thinkla adu: media planning 2014 - kemble fletcher

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Kemble Fletcher Associate Director, Analytics – Currently LS&Co. global account but have also worked on: PlayStation, Honda, HTC, Paramount Theatrical, Hilton and eHarmony 8 years in advertising/analytics Started in 2006 making ~$20K - $30K (media not analytics)

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Page 1: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Kemble Fletcher

• Associate Director, Analytics – Currently LS&Co. global account but have also worked on: PlayStation, Honda, HTC, Paramount Theatrical, Hilton and eHarmony

• 8 years in advertising/analytics

• Started in 2006 making ~$20K - $30K (media not analytics)

Page 2: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

The Application Of Analytics Is Seeing Unprecedented Growth

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Page 3: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Standing On The Shoulders Of Giants…

• Observation, Measurement, Experiment, Hypothesis - Repeat

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Page 4: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

1) The Total Volume Of Data

• There is an estimated 1,200 Exabyte’s worth of information in the world today • If all this information were placed on a standard memory CD, the CDs would stack to the moon, five times over • As recently as 2000, only one quarter of all the world’s information was digital. Today less than 2% of all data information stored is non-digital (paper, film, analog media)

Source: The Economist; Data, data everywhere, Feb 27th 2010 article

Page 5: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

• Largely considered one of Man’s greatest technological achievements • Apollo 11 had a 2.048 MHz CPU

2) Computing Power/Processing Power

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Apollo Lunar Module

Page 6: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Apollo 11 had a 2.048 MHz CPU

Typical modern day PC has ~4GHz

Modern graphical/scientific calculator would be about 2.048

Apollo Lunar Module

6 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_Guidance_Computer

2) Computing Power/Processing Power

Page 7: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

3) Connectivity/Data Access

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• By 2015 79.9% (256MM) of the American population will have access to the internet • This is about a 2% increase from 2014 that will continue to rise through 2018, where it is expected to reach saturation

Page 8: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

• When you get home, open your browser and find out how many different search engines you’re using

My Laptop = 3

main and 18

additional

indexes to pull

into the search

Omnibox

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3) Connectivity/Data Access

Page 9: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Three Important Factors Have Come Together To Provide Us With More

Data Than We Can Analyze All At Once

…Marketing Is No different

Page 10: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

“Advertising is taking something true, funny or meaningful about a group of people and retelling

that it in a compelling way”

Page 11: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Two Approaches To Measuring People - Demographics

US Population 317MM

A20-35 63MM

F40-64 53MM

K<5 19MM

Page 12: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

People Who Like Dogs

Poodles

Shepherds

Terriers

Two Approaches To Measuring People - Psychographics

Page 13: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Terriers

In Analytics, Trendlines = Habits

R² = 0.6968

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Series1 Poly. (Series1)

Page 14: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Hierarchy of Goals

Business Objective

Campaign Objective

Media

Objective

Creative

Objective

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Page 15: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Hierarchy of Goals - Examples

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Y/Y profit margin increase or

increase sales to all loyalty

consumers

Drive people to X for

predetermined period of time

Meet and

Achieve R/F

Determine

M/F Creative

Preference

Page 16: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Defining Goals • Define Measurable Goals

• Each campaign, creative, micro-site, site redesign must have a business objective set up (before) tactical planning and execution

• Measure What Matters

• Valued Activities/Engagement

• Business Value—the key filter

• Remember Why You Are Measuring

• Data that’s not actionable is meaningless

• KPIs on a dashboard are just numbers—analytics informs you what to do to improve

Page 17: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

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TV TRP GRP Added Value Audience Cost Per X Time Spent Registration

Digital Impressions Visits Conversions Cost Per X Pageviews Bounce Rate Interaction Rate Clicks Time Spent Download Registration

Print GRP TRP Audience Cost Per X Registration

Radio GRP TRP Cost Per X Time Spent Registration

OOH Audience Cost Per X Registration

Prioritizing Metrics

Page 18: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Prioritizing Metrics Each project should identify the appropriate metric for

different tasks

KPI’s

(Key Performance Indicator)

Optimization

Metrics

Diagnostic

Metrics

A business-relevant metric, relating to sales (e.g. ROI) or brand/message adoption (e.g. brand lift). A KPI can be either a count or ratio, but is typically a ratio (e.g. “Increased X by Y%”).

A “media metric”, supportive of program KPI’s, but generally related to media, not business. Optimization metrics are ratios, as they are directly representative of relational performance (e.g. Conversion Rate, Revenue per Purchase).

These metrics provide an extra layer of insight to explain why optimization metrics may or may not be improving. Common diagnostic metrics include bounce rate, dwell time, user pathing, and page/site attrition.

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Page 19: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Example Measurable Goal “Increase worldwide preference for Centrino2 within Business and Consumer targets from the current 4% to 8% by 12/31/09”

Action Where

What

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Increase … …worldwide…

…preference for Centrino2…

Page 20: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Example Measurable Goal

What

Whom? How Much?

When

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…Business and Consumer… …from the current 4% to 8%...

…by 12/31/09.

“Increase worldwide preference for Centrino2 within Business and Consumer targets from the current 4% to 8% by 12/31/09”

Page 21: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Trafficking - CRS

Objectives and Strategies

Recommendation

Placement Creation

Trafficking

Pre-Launch

Campaign Launch

Campaign Management

Post Buy

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Integrating Analytics Into Your Process

Page 22: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Campaign Launch

Objectives and Strategies

Recommendation

Placement Creation

Trafficking

Pre-Launch

Campaign Launch

Campaign Management

Post Buy

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Different Approaches Depending On The Business Goals

Typical Approach

Page 23: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Campaign Launch

Objectives and Strategies

Recommendation

Placement Creation

Trafficking

Pre-Launch

Campaign Launch

Campaign Management

Post Buy

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Different Approaches Depending On The Business Goals

Approach For A Cinematic Client

Page 24: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Campaign Launch

Objectives and Strategies

Recommendation

Placement Creation

Trafficking

Pre-Launch

Campaign Launch

Campaign Management

Post Buy

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Different Approaches Depending On The Business Goals

Approach For A Tech Client

Page 25: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher
Page 26: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Google Helps Determine where the Flu will breakout next

• In 2008 Google engineers wanted to know if they could model real world phenomena off of Google search trends

• Started by looking at thousands of keywords people were using to describe the FLU

• Were eventually able to narrow it down to 45 keywords that had a statistically sound correlation between the frequency of these search queries and the number of people experiencing flu-like symptoms

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Page 27: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

Google Helps Determine Where The Next Flu Outbreak Will Take

Place

http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/tracking-flu-trends.html

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v457/n7232/full/nature07634.html

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Page 28: thinkLA AdU: Media Planning 2014 - Kemble Fletcher

The Fruit Of That Labor Can Be Informative As Well As Fun

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Zg-C8AAIGg#t=06m18s