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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor Scottish Parliament Voting Intention June 2012

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?

Scottish Labour halve SNP, but the nationalists remain dominant

39%

35%

12%

8% 6% SNP

Labour

Others

45%

32%

12%

6% 5% SNP

Labour

Others

All giving a voting intention (91%)

All who are certain to vote (63%)

Base: All giving a voting intention = 91% (913); all certain to vote = 63% (629). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012

Cons.

Lib Dem

Cons.

Lib Dem

SNP lead over Labour = 4% SNP lead over Labour = 13%

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?

Support for Labour has increased for the first time in 18 months as support for SNP slips

0

10

20

30

40

50

60 Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other

45%

32%

12% 6% 5%

Scottish Parliament Election Result

Scottish Parliament Election Result

Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

Base: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012

Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction change (Jan

’12)

7% +13% -9%

6% -46% -18%

33% +9% +15%

42% -7% +5%

48% -4% +7%

58% +12% N/A

Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though his approval rating has fallen by 9 points

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party?

Satisfaction with party leaders - trends

53%

38%

26% 24% 24%

Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

27%

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• This presents the topline results from Scotland

• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents conducted by telephone

• Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012

• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data

• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories

• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated

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Thank you mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264

18.6.12

This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006. © Ipsos MORI

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