brainstorming session on the future of … future of pmr.pdf · fi#eenth mee*ng of the partnership...
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Fi#eenthMee*ngofthePartnershipAssemblyHanoi,Vietnam18-20October2016
BRAINSTORMINGSESSIONONTHEFUTUREOFTHE
PARTNERSHIPFORMARKETREADINESS
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I. PMRinContext:ProgramObjecAvesandHighlights
II. ChangingCircumstancesforPMRAcAviAes
A. ExternalEnvironment:Post-ParisMomentum
B. InternalEnvironment:InsightsfromPMRImplementa=on
III. BuildingonAchievementsandLessonsLearned:ADiscussionontheFutureofthePMR
IV. NextStepsandTimeline
Outline
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u Launchedin2010(CancunCOP10);opera*onalizedin2011
u Establishedagainstthebackdropofadownturnintheinterna*onalcarbonmarket
ContextforSeMngUpthePMR
Objec1ves:• Providegrantfundingtobuildreadinesscomponentsthatsupporttheimplementa*on
of carbon pricing instruments—including market-based approaches—for GHGmi*ga*on;
• Pilotcarbonpricing instruments,e.g.,domes*cETS, scaled-upcredi*ngmechanisms,orcarbontaxes;
• ProvideaplaNorm fordiscussions,networking, and collecAve innovaAonon carbonpricinginstruments—inpar*cularnewmarket-basedapproaches—forGHGmi*ga*on;
• Create and disseminate a body of knowledge on carbon pricing instruments, inpar*cular market-based approaches that could be tapped for country-specificrequirements;
• Share insights and lessons learnedwith the interna*onal community, including theUNFCCC.
PMROverview:WhereDoWeStand?
QuickFacts§ Capitaliza*on:$127million§ $59millionallocatedtoprepareforPMRini*a*ves
§ 19countryprograms§ 13donorsand4technicalpartners
AreasofWork§ Threeworkprograms:1. PolicyAnalysisWorkProgram2. TechnicalWorkProgram3. CountryProgram
§ Carbonpricinginstruments:ü Emissionstradingü Carbontaxa*onü Credi*ngandoffse^ngü Others
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PA7(Oct2013):Firstround
discussionsonstrategic
direc*onofPMR
PA7-PA14(Oct2013-Apr2016):
Severaldocuments,proposals&ac*ons
putforwardtofacilitatediscussions
PA14(Apr2016):Endorsementof
processtoallocateaddi*onalfunding&expandPartnership
EarlyEffortstoMaximizePMRImpacts:AnOverview
FocusareasofthePMR’sStrategicDirec1on:1. Deepenreadinesssupport2. Broadenreadinesssupport3. Supportpilo=ngofscaled-upcredi=ng
programs4. PrepareforadiscussiononPMRPhaseII
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CountryPrograms TechnicalWorkProgram
PolicyAnalysisWorkProgram CountryExchanges
PMR
EarlyEffortstoMaximizePMRImpacts:DeepeningSupport
EffortstodeepenthePMRinresponsetolessonslearnedandchangingcondiAons:1. SupplementMRPac=vi=eswithin-countrydialogues2. Ramp-uptheTechnicalWorkProgram:
• Detailednotesonseveralcoretechnicalcomponentsandincreasednumberofdedicatedtechnicalworkshops
3. DeploythePolicyAnalysisWorkProgram:• ChecklistandsupportforINDCprepara=onin5countries• Ongoingsupportin10countries• Developprogram-levelsupportonmodelingandpolicyinterac=on
4. Facilitatedialoguesrespondingtoevolvingsub-regionalcollabora=ononcarbonpricing5. Dialogueonpost-2020carbonmarketsandrecentassessmentoftheimplica=onsofthe
ParisAgreementforthePMR
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18ImplemenAngCountryParAcipants 13ContribuAngParAcipants
4TechnicalPartners Partnerships,ObserverCountries,andOrganizaAons
PMR
EarlyEffortstoMaximizePMRImpacts:BroadeningSupport
EffortstobroadenthePMR:1. Increasedcontribu=onsfromCPstoallowthepar=cipa=onoftwoaddi=onalcountries• PeruandTunisia
2. Endorsedprocedureforaccep=ngnewcountriesbytheendof2016• SriLankaandArgen=natojointhePMRbyPA15
3. Introducednewpar=cipantcategory:“PMRTechnicalPartners”• Kazakhstan,California,QuébecandAlberta
4. Developedstrategicpartnershipsthroughimplementa=onofjointac=vi=es• IETA,ICAP,Interna=onalMRVPartnership,WRI,UNDPLECB,LEDSGlobal
Partnership,etc.
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u Long-termvisiontolimittheglobalaveragetemperaturetowellbelow2°Cabovepre-industriallevels,withtheaimoflimi*ngitto1.5°C
u Reinforcebobom-upapproaches:countriesagreetoregularlyreviewandrevisetheirNDCs,toincreaseambi*onover*me
u Countriesarele#withachoiceofpoliciesandacAonstodesignandimplementinordertoachievetheirmi*ga*ongoalsandcontributetocollec*vetargets
ExternalEnvironment:ImplicaAonsoftheParisAgreementonthePMR(1)
Countriesareaccelera1ngdomes1cclimateac1oninordertoachieveNDCsbutimplementa1oncapacity
remainsachallengeinmanycountries.
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u RecogniAonofvoluntarycooperaAveapproaches(Art.6):§ Anewinterna*onalmechanismforcountriestocontributetoGHG
emissionsmi*ga*onandsustainabledevelopment§ Provisionstopavethewayforboeom-upcoopera*veapproacheswhere
Par*escouldopttomeettheirclimatepledgesusingITMOs
u Carbonpricingandcarbonmarketscanhaveapivotalroletoplayinachievingcountries’mid-andlong-termmi*ga*onandotherpolicygoals
ExternalEnvironment:ImplicaAonsoftheParisAgreementonthePMR(2)
Thedemandforfinancingandtechnicalassistancerelatedtocarbonpricingwillincrease.ThiscreatesanopportunitytoleveragethePMR’stechnicalknowledgebaseandtofurtherfacilitateandenhancetheuse
ofinnova1vecarbonpricinginstruments.
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u Decisionsontheuseofdomes*candinterna*onalcarbonpricinginstrumentsarepartofalengthyandsensi*vepoli*calprocess
u Manycountriesareyettomakeafinaldecisiononthecarbonpricinginstrument(s)theywilltopursue
u Technicalandins*tu*onalreadiness,aswellasintra-ins*tu*onalcoordina*onandstakeholderengagement,arekeyformakingviablepolicychoices,aswellasfortheirfuturedesignandimplementa*on
Con1nueexploringwaystoenhancetechnicalandfinancialsupporttocountriesiscri1cal.
InternalEnvironment:MakingPolicyChoices
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u Technical,regulatoryandinsAtuAonalreadinessfortheuseofcarbonpricinginstrumentsisaconAnuumofseveralphases:
InternalEnvironment:UnderstandingReadiness
Upstream:Policyanalysis&dialoguetofacilitatechoice
ofinstrument(s) Midstream:Design&prepareinstrument(s)
Downstream:Implementinstrument(s),&reviewand
improveoverAme
Dependingontheirlevelofreadiness,countriesneeddifferen1atedsupport.
u ThePMRcarriesoutgroundworkatpolicyandtechnicallevelsto:
§ Facilitatecountries’decisionsaboutcarbonpricinginstruments
§ Supportsdesignandimplementa*ononcethedecisionismade
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• Implica*onsofAr*cle6oftheParisAgreement
• Roleofcredi*nginthepolicypackagestoachieveNDCobjec*vesandotherpolicygoals
Ra1onale&PolicyObjec1vesofScaled-up
Credi1ng
• Developinginnova*vetechnicalandins*tu*onalelements
• ManagingtherisksofachievingNDCobjec*ves
• Demonstra*ngthroughimplementa*on
Design&Implementa1on:DealingwithUncertainty
• Ensuringbroaderapplicabilitytootherpolicyinstrumentsandfundingapproaches
• Buildingpoli*calmomentumandabroadstakeholders’acceptanceforcarbonpricings
MinimizingRegrets&MaximizingBenefits
InternalEnvironment:TakinganOverarchingApproachtoSupportScaled-upCrediAng
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u ThereisbroadrecogniAonthat:§ Carbonpricinginstrumentsshouldbeconsideredinthe
contextofcountries’long-termmi*ga*ongoals(asoutlinedintheirNDCs)andotherpolicyobjec*ves
§ Countriesusemodelingandanaly*calworktoiden*fyasuitablepackageofpoliciesandmeasures,andunderstandtheirinterac*ons,impactsandpoten*albarriers
InternalEnvironment:TakingaHolisAcApproachtoProvidePolicySupport
Providingsystema1candlong-termsupporttocountriestohelpstrengthenmodelingcapacityisessen1al.
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u ThePMRisauniqueplaNormthat:§ Convenesmajoreconomiesandfacilitatespolicyandtechnical
dialoguesatdomes*candinterna*onallevels§ Supportsdiversecountryac*onontheground§ GeneratesandsharesknowledgebeyondthePMR§ Providesanenvironmentforcountriestoopenlydiscuss
challengesandopportuni*esfacedduringthechoice,design,prepara*on,andimplementa*onofcarbonpricinginstruments
InternalEnvironment:ValueofPartnership
Maintaininganac1veanddynamicplaTormtoleveragepoli1calmomentumandsharevaluableknowledgeontechnicalandpolicy
challengesisvital.
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ReaffirmingtheRaAonaleforthePMR
TheParisAgreement..
…createsanenvironment
conducivetotheuseofdomesAccarbonpricinginstruments
aspartofNDCimplementaAon...
...andpavesthewaytowardan
internaAonalcarbonmarketajer2020.
ThePMRexperience..
...showsthatsupportforreadinessiscriAcalforthe
successfulchoice,design,preparaAon,andimplementaAonofcarbonpricinginstruments,and…
...confirmsincreasingdemandfortechnical
assistanceandservices,includinginthecontextofNDCimplementaAon.
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u AllocaAonofremainingfunds(PhaseI,unAl2020)§ “Deepening”PMRsupport(i.e.,alloca*onofaddi*onalfundingto
exis*ngImplemen*ngCountryPar*cipantsandTechnicalPartners)§ “Broadening”thePartnership(i.e.,acceptanceofnew
Implemen*ngCountryPar*cipantsandTechnicalPartners)
u PossibleextensionoftheTF(PhaseII,beyond2020)§ Discussiononmission,objec*vesandscopeof“PMRPhaseII”
StrategicDirecAonofthePMR:AnOverview
Short-termFuture Long-termFuture
2020
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PMRPhaseII:PossibleScopeofAcAviAesGoingForward
u Rampupfinancialandtechnicalassistance:focusonsupportforfullspectrumofcarbonpricingpolicies,includingNDCimplementaAon§ Upstream:
- Definepolicyobjec*vesandra*onaleforcarbonpricing- Policyanalysis(modelingandpolicyinterac*on)tofacilitatethechoiceofinstrument(s)
andunderstandroleinachievingNDCobjec*ves- Definegovernancerequirements,andfacilitatestakeholderengagementandinter-
ins*tu*onaldialogue
§ Midstream:- Designandpreparecarbonpricinginstruments(i.e.,establishcoretechnicalelements,
ins*tu*onsandregula*ons)
§ Downstream:- Implement,reviewandimprovecarbonpricinginstruments
u StrengthenplaNormfuncAon,withincreasedin-countryandregionaldisseminaAonofknowledgeandexperience
u Deepentechnicalknowledgeandincreaseabilitytoprovidein-countrysupport(includingadvisoryservicesonsupporAngpolicyreformprocesses/managingpoliAcaleconomy)
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PossibleScenariostoDeepenSupportGoingForward
PossiblefuturescenariostodeepenPMRsupport:1. InterestinamoredetailedTechnicalWorkProgram,withincreasedinternal
capacityforin-countrysupportandworkshops(advisoryservices)2. Increasedandmoresystema=csupportforNDCimplementa=oncyclethrough
PolicyAnalysisWorkProgram(analy1cs)3. Ac=vefacilita=onofregionaldialoguesandcommonworkoncarbonpricing
(towardslinking)4. Increasedinterestinupstreamsupport,tohelpdefinepolicyobjec=vesandthe
ra=onaleforcarbonpricing5. Furtherintegra=onofthePolicyAnalysisandTechnicalWorkPrograms
CountryPrograms TechnicalWorkProgram
PolicyAnalysisWorkProgram CountryExchanges
PMRPhaseII
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PossibleScenariostoFurtherBroadenthePMR
PossiblefuturescenariostobroadenthePMR:
1. IncreaseddemandandinterestinthePMRfromotherdevelopingcountriesandemergingeconomies
2. Increasedinterestinflexiblemodali=esforsupport,whichcouldresultinfurtherdifferen=a=onofpar=cipantcategories
3. Augmenteddissemina=onofPMR’sknowledgeproducts,includingtonon-PMRpar=cipants
ImplemenAngCountryParAcipants ContribuAngParAcipants
TechnicalPartners Partnerships,ObserverCountriesandOrganizaAons
PMRPhaseII
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I. RaAonaleforExtendingthePMR
u DoestheParisAgreementreaffirmtherelevanceofthePMRinapost-2020regime?
u Whatarepoten*alimpactsintermsofafutureworkplan(e.g.,ac*vi*esthatfacilitatebothdomes*ccarbonpricinginstrumentsandpar*cipa*oninthefutureinterna*onalmarket)?
u HowdoestheexperiencefromthefirstphaseofthePMRinformitsfuturedirec*on?
u WhatisthePMR’saddedvaluecomparedtootherexis*ngandemergingini*a*ves,andhowcaneffec*vecoordina*onandsynergiesamongthembeensured?
DiscussionontheFutureofthePMR(1)
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II. RedefiningMissionandObjecAves
u ShouldthePMR’smissionandobjec*vesberedefinedtoreflectrecentinterna*onalanddomes*cdevelopments?Ifso,how?
u AretheregapsinthePMR’smissionandobjec*ves?Ifso,whichones?
u HowexplicitshouldbethelinktoNDCimplementa*ongoingforward?
u HowcanthePMRmaximizeitsimpactandfurthercatalyzetransforma*onalchange?
u Howcouldthefunc*onofthePMRasaplapormfortheexchangeofknowledgeandexperiencebefurtherstrengthened?
DiscussionontheFutureofthePMR(2)
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III. ProposedScopeofWorku DoesthePMR’sscopeofworkneedtoaddressthe“post-Paris”agenda?If
so,how?Whatac*vi*esshouldbecon*nued,droppedoradded?
u HowcanthePMRprovidesupportthataccommodatesincreasinglydifferentneedsfromcountries,forupstream,mid-streamanddownstreamac*vi*es?
u Whatwillbetheappropriatebalancebetweenthesupportprovidedto“readiness”and“implementa*on”ac*vi*esgoingforward?
DiscussionontheFutureofthePMR(3)
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IV. OpAonsforBroadeningPMR
u ShouldthePMRseekthepar*cipa*onofnewImplemen*ngCountries?
u Shoulddifferentcategoriesofpar*cipantsbecreatedtoaccommodateincreasinglydiverseneedsfromcountries?
u Howcouldthedissemina*onofPMR’sknowledgeproducts,includingtonon-PMRmembers,beincreased?
u Whichaddi*onalpartnership(s),ifany,shouldbepursuedandwhy?
PMRPhaseII:QuesAonsforDiscussion(4)
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u PA15(Oct2016):BrainstormingonthefutureofthePMR(relevance-mission-objec*ves-scope-reach)
u Intersessionalperiod(Oct2016-Mar2017):FeedbackfromPMRPar*cipants
u PA16(Apr2017):Dra#NoteonthefutureofthePMR(includingproposalonGovernanceFramework)
u Intersessionalperiod(Apr2017-Sep2017):FeedbackfromPMRPar*cipantsontheDra#Note
u PA17(Oct2017):FinalNoteonthefutureofthePMR
u Nov2017-Apr2018:Poten*alrevisionstothePMRDesignDocumentandGovernanceFramework
u May2018-Dec2018:Administra*veAgreementswithContribu*ngPar*cipants
u Dec2018(COP24):StartofPMRPhaseII
ProposedNextStepsandTimeline
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FORMOREINFORMATIONON
THEPARTNERSHIPFORMARKETREADINESS(PMR),PLEASECONTACT:
WWW.THEPMR.ORG