together. ...friends always looked forward to her “Brand X” parties

80% of stories are short-lived. Shows ‘low invol-vement’ and ‘instability’

TOP LEVEL RESULTSSELECTED EXAMPLES

9torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 15: The Scuttlebutt Method

THE META-DATA“SIGNIFIERS”

1. Brand’s Role in Story

2. Tone-of-voice

3. Time

4. Kind of Relationship

5. Uniqueness

6. Resonance

7. Brand Feature Focus

8. Love or Hate?

9. Brand Benefit Derived

10. Markers of Community

11. Kind of Interaction

12. Consumption Context

13. Fundamental Motivation

14. Identification w. Brand

15. World Outlook

16. Perception of Value

10torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 16: The Scuttlebutt Method

11torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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12torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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55%

WAA HOOOO!! RT @NewestDrinks: Stealthy Blackout: 1 part Everclear, 1 part “Brand X”, 1 part “Competitor Y” @LizBlaine @runedart @0402sgrl

chocolate buttermilk cake with chocolate/“Brand X” ganache and toasted, salted pecans. It was Jacob's birthday. :) Yay for Jacob! he's the best. :)

12torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 19: The Scuttlebutt Method

>15%

55%

Yep. Definitely a “Brand X” in the coffee kinda morning

3:12 PM Dec 30th, 2009, ctiedje

WAA HOOOO!! RT @NewestDrinks: Stealthy Blackout: 1 part Everclear, 1 part “Brand X”, 1 part “Competitor Y” @LizBlaine @runedart @0402sgrl

chocolate buttermilk cake with chocolate/“Brand X” ganache and toasted, salted pecans. It was Jacob's birthday. :) Yay for Jacob! he's the best. :)

12torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 20: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

01

13torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 21: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

02Strongly positive

Positive

Neutral

Negative

Strongly negative

14torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 22: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

02Strongly positive

Positive

Neutral

Negative

Strongly negative

On trade

Off trade

14torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 23: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

02Strongly positive

Positive

Neutral

Negative

Strongly negative

On trade

Off trade·

14torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 24: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

03

15torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 25: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

03

15torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 26: The Scuttlebutt Method

With Nature

With Self With Others

04

16torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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With Nature

With Self With Others

04

16torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 28: The Scuttlebutt Method

17torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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55%

17torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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>15%

55%

17torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 31: The Scuttlebutt Method

>15%

55%

More negativeMore enduringLess enduring

Easily influenced More set/stable(when X’et w. context)

More positive

17torsdag den 6. maj 2010

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INTERDIMENTIONAL CORRELATIONS

18torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 33: The Scuttlebutt Method

NEW INSIGHT ON BRAND XSELECTED FINDINGS

• Despite lots of love for the brand, no great loyalty towards the brand is evidenced. ‘Occationals’ are by far in majority

• Brand X appears as a ‘brand without a cause’

• Currently no basis for a brand community

• Positive stories were about ... / Negative stories were about...

• Latest brand strategy had had no enduring effect on sales

• The ‘original people’ ad campaign had found no resonance in the minds of the consumers, who didn’t even mention it

19torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 34: The Scuttlebutt Method

FUTURE PLANS FOR BRAND X

• Company to develop a gross-list of 6-10 low cost (aka safe-fail) marketing initiatives inspired by the insight from the research

• Will launch initiatives as probes (some solo, some in parrallel), run research again, and monitor pattern evolution

• Develop and expands on initiatives that have a positive effect

• Stop initiatives that have a negative or no effect

• Loop process, to continuously measure and pattern market’s evolution in both volume, attitudes and perceptions, to safely inform strategy ahead

20torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 35: The Scuttlebutt Method

STORIES THAT WILL FIND RESONANCE IN THE MARKET

• Found the recipe for stories that will work, answering• place - occasion - ambience

• who - motives and values

• ways to consume the brand

• What kind of stories should be avoided?

21torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 36: The Scuttlebutt Method

WHAT WAS IT FOR “BRAND X” ?!?!!

1. Develop Insight

• The consumers’ Story about the brand in their own words

• How they make sense of:- your brand- them-selves as members of your brand culture

22torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 37: The Scuttlebutt Method

WHAT WAS IT FOR “BRAND X” ?!?!!

1. Develop Insight

• The consumers’ Story about the brand in their own words

• How they make sense of:- your brand- them-selves as members of your brand culture

2. Measure effect

• Monitoring - web presence (quant.)- consumer opinion (qual.)- evolution of perceptions

• Benchmarking- against competition

22torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 38: The Scuttlebutt Method

WHAT WAS IT FOR “BRAND X” ?!?!!

1. Develop Insight

• The consumers’ Story about the brand in their own words

• How they make sense of:- your brand- them-selves as members of your brand culture

2. Measure effect

• Monitoring - web presence (quant.)- consumer opinion (qual.)- evolution of perceptions

• Benchmarking- against competition

3. Turning this Knowledge into Action

• A decision framework for influencing evolution

• Patterns: Developing the good, disrupting the bad

22torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 39: The Scuttlebutt Method

QUESTIONS?

Kim Møller-Elshø[email protected]

+45 6133 4181

23torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 40: The Scuttlebutt Method

BUZZ MONITORING(web-crawling for mentions)

ON-LINE NARRATIVE RESEARCH

24torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 41: The Scuttlebutt Method

ADVANTAGES OVER OTHER METHODS

• Compared to other Buzz or Social Media Monitoring tools

• Other tools only tell you “how many people talk about you” and guesstimate “how positive or negative the stories are”YOU LEARN: How many! (...and with little accuracy)

• Scuttlebutt tells you all that, plus 10-20 other dimensions of insight YOU LEARN: (1) How they perceive your brand, (2) how stable their views are, (3) how to strengthen the brand’s position...and with great accuracy, because people (not PCs) interpret the stories

25torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 42: The Scuttlebutt Method

ADVANTAGES OVER OTHER METHODS (cont.)

• Closer to “The Truth”, compared to other methods of analysis• Is truly exploratory. Doesn’t ask questions*, just listens!

• Compared to Qualitative research (e.g. focus group interviews)

• Same, or better, ability to explore a field of study/uncover new insight• No bias from a predisposed moderator, no situational bias of informants• No informants trying to please the moderator

• Compared to Quantitative Research

• Same potential for statistical rigour (Easily analyses 1000s of stories)• No questions bias, no respondent bias, no situational bias• Honest stories, since there is nothing at stake for respondents

26torsdag den 6. maj 2010

Page 43: The Scuttlebutt Method

WHAT THE OTHER METHODS DIDN’T UNCOVER... (EXAMPLES)

Both focus groups and questionnaires were also used, but neither of these uncovered the following:

• Brand turned out to be very popular in both • Home cooking, and

• Innovative restaurant cooking

• Several new connections emerged between annual traditions and the consumption of the product

• What perceptions were stable and which were temporary• Even by segmentation of ‘Occationals’ and ‘Loyalists’

27torsdag den 6. maj 2010